Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][15]. Core Views - The company has shown a robust revenue growth of 13.2% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with adjusted net profit increasing by over 40% [10][15]. - The online travel agency (OTA) segment has benefited from the booming travel demand in lower-tier markets, with OTA revenue growing by 18.4% [10][11]. - The company is focusing on improving monetization efficiency and profitability, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 17% for adjusted profits over the next three years [15]. Revenue Summary - Q1 revenue reached 4.377 billion yuan, with OTA revenue contributing significantly to this growth [10][11]. - The average revenue per user (ARPU) has increased by 25.6% year-on-year, indicating effective monetization strategies [11]. - The company has diversified its revenue streams, with transportation, accommodation, and other services growing by 15.2%, 23.3%, and 20.0% respectively [11]. Profitability Summary - The company's gross margin improved by 3.8 percentage points in Q1, driven by enhanced monetization rates in the OTA business [14]. - Sales expense ratio decreased by 2.2 percentage points, reflecting a more disciplined marketing approach [14]. - The management expects core business profit margins to improve year-on-year, supported by ongoing efficiency optimizations [14]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts adjusted net profits of 3.304 billion yuan, 3.885 billion yuan, and 4.535 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][15]. - Revenue projections for the next few years are 19.626 billion yuan in 2025, 22.329 billion yuan in 2026, and 25.331 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [5][15]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 14x in 2025 to 10x in 2027, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [15].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.43 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19%, while adjusted net profit decreased by 4.8% to 587 million yuan [1] - The gross profit margin improved to 44%, up 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased overseas revenue contribution and a higher proportion of profitable products [1] - The company is undergoing adjustments in its domestic operations while continuing to expand overseas, with a focus on enhancing store formats and optimizing its store network [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 4.43 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 2 billion yuan, marking a 21% increase year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit was 587 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 13%, down 3.3 percentage points [1] - Sales and distribution expenses increased to 23% of revenue, up 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising costs in rent, depreciation, and wages [1] Brand and Channel Analysis - The Miniso brand generated 4.1 billion yuan in revenue, a 17% increase year-on-year, with 7,488 stores at the end of Q1 2025 [2] - Domestic revenue for Miniso was 2.5 billion yuan, up 9% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 1.6 billion yuan, a 30% increase [2] - TOP TOY brand revenue surged by 59% to 340 million yuan, with a significant increase in store count [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on a channel upgrade strategy, emphasizing the opening of larger stores and enhancing the customer experience through flagship stores and themed locations [3] - Collaborations with popular IPs have led to significant sales growth in certain product categories, contributing to overall revenue [4] - The company aims for sustainable high-quality growth through strategic store network improvements and operational adjustments [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (00992.HK) [1] Core Views - Lenovo Group is expected to benefit from the development of AI, with all three major business segments showing comprehensive growth [1][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 69.08 billion USD for FY2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit of 1.38 billion USD, up 37.0% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit, with projections for FY2026 and FY2027 being adjusted upwards to 1.60 billion USD and 1.76 billion USD respectively [1][7] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - FY2024A: 56.90 billion USD - FY2025A: 69.08 billion USD - FY2026E: 74.18 billion USD - FY2027E: 79.56 billion USD - FY2028E: 84.26 billion USD - Year-on-year growth rates for FY2025A and FY2026E are 21.41% and 7.38% respectively [1][8] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - FY2024A: 1.01 billion USD - FY2025A: 1.38 billion USD - FY2026E: 1.60 billion USD - FY2027E: 1.76 billion USD - FY2028E: 1.97 billion USD - Year-on-year growth rates for FY2025A and FY2026E are 37.01% and 15.23% respectively [1][8] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - FY2025A: 0.11 USD - FY2026E: 0.13 USD - FY2027E: 0.14 USD - FY2028E: 0.16 USD [1][8] - **Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratios**: - FY2025A: 10.70 - FY2026E: 9.28 - FY2027E: 8.42 - FY2028E: 7.53 [1][8] Business Segment Insights - **Intelligent Devices Group (IDG)**: - Revenue for the fourth fiscal quarter reached 11.81 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 12.9% [7] - PC market share increased to 23.8%, with AIPC penetration expected to reach around 25% by 2025 [7] - **Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG)**: - Revenue for the fourth fiscal quarter was 4.12 billion USD, up 62.6% year-on-year [7] - Continuous profitability over two quarters, driven by increased server orders [7] - **Solutions and Services Group (SSG)**: - Revenue for the fourth fiscal quarter was 2.15 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 18.1% [7] - Significant growth in hybrid cloud service orders, with an 82% year-on-year increase [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][7][26] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 10.02 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 187.1%, primarily driven by a 162.1% increase in sales volume and product mix optimization [4][9] - The gross margin reached a historical high of 14.9% in Q1 2025, up from 8.38% for the entire year of 2024 and -1.4% in the same quarter of 2024 [5][12] - The company is expected to continue its rapid growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 66.8 billion, 99.9 billion, and 124.