Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Views - In Q2 2025, the main brand's offline retail revenue recorded approximately 10% growth, while the children's clothing brand also saw about 10% growth. E-commerce platforms experienced around 20% growth [2][3] - The company continues to introduce new products to meet diverse consumer demands and has expanded its super stores to 49 locations, with stable inventory and discount levels [3][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue Growth - In Q2 2025, adult apparel offline revenue grew approximately 10%, children's apparel offline revenue also grew about 10%, and e-commerce revenue increased by around 20%, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous quarters [4][5] Product Development - The company is actively launching competitive new products in various categories, including running shoes and basketball shoes. Notable new releases include the FUTURE 2 and Q弹超 6 running shoes, and the 禅 7 basketball shoes [5] Channel Expansion - The number of super stores has expanded to 49, with 39 new stores opened in Q2. The stores focus on comprehensive category coverage and a one-stop shopping experience, with an expected total of 80-100 new stores for the year [5][6] Inventory and Discount Management - The inventory-to-sales ratio remains stable at 4.5-5.0, with retail discounts around 71%, showing no significant year-on-year change and a slight increase quarter-on-quarter [6] Financial Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 1.3 billion, 1.46 billion, and 1.63 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.1%, 12.2%, and 11.8% respectively. The target price is maintained at 4.7-5.4 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 7-8x for 2025 [8][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [3] Core Views - The company is a leading organic raw milk producer in China, with a fundamental reversal expected [3] - The company has obtained dual certification for organic standards from China and the EU, making it a prominent player in the organic milk market [6] - The company operates across the entire dairy value chain, from pasture planting to raw milk production and high-end liquid milk processing [6] - The high-end organic milk market is anticipated to continue expanding due to rising consumer demand for healthy food options [6] - The company benefits from a unique geographical advantage in Inner Mongolia, recognized as a prime milk source region [6] - A rebound in milk and beef prices is expected to enhance the company's fundamental performance [6] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3,383.63 million RMB - 2024: 3,126.18 million RMB - 2025E: 2,989.43 million RMB - 2026E: 3,207.90 million RMB - 2027E: 3,447.21 million RMB - The expected growth rates show a decline in 2024 and 2025, followed by a recovery in 2026 and 2027 [4] - The projected net profit for 2025 is -47.31 million RMB, with a significant recovery expected in 2026 and 2027 [4] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for 2026 is estimated at 5.51, significantly lower than the average P/E of comparable companies at 9.6 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [12] Core Views - The report highlights the scarcity of popular pure electric SUV models priced above 300,000, driven by concerns over range and charging anxiety. The company is strategically focusing on high pure electric regions and highways to accelerate the deployment of charging facilities, which is expected to enhance the sales potential of its pure electric models [3][7][10] - The new model, Mega, has seen significant success following its upgrade, indicating strong potential for future sales growth in the pure electric segment [8][10] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The penetration rate of new energy SUVs priced above 300,000 has stabilized around 45%. Monthly sales of new energy SUVs averaged approximately 78,000 units, with total sales from January to May 2025 reaching 713,000 units, a year-on-year decline of 9.7%. The decline is primarily attributed to a drop in sales of traditional luxury brands [6][17] - The share of pure electric vehicles in the new energy segment has decreased from 74.7% (2020-2022) to 31.7% (2023 to May 2025), indicating a shift towards hybrid models [6][25] Charging Infrastructure - The company has accelerated the establishment of supercharging stations, with over 2,500 stations currently operational and plans to reach 4,000 by the end of the year. This initiative aims to alleviate range anxiety for pure electric vehicles, particularly in high-demand regions like the Yangtze River Delta and the Greater Bay Area [7][33] - As of June 2025, the company has covered over 125 highways with 839 supercharging stations, leading the industry in self-built highway charging stations [7][33] Product Development - The new Mega model has been upgraded significantly, with improvements in smart driving hardware and cabin configurations. The expected stable delivery volume is projected to reach 2,500-3,000 units per month, reflecting a growth of 150%-200% compared to the previous model [8][54] - The upcoming i8 model is designed to maximize internal space and reduce maintenance costs, featuring a pure electric architecture that enhances usability compared to hybrid models [9][76] Financial Outlook - The report anticipates a new cycle for pure electric vehicles, projecting significant sales growth for the company. Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 8.3 billion, 12.4 billion, and 15.7 billion respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 25.5X, 17.1X, and 13.5X [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The company operates under exclusive licenses and is positioned as a resource integrator under a franchise framework, with a focus on global expansion [2][6] - The company is the only publicly listed tobacco company within the China Tobacco system, benefiting from strong exclusive operating barriers and actively pursuing both organic and external growth [4][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Business Overview - The company is designated as the overseas platform for China Tobacco International, responsible for capital market operations and international business expansion [4][8] - The business model is characterized by light assets, monopoly, and planned operations, leading to stable profitability [4][8] Revenue and Growth - Revenue from 2018 to 2024 is projected