Group 1 - The report emphasizes the need for the securities industry to enhance its service quality to better support the real economy, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" which aims to improve the adaptability and inclusiveness of the capital market [13][14] - The report highlights the importance of policy-driven reforms in the capital market, focusing on supporting technological innovation, meeting diverse investor needs, and facilitating high-level institutional openness [16][15] - The securities industry is expected to benefit from ongoing capital market reforms, with a shift from "incremental expansion" to "stock optimization," creating significant opportunities for securities firms [4][3] Group 2 - The report identifies a major shift towards long-term investment systems, with a notable increase in equity investments driven by the transfer of household wealth towards equity assets [24][25] - In 2025, the issuance of public funds reached 1,553, with equity funds seeing explosive growth, indicating a strong demand for equity investment products [25][26] - The report notes that the asset management sector is experiencing a transition towards active management, with a significant increase in the scale of asset management by securities firms [29][30] Group 3 - The report discusses the explosive growth of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the capital market, with a notable increase in the number of disclosed M&A transactions in 2025 [37][38] - It highlights the diversification of transaction mechanisms and payment methods in M&A, indicating a more innovative and efficient market environment [38][39] - The report emphasizes that leading securities firms are leveraging their full industry chain capabilities to dominate complex transactions, particularly in high-growth sectors like semiconductors and renewable energy [38][39] Group 4 - The report outlines the acceleration of internationalization in the securities industry, driven by policy support for cross-border business development and the expansion of overseas operations [41][42] - It notes that securities firms are increasingly focusing on serving domestic enterprises' overseas financing needs and facilitating international asset allocation for domestic clients [42][43] - The report indicates that both large and small securities firms are adopting differentiated strategies in their international business development, with a focus on specific regional markets [43][44] Group 5 - The report highlights a trend towards differentiation in business models among securities firms, moving from scale-driven strategies to quality-driven approaches [44][45] - It notes that while larger firms maintain a strong market position, smaller firms exhibit greater elasticity in performance during market fluctuations [44][45] - The report emphasizes the need for securities firms to enhance their operational efficiency and adapt to a low-interest-rate environment by improving their fee structures and service offerings [45][46]

研究早观点 2026 年 1 月 15 日 星期四 市场走势 资料来源：常闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 4,126.09 | -0.31 | | 深证成指 | 14,248.60 | 0.56 | | 沪深 300 | 4,741.93 | -0.40 | | 中小板指 | 8,746.68 | 0.18 | | 创业板指 | 3,349.14 | 0.82 | | 科创 50 | 1,500.91 | 2.13 | | 资料来源：常闻 | | | 分析师： 彭皓辰 执业登记编码：S0760525060001 邮箱：penghaochen@sxzq.com 【今日要点】 【行业评论】电力设备及新能源：行业周报（20260105-20260111）- 我国新增超 20 万颗卫星申请，4 月起取消光伏产品增值税出口退税 【公司评论】：新股覆盖-科马材料（920086.BJ）：-干式摩擦片领域的 国家级专精特新"小巨人" 【行业评论】【山证电新】20260114 光伏产业链价格跟踪-下游价格上 行 2019 年 2 月 21 日 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that China has submitted applications for over 200,000 new satellites, marking the largest international frequency and orbit resource application in the country's history [3]. - Starting from April 2026, the export tax rebate for photovoltaic products will be canceled, which may impact the industry dynamics [4]. - The photovoltaic power generation utilization rate for January to November 2025 was reported at 94.8%, indicating strong performance in the sector [4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Preferred Stocks - The report lists several preferred stocks with ratings: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Daqian Energy (688303.SH) - Buy - B - Fulete (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Haibo Sichuang (688411.SH) - Buy - A - Sunshine Power (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Langxin Group (300682.SZ) - Buy - B - Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) - Buy - A [2]. Price Tracking - The average price of dense polysilicon is reported at 54.0 CNY/kg, up 3.8% from the previous week, while granular silicon is at 52.0 CNY/kg, up 4.0% [5]. - The average price for 182-183.75mm N-type battery cells is 0.39 CNY/W, reflecting a 2.6% increase [6]. - The price for 182*182-210mm TOPCon double-glass modules is 0.70 CNY/W, showing a 0.3% increase [7]. Investment Suggestions - The report recommends focusing on companies in various