执业登记编码：S0760523050001 邮箱：sunmeng@sxzq.com 商贸零售 名创优品（09896.HK） 买入-A(维持) 2025 年 11 月 24 日 公司研究/公司快报 资料来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 市场数据：2025 年 11 月 21 日 | 收盘价（港元）： | 39.220 | | --- | --- | | 年内最高/最低（港元）： | 55.000/27.050 | | 总股本（亿股）： | 12.11/12.38 | | 流通市值（亿港元）： | 474.82 | | 总市值（亿港元）： | 485.37 | 分析师： 王冯 执业登记编码：S0760522030003 邮箱：wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 2025Q3 名创国内同店销售增长提速，海外同店销售转正 事件描述 11 月 21 日，公司公布截至 2025 年 9 月 30 日止季度业绩。2025Q3，公司 实现营收 57.97 亿元，同比增长 28.2%；实现经调整净利润 7.67 亿元，同比增长 11.7%。2025 年前三季度，公司实现营收 151.90 亿元，同比增长 23.7%；实现经 调 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth potential of the electronic skin industry, projecting a market size of $756 million by 2030, driven by the demand for humanoid robots [6][7] - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape, noting that leading companies in the flexible tactile sensor market are predominantly based in Europe, the US, and Japan, holding 57.1% of the market share [6][7] - The report discusses the technological barriers in the electronic skin industry, focusing on materials, manufacturing processes, and algorithms as critical areas needing breakthroughs [6][7] Industry Overview - The electronic skin technology is categorized into five main types, with resistive, capacitive, and piezoelectric sensors being the most common [6] - The report indicates that the demand for humanoid robots is expected to drive the growth of the electronic skin market, with a long-term potential reaching trillions in the domestic humanoid robot market [6][7] - The report identifies key companies in the electronic skin sector, including Fulei New Materials, Hanwei Technology, and others, highlighting their technological advancements and market strategies [6][7] Company Analysis - The report provides an analysis of Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ), noting a revenue of 25 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.4% [8] - The company’s gross margin and net margin have shown continuous improvement, indicating a shift towards higher-end product offerings [8] - The report mentions the company's plans for an H-share listing to enhance its international strategy and financing capabilities [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation for price appreciation relative to the benchmark index [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with a 44.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 25 billion yuan, and a 90.1% increase in net profit, totaling 7.13 billion yuan [2][3]. - The company is preparing for an H-share listing to enhance its international strategy and financing capabilities, which is expected to attract overseas investors and potentially lead to a revaluation of the company's worth [2][3]. - The gross margin and net margin have shown continuous improvement, reaching 42.8% and 32.6% respectively in Q3 2025, indicating a shift towards higher-end product offerings and increased scale advantages [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 10.56 billion, 26.80 billion, and 34.44 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a strong upward trend in profitability [9][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise significantly, with projections of 9.51 yuan in 2025 and 30.99 yuan in 2027, indicating robust growth potential [11][13]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 35.9% in 2025 and 41.3% in 2027, showcasing strong profitability relative to shareholder equity [11][13]. Market Dynamics - There is a notable increase in capital expenditures from major cloud service providers, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 50% for the top five North American CSPs in Q3 2025, indicating a strong demand for the company’s 1.6T silicon photonics solutions [4][8]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated large-scale deployment of 1.6T solutions by key clients in the upcoming quarters, which is expected to drive further revenue growth [4][9]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates that the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 51.8 in 2025 to 15.9 in 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [9][11]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is also expected to decline from 18.8 in 2025 to 6.6 in 2027, further indicating potential for value appreciation [11][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "B" for the electronic skin industry, indicating a leading position in the market [1]. Core Insights - The electronic skin is a key tactile sensing system for humanoid robots, enabling them to interact with their environment through pressure and temperature sensing [13]. - The market for electronic skin is projected to reach $756 million by 2030, driven by the increasing demand for humanoid robots [4]. - The industry faces three major barriers: materials, manufacturing processes, and algorithms, which are critical for establishing competitive advantages [24][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Electronic Skin: Key to Humanoid Robot Interaction - Electronic skin mimics natural skin functions and is essential for humanoid robots to perceive their surroundings [13]. - The technology can be categorized into resistive, capacitive, and piezoelectric types, with resistive sensors being the most common in humanoid robots [2][21]. 2. Domestic Enterprises Accelerating Layout - Overseas companies dominate the high-end market, holding approximately 57.1% of the global flexible tactile sensor market share [4][41]. - Domestic companies are rapidly closing the technology gap, supported by favorable policies and manufacturing capabilities, with firms like Fulei New Materials and Hanwei Technology emerging as key players [5][46]. 3. Key Companies to Watch - Fulei New Materials has completed pilot production and is supplying small batches to leading clients in the dexterous hand sector [5]. - Hanwei Technology has established partnerships with nearly 30 robot manufacturers and is expanding its production capacity [5]. - Keli Sensor and other companies are also making strides in the electronic skin sector, focusing on multi-physical sensors and flexible tactile sensors [5][46].