to grow from HKD 70.3 billion to HKD 130.7 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.9% [19] - The company’s revenue is primarily driven by the import and export of tobacco leaves, with significant contributions from cigarette exports and new tobacco products [19][22] Profitability - Net profit is expected to increase from HKD 2.6 billion in 2018 to HKD 8.5 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 21.8% [22] - The company’s profitability is enhanced by a high-margin business structure, particularly in the Brazilian operations and cigarette exports [22] Market Position - The company holds a unique position in the global tobacco market, with over 40% of the world's tobacco production and consumption occurring in China, yet the internationalization of China Tobacco remains relatively low, indicating significant growth potential [4][8] Future Outlook - The company anticipates net profits of HKD 9.0 billion, HKD 9.8 billion, and HKD 10.6 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of HKD 1.30, HKD 1.41, and HKD 1.53 [4][22] - The expected reasonable valuation range for the company is between HKD 29.83 and HKD 36.24, corresponding to a market capitalization of HKD 206 billion to HKD 251 billion [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company, LianLian Digital, is positioned as a leading cross-border digital payment platform, leveraging global licenses and stablecoin innovations to drive growth and profitability [9][11]. - The report highlights a significant revenue growth trajectory, with a projected CAGR of 22% from 2020 to 2024, and a notable improvement in net profit margins as the company transitions towards profitability [9][25]. - The regulatory environment is evolving, with new policies promoting compliance and digitalization in the payment industry, which is expected to benefit well-capitalized firms like LianLian Digital [9][33]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - LianLian Digital has established a robust global payment network since its inception in 2009, with a focus on compliance and technological innovation [15]. - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with the actual controller holding approximately 26.84% of the shares, and has implemented long-term incentive plans to attract and retain key talent [18]. - The core team possesses extensive experience in fintech, driving the company's strategic direction and operational management [21]. Industry Development - The payment industry is entering a new phase characterized by increased regulation and digital transformation, with the introduction of the "Non-Bank Payment Institution Supervision and Management Regulations" in 2023 [33][34]. - The digital payment market in China is projected to grow significantly, with total payment volume (TPV) expected to reach 354.1 trillion yuan by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 14.3% from 2022 [38]. Financial Performance and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 1.315 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 28% [1]. - The net profit is projected to turn positive in 2025, with a significant increase to 1.399 billion yuan, indicating a 932% year-on-year growth [1]. - The report suggests a P/S valuation of 8.0x for 2025 and 7.0x for 2026, reflecting the company's growth potential [9][14].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a steady growth in Q2 2025, with retail sales for the main brand and children's clothing both increasing by approximately 10%, and e-commerce sales growing by about 20% year-on-year [2] - Despite a slight slowdown in growth rates compared to Q1 2025, the company demonstrated robust online operational capabilities, achieving a 20% growth in e-commerce sales against a high base from the previous year [3] - The company continues to innovate its product offerings, focusing on technology-driven upgrades and targeting diverse market demands, with new launches in running, basketball, and lifestyle segments [4] - Brand building efforts include sponsorship of major events and collaborations with sports personalities, enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 11.62 billion, 13.35 billion, and 15.32 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 1.39 billion, 1.63 billion, and 1.87 billion yuan for the same years [7][9] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.67, 0.79, and 0.91 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 6.7, 5.7, and 5.0 [7][9] Product and Brand Strategy - The company is enhancing its product innovation strategy by launching new products across various categories, including running shoes and basketball shoes, aimed at meeting the needs of different consumer segments [4][6] - The company has opened 49 new premium stores as of June 2025, with plans for continued expansion, which is expected to drive overall sales growth [6][7] Market Positioning - The company is benefiting from a trend of consumer downgrading, with strong sales performance in its running shoe segment and increased brand recognition through strategic endorsements [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Logistics with a target price of HK$23.28 [3][9]. Core Views - JD Logistics is expected to benefit from the Chinese government's subsidy policies, leading to accelerated revenue growth in Q2 2025 [1][9]. - The expansion of the workforce to support new business initiatives may pressure short-term profit margins, with a forecasted decline in gross margin from 11.9% in Q2 2024 to 10.9% in Q2 2025 [2][9]. - The completion of the acquisition of Kuayue Express is anticipated to significantly reduce minority interests, potentially increasing the net profit attributable to shareholders by approximately 15% for the full year 2025 [2]. Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - Q2 2025 revenue is expected to grow faster year-on-year, driven by increased consumer demand for home appliances and electronics due to government incentives [1]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at RMB 205.51 billion, reflecting a 12.4% increase from 2024 [10]. Profitability - Gross margin is projected to decline to 10.9% in Q2 2025, influenced by rising labor costs from workforce expansion [2]. - Non-IFRS net profit margin is expected to decrease to 5.0% in Q2 2025, down from 5.6% in Q2 2024 [2]. Valuation - The current trading P/E ratio is 10.6 times the expected earnings for 2025, which is considered attractive compared to domestic peers [3]. - The target price of HK$23.28 suggests a potential upside of 77% from the current price of HK$13.16 [4][9]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts a steady increase in earnings per share (EPS), with estimates of RMB 1.18 for 2025, RMB 1.32 for 2026, and RMB 1.56 for 2027 [4][10]. - The expected revenue growth rates for 2025 and 2026 are 12.4% and 9.0%, respectively [10].