戴德梁行
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戴德梁行:二季度北京写字楼租金降幅收窄 外资加速布局境内REITs市场
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 08:04
Office Market - In Q2, Beijing's office market saw no new supply, maintaining a total stock of 13.68 million square meters, with a net absorption of 39,677 square meters in the city and -3,984 square meters in the five core business districts [2] - The rental market experienced a 2.3% month-on-month decline to RMB 221.94 per square meter, while the five core business districts saw a 2.6% decline to RMB 257.58 per square meter, indicating a narrowing of the rental decline trend [2] - The vacancy rate decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 16.9% compared to the end of 2024, with a half-year net absorption of 194,000 square meters, up 2.5% year-on-year [2] Retail Market - The retail market in Beijing added three new projects, contributing 200,000 square meters of quality retail space, bringing the total stock to 1.686 million square meters [4] - Five new quality retail projects are expected to be added in the second half of the year, providing over 500,000 square meters of retail space, with a focus on suburban new builds and traditional business district upgrades [4] - Policies supporting the retail market's upgrade include the "Beijing Fashion Consumption Expansion Action Plan," which aims to enhance market consumption potential through upgrades and brand introductions [4] Capital Market - Foreign investment in China's public REITs market has significantly increased, reflecting long-term confidence in Chinese assets [5] - The first foreign-initiated consumption REIT, with a total scale of approximately RMB 2.8 billion, was reported by Huaxia Fund, including assets from Guangzhou and Changsha [5] - The establishment of foreign projects is expected to enhance market confidence in public REITs and attract more quality assets [5] Industrial Market - The industrial park market in Beijing is experiencing a phase of supply increase and structural demand changes, particularly in the biopharmaceutical sector [6] - Short-term supply-demand imbalances are leading to sustained downward pressure on rental prices, with operators shifting towards a "service + ecosystem" competitive landscape [6] - Long-term potential demand is anticipated from the development of high-tech industries and innovation in Beijing [6]
二季度北京购物中心存量升至1686万平方米
Bei Jing Ri Bao Ke Hu Duan· 2025-07-07 08:03
Group 1: Office Market Insights - In Q2, Beijing's office market saw a continued narrowing of rental declines, with no new supply entering the market, maintaining a total stock of 13.68 million square meters of Grade A office space [1] - Lease renewals accounted for 29.2% of total leasing transactions in the quarter, with the TMT sector leading new leases at 55%, followed by professional services at 13.1%, and finance at 10.9% [1] - The vacancy rate is expected to continue decreasing in the second half of the year due to ongoing market absorption, with no new supply anticipated until 2026-2028, when approximately 1.8 million square meters will be introduced [1] Group 2: Retail Market Developments - The retail market in Beijing added 200,000 square meters of quality retail space from three new projects, bringing the total shopping center stock to 16.86 million square meters [2] - Ongoing renovations and upgrades are being supported by government policies, with several projects like the Beijing Huadong New Chenhui and Beijing Shuang'an Mall completing regional upgrades [2] - Five new quality retail projects are expected to add over 500,000 square meters of retail space in the second half of the year, focusing on suburban developments and traditional shopping area upgrades [2]
汽车行业打头阵 欧洲外资仍是长三角制造业重要投资方
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-07-06 14:06
Core Insights - In Q2 2023, Shanghai emerged as a favored destination for foreign investment in manufacturing projects, with a total of 51 foreign manufacturing and R&D projects signed in the Yangtze River Delta region [1][4] - European investments remained significant, with 35 projects, predominantly from Germany, while Japan, the US, and Singapore also contributed [1][2] - Key investment sectors included automotive, healthcare, and equipment manufacturing, with a notable concentration of projects in Shanghai [1][2] Group 1: Investment Trends - The total number of foreign manufacturing investment projects in the Yangtze River Delta saw a slight year-on-year decline, but European project numbers increased steadily [2] - Major foreign companies, such as Roche and Lexus, have chosen to invest in Shanghai, indicating strong confidence in the local market [2] - Specific projects include Roche's investment of 2.04 billion yuan aimed at enhancing its supply chain and local production, and Lexus's new energy project expected to be completed by 2026 [2] Group 2: Sector Focus - The automotive sector accounted for 14 projects, with 9 located in Shanghai, reflecting a trend towards concentration in major cities [1][2] - The healthcare sector saw 10 projects, while equipment manufacturing also attracted 10 projects, highlighting these as key areas for foreign investment [1] - Other sectors, including electronics, chemicals, and new materials, contributed an additional 17 projects, showcasing a diverse investment landscape [1]