sectors: - BC new technology: Aishuo Co., Ltd. - Supply-side: Daqian Energy, Fulete - Light storage: Haibo Sichuang, Sunshine Power - Power marketization: Langxin Group - Domestic substitution: Quartz Co., Ltd. - Additional companies to watch include Longi Green Energy, Hongdian East Magnet, and others [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within 6-12 months [46]. Core Insights - The company, Koma Materials, specializes in the research, production, and sales of dry friction plates and wet paper-based friction plates, positioning itself as a national-level specialized "little giant" in the dry friction plate sector [3][25]. - Koma Materials has established a strong market presence, entering the supply chains of leading companies such as ZF and Fast Eaton, and is actively expanding its global business [3][5]. - The automotive transmission friction materials industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the rise of new energy vehicles and stable demand in the commercial vehicle market, providing significant development opportunities for Koma Materials [4][29]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenues of 249 million yuan in 2024, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 71.53 million yuan, reflecting a comprehensive gross margin of 47.39% [3][6]. - Revenue from 2022 to the first half of 2025 showed slight fluctuations but overall growth, with year-on-year growth rates of -9.25%, -1.58%, 25.16%, and 11.37% respectively [35]. - The gross margin for the company has consistently been above the industry average, indicating strong profitability and market competitiveness [5][17]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Koma Materials operates in a niche segment of the automotive parts industry, with a market size of approximately 15 billion yuan domestically and 110 billion yuan globally, both of which are expected to grow [4][29]. - The company’s products are primarily used in manual and automatic transmission systems across various vehicle types, including passenger and commercial vehicles [25][29]. - Koma Materials has a competitive edge due to its deep technical accumulation and product performance, which has allowed it to maintain a stable customer base and expand its market share [5][26]. Valuation Analysis - The company’s estimated market capitalization post-IPO is 976 million yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.64 for 2024, which is considered relatively undervalued compared to comparable companies [7][24]. - The report highlights that Koma Materials' revenue scale is below the average of comparable companies, but its net profit ranks just below that of leading peers [14][24]. Use of Proceeds - The company plans to use the funds raised from its IPO for projects including the "Dry Impregnation Environmental-Friendly Clutch Friction Material Technological Upgrade Project" and the "R&D Center Upgrade Project," which are expected to enhance production capacity and innovation [39][40].

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4,138.76, down 0.64% [4] - The CSI 300 Index experienced a decrease of 0.60%, closing at 4,761.03 [4] Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector reported a weekly performance with the CSI 300 Index increasing by 2.79% and the agriculture sector rising by 0.98%, ranking 28th among sectors [6] - Pig prices increased week-on-week, with average prices for external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan at 13.10, 12.86, and 12.93 CNY/kg respectively, showing a mixed trend [6] - The average pork price was 17.97 CNY/kg, up 1.18% from the previous week, while the average wholesale price for piglets rose by 6.45% to 16.50 CNY/kg [6] - The self-breeding and self-raising profit margin was -11.54 CNY per head, a reduction of approximately 23.05 CNY per head from the previous week [6] - The report suggests focusing on Hai Da Group due to favorable conditions in the feed industry and its competitive advantages in the market [6] Livestock Industry Trends - The pig farming industry has entered a loss phase, prompting a new round of capacity reduction driven by market forces and policy adjustments [6] - The number of breeding sows is expected to decrease rapidly, indicating a trend towards capacity reduction in the first half of the year [6] - Companies such as Wen's Foodstuffs, Shennong Group, and New Hope are recommended for investment due to their potential recovery in fundamentals and valuations [6] Poultry Sector Developments - Shengnong Development's breeding chicken business is progressing steadily, with cost control measures leading to reduced production costs [6] - The company is enhancing its revenue structure by increasing its presence in high-value channels [6] Pet Food Market Outlook - The pet food sector is anticipated to continue growing, with increasing penetration rates in pet ownership [6] - The competition is shifting from marketing to research and supply chain efficiency, suggesting a focus