分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期：2026 年 03 月 02 日 2、当地时间 2 月 28 日，根据国际油轮流量监测系统的实时数据显示， 目前位于霍尔木兹海峡周边海域的油轮航行速度已普遍降至零，显示该 地区的航运已陷入停滞状态。 3、2 月 28 日，国家发改委价格监测中心称，2025 年 9 月至今，受需求 "爆发式"增长、产能"断崖式"紧缺等因素影响，全球存储器市场缺口 扩大，存储芯片价格持续上涨，近 1 个月多以来，涨幅呈现扩大态势，建 议关注存储芯片对下游价格的影响。 资料来源：央视网，央视新闻，财联社 【宏观策略】 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -12% -5% 2% 9% 16% 22% 29% 36% 2025.03 2025.07 2025.10 2026.02 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference discusses the **autonomous mining truck industry**, highlighting various collaboration models including direct purchases by mining companies, leasing partnerships between manufacturers and technology firms, and engineering operation models led by autonomous technology companies [1][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Collaboration Models**: - Mining companies or engineering contractors may purchase trucks and then procure autonomous capabilities from technology firms [3]. - Alternatively, they may opt for a leasing model where the manufacturer collaborates with technology companies [3]. - The engineering operation model allows technology firms to provide both vehicles and autonomous technology, with mining companies only issuing production tasks [3]. - **Service Fees**: - The mainstream service fee for a single truck over three years ranges from **600,000 to 650,000 CNY**, translating to approximately **0.7 CNY per ton** based on an annual transport volume of **300,000 tons** [1][4]. - Service fees have decreased from **650,000-700,000 CNY** to **600,000-650,000 CNY** due to declining hardware costs and increased competition [1][4][5]. - **Efficiency Improvements**: - The industry aims to improve transport efficiency from **70%-75% in 2023** to **90%-95% by 2025** [1][6]. - Challenges to achieving significant efficiency gains include production habits, site management, and interference from auxiliary vehicles [6]. - **Cost Structure**: - The cost of the autonomous driving kit does not include modifications for line control braking, which adds an additional **120,000-150,000 CNY** [7]. - Profit margin improvements depend on the scaling down of hardware costs and controlling delivery-related labor expenses [7]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: - The domestic delivery of autonomous mining trucks is expected to accelerate significantly post-2023, driven by data accumulation, technological breakthroughs, and policy directives [3][20]. - Policies require mines with capacities over **10 million tons** to meet intermediate or advanced levels of automation, enhancing the motivation for mining companies to adopt these technologies [3][20]. - **Customer Behavior**: - Customers typically prefer to work with multiple suppliers (2-3) to mitigate risks associated with production scheduling and compatibility issues [10]. - The repurchase rate among customers is approximately **44%-45%**, indicating a reliance on new customer acquisition for business growth [10]. - **Safety and Efficiency**: - The focus on achieving production efficiency of **90%-95%** is critical, as it directly impacts output and operational capacity [11]. - Safety improvements are also a significant concern, with the reduction of personnel in transport operations being a key benefit of autonomous technology [22]. - **International Market Challenges**: - The overseas market for autonomous mining trucks is projected to be about **1/5** the size of the domestic market, with significant challenges in brand recognition and adaptation to local conditions [23][24]. - **Company-Specific Insights**: - Companies like **Yikong** and **Xidi** have different operational models, with Yikong focusing on technology operations and Xidi on pure technology delivery [14][15]. - Yikong has a larger stock of vehicles due to its operational model, while Xidi's approach emphasizes partnerships with engineering firms [14][19]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the autonomous mining truck industry, pricing models, efficiency targets, and market dynamics.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on Engineering Machinery Industry Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a potential recovery due to the nearing update cycle of excavators in China, combined with emission constraints and accelerated second-hand machinery exports, leading to a possible lower actual ownership than market expectations [1][2] - The "artificial substitution" logic continues to drive demand, with room for growth in excavator ownership compared to developed countries, particularly as urbanization progresses and maintenance needs increase [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - The domestic equipment update cycle typically spans 8-10 years, with a significant portion of excavators entering a phase of extended usage and maintenance costs, indicating a need for gradual updates [2] - The actual ownership of excavators may be tighter than market estimates due to the impact of engine updates and emission