研究早观点 2025 年 11 月 21 日 星期五 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,931.05 | -0.40 | | 深证成指 | | 12,980.82 | -0.76 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,564.95 | -0.51 | | 中小板指 | | 7,868.94 | -0.94 | | 创业板指 | | 3,042.34 | -1.12 | | 科创 | 50 | 1,328.19 | -1.24 | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 彭皓辰 执业登记编码：S0760525060001 邮箱：penghaochen@sxzq.com 市场走势 【今日要点】 【行业评论】煤炭：行业政策点评 2026 年电煤中长期合同点评：符合 预期，港口基准价维持不变 【山证纺服】浙江自然 2025Q3 季报点评-2025Q3 经营阶段性承压，水 上用品预计快速增长且盈利爬坡顺利 【公司评论】中恒电气(002364.SZ)：中恒电气点评-推出 800VDC 新建 和改造方案，未来增长可期 请务 ...

2025Q3 经营阶段性承压，水上用品预计快速增长且盈利爬坡顺利 2025 年 11 月 20 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司披露 2025 年三季报，2025 年前三季度，公司实现营业收入 8.18 亿元，同比 增长 3.48%，实现归母净利润 1.82 亿元，同比增长 12.06%，实现扣非归母净利润 1.41 亿元，同比下降 6.15%。 轻工制造 浙江自然（605080.SH） 买入-B(维持) 事件点评 资料来源：最闻，山西证券研究所 市场数据：2025 年 11 月 19 日 收盘价（元）： 23.88 年内最高/最低（元）： 34.88/18.53 2025Q3 营收增速由正转负，业绩延续下滑。营收端，2025 年前三季度，公司实现 营业收入 8.18 亿元，同比增长 3.48%，其中 2025Q3 营收为 1.33 亿元，同比下降 30.38%。 业绩端，2025 年前三季度，公司实现归母净利润 1.82 亿元，同比增长 12.06%，实现扣 非归母净利润 1.41 亿元，同比下降 6.15%。其中 2025Q3 归母净利润为 0.37 亿元，同 比下降 40.63 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the coal industry [1][13]. Core Viewpoints - The 2026 medium- and long-term coal supply contract plan aligns with expectations, with a slight relaxation in performance requirements. The plan continues the mechanism established in the 2022 contracts, which was a significant adjustment from the previous five-year mechanism [1][2]. - The pricing mechanism for coal contracts has been adjusted to include a monthly price adjustment mechanism for production area contracts, while the port benchmark price remains unchanged at 675 RMB/ton [3][10]. - The report suggests that with the implementation of "anti-involution" policies, the expected increase in domestic coal supply is limited, leading to a recovery in coal prices and improved performance in long-term contracts [3][6]. Summary by Sections Contract Signing Requirements - For power companies, the signing demand should not be less than 80% of the required amount, with 80% of these contracts under key regulatory oversight. For coal companies, the task volume should not be less than 75% of their own resource volume [2][10]. Pricing Mechanism - The production area contracts will now have a monthly price adjustment mechanism, with the benchmark price set based on the reasonable price range for coal production in Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia. The floating price will be determined by various indices [3][10]. Performance Supervision - The contract performance requirements have been relaxed, with monthly performance rates required to be no less than 80%, and quarterly and annual rates should generally not be less than 90%. There is an emphasis on increasing performance during peak seasons [3][10]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights several companies with significant recovery potential, including Jin控煤业, 华阳股份, 山煤国际, 兖矿能源, 陕西煤业, 中煤能源, and 中国神华 [6].

