春节前最后几个交易日，A股有色金属板块上演了一出惊心动魄的"过山车"行情。 从2026年1月底开始，板块指数在短短7个交易日内急跌了约15%。 这场巨 震的直接导火索，是市场对美联储未来政策的预期发生了180度大转弯。 1月30日，美国总统特朗普提名前美联储理事凯文·沃什为下一任美联储主席。 沃什在市场上素有"鹰派"标签，他主张在降息的同时大幅缩减美联储的资产负 债表。 这个消息让原本期待持续宽松流动性的资金措手不及，市场迅速下调了降息预期。 贵金属对利率政策最为敏感，于是黄金、白银价格率先大跌。 这就像推倒了第一块多米诺骨牌，恐慌情绪迅速蔓延，前期获利丰厚的资金开始集中抛售， 导致整个有色金属板块跟随回调。 更复杂的是，期货交易所为了防范风险，上调了交易保证金，迫使很多高杠杆的投机资金被动平仓，进一步放大了下跌 幅度，形成了一种"下跌、触发止损、再下跌"的踩踏循环。 那么，在这轮泥沙俱下的调整中，那些行业龙头公司到底跌得怎么样了？ 它们的回调是到位了，还是仍在半山腰？ 我们选取了有色金属领域的十家代表性 龙头，从它们具体的回调数据、核心竞争力以及近期的主力资金动向，来逐一观察。 首先看紫金矿业。 这家公司是 ...

Group 1: Overall Market Performance - Over 270 companies on the Shanghai Stock Exchange have issued positive performance forecasts for 2025, indicating a robust outlook for the market [1] - Nearly 60% of companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board have reported year-on-year profit growth, showcasing the dual dimensions of quality and quantity in the economic trajectory of China [1] Group 2: Nonferrous Metals Industry - The nonferrous metals industry is experiencing a boom driven by resource prices and industrial upgrades, with industrial added value growth of 6.9%, surpassing the national average [2] - The total profit for ten major nonferrous metals reached 528.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, marking a historical peak [2] - Leading companies like Zijin Mining are expected to see significant profit increases, with projected net profits of 51 to 52 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 59% to 62% [2] Group 3: Electronic Industry - The electronic industry is witnessing growth driven by AI demand, with companies like Huaqin Technology expected to achieve revenues of 170 to 171.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.7% to 56.1% [4] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 87% to 98%, benefiting from rising sales and improved product structure in the copper-clad laminate sector [4] - Companies are leveraging AI advancements to enhance their product offerings, with firms like Rockchip expected to see revenue growth of 71.97% to 85.42% [5] Group 4: Sci-Tech Innovation Board - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board is showing strong innovation momentum, particularly in the integrated circuit and biopharmaceutical sectors, with a projected net profit increase of approximately 99.49 billion yuan across 87 companies [6] - Companies in the AI chip sector are expected to see revenue growth exceeding 100%, with significant improvements in profitability [6] - The biopharmaceutical industry is transitioning towards commercialization, with notable collaborations and product approvals driving growth [6]

Market Analysis - The A-share market is experiencing a consolidation phase, with the technology sector leading the gains. On February 12, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05% to 4134.02 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.86% and the ChiNext Index by 1.32%. The total trading volume for the day was 2.16 trillion yuan, compared to 2 trillion yuan the previous day [6][7]. - The technology sector is showing strong performance, particularly in AI computing concepts, with companies like Dazhi Technology recording four consecutive trading limits. Additionally, the resource sector is also on the rise, with small metal concepts seeing gains due to a decrease in Indonesia's nickel production quota for 2026 [7][8]. Currency and Policy Impact - The continuous strength of the RMB is driving the spring market rally, with the USD/CNY exchange rate breaking through 6.9. This upward trend in the RMB is contributing to a relatively strong market, despite a decrease in trading volume as the Chinese New Year approaches [7][8]. - The report anticipates that the spring market will continue, with a focus on policy and event-driven sensitive themes. Key sectors expected to perform well include photovoltaic technology, commercial aerospace, and non-ferrous metals [8]. Bond Market - The bond market is showing narrow fluctuations, with the 30-year main contract down by 0.03% and the 10-year contract up by 0.02%. The People's Bank of China has conducted a net injection of 448 billion yuan, indicating a stable liquidity expectation [12][9]. - The overall sentiment in the bond market remains positive, supported by a moderately loose monetary policy and ongoing demand for bond investments [12][9]. Commodity Market - The commodity market is mixed, with some prices rising and others falling. Lithium carbonate prices have increased by 3.66%, driven by low inventory levels, while other commodities like palm oil have seen declines [12][13]. - The report highlights that the low inventory of lithium carbonate, currently at 107,056 tons, may provide upward price momentum in the future, especially as demand is expected to grow post-holiday [12][13]. Trading Hotspots - Recent hot trading varieties include AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-machine interfaces, and robotics, all of which are supported by government policies and technological advancements [14][15]. - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy in technology and consumer sectors, with a focus on low-cost opportunities as the market continues to evolve [16].