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 107.6%, 49.5%, and 24.5% [7][29] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net loss of 130 million yuan, significantly narrowing from a loss of 1.01 billion yuan in Q1 2024 [4][9] - The average revenue per vehicle in Q1 2025 was 114,400 yuan, with a historical low cost per vehicle of 97,400 yuan, resulting in a gross profit of 17,100 yuan per vehicle [19][29] Product Development - The new C10 model was officially launched on May 15, 2025, featuring comprehensive upgrades in electric and intelligent technology, with a price range of 122,800 to 142,800 yuan [6][24] - The B01 model, the first sedan in the B series, was unveiled at the Shanghai Auto Show in April 2025, showcasing a youthful and technological design [25][26] Future Projections - The company anticipates sales to exceed 500,000 units in 2025, with a long-term goal of reaching 1 million annual sales [26][30] - The gross margin is expected to remain between 11% and 12% for 2025, despite potential uncertainties due to changes in product mix with the introduction of the B series [30][34]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leader in the AI for Science paradigm revolution, leveraging AI and robotics to reshape chemical research and development [1][13] - The AI for Science market is projected to grow into a multi-billion dollar industry, with significant potential for the company due to its unique capabilities and market positioning [2][35] - The company has established strategic partnerships with major pharmaceutical and material companies, enhancing its revenue growth prospects [3][5] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2015 by three MIT physicists, the company has become a global leader in AI-driven chemical research, winning the Pfizer blind test competition in 2016 and assisting in the rapid development of COVID-19 treatments [1][13] - The company has over 500 scientists and technical experts and has raised significant capital from top-tier investors including Tencent, Sequoia, and SoftBank, with cash assets exceeding 6 billion HKD [1][3][27] Market Potential - The AI for Science market is expected to reach a size of approximately 1 trillion USD, with China being a fertile ground for the emergence of global leaders in this field [2][35] - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing penetration of AI in the pharmaceutical industry, with 16 of the top 20 global pharmaceutical companies as clients [1][2] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 422 million RMB in 2025, 684 million RMB in 2026, and 954 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 58.6% from 2025 to 2026 [4][3] - The company is expected to achieve profitability by 2027, with a net profit of 76 million RMB [4][3] Business Model - The company employs a unique business model that combines high-throughput experimentation with AI-driven data analysis, creating a feedback loop that enhances research efficiency [15][18] - The company has developed over 200 AI models that facilitate various aspects of drug discovery and materials research, significantly improving the speed and accuracy of these processes [18][34] Strategic Partnerships - The company has formed strategic collaborations with leading firms in both the pharmaceutical and materials sectors, which are expected to drive revenue growth and innovation [3][5] - Notable partnerships include agreements with major players like Pfizer and GCL-Poly, indicating strong market confidence in the company's capabilities [1][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.427 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.89%, slightly above the company's guidance. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 416 million yuan, down 28.9% year-on-year, primarily due to increased short-term financing costs related to the acquisition of Yonghui Superstores [7] - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 44.23%, up 0.82 percentage points year-on-year, while the adjusted net profit margin was 13.26%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year. This was mainly due to the higher revenue share from overseas direct sales, which typically has lower profit margins during the off-season [7] - Domestic MINISO revenue reached 2.49 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 9.15% year-on-year, with a net reduction of 111 stores to 4,275 stores as the company focused on optimizing store structure and upgrading the brand [7] - Overseas revenue for MINISO was 1.592 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.3%, with a net addition of 95 stores, bringing the total to 3,213 stores [7] - The TOP TOY brand achieved revenue of 340 million yuan in Q1 2025, up 58.9% year-on-year, with a net increase of 4 stores to 280 stores [7] - The company expects continued growth in both domestic and overseas markets, with adjustments made to profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 13.838 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 39.42%. For 2024A, the forecast is 16.994 billion yuan, representing a 22.80% increase, and for 2025E, it is 20.664 billion yuan, a 21.59% increase [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023A is forecasted at 2.253 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 111.48%. For 2024A, it is 2.618 billion yuan, a 16.17% increase, and for 2025E, it is 