Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for CATL A/H shares with a 12-month price target of Rmb 323.00 for A-shares and HK$ 411.00 for H-shares, indicating an upside of 19.3% and 6.8% respectively [8][15]. Core Insights - The report highlights three key focuses for CATL: unit gross profit (GP) expansion, upward trend in capital expenditures (CAPEX), and progress in the US market which may enhance the total addressable market (TAM) [15][16]. Summary by Sections Earnings Preview - CATL is expected to report revenue of Rmb 104.7 billion and net profit of Rmb 15.6 billion in 2Q25, with unit GP anticipated to increase to Rmb 150/kWh from Rmb 147/kWh in 1Q25, driven by strong overseas shipments [1][41]. Unit GP Expansion - The blended battery unit GP is projected to expand due to improved product mix, with overseas EV sales in Europe showing a 28% year-over-year growth in the first five months of 2025 [1][19]. CATL is estimated to account for about 70% of Europe's battery imports from China [1][20]. CAPEX Trends - The report revises up CAPEX forecasts for 2025-2027 by 25%-5%, expecting CATL's relative CAPEX share to rise from approximately 13% in 2024 to around 24% in 2025, which is expected to drive market share gains [16][30]. US Market Progress - Recent developments regarding Ford's Michigan LFP battery factory, which utilizes CATL's technology, suggest improved market access for CATL in the US, potentially increasing its TAM [16][19]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for CATL are set at Rmb 362 billion for 2024, Rmb 436 billion for 2025, and Rmb 532 billion for 2026, with EBITDA expected to grow significantly over the same period [3][13]. EPS is forecasted to increase from Rmb 11.58 in 2024 to Rmb 22.45 by 2027 [3][13]. Market Position - CATL's market capitalization is noted at Rmb 1.2 trillion, with a strong enterprise value of Rmb 972.5 billion, indicating robust financial health and market positioning within the battery industry [3][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% within the next six months [6][18]. Core Insights - The company has issued a positive profit forecast for the first half of 2025, expecting a year-on-year increase of no less than 30% in net profit attributable to shareholders, driven by strong sales of high refractive index and functional products, as well as favorable product mix enhancing average selling prices [2][6]. - The traditional business is undergoing structural upgrades, with continuous improvement in profitability. The company is one of the few in China capable of producing 1.74 high refractive index lenses, benefiting from strong ties with upstream suppliers and significant technical barriers [4][6]. - The XR business is poised for growth, with ongoing collaborations with leading global tech and consumer electronics companies, preparing for potential mass production of AR or AI glasses [5][6]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company expects revenue growth rates of 19%, 18%, and 18% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profit growth rates of 29%, 22%, and 21% for the same years [6][8]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to increase from 0.89 in 2025 to 1.71 in 2027, reflecting a strong upward trend in profitability [8][12]. - The company’s main revenue for 2025 is estimated at 2,457 million RMB, with a net profit of 555 million RMB, indicating a robust growth trajectory [8][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for J&T Express (01519.HK) [1] Core Views - J&T Express reported a significant year-on-year increase of 66% in parcel volume in Southeast Asia for Q2, with an average daily volume of 18.5 million parcels [1][3] - The overall average daily parcel volume for the group reached 81.2 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.5% [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the strong growth of e-commerce platforms like TikTok in Southeast Asia, which is projected to reach a GMV of $128.4 billion by 2024 [1][2] - J&T Express has maintained its position as the leading express operator in Southeast Asia, with a market share of 28.6% in 2024, up 3.2 percentage points from 2023 [2][3] Summary by Sections Company Performance - In Q2, J&T Express's daily average parcel volume in Southeast Asia was 18.5 million, a 66% increase year-on-year, while the daily average volume in China reached 61.7 million, growing by 14.7% [1] - For the first half of the year, the total daily average parcel volume for the group was 76.9 million, up 26% year-on-year, with Southeast Asia showing a 57% increase [1] Market Dynamics - TikTok's e-commerce growth in Southeast Asia has been robust, with its GMV increasing from $4.4 billion in 2022 to $16.3 billion in 2023, and projected to reach $22.6 billion in 2024 [2] - J&T Express is positioned to benefit from the increasing parcel volumes driven by e-commerce growth, despite competition from platforms like Shopee and Lazada [2] Financial Projections - The target price for J&T Express is set at HKD 11.16, with the current price at HKD 8.39, indicating a potential upside of 33% [4] - Revenue projections for J&T Express are expected to grow from $10.26 billion in 2024 to $15.52 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.9% [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [4]. Core Viewpoints - The company expects a year-on-year increase of no less than 30% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025, driven by strong sales growth of high refractive index and functional products, leading to an increase in average selling prices [1]. - The company is one of the few manufacturers capable of producing resin lenses with a refractive index of 1.74, and its