constraints, as well as accelerated second-hand exports, which could lead to a steeper demand curve if recovery occurs [2] - The shift in construction demand from "earthwork" to "non-excavation" categories, such as truck cranes and crawler cranes, suggests a potential expansion of investment into tower cranes and subsequent maintenance phases [1][4] Export Trends - A notable increase in engineering machinery exports is expected by the end of 2025, with an estimated growth rate of approximately 14% for the year, driven by changes in tariff policies and enhanced competitiveness of Chinese companies [5][6] - The demand for overseas mining machinery is supported not only by commodity prices but also by the sustained urbanization efforts in resource-rich countries, providing ongoing support for engineering machinery demand [7] Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Market Influence - China's FDI growth, particularly in Belt and Road Initiative countries, has increased Chinese participation in local mining and energy projects, thereby boosting demand for engineering machinery [8][9] Market Signals and Demand Recovery - Recent surveys indicate a more optimistic outlook for equipment purchases in the U.S. market, with a decrease in contractors planning to refrain from buying equipment, suggesting a structural improvement in demand [10][12] - In Europe, particularly Germany, there are positive signals with engineering machinery orders showing an 18% year-on-year increase, indicating a better-than-expected performance [13] Rental Market and Recovery Indicators - The domestic tower crane rental market shows signs of recovery, with rental rates and utilization rates reaching their highest levels in three years, indicating a potential upward trend in demand [14] Future Catalysts - Key catalysts for future growth include domestic macro and industrial policies, global commodity price trends, and the expansion of data center construction in Southeast Asia, which may drive additional demand for engineering machinery [15][16] Sector and Stock Recommendations - The focus is on three main categories: complete machinery (e.g., SANY, XCMG), components (e.g., Hengli Hydraulic), and general equipment (e.g., Anhui Heli). The order of benefits will depend on the timing of demand recovery in emerging markets versus developed markets [17]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **engineering machinery industry** and its outlook for **2026**. The industry is expected to experience a mild recovery, with significant potential for growth driven by various factors, including seasonal demand and policy support [1][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Demand Surge in 2026**: The traditional peak season for engineering machinery in China (March-April) is likely to exceed expectations due to higher market share aspirations from manufacturers and diversified sales strategies [1][2]. - **Improvement in Payment Collection**: Since August 2024, payment collection has improved from a range of 30%-40% to nearly 50%, indicating a shift from a critical balance state to a more sustainable one [3]. - **Sales Growth Projections**: The domestic sales growth for engineering machinery in 2026 is projected to be between **5%-10%** under baseline conditions, with potential increases to **10%-20%** if unconventional sales methods like "turning to export" and operating leases are considered [4][5]. - **Export Performance**: The unexpected export growth in 2025 was primarily driven by demand from regions such as Africa, the Middle East, and Indonesia, particularly for large excavators, which have significantly higher profit margins compared to other products [6][7]. Additional Important Content - **Risks and Challenges**: Key risks include exchange rate fluctuations and the impact of Russia's scrappage tax on short-term export volatility [9][10]. - **Cost Structure and Material Prices**: The impact of rising raw material prices on manufacturers is manageable, as direct materials constitute a relatively low percentage of total costs, and the ability to pass on costs is limited [11]. - **Valuation Trends**: Leading manufacturers are currently valued at around **20 times earnings**, with potential for further upward adjustment due to improved asset quality and shareholder returns [12][13]. - **Stock Selection Recommendations**: The focus for stock selection includes major manufacturers such as SANY, Zoomlion, XCMG, LiuGong, and Shantui, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic [14]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights and projections regarding the engineering machinery industry, highlighting both opportunities and risks as the sector approaches 2026.