经济观察网 华友钴业（603799）近期股价呈现震荡走势，尽管镍价受到印尼供应收缩消息的利好提 振。根据最新数据，截至2026年2月12日收盘，公司股价报75.15元，单日上涨2.45%，但近5个交易日振 幅达12.39%，表现为冲高回落态势。震荡原因可从以下几个方面分析： 股价与资金表现 印尼政策催化镍价上涨：2月11日，印尼政府将全球最大镍矿韦达湾的年度配额从4200万吨大幅削减至 1200万吨，同时设定2026年全国镍矿RKAB目标为2.6亿–2.7亿吨，较2025年3.79亿吨下降约30%。受此 影响，伦镍当日涨超2%，沪镍主连2月11日收盘涨4.02%至139360元/吨。 未来发展 印尼供应收缩政策可能推动镍价中长期中枢上移，对华友钴业等一体化企业形成成本优势。但短期需关 注政策落地节奏及春节后下游需求复苏情况。若库存去化不及预期，镍价反弹空间或受限。 综上，华友钴业股价震荡反映了镍价"政策利好驱动"与"基本面疲软"之间的拉锯，同时受技术面压力、 资金情绪及宏观环境多重因素影响。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 公司基本面 业绩利好与估值压力：公司2025年业绩预告显示归母净利润58. ...

Core Insights - Resourcing Tomorrow has announced a new senior-level conference focused on mining and critical minerals investment, scheduled for April 16-17, 2026, at the Four Seasons Hotel in Hong Kong [1] - The conference aims to provide a practical understanding of mining investments, covering aspects such as capital structures, risk management, project development, and returns [2] Conference Details - The agenda will address key investment themes in global mining and critical minerals markets, including mining risk, Chinese and Asian capital engagement, gold and precious metals, critical minerals and battery supply chains, midstream and processing, and geopolitical risks [2] - The event will feature interactive leadership roundtables, closed-door discussions, and structured networking to facilitate senior-level dialogue [3] Speaker Lineup - Confirmed speakers include industry leaders such as Jason Chang (CEO, EMR Capital), Greg Fournier (Managing Director, CIBC Hong Kong), Ling Lu (Managing Director, Standard Chartered Bank), and others [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance and growing interest in the non-ferrous metal ETF Tianhong (159157), which has seen significant capital inflow and price appreciation due to demand driven by the AI and re-industrialization trends [1][2] - The non-ferrous metal ETF Tianhong has achieved a net inflow of 779 million yuan over the last four trading days, reaching a total fund size of 1.873 billion yuan, marking a new high since its listing [1] - The ETF closely tracks the CSI Industrial Non-Ferrous Metal Theme Index, focusing on industrial metals such as copper, aluminum, and rare earths, with analysts suggesting that supply constraints may lead to price increases for these metals [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metal theme ETF (159157) has a total subscription size of 1.074 billion yuan, with individual investors holding 1.042 billion shares, accounting for 97.01% of the total [2] - The fund was launched on January 28, and prior to its listing, it attracted 14,134 individual accounts, indicating strong market interest and participation [2] - Tianfeng Securities notes that the industrial added value of non-ferrous metal companies continues to grow, with production exceeding 80 million tons and strong export dynamics, suggesting a positive industry outlook [2]

