FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 看準科技有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立以同股不同權控制的有限責任公司） 呈交日期: 2025年12月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 2. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | B | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02076 | 說明 | B類普通股 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 130,430,401 | | 0 | | 130,430,401 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 130,430,401 | | 0 | | 130,430,401 | 備註： | 1. 股份分類 ...

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - The Japanese central bank's potential interest rate hike in December could lead to an increase in government bond yields, influenced by high inflation and upcoming fiscal stimulus [2][3] - Global macroeconomic and policy expectations have been recalibrated, with service sector PMIs in the US, Europe, and Japan remaining high, while manufacturing PMIs have declined [3] - The market is experiencing fluctuations in response to the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, with mixed performances in US stock indices and a decline in oil prices [3] Group 2: Fixed Income Analysis - Cross-period price differences in interest rate derivatives are influenced by the CTD bond's coupon rate, full price, and three-month repo rates, along with market sentiment [4] - The movement of contracts during the roll period indicates strong participation in positive spreads, leading to an initial increase in cross-period price differences [4] Group 3: Consumer Sector Opportunities - The consumer sector is witnessing structural changes driven by technology and innovation, with new consumption trends emerging in areas like trendy toys, beauty products, and ready-to-drink beverages [6] - Investment strategies should focus on four main themes: the rise of domestic brands, technology-enabled consumption, emotional spending, and undervalued high-dividend blue-chip stocks [6] Group 4: Aerospace and Defense - The development of reusable rockets is crucial for reducing costs and increasing capacity in space activities, with companies like SpaceX leading the way [7] - China's advancements in reusable rocket technology, such as the Zhuque-3 and Long March 12, are expected to enhance space launch capabilities and reduce costs [7] Group 5: Energy Sector Analysis - Xin'ao Energy's privatization process is progressing, with key regulatory approvals completed, and the company is showing strong operational performance in natural gas retail [8] - The company's fundamentals are improving, supported by expanding projects and increasing customer penetration rates, leading to a positive long-term outlook [8] Group 6: Rating Changes - Recent adjustments in stock ratings include upgrades for companies like Hayuan Engineering and new buy ratings for firms such as Aerospace Intelligence Manufacturing and BOSS Zhipin, reflecting positive earnings forecasts [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 91.15 per share, reflecting a reasonable market capitalization of approximately HKD 877.47 billion [3][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown a robust revenue acceleration with a significant increase in profit margins, achieving a net profit of CNY 7.75 billion in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 67.2% [10]. - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be CNY 26.95 billion, slightly down from previous estimates due to varying recovery rates among different customer segments [3][10]. - The company is focusing on integrating AI into its operations, which is expected to enhance matching efficiency and support the expansion into new job categories [10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at CNY 5,952 million, with a year-on-year growth of 32%, and is expected to reach CNY 10,390 million by 2027, maintaining a steady growth rate of 12% [5][12]. - The gross margin is expected to remain high at around 84% from 2025 to 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to stabilize around 32% to 34% during the same period [5][12]. - The company has a strong cash position, with cash and cash equivalents expected to grow from CNY 2,473 million in 2023 to CNY 11,235 million by 2027 [12][13].

