Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery materials industry [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the shift away from excess supply mentality, highlighting the potential for non-linear profit growth among leading companies in the lithium battery materials sector due to rigid supply against continuously growing demand [3][4] - It suggests a focus on lithium-related materials such as lithium iron phosphate, lithium carbonate, hexafluorophosphate, and aluminum foil, while also considering heavy asset-related materials like separators [4] - The report forecasts significant growth in the electric vehicle (EV) market and explosive growth in energy storage, with global EV sales expected to reach 23.54 million units in 2025, a 29.1% increase year-on-year [4] - It notes that the energy storage battery shipments are projected to reach 640 GWh in 2025, marking an 82.9% year-on-year growth [4] - The report anticipates a demand cycle to commence in 2026, supported by favorable domestic and international policies [4] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery materials sector, including 盛新锂能 (Shengxin Lithium Energy), 湖南裕能 (Hunan Youneng), 天赐材料 (Tianci Materials), and others, while also highlighting battery leaders like 宁德时代 (CATL) and 亿纬锂能 (EVE Energy) [4][7] Market Data - The report provides operational data for several listed companies in the lithium battery sector, indicating varying levels of profitability and cash flow, with 宁德时代 (CATL) showing a net profit of 49 million in Q3 2025 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 61% [6] - It includes a table summarizing earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies, with 宁德时代 (CATL) having an EPS of 14.90 for 2025E and a PE ratio of 23.29 [7]

Group 1: Market Overview - At the end of 2025, the bond market was relatively weak, with banks showing overall low allocation to interest rate bonds[7] - In early 2026, as banks' annual KPIs were determined, the bond market began to recover, with significant buying power from banks in the first week of January[7] - The buying power of banks expanded further in mid-January, but participation remained structural and selective rather than broad-based[7] Group 2: Large Banks' Behavior - Large banks increased their allocation to government bonds, particularly focusing on 7-10Y and 1-3Y maturities, while also starting to buy 20-30Y bonds[8] - The buying of policy financial bonds by large banks intensified, mainly in the 1-3Y and 7-10Y categories[8] - Large banks showed a notable increase in selling local government bonds, especially in the ultra-long end[8] Group 3: Small and Medium Banks' Behavior - Small and medium-sized banks exhibited a "front-loading and back-selling" pattern in their trading behavior, with initial strong buying followed by a shift to net selling[15] - In the first week of January, small banks showed concentrated buying in medium to long-term bonds, but this shifted to net selling in the following weeks[15] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The funding market saw a shift with net borrowing turning negative for major borrowing entities, indicating a tightening of liquidity[6] - The primary market experienced an expansion in the price gap between primary and secondary markets for policy financial bonds[6] - In the secondary market, the borrowing volume of active bonds continued to rise, with large banks being the main buyers of 1-3Y and 7-10Y bonds[6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [4][15]. Core Insights - The weekly average price of liquid gas has slightly decreased, while the weekly average price of liquid argon continues to show a significant year-on-year increase. Rare gases are experiencing low-level fluctuations [2][4]. - Notable events include Guanggang Gas winning a supply contract for TCL's 8.6 generation OLED printing and Hangyang successfully winning contracts for four sets of 100,000 cubic meter air separation units for the National Energy Yulin Circular Economy Coal Comprehensive Utilization Project [2][4]. Price Trends - As of January 22, 2026, the weekly price situation for gases is as follows: 1. Liquid Oxygen: Average price of 333 RMB/ton, down 0.3% month-on-month, down 3.8% year-on-year 2. Liquid Nitrogen: Average price of 362 RMB/ton, up 0.2% month-on-month, down 1.6% year-on-year 3. Liquid Argon: Average price of 1,148 RMB/ton, down 2.63% month-on-month, up 131.22% year-on-year 4. Rare Gases: - High-purity helium (cylinder): Average price of 84.71 RMB/cubic meter, down 2.06% month-on-month, down 13.24% year-on-year - High-purity helium (40L cylinder): Average price of 607.14 RMB/cylinder, down 0.15% month-on-month, down 7.86% year-on-year - Xenon: Average price of 20,785.71 RMB/cubic meter, down 1.02% month-on-month, down 28.33% year-on-year - Krypton: Average price of 190 RMB/cubic meter, unchanged month-on-month, down 39.68% year-on-year - Neon: Average price of 110 RMB/cubic meter, unchanged month-on-month, down 12% year-on-year [4][6][7]. Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Hangyang Co., Ltd. and Shaanxi鼓动力, with related stocks being Zhengfan Technology, Fostar, and Zhongtai Co., Ltd. [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to Kuaishou-W with a target price of 104 HKD, based on a valuation of 15x PE for traditional business and 30x PS for Kuaishou's AI video model [2][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of AIGC (AI Generated Content) video commercialization, emphasizing Kuaishou's ability to integrate technology, ecosystem, and monetization to unlock long-term value [1][11]. - Kuaishou's revenue is projected to grow from 142 billion RMB in 2025 to 170 billion RMB by 2027, with adjusted net profit expected to increase from 20.6 billion RMB to 28.1 billion RMB during the same period [5][11]. - The global video streaming revenue is anticipated to reach 214.6 billion USD in 2025, with AI video penetration expected to contribute significantly to the total addressable market (TAM) of approximately 25 billion USD [27][11]. Summary by Sections 1. AIGC Video Generation Technology - AIGC is transitioning from a creative tool to a core productivity driver in the content industry, supported by advancements in deep learning and multimodal models [13][15]. - The demand for efficient content supply in industries like media, e-commerce, and advertising is driving the adoption of AIGC technologies [15][23]. 2. Competitive Landscape - The AIGC video generation market is entering a phase of differentiation among general models, vertical capabilities, and platform ecosystems [34][36]. - Kuaishou's Kling 2.5 Turbo ranks highly in performance and cost-effectiveness compared to competitors, showcasing its advantages in integrated audio-visual generation and understanding of the Chinese context [34][36]. 3. Kuaishou's Value Creation - Kuaishou has established a closed loop of technology, ecosystem, and monetization, with significant revenue growth from its AI video model, which reached an annualized revenue run rate of 240 million USD by December 2025 [11][44]. - The report notes that Kuaishou's AI model has generated over 600 million videos and collaborated with more than 30,000 enterprise users, indicating strong commercial potential [11][44]. 4. Financial Projections and Valuation - Kuaishou's financial forecasts indicate a steady revenue growth trajectory, with adjusted net profit expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% from 2025 to 2027 [5][11]. - The report suggests a conservative valuation approach, applying a 15x PE for traditional business and a 30x PS for the AI segment, reflecting the company's growth potential in the AIGC space [11][11].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [4] Core Insights - The report indicates a slight decline in the weekly average price of liquid gas, while the weekly average price of liquid argon continues to show a significant year-on-year increase. Rare gases are experiencing low-level fluctuations in their weekly average prices. Notable events include Guanggang Gas winning a supply contract for TCL's 8.6 generation OLED printing and Hangyang successfully winning contracts for four sets of 100,000 cubic meter air separation units for the National Energy Yulin Circular Economy Coal Comprehensive Utilization Project [2][4]. Price Trends - As of January 22, 2026, the weekly price data for gases is as follows: 1. Liquid Oxygen: Average price of 333 CNY/ton, down 0.3% month-on-month, down 3.8% year-on-year 2. Liquid Nitrogen: Average price of 362 CNY/ton, up 0.2% month-on-month, down 1.6% year-on-year 3. Liquid Argon: Average price of 1,148 CNY/ton, down 2.63% month-on-month, up 131.22% year-on-year 4. Rare Gases: - High-purity helium (cylinder): Average price of 84.71 CNY/cubic meter, down 2.06% month-on-month, down 13.24% year-on-year - Bottled high-purity helium (40L): Average price of 607.14 CNY/bottle, down 0.15% month-on-month, down 7.86% year-on-year - Xenon: Average price of 20,785.71 CNY/cubic meter, down 1.02% month-on-month, down 28.33% year-on-year - Krypton: Average price of 190 CNY/cubic meter, unchanged month-on-month, down 39.68% year-on-year - Neon: Average price of 110 CNY/cubic meter, unchanged month-on-month, down 12% year-on-year [4][5]. Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Hangyang Co., Ltd. and Shaanxi鼓动力, with related stocks being Zhengfan Technology, Fostar, and Zhongtai Co., Ltd. [4][5].