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Overweight" for the mechanical equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights investment opportunities in the AIDC and solar power sectors due to electricity shortages in North America, as well as historical opportunities in advanced packaging equipment for semiconductors [1][2][3][4] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: Northern Huachuang, SANY Heavy Industry, Zhongwei Company, Hengli Hydraulic, CIMC, Tuojing Technology, Haitian International, Bichu Electronics, Jingsheng Mechanical, Jereh, Zhejiang Dingli, Hangcha Group, Xianjin Intelligent, Changchuan Technology, Huace Detection, Anhui Helix, Jingce Electronics, Nuwei Co., Chip Source Micro, Green Harmonics, Haitian Precision, Hangke Technology, Yizhiming, New Lai Materials, and High Measurement Shares [1] Gas Turbine Sector - The report notes that President Trump encourages large companies to build their own power sources, which is expected to boost demand for natural gas power generation equipment. The domestic gas turbine industry is highlighted as having significant investment opportunities, particularly for companies like Jereh, Dongfang Electric, and Yingliu [2] Photovoltaic Equipment - The report emphasizes the growing demand for solar power in both terrestrial and space computing applications, with Tesla planning to expand its solar capacity significantly by 2028. Companies recommended in this sector include Maiwei Shares, Jingsheng Mechanical, High Measurement Shares, and Aotwei [3] Semiconductor Equipment - The report discusses the benefits for domestic equipment manufacturers due to rising tensions between China and Japan, which favor local alternatives. Companies like Changchuan Technology, Chip Source Micro, and Maiwei are highlighted as key players benefiting from this trend [4] PCB Equipment and Liquid Cooling - NVIDIA's strong performance is noted, with significant revenue growth indicating robust demand for computing power. The report suggests investment opportunities in the PCB and liquid cooling supply chains, recommending companies like Dazhu CNC, Chip Source Micro, and Yinguang Technology [5][6] Robotics Industry - The report indicates a recent pullback in the robotics sector but suggests that upcoming events, such as the release of Tesla's V3 robot, could catalyze growth. Companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Sanhua Intelligent are recommended as key players [10] Oil and Gas Equipment - The report identifies the Middle East as a core market for oil services, with companies like Jereh and Nuwei highlighted for their growth potential in this region [43]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·机械设备 机械设备行业跟踪周报 看好北美缺电带来的 AIDC 和太空算力光伏 设备机会&关注半导体先进封装设备历史性 机遇 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [1.Table_Summary] 推荐组合：北方华创、三一重工、中微公司、恒立液压、中集集团、拓荆科技、海天 国际、柏楚电子、晶盛机电、杰瑞股份、浙江鼎力、杭叉集团、先导智能、长川科技、 华测检测、安徽合力、精测电子、纽威股份、芯源微、绿的谐波、海天精工、杭可科 技、伊之密、新莱应材、高测股份、纽威数控、华中数控。 【燃气轮机】特朗普鼓励大厂自建电源，重申国产燃机产业链投资机会 2026 年 2 月 6 日，CNBC 报道称美国总统特朗普将与亚马逊、谷歌、Meta、微软等大型科技公司 高管在白宫会面，并计划于 3 月 4 日签署相关协议，要求在保障 AIDC 持续发展的同时由企业自 行解决电力供应问题，利好天然气发电设备需求，加快项目落地速度。严重的供需失衡环节，重 申国产燃机产业链投资机会：1）GEV/西门子/三菱重工上游零部件扩产难度大，到 2030 年板块 合计产能约 90GW，仍小于总需求；2）产能不足限制美国链 ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 机械行业周报（20260223-20260301） 推荐（维持） 建议关注商业航天、液冷 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 代码 | 股价（元） 2025E | | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 汇川技术 | 300124.SZ | 72.92 | 2.11 | 2.54 | 3.00 | 34.58 | 28.75 | 24.32 | 6.07 | 强推 | | 法兰泰克 | 603966.SH | 13.45 | 0.60 | 0.77 | 0.94 | 22.44 | 17.58 | 14.26 | 3.06 | 强推 | | 信捷电气 | 603416.SH | 56.14 | 1.83 | 2.30 | 2.78 | 30.63 | 24.44 | 20. ...

证券代码：600031 证券简称：三一重工 公告编号：2026-005 三一重工股份有限公司 关于回购公司 A 股股份的进展公告 二、回购股份的进展情况 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号——回购股份》等相关 规定，公司在回购股份期间应当在每个月的前 3 个交易日内公告截至上月末的回 购进展情况。现将公司回购股份进展情况公告如下： 2026 年 2 月，公司未实施股份回购。截至 2026 年 2 月月底，公司已累计回购 股份 7,267.92 万股，占公司 A 股总股本的比例为 0.86%，购买的最高价为 19.39 元 /股、最低价为 17.39 元/股，已支付的总金额为 135,536.87 万元（不含印花税、交 易佣金等交易费用）。 上述回购进展符合相关法律法规及公司回购股份方案的规定。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | 回购方案首次披露日 | | 2025/4/4 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

[Table_Page] 年报点评|多元金融 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 【广发非银&海外】香港交易所 | | --- | | （00388.HK） | 业绩新高，IPO 全球领跑 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： ⚫ 风险提示：宏观经济下行、地缘政治不稳定、国际交易所竞争加剧等。 盈利预测： | [Table_Finance] | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万港元） | 22374 | 29161 | 31336 | 34438 | 37759 | | 增长率 （ % ） | 9.1% | 30.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 13050 | 17754 | 19577 | 21521 | 23602 | | 增长率 （ % ） | 10.02% | 36.05% | 10.27% | 9.93% | 9.67% | | EPS（港元/股） | 10.29 | 14.00 | 15.44 ...

证券研究报告·公司深度研究·工程机械 徐工机械（000425） 中国工程机械龙头，矿机成套打开第二增长 曲线 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 92,848 | 91,660 | 105,319 | 118,657 | 134,836 | | 同比（%） | (1.03) | (1.28) | 14.90 | 12.66 | 13.64 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 5,326 | 5,976 | 7,016 | 9,028 | 11,866 | | 同比（%） | 23.51 | 12.20 | 17.40 | 28.68 | 31.44 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 0.77 | 1.01 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 27.04 | 24.10 | 20.53 | 15.95 | 12.14 | [Table_Tag] [Tabl ...