Macro Overview - The price indicators for November show a moderate recovery, with PPI's year-on-year decline expected to continue narrowing and CPI showing a slight rebound. The optimization of supply-demand dynamics is gradually becoming evident as companies exercise self-discipline in capacity expansion [2][3] - Overall consumption and investment remain relatively flat, but actual total demand appears more stable than surface macro data. Consumption is showing a differentiated trend, with some categories weakening due to subsidy reductions, while discretionary services like business travel and hotels are stabilizing [2][3] - Social financing and credit issuance are expected to increase slightly year-on-year, reflecting the impact of policy financial tools. The fiscal expenditure data for the fourth quarter may decline compared to the first half of the year due to last year's high base, allowing for policy space for a strong start in the first quarter of next year [2][3] Fixed Income Insights - In a consensus-driven environment, potential expectation gaps may arise regarding the Federal Reserve's balance sheet expansion, overseas inflation risks, and the U.S. credit environment. The article discusses these underpriced market directions and tail risks [3][4] - Asset allocation strategies should focus on high volatility environments, with an emphasis on improving odds in sectors like Hong Kong internet, pharmaceuticals, and cyclical domestic sectors [3][4] Transportation Sector Analysis - For 2026, three main lines of focus are recommended: 1. **Aviation**: Supply is expected to slow down further, with demand showing marginal improvement, leading to increased passenger load factors and ticket prices. The state-owned airlines are preferred due to their high win rates and odds [6][7] 2. **Oil Shipping**: Benefiting from OPEC+ production increases and geopolitical factors, oil shipping rates are expected to rise significantly. Preferred stocks include COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [6][7] 3. **Alpha Stocks**: Attractive valuations in industry leaders and companies with broad niche market potential are highlighted, such as ZTO Express and SF Express [6][7] Company-Specific Insights - **Zhonghui Group (382 HK, Buy)**: Reported FY25 revenue of 2.489 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with net profit of 514 million yuan, down 28.1% year-on-year. The company maintains a cash dividend rate of approximately 30%, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [7] - **China Education Group (1890 HK, Buy)**: Reported FY25 revenue of 1.872 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%, with net profit of 748 million yuan, down 9.6% year-on-year. The company declared a final dividend of 0.06 HKD per share, maintaining a cash dividend ratio of about 30% [7] Rating Changes - **Hayan Engineering (KAP)**: Target price adjusted to 58.91, rating changed from Buy to Accumulate [8] - **Aerospace Intelligence (300446)**: Initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a target price of 26.00 [8] - **BOSS Zhipin (2076)**: Initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a target price of 107.60 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Haotong International initiates coverage on Boss Zhipin (02076) with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of HKD 105, highlighting its unique business model in China's online recruitment sector and the potential of GAI technology to strengthen its leading position [1] Group 1: User Growth and Market Position - The company continues to see growth in new user numbers, with an average monthly active users (MAU) of 63.8 million as of Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.3% [1] - The total number of paid enterprise users increased by 13.3% year-on-year and 4.6% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 6.8 million by the end of Q3 2025 [1] - Boss Zhipin's daily active user (DAU) market share reached 43%, which is double that of the second competitor, indicating a strong market position [1] Group 2: Industry Supply and Demand Dynamics - In Q3, the company experienced its first instance in nearly three years where the average daily active users of enterprise clients outpaced that of job seekers, signaling a performance turning point [2] - Revenue from blue-collar business continues to outperform the overall platform, while the white-collar segment sees increased participation from small and medium enterprises [2] - The growth rate of new job postings in the white-collar sector has exceeded that of the same period in 2023, suggesting a positive trend for Q4 [2] Group 3: Operational Efficiency and Profitability - The company has improved operational efficiency, with estimated non-GAAP costs and operating expenses reduced by RMB 152 million in Q3, leading to an operating profit margin of 42% [3] - The company is expected to maintain prudent expense control and efficiency measures, with profit margins in Q4 projected to remain stable compared to Q3, and an overall improvement in profit margins anticipated for 2025 [3] Group 4: AI Business Development - The AI job-seeking assistant has been fully launched, resulting in a significant increase in user interaction rates [4] - The AI communication assistant has been integrated into existing commercial products, enhancing the average two-way conversion rate by 7% [4] - The company is cautiously exploring diversified AI management services and bulk recruitment solutions targeting high-end white-collar, gold-collar, and blue-collar sectors, with initial benefits being realized [4]

今日早参 2025 年 12 月 01 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：价格回升较产量明显 11 月制造业 PMI 较 10 月的 49%回升至 49.2%（彭博一致预期 49.2%），较 往年季节性水平偏低；非制造业商务活动指数较 10 月的 50.1%回落至 49.5%（彭博一致预期 50%）。11 月制造业 PMI 供需两端分项指标均边际改 善、价格指标亦有所修复——具体看，PMI 分项中生产、采购量较 10 月的 49.7%/49.0%上升至 50.0%/49.5%；新订单、新出口订单、就业人员 PMI 亦 较 10 月回升 0.4/1.7/0.1 个百分点至 49.2%/47.6%/48.4%。此外，商品价格 指数整体回升，购进价格及出厂价格分别较 10 月上行 1.1/0.7 个百分点至 53.6%/48.2%。行业中，高新技术制造业连续 10 个月位于扩张区间，而装 备 制 造 业 / 消 费 品 行 业 PMI 较 10 月 的 50.2%/50.1% 分别回落至 49.8%/49.4% ...