2.544 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.81% [1] - The Non-IFRS net profit for 2023A is projected at 2.357 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 109.65%. For 2024A, it is 2.721 billion yuan, a 15.44% increase, and for 2025E, it is 2.919 billion yuan, a 7.30% increase [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is 1.79 yuan per share, with a forecast of 2.09 yuan for 2024A and 2.04 yuan for 2025E [1] - The P/E ratio for the current price and latest diluted EPS is 18.51 for 2023A, 15.81 for 2024A, and 16.27 for 2025E [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 6.6% year-on-year to 27.01 billion RMB and a net profit decline of 41.9% to 1.29 billion RMB for the fiscal year 2025, with a high dividend payout ratio of 135% [5][10] - The company is focusing on improving operational efficiency and has accelerated the closure of underperforming stores while expanding its brand portfolio [10] Financial Performance Summary - For fiscal year 2025, the company reported a revenue of 27.01 billion RMB, down 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.29 billion RMB, down 41.9% year-on-year [5][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal year 2025 is 0.21 RMB, with a proposed final dividend of 0.02 RMB and a special dividend of 0.12 RMB, totaling a dividend payout ratio of 135% [5][10] - The gross margin decreased by 3.4 percentage points to 38.4%, while the operating margin fell by 3.7 percentage points to 5.9% [6][9] Revenue Breakdown - The main brand revenue (Nike + Adidas) declined by 6.1%, while other brand revenues fell by 9.9% [7] - Retail and wholesale revenues accounted for 85.3% and 14.0% of total revenue, respectively, with retail revenue down 6.8% and wholesale revenue down 5.8% [7] Store Performance - As of February 2025, the company operated 5,020 stores, a net decrease of 18.3% from the previous year, with total sales area down 12.4% but average store area up 7.2% [8] Cash Flow and Inventory Management - The company reported a 20% increase in operating cash flow to 3.76 billion RMB, with inventory decreasing by 4.5% to 6 billion RMB [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 13.449 billion in 2024, a significant increase of 25% year-on-year, primarily driven by the rising demand for electric vehicles and improvements in customer service, quality control, and production capacity [2]. - The automotive display segment is the main revenue contributor, generating HKD 12.66 billion, which is a 30% increase from 2023 and accounts for 94% of total revenue [2]. - The company holds a leading market share in the global automotive display module market, serving the top 20 automotive manufacturers in China and major international players [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at HKD 16.048 billion, HKD 18.879 billion, and HKD 21.751 billion, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 19.33%, 17.64%, and 15.21% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be HKD 516.85 million, HKD 715.32 million, and HKD 875.13 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 32.09%, 38.40%, and 22.34% [4]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 13.63 in 2024 to 5.28 by 2027, indicating an attractive valuation [4].

证券研究报告 同程旅行 (780 HK) 港股通 1Q25 业绩：仍处在利润率上行期 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 5 月 | 25 日│中国香港 | 互联网 | 同程公布 1Q25 业绩：收入 44 亿元，yoy+13.2%，基本符合 VA 一致预期 的 43 亿元（简称预期），调整后净利润 7.9 亿元，超预期 8%，主要来自于 精细化运营补贴下，产品毛利率超预期。公司持续深挖用户价值，1Q 平均 月付费用户 yoy+9.2%，并推进补贴优化和运营效率提升。4 月公司亦通过 收购万达酒店管理公司强化产业链协同，重点发展酒店管理业务作为第二增 长曲线。我们看好国内旅游的需求韧性，公司有望持续通过用户价值挖掘、 促进产业链整合获得长期收入增长和利润释放。维持"买入"评级 收入符合预期，旅游需求韧性下深挖用户价值 公司 1Q25 收入 44 亿元，yoy+13.2%，基本符合预期，拆分来看，核心 OTA 业务中，住宿/交通/其他业务相较预期分别-0.1%/+2.2%/+0.6%，各项业务 发展稳健且基本符合预期。度假业务因东南亚 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 47.00 [8] Core Insights - The company reported a Q1 revenue increase of 18.9% to RMB 4.43 billion, exceeding previous guidance of 15-18%, driven by domestic channel upgrades and inventory optimization [1] - Adjusted net profit decreased by 4.8% to RMB 590 million due to significant investments in direct stores and increased financial expenses [1] - The company is transitioning from an aggressive expansion strategy to a more refined operational approach, focusing on profitability stabilization and global business expansion [1][4] Revenue Performance - Domestic revenue for Miniso increased by 9.1%, with offline and online sales growing by 7.3% and 32.7% respectively [2] - Overseas revenue surged by 30.3%, with 95 new stores opened during the quarter, particularly in North America [2] - TopToy's revenue grew by 58.9% to RMB 340 million, with self-developed products accounting for over 40% of sales [2] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 44.2%, although it decreased by 2.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter due to seasonal effects [3] - Selling and administrative expense ratios increased by 4.4 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points to 23.1% and 5.5% respectively, primarily due to investments in direct stores [3] - Adjusted net profit margin fell by 3.3 percentage points to 13.3% [3] Strategic Focus - The company is emphasizing "high-quality growth" by enhancing store competitiveness and optimizing inventory turnover [4] - In the domestic market, the focus is on same-store sales improvement, while overseas operations are concentrating on localization and efficiency [4] - The local procurement ratio in the U.S. has reached nearly 40% to mitigate tariff risks [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down by 7.1%, 9.0%, and 9.0% to RMB 2.99 billion, RMB 3.73 billion, and RMB 4.57 billion respectively [5] - The target price is based on a 2025 PE ratio of 18x, reflecting increased uncertainty in overseas expansion [5] - The company is expected to maintain a competitive PE ratio compared to peers, with a projected PE of 29x for comparable companies [5][19]