产业观察 [table_Header]2026.01.25 ， 【公链技术周报】以太坊重归去信任化本源，主权 货币与高性能网络竞逐技术高地 产业研究中心 摘要：数字人民币兼容公链技术标准，以太坊或将呈现更显著的去中心化 [Table_Summary] 数字人民币兼容公链标准，以太坊与二层网络共筑去信任化基石 数字人民币智能合约支持 Solidity，技术栈向公链生态靠拢 Vitalik 展望 2026 年以太坊核心方向，重新聚焦自主权与去信任化 Vitalik 计划全面回归去中心化社交，引领数据主权叙事重构 通用 ZK-Rollup 网络 Taiko 推进 Shasta 升级，L2 去中心化迈入新阶段 ProjectEleven 斩获 2000 万美元融资，探索区块链后量子安全过渡路径 Phantom 推出嵌入式方案 PhantomConnect，大幅降低 Web3 开发者门槛 AINFT 发布 MiCA 白皮书，AI 基础设施主动寻求欧盟合规框架 上市公司深入公链共识治理，支付与 AI 赛道加速融合创新 纳斯达克上市公司 AVAXOne 部署验证节点，传统资本介入公链治理 比利时 KBC 银行通过 Bole ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural sector [6] Core Insights - Corn prices continue to rise, with a current spot price of 2,375 CNY/ton as of January 23, 2026, reflecting a weekly increase of 0.46%. The report is optimistic about the recovery of planting sentiment in the agricultural sector [4][10] - The report highlights a trend of increasing investment in the agricultural sector, with institutional investors increasing their holdings in companies like Wens Foodstuffs and Zhongxing Junye, while reducing positions in others like Noposion and New Hope [3] - The pet industry is also highlighted, with significant trends noted in pet fashion and pet-human cohabitation, indicating a growing investment in this sector. Major pet exhibitions are scheduled for March 2026, which are expected to catalyze new product launches [5] Summary by Sections Agricultural Sector - The agricultural sector's fund holdings are valued at 46.896 billion CNY, which is 0.14 percentage points below the standard industry allocation ratio, marking five consecutive quarters of underperformance [3] - The report anticipates stable to rising prices for corn and other grains, which is expected to benefit seed companies that adhere to a "quality for price" strategy [4] Livestock and Poultry - The report notes fluctuations in pig prices, with a current price of 13.1 CNY/kg, reflecting a 2.92% weekly increase. However, the annual comparison shows a decrease of 15.19% [10] - The average self-breeding and self-raising profit in the industry is reported at 43.4 CNY per head, showing a significant increase of 486.6% week-on-week [10] Pet Industry - The report emphasizes the increasing consumer investment in pets, with major exhibitions in South and North China expected to draw significant attention and new product launches from leading brands [5] - Recommended stocks in the pet sector include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Ruipubio, all of which are expected to benefit from the growing market [6] Key Company Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and valuations for key companies, with several companies rated as "Overweight," including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [39]

[Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 吴杰(分析师) | 021-23183818 | wujie3@gtht.com | S0880525040109 | | 胡鸿程(分析师) | 021-23185962 | huhongcheng@gtht.com | S0880525070011 | 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.26 本报告导读： 12 月低基数用电仍偏低，待 26 年政策发力 [Table_Industry] 公用事业 我们预计 1 月的最后一周或将是行业估值的分水岭。 证 券 研 究 报 告 投资要点： 股 票 研 究 [Table_Report] 相关报告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 行 公用事业《国泰海通公用事业月度电力数据库 _20260123》2026.01.23 公用事业《公用事业数据周报_20260119》 2026.01.19 公用事业《跨境碳定价，绿电价值或提升》 2026.01.18 公用事业《中石化与中航油实 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic factors such as monetary policy, macro expectations, geopolitical dynamics, and supply disruptions in influencing metal prices [2] - Precious metals are expected to continue their upward trend due to geopolitical events in North America, concerns over the US dollar and treasury bonds, and increased central bank gold purchases [6] - Copper prices are anticipated to remain strong due to supply disruptions in Chile and expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [6] - Aluminum prices are expected to maintain a strong performance supported by macroeconomic factors and increased production capacity [6] - Energy metals show strong demand with continuous inventory depletion, particularly lithium, despite seasonal production declines [6] Summary by Sections Supply Disruptions and Opportunities - Gold prices have risen significantly, with SHFE gold increasing by 8.00% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram and COMEX gold by 8.44% to 4,983.10 USD per ounce [9] - Silver prices have also surged, with SHFE silver up 10.62% to 24,965 CNY per kilogram and COMEX silver up 16.63% to 103.26 USD per ounce [10] Industry and Stock Performance - The SW non-ferrous metals index increased by 6.03% last week, outperforming major indices [16] - The report highlights that industrial metal prices have shown mixed performance, with copper and aluminum prices increasing while lead