C2M model effectively ensures the delivery efficiency of customized glasses [1]. - The company plans to invest approximately $4 million to build an automated resin lens production line in Japan, aimed at enhancing its production capacity for high-end customized lenses and improving supply chain resilience [2]. - The new production line is expected to increase annual production capacity by 20% compared to existing facilities and will help mitigate risks associated with trade tensions between China and the U.S. [2]. - The company is actively engaging with leading global technology and consumer electronics firms in its XR (Extended Reality) business, preparing for potential mass production of AR and AI glasses [3]. - The establishment of a national-level R&D center will further strengthen the company's innovation capabilities and project management [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of no less than 271 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [1]. - Revised profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 560 million, 670 million, and 790 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 31X, 26X, and 22X [4]. Production and Supply Chain - The new Japanese production line is expected to enhance the company's ability to respond to customer needs in the Asia-Pacific region and improve overall production cost efficiency [2]. - The diversified production base is anticipated to strengthen the company's resilience against geopolitical uncertainties and currency fluctuations [2]. Research and Development - The company is committed to continuous investment in R&D, focusing on innovative products with varying refractive indices and functionalities [3]. - The establishment of an XR R&D center is part of the company's strategy to enhance its technological capabilities and foster collaboration with industry leaders [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for 康耐特光学 (02276.HK) with an expected target price of 54.5 HKD, compared to the current price of 39.90 HKD [2][4]. Core Insights - Meta has acquired approximately 3% of Essilor's shares for about 30 billion euros (approximately 252 billion RMB), indicating a focus on smart glasses and the importance of lens manufacturers in the supply chain [2]. - The report highlights the strong performance of 康耐特光学 in the first half of the year, with a projected net profit growth of over 30% year-on-year, driven by the sales increase of high-refractive index and functional products [8]. - The company is actively cultivating a second growth curve in smart glasses, collaborating with leading 3C companies, and is expected to benefit from a global market expansion [8]. Financial Summary - Projected total revenue for 康耐特光学 is expected to grow from 2,061 million RMB in 2024 to 3,554 million RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to increase from 428 million RMB in 2024 to 862 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 24.1% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 1.00 RMB in 2024 to 1.80 RMB in 2027, with a corresponding decrease in price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 36.2 to 20.2 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The report provides an in-depth analysis of the company's sustainable growth logic in the "at-home dining" market, addressing three key questions: how the scale of 10,000 stores translates into competitive barriers, how to capture opportunities in a fragmented market, and how supply chain and channel innovations create differentiated advantages [8] - The company has established a leading position with a store count of 10,150, optimizing its cost structure through a vertical supply chain [8][11] - The "at-home dining" market is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected CAGR of 20.7% from 2022 to 2027, indicating significant opportunities in lower-tier markets [8][31] - The company employs a strategy of explosive products, membership ecosystems, and channel innovations to build a competitive moat [8] Market Data - As of July 9, 2025, the company's current price is HKD 3.39, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 8,999 million [5] - The company has a retail market share of 3.0% in the "at-home dining" segment, ranking first in China [38] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 64.70 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 6.17% [16] - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 71.83 billion, RMB 80.36 billion, and RMB 90.80 billion, respectively [9] - The net profit for 2024 was RMB 2.31 billion, with forecasts of RMB 3.40 billion, RMB 3.96 billion, and RMB 4.63 billion for the following years [9] Competitive Advantages - The company has optimized its product offerings and channels, with a focus on explosive products and a robust membership system, resulting in a registered membership of 41.3 million by the end of 2024 [8][58] - The company has established six production facilities to enhance its supply chain capabilities, which helps in cost optimization and product quality [50][52] Growth Strategy - The company plans to add 10,000 new stores over the next five years, focusing on expanding into lower-tier markets [57] - The establishment of a new production base in Hainan is expected to enhance supply chain efficiency and support the company's growth objectives [57]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Views - The company benefits from the shipbuilding cycle and maintains a high dividend payout ratio, which creates a competitive moat [6][7]. - The core business is well-positioned within the shipping industry, with significant contributions from the paint business and stable financial returns from cash reserves [6][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 3,342 million HKD in 2023, 3,627 million HKD in 2024, 3,333 million HKD in 2025, 3,461 million HKD in 2026, and 3,632 million HKD in 2027, with growth rates of -16%, 9%, -8%, 4%, and 5% respectively [5]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 594 million HKD in 2023, 709 million HKD in 2024, 741 million HKD in 2025, 762 million HKD in 2026, and 802 million HKD in 2027, with growth rates of 71%, 19%, 4%, 3%, and 5% respectively [5]. - Earnings per share are expected to increase from 0.40 HKD in 2023 to 0.55 HKD in 2027 [5]. Business Overview - The company is part of the COSCO Shipping Group and operates across the shipping service industry, including paint production, ship trading agency, insurance consulting, and supply of ship equipment and parts [6][19]. - The paint business is expected to see revenue and cost improvements, contributing positively to overall performance [6][31]. - The insurance and agency businesses are stable revenue sources, benefiting from the shipbuilding renewal cycle [6][42]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is proactively entering the green methanol market, aligning with global shipping decarbonization trends [6][67]. - A joint venture for green methanol production is expected to commence operations in 2026, with an annual capacity of 200,000 tons [6][67]. Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected dividend yield of approximately 9% in 2025 [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [6][13]. Core Insights - The company has raised its annual sales target to 3 million vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 38% [7]. - In June, the company sold 236,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 42.1%, contributing to a total of 1.41 million vehicles sold in the first half of the year, up 47.4% year-on-year [7]. - The launch of the Zeekr 9X, featuring advanced technologies, is expected to enhance the company's competitive position in the market [9]. Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a market capitalization of HKD 135.24 billion and a share price of HKD 17.00 as of July 9, 2025 [2]. - Major shareholders include Holding Inc. with a 25.24% stake [2]. - The company's stock has seen a 12-month high of HKD 19.97 and a low of HKD 7.33 [2]. Sales Performance - The company achieved a significant increase in sales, with June sales reaching 236,000 units, and a total of 1.41 million units sold in the first half of the year [7]. - The sales of electric vehicles accounted for 52% of total sales in June, with the Geely brand leading the sales figures [7]. Financial Projections - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be RMB 138.4 billion, RMB 179 billion, and RMB 223 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 47%, 30%, and 24% [9][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be RMB 1.37, RMB 1.78, and RMB 2.20 for the same years [9][11]. Product Development - The Zeekr 9X is set to be the brand's flagship hybrid model, featuring a 900V high-voltage architecture and advanced battery technology [9]. - The vehicle is expected to support rapid charging capabilities and has a maximum electric range of 380 kilometers [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance relative to the market [5][6][16]. Core Insights - The company has released a positive profit forecast for the first half of 2025, expecting a year-on-year increase of no less than 30% in net profit attributable to shareholders, driven by strong sales growth of high-refractive index and functional products, which also enhances the average selling price [5][6]. - The company is focusing on product structure upgrades and has established strong manufacturing capabilities, which are expected to drive steady revenue growth and improved profitability [5][6]. - The XR business has a significant competitive advantage, with strategic partnerships, particularly with Goer, expected to unlock further business development opportunities [5][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 1,760 million RMB - 2024: 2,061 million RMB (13% YoY growth) - 2025E: 2,403 million RMB (17% YoY growth) - 2026E: 2,790 million RMB (16% YoY growth) - 2027E: 3,248 million RMB (16% YoY growth) [2][7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as: - 2023: 327 million RMB - 2024: 428 million RMB (32% YoY growth) - 2025E: 550 million RMB (31% YoY growth) - 2026E: 682 million RMB (29% YoY growth) - 2027E: 840 million RMB (24% YoY growth) [2][7]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.77 RMB in 2023 to 1.75 RMB in 2027 [2][7]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of optical lenses, with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and solid upstream and downstream partnerships [5][6]. - The smart glasses market is experiencing rapid growth, with significant sales increases expected for products like the second-generation Ray-Ban Meta, indicating a robust demand for innovative eyewear solutions [5][6]. - The company is actively expanding its domestic market presence and building its own brand, which is expected to contribute to new growth momentum [5][6].

[Table_Invest]增持 [Table_Info1] 中广核矿业(01164.HK) 建筑材料 [Table_Date] 发布时间：2025-07-10 [Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 港股公司报告 稀缺海外铀资源平台，受益铀价上行 中广核集团海外铀资源平台。公司是中国第一、全球第三大的核电集 团中广核集团下属上市子公司之一，亦是中广核集团旗下海外铀资源 开发的投、融资的唯一平台。中广核矿业是香港主板上市产量最大的 铀业集团，同时也是东亚目前唯一的纯铀业上市公司，主要业务为核 能企业使用的天然铀资源的开发与贸易。公司将抓住全球核电复苏和 天然铀需求持续增长的机遇，获取强成本竞争力的铀资源项目，致力 于成为国际一流的天然铀供应商。2024 年，公司权益资源量 3.4 万 tU， 权益产量 1324tU，全年实现营收 86.2 亿港元，净利润 3.4 亿港元。 已签订 2026~2028 关联交易合同，预期受益铀价上行。公司 6 月 3 日 公告，与中广核铀业签订销售框架协议，期限覆盖 2026 年~2028 年； 据框架协议，中广核铀业每年采购不低于 1200t 天然铀，每磅定价机 制为 ...