中诚信国际认为，在矿端供应偏紧、下游需求韧性较强的背景下，2026年有色金属行业整体保持较高景 气度；铜、铝价格中枢上移趋势明确，其中电解铝供需紧平衡状态将延续，电网、储能、新能源车等需 求托底，且铜价高位下"铝代铜"渗透加速，进一步强化铝的结构性支撑逻辑。冶炼加工环节则因加工费 低迷、行业竞争加剧而持续承压，行业利润正加速向资源自给率高、成本控制能力强的企业集中。 有色ETF泰康(159163)紧密跟踪中证有色金属矿业主题指数，中证有色金属矿业主题指数从有色金属行 业中选取40只拥有有色金属矿产资源储量的上市公司证券作为指数样本，反映有色金属矿业主题上市公 司证券的整体表现。 消息面上，中国五矿化工进出口商会发布通知，将于2026年3月25日举办稀土和稀有金属出口政策及形 势说明会。通知称，近日，国家有关部门加强了针对日本的两用物项出口管理，叠加此前稀土及钨锑钼 等稀有金属被列入出口管制，企业出口相关产品时面临更加严格的管理。为帮助会员企业熟悉相关政策 和出口注意事项，本次会议将邀请商务部和海关总署有关部门领导参加会议并发言，就相关产品的出口 政策和形势进行解读，同时也有助于政府部门了解企业出口面临的问题。 ...

（原标题：A股午评 | 指数高开高走，创业板指半日涨超1%！小金属板块再度爆发） 2月12日，A股三大指数高开高走，截至午间收盘，沪指涨0.12%，深证成指涨0.81%，创业板指涨1.18%。两市半日成交1.33万亿元，较上一日放 量成交307亿元。 盘面上，电网设备概念集体走强，思源电气、四方股份均创新高，望变电气、顺钠股份、森源电气涨停；有色金属板块反复活跃，翔鹭钨业5天3 板，章源钨业2连板；CPO概念再度走强，天孚通信涨超10%续创历史新高。 下跌方面，影视传媒、短剧、游戏等AI应用概念持续走低，横店影视、欢瑞世纪等跌停；商业航天板块走势疲软；大消费概念再度下挫，银行股 全线飘绿，医药板块亦表现弱势。 焦点股方面，概念人气股巨力索具开盘封一字跌停，封单金额超12亿元。消息面上，巨力索具公告，未签署过4.58亿的海南项目，公司2025年度 在商业航天领域取得订单累计金额996.51万元。 展望后市，财信证券表示，春节临近，市场交投活跃度有所回落，当日大盘再度缩量，导致盘面风格快速轮动，因此短期内，节前增量资金入场 意愿可能难有大的提升，但在部分题材板块利好事件密集催化下，大盘仍将有较多结构性机会。 热门 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, showing a stable opening price and mixed performance among its major holdings [1] - The ETF opened at 1.954 yuan with a 0.00% change, indicating stability in the market [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 0.23%, and Huayou Cobalt, which increased by 2.25%, while other stocks like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium experienced slight declines [1] Group 2 - The performance benchmark for the Huatai-PineBridge ETF is the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on January 16, 2023, the ETF has achieved a return of 95.20%, with a monthly return of 7.27% [1] - The fund is managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with managers Dong Jin and Sun Hao overseeing its operations [1]

Group 1 - The China Minmetals Import and Export Chamber announced a conference on March 25, 2026, to discuss export policies and market conditions for rare earth and rare metals, in response to stricter export controls imposed on dual-use items for Japan and other rare metals [1] - The conference aims to help member companies understand the new policies and export considerations, with officials from the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs expected to provide insights [1] - The meeting will also facilitate communication between government departments and enterprises regarding export challenges [1] Group 2 - As of February 12, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) rose by 1.72%, with notable increases in stocks such as Shenghe Resources (up 7.33%) and Zhongtung High-tech (up 5.88%) [2] - The Penghua Industrial Nonferrous ETF (159162) also saw a rise of 1.93%, marking its fifth consecutive increase [2] - The CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index includes 30 large-cap companies involved in copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare metals, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 55.71% of the total index weight, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum [2]