2025年12月24日 星期三 Z 1 隔夜市场 美股三大指数集体收涨，均录得日线4连涨，纳指涨0.57%，标普500指数涨0.45%，道指涨0.16%，其中，标普500指数录得收盘新高；大型科技股多数上 涨，英伟达涨超3%，谷歌、亚马逊涨超1%，Meta、苹果、微软、奈飞小幅上涨；特斯拉、英特尔小幅下跌；诺和诺德涨超7%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌 0.58%，中概股多数下跌，小马智行跌3%，蔚来、金山云跌超2%，哔哩哔哩跌近1%；阿里巴巴微涨。 12月23日，商务部新闻发言人就美针对无人机领域增列"不可信供应商清单"事答记者问。商务部新闻发言人表示，美方以所谓"国家安全"为由，将所有外国 生产的无人机系统及其关键零部件等列入"不可信供应商清单"，中方对此坚决反对。近年来，美方不顾中美两国企业开展正常商业交易和贸易往来，不顾中 美两国业界的强烈呼声，一再泛化国家安全概念，动用国家力量打击包括中国企业在内的他国企业，这是典型的市场扭曲和单边霸凌做法。中方敦促美方停 止错误做法，立即撤销有关措施。若美方继续一意孤行，中方将坚决采取必要措施，坚定维护中国企业的正当权益。 3 外交部：中方将坚决维护中国企业和公民的正当 ...

Group 1 - The public fund annual report for 2025 is expected to show that over 90% of actively managed equity funds achieved positive returns, with 39 funds doubling their net value [1] - In December, stock ETFs saw a net subscription of over 400 billion shares, with broad-based ETFs attracting significant investor interest, totaling a net inflow of 11.137 billion yuan [1] - Analysts predict a "new capital influx" in 2026 for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, driven by both domestic and foreign investments, reflecting improved funding expectations [1] Group 2 - The Shenzhen stock market has seen over 1,100 disclosed mergers and acquisitions this year, with a total value of 553.7 billion yuan, marking a 54% and 55% year-on-year increase respectively [2] - The trend of "industrial mergers and new productive forces" is evident, with 80% of major asset restructurings being industrial mergers, particularly in sectors like semiconductors and information technology [2] - Companies are increasingly using various strategies to avoid delisting, focusing on substantial improvements rather than technical maneuvers, as regulatory scrutiny intensifies [2] Group 3 - The artificial intelligence sector is experiencing a wave of IPOs, with companies like Zhiyu and MiniMax preparing to list, indicating a critical juncture for capitalizing on AI technologies [3] - The AI industry is projected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan in scale by 2025, with a growth rate of 24%, although challenges remain regarding high costs and low returns [3] - China's largest offshore oil field, Bohai Oilfield, has achieved a record production of over 40 million tons of oil equivalent in 2025, contributing significantly to national energy security [4] Group 4 - Zhiyu has released its new flagship model GLM-4.7, achieving top performance in various benchmarks, indicating advancements in AI capabilities [4] - Geely Automobile has completed the privatization of its subsidiary, Zeekr, which will now be fully integrated into the group's financial statements [4] - Blue Arrow Aerospace has completed its IPO counseling for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, indicating readiness for public listing [5] Group 5 - Four companies, including HeRun Electronics, have initiated IPO counseling, signaling ongoing interest in capital market participation [6] - Trina Solar has won a bid for a 240MW distributed photovoltaic project, showcasing its competitive position in the renewable energy sector [7] - JunDa Co. has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Shangyi Optoelectronics to explore applications of perovskite battery technology in space energy [7] Group 6 - ST Dongtong has received a decision for stock delisting, with its shares entering a delisting transition period, reflecting ongoing challenges in the A-share market [8][9] - Tianpu Co. has completed a tender offer, resulting in a significant increase in share control, indicating strategic consolidation efforts [10] Group 7 - Traders are heavily betting on U.S. Treasury options, anticipating a drop in the 10-year yield to 4%, reflecting market sentiment regarding future interest rates [11] - U.S. stock indices have collectively risen, driven by technology stocks, with significant gains in companies like Tesla and Nvidia, indicating a strong market performance [11] - Demand for U.S. Treasury auctions has been weak, leading to increased yields, while commodities like gold and silver have reached historical highs [12]

