新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-18 俄罗斯货源并不被普遍认可 流动货源仍相对偏紧 市场要闻与重要数据 期货行情： 2025-06-17，沪铜主力合约开于 78640元/吨，收于 78570元/吨，较前一交易日收盘0.03%，昨日夜盘沪铜主力合约 开于 78,600元/吨，收于 78,560 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘上涨0.04%。 现货情况： 铜：谨慎偏多 总体而言，本周国内长单价格仍在谈判之中，现货TC价格仍处于低位，不过下游精铜杆企业反馈订单持续走低。 未来需求展望仍存较大不确定性。但在地缘因素复杂，美联储持续存在降息压力的情况下，铜品种的类贵金属属 性或许也会从中受益。故操作上目前仍然建议以逢低买入套保为主，买入区间在77,000元/吨至77,500元/吨。 套利：暂缓 期权：short put @ 77,000元/吨 据 SMM 讯， 昨日SMM 1#电解铜现货对当月2507合约报升水180-升水300元/吨，均价报价升水240 元/吨，较上 一交易日涨210元/吨；SMM1#电解铜价格为78620~78810 元/吨。早盘，沪期铜2507合约窄幅波动，于78420-78560 元/吨波动； ...

Core Insights - Hudbay Minerals Inc. has resumed operations at the Snow Lake mine in Manitoba after evacuation orders were lifted due to a wildfire crisis [2][7] - The company is prioritizing gold zones at the Lalor mine and expects the New Britannia gold mill to reach full production this week [3][7] - Hudbay Minerals has pledged over $2 million in support for wildfire relief, including $1.6 million for evacuated employees and $500,000 to the Canadian Red Cross [4][7] Company Operations - Operations at the Snow Lake mine were temporarily suspended on June 4, 2025, due to advancing wildfires [2] - The company is on track to meet its 2025 annual guidance for Manitoba, driven by strong performance in the Snow Lake mine [3] Community Support Initiatives - Hudbay Minerals is working with local communities to assist employees and neighbors in returning to the region [4] - The company has secured accommodations for evacuated employees and their families and has deployed external firefighters [5] - A community Relief Donations Fund has been established, with the company contributing $2 for every $1 donated by employees [5] Stock Performance - Hudbay Minerals' shares have increased by 11.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 1% [6]

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2025-06-13 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 | 板块 | 关注指数 | | --- | --- | | 纯碱 | ★★★★ | 纯碱：趋势仍偏弱。近期纯碱供应端 5 月减产的装置逐步复产，在需求端玻璃行业持续弱势 导致采购积极性较差，纯碱库存逐步攀升。纯碱库存开始小幅攀升，市场压力加大，部分厂 2025-06-13 所长 早读 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 2 今 日 发 现 美国 5 月 PPI 环比温和上涨，核心通胀降至近一年新低， 年内两次降息预期恢复 观点分享： 6 月 12 日，美国劳工统计局公布，美国 5 月 PPI 同比 2.6%，预期 2.6%，前值 2.4%； 美国 5 月核心 PPI 同比 3.0%，创下 2024 年 8 月以来的最低水平，预期 3.1%，前值 3.1%； 环比来看，5 月 PPI 环比仅上涨 0.1%，低于经济学家预期的 0.2%。核心 PPI 同样仅上涨 0.1%，其中商品价格(不含食品和能源)上涨 0.2%，服务价格上涨 0.1%。同日，美国劳工部 公布的数据显示，美国 6 月 7 日当周首次申请 ...

