1 聚焦民生关切与产业升级 一批国家标准2月1日正式施行 记者31日了解到，2月1日起，软件过程能力成熟度模型、5G移动通信安全、能源计量器具配备和管理、科技成果转化为标准、学生体质健康测试器材、中 小学生午休课桌椅、适老家具设计、商品条码符号放置、消费者服务、电梯安全、地震救援队伍能力等一批重要国家标准开始实施，将为引领和规范新兴产 每经编辑｜陈鹏程 张喜威 业及未来产业的发展、推动成果与标准的转化应用、保护消费者权益、保障人民群众生命财产安全提供标准支撑。（央视新闻） 2 我国成功发射阿尔及利亚遥感三号卫星B星 1月31日，我国成功发射阿尔及利亚遥感三号卫星B星。（央视新闻） 3 财政部、税务总局发布《关于明确增值税应税交易销售额计算口径的公告》 1月31日，财政部、税务总局发布《关于明确增值税应税交易销售额计算口径的公告》。其中提到，纳税人转让金融商品，以卖出价扣除买入价后的余额计 算销售额。转让金融商品出现的正负差，按盈亏相抵后的余额计算销售额。若相抵后出现负差，可结转下一纳税期与下期转让金融商品销售额相抵，但年末 时仍出现负差的，不得转入下一个会计年度。金融商品的买入价，可以选择按照加权平均法或者移 ...

Group 1: Electric Vehicle Market Insights - In December 2025, the retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 58.7%, with a year-on-year increase of 10.9% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.5 percentage points [2][6][14] - The retail sales of passenger vehicles in December 2025 were 2.27 million units, showing a year-on-year decline of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 14.7% [11][14] - BYD maintained a market share of 25% in the NEV sector, while Geely's market share decreased to 11% [22][6] Group 2: Global Market Performance - In December 2025, Southeast Asia's NEV penetration rate exceeded expectations, with a significant contribution from VinFast, leading to a month-on-month increase [3][35] - Chinese automakers exported 641,000 passenger vehicles in December 2025, with 245,000 being NEVs, resulting in a NEV penetration rate of 38.2% [3][7] - The market share of Chinese brands in Southeast Asia reached 14.7%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.8 percentage points [51][62] Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - The old-for-new vehicle replacement policy is set to be implemented in January 2026, which is expected to stimulate demand in the passenger vehicle market [2][6] - The industry anticipates a recovery in passenger vehicle demand in Q1 2026, driven by the new policy and a shift in consumer sentiment [4][6] - The focus for domestic investments is on companies less sensitive to policy fluctuations, such as JAC Motors, and those expected to see growth in the high-end electric vehicle segment, including Geely and Great Wall Motors [4][6]

以下文章来源于定焦One ，作者定焦One团队 定焦One . 深度影响创新。 来源丨定焦One（dingjiaoone） 作者丨金玙璠 编辑丨魏佳 图源丨Midjourney 一边是净利润腰斩，一边是股价创新高。 这就是特斯拉2025年的 状 况 。1月29日，其披露的2025年第四季度及全年财报 显示， 核心的汽 车业务完全失速：全年交付163.6万辆，连续第二年下滑；全球电动车销冠的宝座被比亚迪夺走；汽 车业务全年营收（695.3亿美元）同比下降10%， 毛利率跌至15.4% （ 剔除监管积分收入后 ） ， 单车毛利润为4742美元 （约合3.3万人民币） 。 马斯克在财报会上宣布，停产Model S和Model X，产品线收缩。 价格战的阴影下，特斯拉全年总收入948.3亿美元，同比下降3%； 净利润 （GAAP） 近乎腰斩，从 2024年的70.9亿美元跌至37.9亿美元。 Q4表现更加惨淡，营收249亿美元，净利润仅8.4亿美元，同比暴跌61%。 但资本市场却将特斯拉的股价推到了历史新高。从2025年年初到4月，因公司基本面承压、马斯 克"沉迷"政治，股价一度跌至221美元的低点。 但从4月马斯克 ...