二、宏观经济与市场分析 纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨0.53%，阿特斯涨10.62%，Tims中国涨7.01%，中进医疗涨5.94%。 一、上市公司重要公告 吉利汽车在港交所公告，极氪私有化交易已于2025年12月22日完成，极氪已转变为公司间接全资附属公 司，其财务业绩将继续全部并入集团综合财务报表。 商务部新闻发言人就安世半导体问题表示，中国政府已采取措施对合规民用芯片出口予以豁免，闻泰科 技与安世荷兰负责人上周举行首轮协商并同意继续沟通；指出问题根源是荷政府对企业经营的不当行政 干预，呼吁荷方撤销行政令、推动前高管撤诉，以恢复全球半导体产供链。 三、外围市场与关联资产 周一（12月22日）美股三大指数收涨，道指涨0.47%，纳指涨0.52%，标普500指数涨0.64%；大型科技 股多数上涨，美光涨超4%，甲骨文涨超3%，英伟达、特斯拉涨超1%，苹果、奈飞、英特尔跌超1%。 商务部新闻发言人就安世半导体问题表示，中国政府已采取措施对合规民用芯片出口予以豁免，闻泰科 技与安世荷兰负责人上周举行首轮协商并同意继续沟通；指出问题根源是荷政府对企业经营的不当行政 干预，呼吁荷方撤销行政令、推动前高管撤诉，以恢复全球半 ...

美光科技、特斯拉创历史新高 大型科技股涨跌不一，美光科技涨超4%创历史新高，安森美半导体涨超2%，特斯拉、英伟达涨超1%，谷歌、亚马逊、Meta小幅上涨；英特尔、奈飞跌 超1%，苹果、微软小幅下跌。 当地时间12月22日（周一），降息预期提振市场，美股三大指数集体收涨，标普500指数涨0.64%，抹去12月以来的跌幅，有望连续第八 个月上涨，势创2018年以来最长月度连涨纪录，纳指涨0.52%，道指涨0.47%。 美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰（Stephen Miran）最新表示，除非美联储明年继续降低利率，否则美国将面临经济衰退的风险。米兰在接受采访时说道："如果我 们不下调政策立场，我认为确实会面临风险。"并补充称，他并不预期短期内会出现经济下行，但失业率上升应当促使美联储官员继续降息。 特斯拉收高1.56%。周一盘中，特斯拉股价一度上涨至498.83美元，创盘中历史新高。分析认为，特斯拉股价近期飙升的部分原因是该公司CEO马斯克取 得了一项重大的法律胜利。 特拉华州最高法院上周恢复了马斯克2018年的薪酬方案，该薪酬方案一度价值560亿美元。该法院表示，2024年驳回该薪酬方案的裁决并不恰当，对马斯 克来说是 ...

纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨0.58%，热门中概股中，阿特斯太阳能收涨10.7%，爱奇艺涨近3%，小马智 行、携程、亚朵、晶科能源、名创优品、汽车之家涨超1%，哔哩哔哩涨1.57%，京东、阿里巴巴涨近 1%。 格隆汇12月23日｜美股三大指数集体收涨，标普500指数涨0.64%，纳指涨0.52%，道指涨0.47%。大型 科技股涨跌不一，特斯拉、英伟达涨超1%，谷歌、亚马逊、Meta小幅上涨；英特尔、奈飞跌超1%，苹 果、微软小幅下跌。第一太阳能涨超6.6%，创2024年6月份以来收盘新高。花旗集团涨近3%，股价创17 年多新高。 ...

特斯拉股价创历史新高。 当地时间12月22日， 美股三大指数集体高开，截至发稿，道指涨0.25%，纳指涨0.63%，标普500指数涨0.5%。 其中，特斯拉盘中一度涨超3.5%，股价最高至498.82美元/股，创历史新高。截至发稿，公司总市值超过1.64万亿美元。 | 498.820 | TSLA[特斯拉(TESLA)] 493.889 2.64% | | | | | | | | | | | 3.66% | 李田 | 493.960 | 41 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 派 | 493.880 | 78 | | 492.947 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2.44% | 现价 | | 493.960 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 涨幅 | | 2.65% (12.760) | | 487.073 | | | | | | | | | | ...

据周一发布的声明，埃里森已同意为其子大卫.埃里森担任首席执行官的派拉蒙提供404亿美元股权融资 的个人担保，用于支持派拉蒙提出的1084亿美元收购华纳兄弟的方案。埃里森还承诺不撤销埃里森家族 信托。派拉蒙确认，埃里森家族信托持有约11.6亿股甲骨文普通股，且该信托的所有重大负债均已公开 披露。此外，派拉蒙还将监管反向终止费从50亿美元提高至58亿美元。 周一盘前，华纳兄弟探索公司(WBD.US)上涨4%，报28.88美元。消息面上，派拉蒙天空之舞(Paramount Skydance,PSKY.US)修订了对该公司的收购要约，在维持每股30美元现金报价不变的情况下，新增甲骨 文(ORCL.US)董事长拉里.埃里森的个人财务担保，以期击败奈飞(NFLX.US)的竞争性报价。 ...