琶洲领跑!二季度广州写字楼租赁活跃,市场租金跌幅收窄
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-05 23:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates a recovery in the leasing market for Grade A office spaces in Guangzhou during the first half of 2025, with increased inquiry and viewing activity compared to the end of 2024 [1] - The supply of Grade A office spaces in Guangzhou slowed down in Q2 2025, with only one new project delivered, leading to a total stock of 6.937 million square meters [1] - The net absorption in the city recorded 152,000 square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 13.3%, while the vacancy rate increased by 0.9 percentage points to 19.8% [1] Group 2 - In terms of regional performance, Haizhu District's Pazhou became the most active leasing area in Q2, with a vacancy rate decreasing by 1.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 3.6 percentage points year-on-year to 23.2% [1] - The average rent for office spaces in the city decreased by 1.4% to 123.5 yuan per square meter per month, with the decline narrowing by 3.3 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] - The TMT sector led the leasing demand with a 30.2% share of the total leased area, followed by the financial sector at 16.8% and trade and retail at 16.3% [2] Group 3 - The report highlights the potential of emerging business districts, particularly Guangzhou International Financial City, where infrastructure improvements are attracting financial institutions to establish headquarters [2] - The establishment of a conducive office environment in new business districts is expected to enhance market attention and resource attraction [2]
戴德梁行:上半年深圳甲级写字楼供应延后 缓解空置率上行压力
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-04 09:44
Group 1: Office Market Overview - In the first half of 2025, Shenzhen saw a new supply of 235,000 square meters of Grade A office space, which was below market expectations, leading to a total stock of 8.605 million square meters [1] - The vacancy rate for Grade A office space in Shenzhen increased by 1.2 percentage points to 27.8% by the end of Q2 2025, indicating a slight upward pressure on vacancy rates due to delayed supply [1] - The demand for office leasing is influenced by external uncertainties and structural pressures during the transition period of new and old economic drivers, resulting in weak incremental demand [1] Group 2: Rental Trends and Market Dynamics - To attract and retain tenants amid fierce competition, property owners are lowering rents and offering more diversified services to enhance tenant experience [2] - The average rent for Grade A office space in Shenzhen decreased by 5.3% to 160.1 yuan per square meter per month by the end of Q2 2025, reflecting ongoing downward pressure on rental prices [2] - The net absorption of Grade A office space in Shenzhen reached 68,000 square meters in the first half of 2025, supported by price advantages [2] Group 3: Retail Market Insights - The retail market in Shenzhen experienced a strong supply in the first half of 2025, with 303,000 square meters of new quality shopping centers, increasing the total stock to 7.477 million square meters [2] - The average rent for premium shopping centers in Shenzhen fell by 2.4% to 761.6 yuan per square meter per month by the end of Q2 2025, while the overall vacancy rate rose by 1.2 percentage points to 9.1% [2] Group 4: Transaction Trends and Investment Opportunities - In the first half of 2025, the total transaction volume for office properties in Shenzhen reached nearly 8 billion yuan, primarily driven by self-use buyers, indicating active self-use demand [3] - The market for large transactions in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area showed significant fluctuations, with the average transaction price dropping to 500 million yuan, shifting demand towards lower total price assets [3] - Investors are increasingly interested in stable commercial projects with clear operational improvement potential, as well as logistics assets in the Greater Bay Area [3] Group 5: Future Outlook and Strategic Insights - Market participants are encouraged to leverage favorable policy nodes, such as interest rate cuts and priority policies, to identify investment opportunities in clearly defined sectors [4] - The emergence of new economic infrastructure, particularly in artificial intelligence and biomedicine, is expected to attract investment, with data center investments returning to the spotlight [4] - The focus on commercial and urban infrastructure, along with opportunities arising from domestic demand growth and industrial transfer, will be critical for future investment strategies [4]
戴德梁行:成交回暖 香港楼价有望触底回升
news flash· 2025-07-04 07:42
戴德梁行:成交回暖 香港楼价有望触底回升 金十数据7月4日讯,戴德梁行执行董事及香港研究部主管邓淑贤表示,预计2025年香港住宅市场价格波 幅将在-3%~3%之间。邓淑贤表示,2025年的3月至5月期间,香港住宅物业市场总成交量回升至每月 5,000宗以上,这主要得益于房地产发展商积极推出新盘的策略,同时投资者积极入市的反应也带动了 香港住宅物业市场的回稳。对此,她进一步表示,戴德梁行估算2025年第二季度内,香港住宅物业的成 交量环比上升约30%至15,900宗。 ...