on brands that prioritize R&D [6] Coal Industry Analysis - The coal market is maintaining normal production levels, with a gradual recovery in supply as coal mines resume operations [8] - The demand from downstream sectors remains limited, leading to a stable but weak market outlook [8] - Investment recommendations include companies like Yanzhou Coal Mining, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Shenhua Energy, with a focus on potential recovery in Q4 performance [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company 361 Degrees (01361.HK) [1][6] Core Insights - The company reported a healthy growth in retail sales, with a 10% year-on-year increase in offline retail sales for both the main brand and children's clothing in Q4 2025. The e-commerce platform saw a high double-digit growth in retail sales [2][4] - The company has successfully expanded its premium store count to 126 by the end of 2025, with the first overseas premium store opening in Cambodia, indicating a significant step in international market expansion [5][6] - The average retail discount for new products in Q4 2025 was approximately 7-7.1 folds, and the inventory turnover ratio remained stable at 4.5-5 months [5] Financial Performance and Projections - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be 11,367 million, with a year-on-year growth of 12.8%. The net profit is expected to reach 1,285 million, reflecting a growth of 11.9% [8][12] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are forecasted at 0.62, 0.69, and 0.76 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of approximately 8.4, 7.5, and 6.9 [6][12] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 41.5% for the forecasted years [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy" for the agricultural sector, specifically highlighting companies such as Hai Da Group, Shengnong Development, and Wen's Shares [3]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector has shown a mixed performance, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index increasing by 2.79% and the agricultural sector rising by 0.98% during the week of January 5 to January 11 [2][12]. - The report emphasizes the recovery in the pig farming industry, with a new round of capacity reduction expected. The average price of pigs has increased, and losses in pig farming have narrowed [2][22]. - The feed industry is experiencing a structural recovery, with most raw material prices at cyclical lows, and companies like Hai Da Group are expected to benefit from this trend [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Agricultural Sector Weekly Review - The agricultural sector ranked 28th among all sectors, with top-performing sub-industries including aquaculture, animal health, and poultry farming [2][12]. - Notable gainers in the agricultural sector include companies like Dahu Co. and Zhongshui Fisheries, with increases of 17.83% and 16.07% respectively [12]. 2. Industry Data 2.1 Pig Farming - As of January 9, the average price of pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan was 13.10, 12.86, and 12.93 CNY/kg respectively, with an overall average pork price of 17.97 CNY/kg [22]. - Self-breeding pig farming reported a loss of 11.54 CNY per head, a reduction of approximately 23.05 CNY from the previous week [22]. 2.2 Poultry Farming - The weekly price for white feather broilers was 7.64 CNY/kg, a decrease of 1.04% from the previous week, while the profit from broiler farming was 0.45 CNY per bird, down 23.73% [37]. 2.3 Feed Processing - The average price of fattening pig feed was 3.36 CNY/kg, remaining stable, while chicken feed prices also held steady at 3.45 CNY/kg [43]. 2.4 Aquaculture - As of January 9, the price of sea cucumbers was 120.00 CNY/kg, reflecting a 33.33% increase, while shrimp prices remained stable at 320.00 CNY/kg [49]. 2.5 Planting and Grain Processing - As of January 9, corn prices were 2,351.86 CNY/ton, showing a slight decrease of 0.18%, while soybean prices remained stable at 4,048.42 CNY/ton [58].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the coal industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal production remains normal, with a gradual recovery in coking coal supply as coal mines resume normal operations. However, seasonal demand is weak, leading to a short-term stable outlook. The report highlights the ongoing trend of "anti-involution" and anticipates performance improvement in Q4, suggesting that if prices remain high, there is still room for recovery in 2026 [6][4] Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The coal market has shown a stable performance over the past year, with specific focus on the dynamics of thermal and metallurgical coal [2] 2. Thermal Coal - The market maintains normal production and sales, with limited downstream demand. As of January 9, the reference price for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim is 701 CNY/ton, with a weekly change of +2.04%. The total coal inventory