Core Points - A significant fire occurred in multiple residential buildings at Hong Kong's Tai Po Wu Kwan on November 26, resulting in major casualties and drawing widespread concern from society [1] - BOSS Zhipin has donated 3 million HKD to support emergency rescue, transitional housing, and post-disaster recovery efforts for the victims of the Tai Po fire [1]

Core Insights - The company has exceeded revenue expectations, driven by a significant recovery in demand, achieving growth targets despite restrained marketing investments [1][2] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been raised to 3.71 billion, 4.20 billion, and 4.85 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a positive outlook [1] Revenue Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 2.163 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.17% [1] - The GAAP net profit reached 806 million RMB, up 72.22% year-on-year, while the adjusted net profit was 991 million RMB, reflecting a 34.23% increase [1] Demand Recovery Indicators - The number of new job postings increased by 25% year-on-year in Q3, indicating a clear improvement in recruitment demand [2] - The average daily active users on the recruiter side saw a significant increase, surpassing the job seeker side for the first time in three years [2] - The number of paid enterprise clients grew by 13.3% year-on-year, reaching 6.8 million by September 30, 2025 [2] Marketing and User Growth - The company reduced R&D expenses by 5.42 percentage points and sales expenses by 9.13 percentage points year-on-year, demonstrating effective cost control [2] - Despite restrained marketing efforts, the company added over 40 million new users from January to October 2025, indicating strong brand loyalty and platform stickiness [2] - The financial results reflect profit growth driven by recovering demand, with future contributions expected from AI enhancements in matching efficiency and new product offerings [2]

Group 1: Fixed Income Research - The recent correlation between government bond futures and equity markets indicates a new phase, moving beyond the previous simple "see-saw" logic [3][4] - As of November 21, the 10-day correlation between TL contracts and the CSI 300 index has significantly increased to a historical high since July 2025, suggesting a complex relationship [3][4] - The future dynamics of government bond futures are expected to be influenced by equity market movements, indicating a potential for better resilience in bond futures if growth expectations change [4] Group 2: Computer Industry Research - The release of DeepSeek R1 in 2025 is anticipated to significantly enhance general model reasoning capabilities and reduce costs, marking a turning point for AI deployment in financial institutions [5][6] - AI applications are rapidly penetrating core business and back-office scenarios in various financial institutions, aiming to optimize internal operations and enhance external value [6][7] - Large financial institutions are focusing on private deployment of large models, while smaller institutions are pursuing cost-effective solutions for agile development [8] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in financial information services include Tonghuashun and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings, while third-party payment recommendations include Newland and New Guodu [6][7] - In the banking IT sector, recommended stocks include Yuxin Technology and Jingbeifang, with additional recommendations in securities IT and insurance IT sectors [7][8]

Core Insights - BOSS Zhipin-W (02076) shares increased nearly 4%, with a current price of 84.35 HKD and a trading volume of 29.148 million HKD [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, BOSS Zhipin reported a revenue of 2.16 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.17% [1] - The GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was 806 million HKD, up 72.22% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 991 million HKD, reflecting a 34.23% increase compared to the previous year [1] Market Trends - The recruitment market is showing steady recovery, with increased penetration in blue-collar and lower-tier cities [1] - The average daily active users on the recruiter side increased more than the job seeker side for the first time in three years during July to September 2025 [1] - The number of paid enterprise clients grew by 13.3% year-on-year, reaching 6.8 million as of September 30, 2025 [1] User Engagement - The payment rate for paid users has increased both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1] - The revenue growth of 13.3% in this quarter indicates a significant acceleration compared to previous periods [1]