戴德梁行:深圳零售市场供应端表现亮眼,优秀科技企业涌现带来新需求
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-03 16:33
Group 1: Office Market Overview - In the first half of 2025, Shenzhen saw a new supply of 235,000 square meters of Grade A office space, bringing the total stock to 8.605 million square meters [1] - The net absorption of Grade A office space in Shenzhen reached 68,000 square meters in the first half of the year, driven by the demand from high-tech industries and headquarters-type properties [2] - An additional 1.22 million square meters of Grade A office space is expected to be available by the end of the year, with projections indicating that total stock could exceed 10 million square meters by the end of 2027 [2] Group 2: Retail Market Performance - The retail market in Shenzhen experienced a significant supply increase, with 303,000 square meters of new quality shopping centers introduced, raising the total stock to 7.477 million square meters [3] - Major contributors to the new supply included K11 ECOAST and Luohu Yitian Holiday Plaza, while new developments like Taizi Bay招商花园城 and PA MALL are enhancing the shopping experience [3] - Over the next three years, approximately 1.264 million square meters of quality shopping centers are planned to enter the market, with a significant portion located in the western districts [3] Group 3: Buyer Trends in Office Market - In the first half of the year, the total transaction volume for office properties in Shenzhen reached nearly 8 billion, primarily driven by self-use buyers, indicating strong demand for self-use office space [4] - Notable self-use buyers include listed companies and state-owned enterprises such as BOE Technology Group and Guotai Junan, which have been active in acquiring office buildings for their own operations [4] Group 4: Future Market Outlook - Market participants are encouraged to leverage favorable policy conditions, such as interest rate cuts, to identify investment opportunities in clearly defined sectors [5] - The rise of new economic sectors is expected to keep infrastructure investments in focus, particularly in data centers and the biopharmaceutical sector, which are anticipated to attract significant investment [5]
“金汤匙”难揽消费客 上海网红商场直面流量退潮挑战
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-07-03 14:54
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by popular shopping malls in Shanghai, particularly 恒基·旭辉天地 and 爱琴海购物公园, in maintaining customer traffic after their initial popularity, highlighting the need for strategic adjustments and differentiation in a competitive retail environment [1][6]. Group 1: 恒基·旭辉天地 - 恒基·旭辉天地 has seen a decline in customer traffic and high vacancy rates in its underground levels, with one-third of shops in the first underground level vacant [2]. - The management of 恒基·旭辉天地 is undergoing a strategic upgrade to enhance its brand mix, focusing on introducing outdoor sports, pet-related businesses, and unique dining options, achieving an overall leasing rate of over 90% [2][3]. - The mall aims to differentiate itself by creating immersive lifestyle experiences and hosting engaging events to attract diverse customer groups [3][7]. Group 2: 爱琴海购物公园 - 爱琴海购物公园's outdoor section, known as "新华红星广场," has a lower occupancy rate compared to its indoor section, with many shops on higher floors remaining vacant [4]. - The management of 爱琴海购物公园 has not provided detailed responses regarding its operational status, indicating potential challenges in addressing customer traffic issues [5]. - The competition from nearby shopping centers, such as 凯德晶萃广场 and 中海环宇荟, adds pressure on 爱琴海购物公园 to maintain its customer base [2]. Group 3: Retail Market Competition - The retail property market in Shanghai is highly competitive, with new shopping centers expected to open, adding over 883,000 square meters of supply by 2025, which may intensify market pressure on existing malls [6]. - The emergence of new attractions, such as the LV "路易号," is drawing significant customer interest, further challenging older shopping centers to retain their appeal [6]. - Industry experts emphasize the need for shopping malls to redefine their positioning and enhance their offerings to regain customer traffic in the face of increasing competition [7].