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2025-06-12 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 2025-06-12 所长 早读 今 日 发 现 美国 5 月 CPI 同比 2.4%，核心 CPI 环比 0.1% 观点分享： 6 月 11 日美国劳工统计局公布，美国 5 月 CPI 数据全线低于预期：总体 CPI 环比仅上涨 0.1%，不及预期的 0.2%，4 月增幅为 0.2%；CPI 同比小幅上涨 2.4%，符合预期，4 月为 2.3%；扣除波动较大的食品和能源核心 CPI 环比 0.1%，不及预期的 0.2%，较 4 月的 0.2% 有所放缓；同比 2.8%，不及预期的 2.9%，4 月为 2.8%，保持在 2021 年 3 月以来的最低水 平。能源主导整体 CPI 的放缓，汽车、服装价格均出现下滑，玩具、家电受关税影响更直接 的品类价格上涨。数据公布后，市场加大对美联储降息的押注，基本预计今年将降息两次， 利率互换显示交易员预计美联储在 9 月份前降息的可能性为 75%。在美国众议院筹款委员会 的听证会上，贝森特称通胀数据"非常好"（fantastic），并将其归功于特朗普的政策。在 白 ...

Report Date - The report is dated June 12, 2025 [1] Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content Core Views - The report provides daily views and strategies for various futures commodities, including metals, energy, agricultural products, etc., with different trends such as price fluctuations, range - bound trading, and upward or downward trends [2] Summary by Commodity Metals - **Copper**: Inventory reduction restricts price decline. The Shanghai copper main contract closed at 79,290 yuan with a daily increase of 0.52%, and the LME copper 3M electronic disk closed at 9,647 dollars with a decline of 0.80%. China's 1 - 5 month cumulative import of copper ore and concentrates increased by 7.4% year - on - year [5][7] - **Aluminum**: Need to pay attention to the progress of Sino - US negotiations. The Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 20,250 yuan. Alumina is expected to run weakly, with the Shanghai alumina main contract closing at 2,895 yuan [8] - **Zinc**: Short - term oscillation, with attention to inventory. The Shanghai zinc main contract closed at 22,140 yuan with an increase of 1.35%. LME zinc inventory decreased by 1,975 tons [11] - **Lead**: Range - bound trading. The Shanghai lead main contract closed at 16,845 yuan with a decline of 0.21%. LME lead inventory decreased by 4,500 tons [14] - **Tin**: Stopped falling and rebounded. The Shanghai tin main contract closed at 265,530 yuan with an increase of 0.80%. The SMM 1 tin ingot price increased by 4,800 yuan compared to the previous day [18] - **Nickel**: The reality support and weak expectation are in a game, and the nickel price oscillates. The Shanghai nickel main contract closed at 121,790 yuan. Stainless steel: Negative feedback leads to increased production cuts, and the steel price is range - bound. The stainless steel main contract closed at 12,600 yuan [22] Energy and Chemicals - **Carbonate Lithium**: Macroeconomic expectations are volatile, and the fundamentals remain weak. The 2507 contract of carbonate lithium closed at 61,680 yuan [28] - **Industrial Silicon**: The fundamentals are weak, and the upside space is limited. The Si2507 contract of industrial silicon closed at 7,560 yuan. Polysilicon: The spot is weak, and the disk has a downward drive. The PS2507 contract of polysilicon closed at 34,255 yuan [31] - **Iron Ore**: Expectations are volatile, and it oscillates within a range. The futures price closed at 707.0 yuan with an increase of 1.22% [34] - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: Affected by macro - sentiment, they are in wide - range oscillations. The RB2510 contract of rebar closed at 2,991 yuan with an increase of 0.67%, and the HC2510 contract of hot - rolled coil closed at 3,108 yuan with an increase of 0.78% [37] - **Silicon Ferrosilicon and Manganese Silicon**: Silicon ferrosilicon is in wide - range oscillations due to production cuts in major producing areas. The silicon ferrosilicon 2507 contract closed at 5,298 yuan. Manganese silicon is weakly oscillating as overseas miners' quotes decline. The manganese silicon 2507 contract closed at 5,472 yuan [41] - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Coke is in wide - range oscillations. Coking coal is in wide - range oscillations as safety inspections become stricter. The JM2509 contract of coking coal closed at 783.5 yuan with a decline of 0.19%, and the J2509 contract of coke closed at 1,356 yuan with an increase of 0.52% [46] - **Steam Coal**: Demand is yet to be released, and it is in wide - range oscillations. The ZC2507 contract of steam coal had no trading on the previous day [51] - **Rubber**: Oscillating. The rubber main contract closed at 13,890 yuan during the day session [61] - **Synthetic Rubber**: Supported by strong crude oil, it is in short - term oscillations. The main contract of synthetic rubber (07 contract) closed at 11,225 yuan [65] Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: There are large differences in pressure from the origin, and it is grinding the bottom in oscillations. The palm oil is in a state of range - bound trading with a focus on the pressure from the origin [58] - **Soybean Oil**: The driving force is temporarily weak, and it is in range - bound trading. The soybean oil is currently in a range - bound state with limited driving factors [58] - **Soybean Meal**: Due to good weather and a decline in US soybeans, the Dalian soybean meal rose first and then fell. The soybean meal market was affected by the weather and US soybean prices [60] - **Soybean**: Due to the expectation of provincial reserve sales, the futures price declined. The soybean market was influenced by the expectation of provincial reserve sales [60] - **Corn**: Oscillating strongly. The corn market shows a relatively strong oscillating trend [62] - **Sugar**: Consolidating at a low level. The sugar market is in a low - level consolidation phase [64] - **Cotton**: Continuing to be affected by market sentiment. The cotton market is still under the influence of market sentiment [65] - **Egg**: The negative impact of the plum - rain season has been released, waiting for the confirmation of chicken culling. The egg market is waiting for the impact of chicken culling after the plum - rain season [67] - **Live Pig**: Still waiting for the confirmation of the spot market. The live pig market is awaiting the performance of the spot market [68] - **Peanut**: Pay attention to the spot market. The peanut market requires attention to the spot price [69]