at northern ports is 24.07 million tons, reflecting a weekly increase of +6.69% [4] 3. Metallurgical Coal - The recovery of coal production is underway, with coking coal supply slightly improving. However, downstream demand remains weak, with the main focus on just-in-time inventory replenishment. As of January 9, the price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port is 1,620 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous week [5] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the thermal coal sector such as Yanzhou Coal Mining, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, China Shenhua Energy, and others. For coking coal, companies like Shanxi Coking Coal and Huabei Mining are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [6] 5. Industry Dynamics - The report tracks dynamic data in the coal industry, indicating that the coking coal market is stabilizing while steel mills are gradually resuming operations. The overall sentiment in the coal futures market is improving, with coking coal prices showing an upward trend [49][69]

Group 1: Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed positive performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4,165.29, up by 1.09% [4] - The SW textile and apparel sector rose by 2.65%, while the SW light industry manufacturing sector increased by 2.98%, indicating a general upward trend in the market [8] Group 2: Company Insights - Fast Retailing Group reported a revenue of 1,027.745 billion JPY for FY2026 Q1, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, and raised its FY2026 revenue guidance to 3,800 billion JPY, up from the previous estimate of 3,570 billion JPY [6] - Ximai Foods achieved a revenue of 1.896 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.16%, and is positioned as the leading player in the oat industry in China [15][16] - Blue Sky Technology is expected to see revenues of 2.286 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 20.6%, driven by advancements in small nucleic acid technology [17] Group 3: Industry Trends - The solar energy sector experienced a decline in new installations, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.9% in November 2025, while the cumulative installed capacity for the year reached 274.89 GW, a 33.2% increase [11] - The retail sector is witnessing a shift towards community stores, as evidenced by Walmart's expansion in Shenzhen, indicating a competitive landscape in community retail [7] - The oat industry in China is projected to exceed 10 billion CNY in market size by 2024, driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers [15]

Investment Rating - The textile and apparel industry maintains a rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the strong performance of Fast Retailing Group in FY2026 Q1, with revenue reaching 1,027.745 billion JPY, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%. The company has raised its FY2026 guidance, expecting revenue of 38,000 billion JPY, up from a previous estimate of 35,700 billion JPY, reflecting a growth of 11.7% [2][19] - Uniqlo Japan reported a revenue of 299.069 billion JPY in FY2026 Q1, a 12.2% increase year-on-year, while Uniqlo International achieved 603.863 billion JPY, marking a 20.3% growth. The report attributes this success to effective product development and marketing strategies [3][4][21] - The textile and apparel sector saw a 2.65% increase in the SW textile and apparel index, lagging slightly behind the broader market [9][23] Summary by Sections Company Performance - Fast Retailing Group's FY2026 Q1 results showed a revenue of 1,027.745 billion JPY, operating profit of 210.914 billion JPY, and net profit of 147.445 billion JPY, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 14.8%, 33.9%, and 11.7% [19] - Uniqlo Japan's revenue was 299.069 billion JPY, with same-store sales growing by 11.0% due to strong sales of autumn and winter products [20] - Uniqlo International's revenue reached 603.863 billion JPY, with significant growth in various regions, including a 34.3% increase in Europe [21] Market Dynamics - The textile and apparel sector's performance is supported by a 1.3% year-on-year increase in domestic retail sales in November 2025, with a cumulative growth of 4.0% for the year [2][53] - The report notes that the textile manufacturing sub-sector saw a 2.64% increase, while the apparel and home textile sectors also rose by 2.64% [9][23] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on brands with stable operational performance, such as Geli Si and Jiangnan Buyi, which have shown solid revenue growth and high dividend payout ratios [10] - The home textile sector is highlighted for its potential, with companies like Luolai Life and Mercury Home Textile driving growth through innovative product offerings [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption trends, recommending attention to Jin Hong Group's IP licensing business, which has shown significant revenue growth [10]