戴德梁行:上半年深圳甲级写字楼净吸纳量6.8万平方米 市场需求结构趋向多元化
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-07-03 13:22
Core Insights - The performance of Shenzhen's Grade A office market in the first half of 2025 shows a new supply of 235,000 square meters, which is below market expectations, leading to a total stock of 8.605 million square meters [1] - The vacancy rate for Grade A offices in Shenzhen slightly increased by 1.2 percentage points to 27.8% by the end of Q2 2025, indicating a temporary easing of upward pressure due to delayed supply [1] - Average rental prices for Grade A offices decreased by 5.3% to 160.1 yuan per square meter per month compared to the end of last year, driven by competitive pressures [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The delayed supply of new office projects has led to a temporary reduction in vacancy rate pressures, with many projects postponing their launch due to intense market competition [1] - The net absorption of Grade A office space in Shenzhen reached 68,000 square meters in the first half of 2025, supported by price advantages that facilitated the absorption of new and existing properties [1] Market Trends and Projections - By the end of 2027, the total stock of Grade A offices in Shenzhen is expected to exceed 10 million square meters, intensifying competition and further driving down office costs [2] - The composition of tenants in Grade A offices is anticipated to diversify, with an increasing proportion of emerging industries and operational businesses [2] Transaction Activity - In the first half of 2025, the total transaction volume for office properties in Shenzhen reached nearly 8 billion yuan, primarily driven by owner-occupiers, indicating sustained demand for self-use office space [2] - The market is seeing increased interest in industrial and commercial assets, with listed companies and state-owned enterprises being the main players in transactions [2] Renovation Costs - Despite rising renovation costs in major cities across the Asia-Pacific region, the growth rate has slowed down, with renovation costs for foreign enterprises in Shenzhen projected at approximately 4,200 yuan per square meter in 2024 [2]
戴德梁行:上半年上海大宗市场成交不足往年一半
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-07-02 15:00
Core Insights - The report by JLL indicates that the Shanghai bulk property market recorded a total transaction value of 15.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with 37 transactions completed, reflecting a significant year-on-year decline to less than half of the previous year's level [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable divergence between domestic and foreign investors in the bulk property market, with domestic investors showing strong resilience and achieving a record share of total transactions [1] - Foreign investors are strategically reducing their holdings, leading to accelerated turnover of quality assets at discounted prices, creating new investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Investor Behavior - Self-use buyers continue to focus on office and research properties, with notable transactions including BFC's acquisition of three plots and Le Xin Technology's purchase of R&D properties in Zhangjiang [1] - Investment buyers exhibit polarized strategies, with non-institutional investors completing significant transactions like the West Lake Joint Venture's acquisition of the Jinglai Fang project, while institutional investors seek value recovery in distressed assets and stable cash flow properties [1] Group 3: Property Types and Trends - Office and research properties maintain the highest transaction share at 31%, although this is a decrease from the previous year, while apartments have gained traction with a 27% share due to ongoing public market support [2] - Commercial properties are frequently traded, with nearly 50% of transactions occurring through judicial auction channels, highlighted by the Chenghuangmiao Square's record auction price of 1.209 billion yuan [2] - Hotel asset transactions are characterized by smaller, high-quality projects, with three transactions in the 100 million to 300 million yuan range, all acquired by private investors [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - JLL anticipates that discounted office projects held by foreign funds will continue to transact, potentially increasing the share of office properties in the second half of the year [2] - The low-interest environment in China is expected to provide favorable financing conditions for domestic buyers, encouraging them to capitalize on market opportunities [2] - Shanghai is accelerating its development as an international economic, financial, trade, shipping, and technological innovation center, with policies aimed at optimizing the business environment and enhancing industry support [2]