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for China Civil Aviation Information Network (0696.HK) [10] Core Insights - China Civil Aviation Information Network (China Aviation Information) is the only GDS system in China, dominating the airline ticket booking segment. The company has a strong and stable profitability with ROE and ROIC consistently around 15%. The current PE valuation is only 11-12 times, about half of its historical average, which supports a positive recommendation [2][6] - The company has a robust cash flow with limited capital expenditure, maintaining over 10 billion in cash and equivalents, while normal annual capital expenditure is less than 500 million. The dividend payout ratio has been adjusted to 35%-45% from 30%-40%, indicating potential for increased returns to shareholders [6][49] Company Overview - China Aviation Information originated from the Civil Aviation Administration's computer center and became an independent company in 1996. It was established as a joint venture with all domestic airlines in 2000 and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2001. The company is controlled by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [5][17] - The company has evolved its products and services over decades, expanding its client base from airlines to the entire aviation industry chain, becoming the leading supplier of information technology solutions in China's aviation tourism sector [5][27] Business Model - The company operates a light asset and low leverage model, with a stable net profit margin around 30%. Following the pandemic, profitability has been recovering, with a projected net profit margin of 24% in 2024 [6][52] - China Aviation Information's booking scale is the largest globally, with over 95% market share in domestic civil aviation passenger transport and approximately 80% in cross-border passenger transport. The pricing for bookings is lower than that of overseas GDS systems, contributing to a sustainable business model [7][30] Financial Performance - The company has shown steady revenue and profit growth, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10.8% in revenue and 11.4% in net profit from 2011 to 2019. Despite the impact of the pandemic, revenue is expected to grow by 9.8% compared to 2019 levels by 2024 [39][40] - The average PE and PB ratios are 22 times and 2.3 times, respectively, reflecting the market's valuation of the company's stable and efficient business model [50][52] Future Prospects - The company is exploring auxiliary business opportunities through subsidiaries, focusing on travel finance and technology services, which have significant growth potential. The integration of AI technology may further transform the ticket agency business [8][30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7] Core Insights - The cumulative shipment of the company's "Zhengcheng" series is expected to exceed 10 million units, with over 8 million units already shipped. The company has established close partnerships with leading Tier-1 companies such as Bosch, Denso, and ZF, supporting advanced driver assistance and high-level autonomous driving solutions [5] - The HSD system, the first full-stack development of its kind in China, is designed for urban driving assistance and is expected to be integrated into strategic models of several leading OEM brands this year [6] Financial Performance and Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 35.62 billion, 55.29 billion, and 79.83 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be -1.969 billion, -0.945 billion, and 0.105 billion yuan for the same years [7][9] - The revenue growth rates are forecasted at 54%, 49%, and 55% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, while the net profit growth rates are expected to be 135%, -184%, and 52% [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to report a revenue growth of 2% year-on-year for Q1 FY26, with an adjusted EBITA margin of 16%. The revenue growth is primarily impacted by the divestiture of certain retail operations [4][6]. - The company is increasing its investment in instant retail, which is expected to pressure profits in the short term but may enhance user engagement and purchase frequency in the long term [5][23]. - Revenue forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 have been slightly adjusted upwards, while net profit forecasts have been adjusted downwards due to increased investment in flash sales [5][23]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 FY26, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of CNY 247.8 billion, reflecting a 2% year-on-year increase. The revenue growth rates for various segments are as follows: Taobao +9%, International Digital Commerce +19%, Cloud Intelligence +22%, Local Services +10%, Cainiao -5%, and Digital Entertainment +5% [4][6]. - The adjusted EBITA for Q1 FY26 is expected to be CNY 39.2 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 13% [6]. Segment Analysis - **Taobao Group**: Projected GMV growth of 6% year-on-year for Q1 FY26, with a CMR increase of 11% driven by site-wide promotions and a 0.6% contribution from service fees. The EBITA for Taobao and Local Services combined is expected to decline by 16% to CNY 40.8 billion due to increased promotional spending [11]. - **Cloud Intelligence**: Anticipated revenue growth of 22% year-on-year for Q1 FY26, driven by rising AI demand. The company continues to advance its AI initiatives, including the launch of the Qwen3 model [15][16]. - **AIDC**: Expected revenue growth of 19% year-on-year, with a slight decline in adjusted EBITA margin due to strategic decisions to enhance profitability [22]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are adjusted to CNY 1,062.3 billion, CNY 1,149.0 billion, and CNY 1,217.4 billion respectively, reflecting increases of 1.0%, 2.2%, and 0.8% [5][23]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for the same period are revised to CNY 138.8 billion, CNY 171.8 billion, and CNY 195.4 billion, with adjustments of -16.8%, -5.7%, and -2.9% respectively [5][23].