Overall Market - The total market for passenger vehicles in 2025 is projected to have a production of 29.67 million units, with a retail sales figure of 23.74 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8% [9][10]. - The market share of new energy vehicles (NEV) is expected to reach 53.9% in 2025, up from 47.6% in 2024, indicating a significant increase in consumer adoption [10][12]. Submarket Analysis - The breakdown of the total market shows that NEVs will account for 12.81 million units in retail sales, representing a 17.6% increase compared to 2024 [10][12]. - The retail sales of fuel vehicles are projected to decline by 14.0% year-on-year, highlighting a shift in consumer preference towards NEVs [9][10]. Export Market - The export of NEVs is expected to grow significantly, with a total of 5.74 million units exported in 2025, marking a 19.7% increase from the previous year [16][17]. - The penetration rate of NEVs in the export market is projected to reach 42.2% in 2025, up from 27.1% in 2024, indicating a strong demand for Chinese NEVs abroad [20][22]. Manufacturer Performance - BYD is leading the NEV market with a wholesale volume of 414,784 units, although this represents a decline of 18.6% year-on-year [25]. - Tesla China ranks third in wholesale sales with 97,171 units, showing a modest growth of 3.6% [25]. - The top ten manufacturers collectively account for 71.5% of the NEV market share, indicating a high concentration in the industry [25][26]. Vehicle Type Segmentation - In 2025, the retail sales of sedans, MPVs, and SUVs are projected to be 12.26 million, 1.30 million, and 10.18 million units respectively, with NEVs showing a positive growth trend across all categories [30][31]. - The retail sales of fuel vehicles in the sedan category are expected to decline by 30.3%, while NEVs in the same category are projected to grow by 2.6% [30][31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the passenger car sector, particularly in the context of the new vehicle replacement policy and the resilience of exports [2][3]. Core Insights - The passenger car industry experienced a significant decline in retail sales in December 2025, with a year-on-year drop of 16% and a total retail volume of 227,000 units. The wholesale volume was 279,000 units, reflecting a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year [7][10]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 58.7% in December 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [10][12]. - The report highlights the stability of the NEV market, with BYD holding a market share of 25% and Geely at 11% in December 2025 [16]. Electric Vehicle Data Tracking - The report indicates that the old-for-new vehicle replacement policy was implemented in January 2026, which is expected to stimulate demand in the passenger car market [2][3]. - In December 2025, the NEV wholesale volume was 156,300 units, with a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [12]. - The report notes a significant inventory reduction in the passenger car sector, with a total decrease of 69,000 units in December 2025, including 43,000 units of NEVs [13]. Globalization Data Tracking - The report tracks the performance of Chinese car manufacturers in international markets, noting that in December 2025, 641,000 passenger cars were exported, with 245,000 being NEVs, resulting in a penetration rate of 38.2% for NEVs [3][43]. - The report highlights the strong performance of BYD in exports, particularly in Southeast Asia, where the NEV penetration rate exceeded expectations [3][27]. - The market share of Chinese brands in various regions, including Southeast Asia and Europe, showed positive trends, with notable increases in the UK market [38][40].

Core Insights - The Chinese automotive industry has shown impressive growth, with production and sales reaching 34.53 million and 34.40 million units respectively in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4% and 9.4% [1] - New energy vehicle (NEV) sales reached 16.49 million units, achieving a penetration rate of 47.9% [1] - Major automakers have set ambitious sales targets for 2026, amidst challenges from policy changes, technological advancements, and global competition [1] Company Targets - Geely aims for a sales target of 3.45 million units in 2026, up 14% from 2025's 3.025 million units, with 64.3% of sales coming from NEVs [4] - Changan targets 3.3 million units, with NEV sales projected at 1.4 million units, reflecting a 26.2% increase [5] - Dongfeng Group's target is 3.25 million units, a 31.45% increase from 2025, with NEVs making up 52% of sales [6] - Great Wall Motors aims for 1.8 million units, a 36% increase, focusing on NEV and export markets [6] - BYD's projected sales for 2026 are between 5 million and 5.5 million units, with a growth rate of 8.5% to 19.5% [6] New Entrants and Growth - New entrants like Leap Motor and Hongmeng Zhixing are targeting sales of 1 million units, with significant growth rates of over 67% [7][9] - Leap Motor's sales target is 1 million units, up from 596,600 units in 2025 [9] - Hongmeng Zhixing is expected to reach between 1 million and 1.3 million units, with a growth rate of 70% to 120% [11] Industry Trends - The penetration rate of NEVs is expected to exceed 60% in 2026, driven by policy support and technological advancements [12] - The export model is shifting from "complete vehicle export" to "localized production and full industry chain layout," with significant growth in NEV exports [13] - The competitive landscape is transitioning from price wars to value-driven strategies, with a focus on technological innovation [15] - Market concentration is increasing, with leading brands capturing a larger market share, while weaker brands are likely to exit the market [15] Challenges and Uncertainties - The market faces uncertainties due to policy changes, such as the reduction of NEV purchase tax, which may affect consumer purchasing behavior [16] - Economic recovery is slower than expected, impacting consumer spending and demand for traditional vehicles [17] - Trade barriers and compliance risks are increasing for Chinese automakers expanding overseas, necessitating a balance between global operations and local compliance [17] Conclusion - The Chinese automotive market in 2026 is poised for significant transformation, emphasizing the shift towards NEVs and smart technologies, while navigating various uncertainties and competitive pressures [19]

今天特斯拉CEO马斯克在财报电话会议上宣布将停产Model S和Model X。 据报道，马斯克表示"现在是时候让Model S和Model X项目光荣退役了，因为我们正真正迈向以自动驾驶为核心的未来"，特斯拉将在下个季度正式停产 Model S和Model X车型，正将加州弗里蒙特工厂的Model S和Model X生产线替换为Optimus生产线，同时特斯拉也会继续为现有车主提供支持，"只要车主 还在用车的话。" 作为补充，特斯拉Model S于2012年推出，被外界普遍认为是第一款真正让电动汽车走向主流、获得广泛认可的车型，Model X则于2015年推出，不知道大 家平时在路上有没有见到过~ 另外，今天是奔驰140周年，各大车企官方微博也纷纷送上了生日祝福。（"奔驰140年"旨在纪念1886年1月29日卡尔·本茨递交奔驰一号专利申请这一历史 时刻） 梅赛德斯-奔驰 · 26-1-29 09:48 发布于 上海 来自 微博网页版 感谢这份懂我的祝福♥从底特律到斯图加特,"打破秩序"的我们从不独行。为了创 造下一个ICON，咱们一起大步奔驰下去！ #奔驰140年＃#跨越140年的热爱 # @凯迪拉克 ▽ ...