Group 1: Industry Commentary - The communication industry is seeing a potential catalyst with the upcoming release of Google's Gemini 3.0, which is expected to enhance AI computing capabilities significantly. The performance improvements noted in early tests suggest a strong demand for high-end AI chips, with a reported increase in token processing from 9.7 trillion to over 1,000 trillion, indicating a hundredfold growth in demand [5][6]. - The acquisition of Kuixin Technology by Heshun Petroleum aims to capitalize on the domestic communication interface IP market, with Kuixin's projected revenues of 193 million and 110 million yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively. The valuation for 100% equity is capped at 1.588 billion yuan, with performance commitments set for 2025-2028 [5][6]. - The chemical raw materials sector is experiencing a surge in demand for lithium battery materials, driven by the booming energy storage industry. Prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate have surged to 160,000 yuan per ton, a threefold increase from the July 2025 low of 50,000 yuan, indicating a tight supply situation that may persist until 2026 [11][12]. Group 2: Company Insights - Jinwo Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 930 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.56%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 37.34 million yuan, up 74.83% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in profitability [16][18]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 15.45% in Q3 2025, an increase of 1.03 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 3.75%, up 0.73 percentage points year-on-year. This improvement is attributed to enhanced production efficiency and material utilization [16][18]. - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with new projects expected to support future growth. The focus on innovative product lines, such as screw components and insulated bearing sleeves, is anticipated to drive revenue growth in the coming years [20][18].

| 市场数据：2025 年 11 月 | 18 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | 22.90 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | 33.85/6.93 | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | | 5.58/5.64 | | 流通 股市值（亿）： A | | 127.81 | | 总市值（亿）： | | 129.06 | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 9 | 日 30 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | 0.13 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | 0.13 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 4.34 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | 3.01 | 资料来源：最闻 分析师： 肖索 执业登记编码：S0760522030006 邮箱：xiaosuo@sxzq.com 贾惠淋 执业登记编码：S0760523070001 邮箱：jiahuilin@sxzq.com 电力电子及自动化 中恒电气（002364.SZ） 买入-B(维持) 推出 800VDC 新建和改造方案，未来增长可期 20 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the anticipated launch of Google's Gemini 3.0, which is expected to catalyze sentiment around AI computing power. The performance improvements observed during testing indicate significant advancements in commercializing large models [2][13]. - Gemini 3.0 has demonstrated impressive capabilities in various fields such as web front-end design, operating system UI simulation, and music creation, showcasing a hundredfold increase in monthly token processing from 9.7 trillion to over 1,000 trillion [3][13]. - The deployment of TPUv7 in 2026 is projected to significantly boost demand for high-end infrastructure components like PCB and optical modules, driven by the performance enhancements of the latest TPU generation [3][13]. Group 2 - The report discusses the acquisition of Kuixin Technology by Heshun Petroleum, which aims to control 51% of the company. Kuixin is positioned as a leading player in the domestic communication interface IP market, with projected revenues of 193 million and 110 million yuan for 2024 and the first half of 2025, respectively [4][14]. - Kuixin Technology's product offerings include various protocol interface IPs, and it is one of the few companies providing complete chiplet solutions in China. The acquisition is expected to ignite investment sentiment in the domestic communication interface IP sector [4][14]. - The global interface IP market is projected to reach $2.37 billion in 2024, with a 28% share of the overall IP market, benefiting from the growth in AI computing power [4][14]. Group 3 - The report identifies several key trends in the domestic AI chip market, including the shift towards chiplet architectures to manage heat and yield issues, and the importance of UCIe as the primary communication protocol for chiplets [5][15]. - The decoupling of domestic HBM particles from imported HBM IP is highlighted as a strategy to enhance performance and reduce manufacturing costs, facilitating the independent packaging of HBM modules [6][16]. - The report emphasizes the necessity of communication interface IP as a foundational technology for the growth of domestic AI chips, with significant market opportunities arising from increased chip shipments and domestic substitution rates [17]. Group 4 - The overall market performance for the week of November 10-14, 2025, showed declines across major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.18% and the Shenwan Communication Index down 4.77% [8][18]. - Among the sectors, liquid cooling and operators showed slight gains, while several individual stocks experienced significant fluctuations, with Cambridge Technology and Beishida gaining while New Yisheng and Yuanjie Technology faced notable declines [8][32].