据周一发布的声明，埃里森已同意为其子大卫·埃里森担任首席执行官的派拉蒙提供404亿美元股权融资 的个人担保，用于支持派拉蒙提出的1084亿美元收购华纳兄弟的方案。埃里森还承诺不撤销埃里森家族 信托。派拉蒙确认，埃里森家族信托持有约11.6亿股甲骨文普通股，且该信托的所有重大负债均已公开 披露。此外，派拉蒙还将监管反向终止费从50亿美元提高至58亿美元。 智通财经APP获悉，周一盘前，华纳兄弟探索公司(WBD.US)上涨4%，报28.88美元。消息面上，派拉蒙 天空之舞(Paramount Skydance, PSKY.US)修订了对该公司的收购要约，在维持每股30美元现金报价不变 的情况下，新增甲骨文(ORCL.US)董事长拉里·埃里森的个人财务担保，以期击败奈飞(NFLX.US)的竞争 性报价。 ...

Market Overview - The US dollar index experienced a decline followed by a rebound, initially dropping below the 98 mark due to mixed non-farm data and fluctuating inflation expectations, but later recovered as US Treasury yields stabilized [1] - Gold prices maintained a high volatility pattern, attempting to breach the $4,350 to $4,370 range but failing to hold, indicating profit-taking at high levels [1] - Silver outperformed gold, reaching historical highs and showing a nearly 130% increase this year, although volatility increased significantly at these levels [1] - International oil prices continued a downward trend, influenced by concerns over oversupply and potential peace agreements in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with prices hitting a four-year low before a slight rebound [1] US Stock Market - The US stock market showed significant divergence and increased volatility, initially pressured by technology stocks but rebounding mid-week due to individual stock performance and improved risk appetite [2] - Despite a collective rise in major indices on Thursday due to favorable inflation data, the overall trend for the week remained one of consolidation with structural market characteristics evident [2] Investment Bank Insights - Goldman Sachs predicts gold prices will soar to $4,900 per ounce by December 2026, while also expressing a bearish outlook on oil prices and favoring copper as the preferred industrial metal [5] - ANZ Bank suggests that in a bullish scenario, gold prices could exceed $5,000 per ounce by 2026, while Standard Chartered anticipates new highs for gold prices in the same year [5] - Morgan Stanley expects a slowdown in gold price increases next year, with silver lagging behind [5] Economic Data and Federal Reserve Outlook - Recent US economic data revealed a stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll increase, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021, indicating a cooling labor market [6] - The November CPI data was below expectations, with overall CPI at 2.7% and core CPI at 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021, leading to increased market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January [6] - Federal Reserve officials displayed differing views on monetary policy, with some advocating for aggressive rate cuts while others suggested a more cautious approach [7] International Central Bank Actions - The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, marking the first increase in 11 months and the highest level in 30 years, indicating a shift towards tightening monetary policy [9] - The Bank of England lowered its key interest rate from 4% to 3.75%, the lowest in nearly three years, amidst internal policy disagreements [11][12] - The European Central Bank maintained its deposit rate at 2%, while raising inflation and economic growth forecasts for the coming years [12] Corporate Developments - Warner Bros. Discovery's board rejected a hostile takeover bid from Paramount, citing concerns over the financing structure and risks associated with the proposal, while supporting a merger agreement with Netflix [24]

Group 1 - The chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, Wu Qing, emphasized the importance of implementing the "14th Five-Year Plan" for the capital market, focusing on risk prevention, strong regulation, and promoting high-quality development [1] - The State Administration for Market Regulation is pushing for a comprehensive rectification of "involution-style" competition to foster a market order characterized by quality and fair pricing [2] - The Ministry of Commerce has approved some general license applications for rare earth exports, indicating progress in export control policies [4] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce expressed strong opposition to the European Commission's investigations into several Chinese companies under the Foreign Subsidies Regulation, highlighting concerns over discrimination against foreign investment [5] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association did not provide a forecast for the next year's new installed capacity, which is unusual for the annual conference, reflecting a cautious outlook for the industry [6] - Honda announced a temporary shutdown of its GAC Honda plant due to supply chain issues, specifically semiconductor shortages, which continues to impact production [7] Group 3 - Trump Media and Technology Group is merging with a fusion energy company backed by Alphabet, with a deal valued at over $6 billion, aiming to build large fusion power plants to meet energy demands driven by AI [8] - The U.S. stock market saw a collective rise in major indices, driven by favorable inflation data, with the Dow Jones increasing by 0.14% and the Nasdaq by 1.38% [9] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.97%, with several Chinese concept stocks experiencing gains, indicating a positive sentiment in the market [10] Group 4 - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs announced the implementation of export license management for steel products, aimed at enhancing monitoring and quality control [11] - OpenAI launched an application directory feature within ChatGPT, allowing users to access various third-party applications without downloads, which could impact the tech industry [12]