铜周报：基本面支撑，铜价仍存韧性 2025-6-9 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 汪国栋 执业编号：F03101701 投资咨询号: Z0021167 张 桓 执业编号：F03138663 咨询电话：027-65777106 01 主要观点策略 02 宏观及产业资讯 03 期现市场及持仓情况 目 录 04 基本面数据 供给端：当前铜矿加工费处于历史低位，铜矿供应持续偏紧。截至6月6日，铜精矿进口粗炼费为-43美元/吨，4月底以来进口铜精 矿粗炼费（TC）持续位于持稳于-43美元/吨左右。5月电解铜产量113.83万吨，环比增加1.12%，同比增加12.86%，国内精炼铜产量 稳定增加。 需求端：旺季过后下游需求转淡，截至6月5日，SMM电解铜制杆周度开工率环比下滑至74.87%，环比下滑1.03个百分点，铜价运 行依然坚挺，压制下游备货欲望。淡季来临市场预期悲观，下游铜管、铜板带开工率下滑，铜箔企业开工率小幅增长。 库存：截至6月6日，上海期货交易所铜库存10.74万吨，周环比1.52%。截止6月5日，国内铜社会库存14.88万吨，较节前5月29日 累库1.01万吨，环比 ...

2025 年 06 月 09 日 铜：美元回升，限制价格上涨 季先飞 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012691 jixianfei015111@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 铜基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪铜主力合约 | 78,930 | 0.97% | 78620 | -0.39% | | | 伦铜3M电子盘 | 9,671 | -0.38% | - | - | | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | 期 货 | 沪铜主力合约 | 128,281 | 64,186 | 204,118 | 11,095 | | | 伦铜3M电子盘 | 15,603 | -11,986 | 288,000 | 5,236 | | | | 昨日期货库存 | 较前日变动 | 注销仓单比 | 较前日变动 | | | 沪铜 | 32,278 | 591 | - | - | | | 伦铜 | 132,400 | -5,600 | 58.76% | -1.60% ...