and zinc prices have decreased [25] Metal Prices and Inventory - Copper prices rose to 101,340 CNY per ton on SHFE, reflecting a 0.57% increase, while LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton [12] - Aluminum prices on SHFE increased by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, supported by improved production and demand [11] Macro Data Tracking - The report tracks macroeconomic indicators, including CPI and PPI, which are crucial for understanding the broader economic environment affecting metal prices [29][44] Precious Metals - The report notes that low inventory levels and expectations of liquidity easing are driving precious metal prices higher [50] - Central bank gold purchases and ETF holdings are expected to support gold prices in 2026 [6] Copper Market - Supply disruptions in Chile, including strikes at major copper mines, are expected to support copper prices [12] - The report anticipates that copper prices may experience fluctuations based on macroeconomic developments, particularly related to interest rates [65] Energy Metals - Lithium inventory continues to decline, indicating strong demand, while the market is cautious about production disruptions from key mines [13] - The cobalt sector is facing high prices due to tight raw material supply, with companies extending their operations into downstream sectors [13]

Group 1 - The report indicates that at the end of 2025, the bond market was relatively weak, with banks showing overall limited allocation to interest rate bonds across various maturities. However, entering 2026, as banks' annual KPIs were gradually determined, the volatility of deposit replacement on the liability side stabilized, leading to a gradual recovery in interest rate bonds. In the first week of the year, bank buying power significantly increased, covering various maturities, and this buying power further expanded in the middle of the month. Nevertheless, bank participation remained more structural and selective rather than a comprehensive increase [7][8][15] Group 2 - Large banks have shown an expanding allocation to government bonds, with a notable increase in purchases of policy financial bonds starting in the third week of January. The buying focus has been on 1-3Y and 7-10Y maturities, while there has been a significant increase in selling of ultra-long local bonds [8][9][10] - The allocation behavior of large banks has evolved weekly, with a strong buying momentum in the first week primarily focused on various maturities of government bonds. In the second week, the buying continued for medium to long-term government bonds, but the marginal increase in ultra-long-term allocations slowed down. By the third week, large banks began to significantly increase their buying of 1-3Y and 20-30Y government bonds, indicating a simultaneous rise in demand for both short and ultra-long maturities [8][9][10] Group 3 - Small and medium-sized banks exhibited a "front-loading and back-selling" pattern in their trading behavior for secondary interest rate bonds. In the first week of the month, these banks concentrated their buying on medium to long-term bonds, but in the last two weeks, they shifted to net selling, indicating a phase-out of their allocation to medium to long-term bonds. For local bonds, there was strong buying activity in the first week, but the buying intensity has cooled in the past week, with marginal demand weakening and trading pace slowing down [15][16][17] Group 4 - In the funding market, there has been an expansion in borrowing while lending has contracted, leading to an increase in leverage ratios across institutions. The overnight trading proportion has risen, with interbank bond market leverage ratios showing slight declines overall, while banks and insurance companies have seen slight increases in their leverage ratios [7][8] Group 5 - In the primary market, the spread between the primary and secondary prices of policy financial bonds has widened. In the past week, two 10Y National Development Bonds and two 10Y Agricultural Development Bonds were issued, with both types seeing an increase in overall multiples, although the marginal multiples have decreased [7][8] Group 6 - In the secondary market, the borrowing volume of active bonds has continued to rise. The trading activity in the cash bond market has warmed up, with differentiated trading behaviors observed among various types of institutions. Large banks have significantly bought 1-3Y and 7-10Y maturities while showing net selling in other short to medium-term bonds and net buying in ultra-long maturities. Conversely, small and medium-sized banks have shown net selling across various maturities, particularly in the 7-10Y segment [7][8][9]