超7000亿资金撤离宽基ETF，"国家队"减持了多少？监管层对市场过热"精准降温"？ 开年以来，宽基ETF市场呈现"冰火交织"的局面，交易额持续火爆，资金却在悄然撤离。Wind数据显 示，截至1月26日，股票型ETF年内日均成交额2427亿元，同比实现翻倍，多只宽基ETF成交额刷新历 史纪录。另一边，宽基ETF却遭遇大规模赎回，年内净流出规模累计达7382亿元。多只宽基ETF出现明 显资金流出。第一财经根据定期报告计算，仅9只重点宽基ETF的基金份额就较中央汇金等"国家队"去 年底的持仓份额减少近870亿份，这一变动也坐实了"国家队"年初的减持动作。 美国将在中东举行空军战备演习 负责中东地区美军行动的美军中央司令部27日发布声明说，其第九航空队将举行一场为期数天的空军战 备演习，以展示其在中央司令部责任区内快速部署、分散部署和持续作战的能力。声明说，此次演习旨 在增强军事装备和人员的分散部署能力，强化区域伙伴关系，并为在中央司令部责任区内执行灵活应对 行动做好准备。 演习期间，美军将向多个应急地点部署小分队，并在小型、高效支援保障支持下，验证快速部署、执行 任务和撤离流程。 美元突然崩了！创四年新低，特朗普 ...

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is experiencing a promotional wave of "7-year low-interest" financing plans, driven by government policies aimed at boosting consumer spending and sales before the Lunar New Year [2][5]. Group 1: Promotional Trends - Multiple automakers, including Tesla, Xiaomi, Xpeng, Li Auto, Geely Galaxy, and Lantu, have launched "7-year low-interest" financing options, breaking away from the traditional 1-5 year loan terms [1][5]. - The promotional period for these financing plans is limited, primarily from January to February 2026, aimed at increasing sales volume [6]. Group 2: Financing Details - The financing plans vary significantly among automakers in terms of lending institutions, down payment requirements, and annualized interest rates [6][7]. - Tesla offers a minimum down payment of 14% with an annualized interest rate as low as 0.98% for certain plans, while other brands like Li Auto have higher rates, reaching up to 4.69% [3][7]. - The down payment requirements range from 0% for Lantu to over 25% for Tesla, indicating a wide disparity in accessibility for consumers [6][7]. Group 3: Consumer Impact - The extended loan terms reduce monthly payment burdens, making it easier for consumers to afford new vehicles, but they also lead to higher total interest payments over the loan's duration [10]. - For example, a Xiaomi YU7 financed over 7 years results in a total interest payment of approximately 14,252.28 yuan, compared to a higher monthly payment with a shorter loan term [10]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The introduction of these financing options is a response to consumer demand for lower upfront costs and monthly payments, particularly before the Lunar New Year [2][5]. - However, concerns about vehicle depreciation and the long-term viability of such financing options exist, especially given the rapid technological advancements in electric vehicles [13][14]. Group 5: Risk and Regulation - Financial institutions face increased risk management challenges due to the longer loan terms and lower down payments, necessitating more stringent consumer assessments [19][20]. - The approval process for "7-year low-interest" loans is more rigorous, with banks requiring higher credit qualifications compared to shorter-term loans [20][21].

而究其金融创新本质，车企集体加码长期低息政策，是对当前市场低迷态势的主动应对。乘联分会秘书 长崔东树日前表示，新能源车辆购置税免税政策年末到期本应催生抢购潮，但全国多数省市以旧换新补 贴资金池告罄，形成政策优惠的对冲效应；加之多地置换更新补贴政策密集调整，进一步强化了消费者 的观望情绪，使得2025年12月车市未能呈现传统"翘尾效应"。 乘联分会数据显示，2025年12月全国乘用车零售226.1万辆，同比下降14.0%。而2026年开年市场依旧疲 软，1月1至18日零售量仅67.9万辆，同比降幅扩大至28%，较上月同期下降37%。其中新能源车市场同 样承压，同期零售31.2万辆，同比下降16%，较上月同期大幅下滑52%。 不过，这一促销模式背后也暗藏多重行业隐忧。有车企人士指出，长期低息本质是车企通过贴息让利， 以25万级车型为例，七年低息政策的累计贴息成本可能达到3至6万元，对于利润微薄的中小车企而言， 相当于吞噬10%至15%的单车利润，且长期贷款模式会占用企业大量现金流，仅具备规模效应与直营体 系的头部品牌能够有效摊薄成本。而从市场影响来看，超长期分期可能透支未来消费需求，导致后续市 场出现阶段性回落， ...