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Copper Futures Daily Report - Date: June 6, 2025 - Research Team: Non-ferrous Metals Research Team - Researchers: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [1][2] Group 2: Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Group 3: Core Viewpoint - The internal and external fundamentals are still favorable for copper prices. It is recommended to buy copper on dips [7] Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Shanghai copper fluctuated in a narrow range, with the total open interest decreasing by 4,040 lots to 552,000 lots. The spread structure on the disk continued to narrow, and the spot premium also fell to 90. The inventory is expected to continue to decline, and the low inventory will support the absolute price and spread of Shanghai copper. The LME inventory is also continuously declining, and the spot in the LME market is also becoming tight. It is recommended to buy copper on dips [7] Group 5: Industry News - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that by 2035, the copper supply gap will reach 30% in the "stated policy scenario", and this gap will widen to 35% in the "accelerated production scenario" and exceed 40% in the "net-zero emissions scenario". The main reasons for the copper supply gap are the decline in ore grade, the increase in capital costs, the limited resource discovery, and the long delivery time [10] - Canadian mining companies Hudbay Minerals and SSR Mining have temporarily suspended operations at their respective mines due to approaching wildfires. Hudbay has suspended operations at its Snow Lake mine in Manitoba, which produced 7.7 million pounds of copper in Q1, accounting for 7.2% of the company's total output. It has also suspended exploration activities in the Flin Flon and Snow Lake areas [10][11] - On June 4, the review meeting of the copper concentrate bonded blending project at the Jingtang Port Area of Tangshan Port was held. The acceptance team unanimously decided to pass the on-site acceptance. After the project is fully put into operation, it can carry out 800,000 tons of copper concentrate blending per year [11]

Core Insights - Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. reported its operating and financial results for Q1 2025, highlighting progress in its royalty portfolio and various asset updates [1][2]. Company Highlights - The company recognized revenue from royalty and stream interests of $1.7 million, with a net loss of $0.7 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $0.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025 [5]. - Metalla accrued a total of 628 attributable Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) during the quarter, with an average realized price of $2,855 per GEO and an average cash cost of $11 per GEO [5][54][55]. Asset Updates - **Tocantinzinho**: G Mining Ventures reported Q1 2025 gold production of 36 Koz, with production guidance reaffirmed at 175 to 200 Koz for the year [3][4]. - **Wharf**: Coeur Mining reported Q1 production of 20.5 Koz gold, with full-year guidance maintained at 90-100 Koz [7][8]. - **Aranzazu**: Aura Minerals confirmed a 10-year mine life and projected average annual production of 28.1 million pounds of copper, 25.2 Koz of gold, and 652 Koz of silver [10][11]. - **La Guitarra**: Sierra Madre commenced underground mining at the Coloso mine, which has higher grades than the initial mining front [13][15]. - **Endeavor**: Polymetals reported that redevelopment activities are on schedule, with first ore processing expected in May 2025 [19][20]. - **Côté-Gosselin**: IAMGOLD completed 12,000 meters of drilling at the Gosselin deposit, with plans for further drilling in 2025 [21][22]. Financial Performance - The company generated an operating cash margin of $2,844 per attributable GEO from various royalty interests [5]. - Adjusted working capital as of March 31, 2025, was reported at $11.768 million, reflecting a strong liquidity position [59]. Future Outlook - Metalla's diversified portfolio and ongoing exploration and development activities across its assets position the company for potential growth in the upcoming commodities cycle [50].

Core Insights - Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. reported quarterly earnings of $0.55 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.50 per share, and showing an increase from $0.36 per share a year ago, representing a 10% earnings surprise [1] - The company achieved revenues of $470.41 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13.36%, compared to $296.81 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Wheaton Precious Metals shares have increased approximately 51% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a -4.3% decline in the S&P 500 [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.50 on revenues of $406.12 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.06 on revenues of $1.71 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Wheaton Precious Metals is favorable, leading to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Mining - Miscellaneous industry, to which Wheaton Precious Metals belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Another company in the same industry, HudBay Minerals, is expected to report a quarterly earnings decline of -31.3% and revenues of $521.22 million, down 0.7% from the previous year [9][10]