Macro Insights - The report identifies three historical "great migrations" of Chinese household wealth, with the third migration starting in 2023, indicating a shift in asset allocation trends[3] - The first migration (1998-2018) saw a significant flow of deposits into real estate due to housing market reforms, establishing real estate as a core asset class[4] - The second migration (2018-2023) involved a return to deposits as real estate values declined and risk aversion increased among residents[5] - The third migration reflects a transition to a "deposit+" era, where residents are diversifying into financial products beyond traditional deposits due to lower interest rates and improved returns in bond and equity markets[6] Market Strategy - Foreign capital continues to flow into the market, with a net inflow of $3.7 million in foreign investment as of February 11, 2026, and a significant increase in public fund issuance, reaching 43.63 billion yuan[9] - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market decreased to 2.1 trillion yuan, while the proportion of stocks rising increased to 47.6%[8] - The ETF market experienced a net outflow of 44.18 billion yuan, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards active management strategies[9] Industry Trends - The pharmaceutical market for anticoagulants is projected to grow from $52.9 billion in 2023 to over $110 billion by 2033, driven by aging populations and increasing cardiovascular disease rates[13] - The heavy-duty truck market in China is expected to see sales of 760,000 units in 2026, a decrease of 5.3% year-on-year, while January 2026 saw a 46% increase in domestic heavy-duty truck sales compared to the previous year[16][17] - The aviation sector is experiencing a resurgence, with a 6% increase in passenger flow during the Spring Festival period, and ticket prices are expected to rise by 3-4% year-on-year due to increased demand[30][32]

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully completed its "14th Five-Year Plan" and is now focusing on the "15th Five-Year Plan" with a vision to become the most innovative and growth-oriented enterprise in the Chinese liquor industry [1][3][9]. Group 1: Achievements and Performance - The company has achieved major economic indicators that surpass the industry average, with growth in the out-of-province market outpacing that of the in-province market [1][7]. - The company has solidified its development foundation, enhanced brand advantages, and steadily improved its industry position over the past five years [1][7]. Group 2: Future Development Strategy - The company aims to establish two key targets: maintaining major economic indicators above the industry average and ensuring out-of-province market growth exceeds that of the in-province market [3][9]. - The focus will be on high-quality goals, reforms, work styles, and ecological sustainability to build a solid foundation for high-quality development [3][9]. Group 3: Key Initiatives for the "15th Five-Year Plan" - The company plans to engage in five major battles: market penetration, brand elevation, organizational efficiency, digital empowerment, and development safety [4][10]. - Emphasis will be placed on optimizing performance management, enhancing talent development, and leveraging AI for marketing, production, and management [4][10]. Group 4: Team and Culture - The company stresses the importance of team commitment, practical responsibility, and a culture of excellence to meet future challenges [5][11]. - Initiatives will include fostering a sense of ownership among employees, eliminating bureaucratic practices, and promoting continuous learning and improvement [5][11].

21世纪经济报道记者在春节期间注意到，各类酒企的春节经营重点进一步转向"推动C端开瓶饮用"，无论是多达八家 酒企登上马年春晚，还是各家酒企集体推出开瓶扫码促销，营销活动的核心都是围绕开瓶率展开。 由于需求端疲软，外界原本对今年春节白酒消费不抱期待，但从近期国内外机构调研来看，普遍认为春节白酒销售略 好于预期。 证券分析师张伟敬对21世纪经济报道记者透露，从机构调研的情况来看，今年春节白酒整体动销预计同比仍然有两位 数下滑，但下滑幅度比去年下半年明显收窄，"行业已经有底部信号。" 头部品牌更是交出了超预期表现。 来源：21世纪经济报道 作者：肖夏 今年春节聚餐，不少人学会了在酒桌上扫码。 春节是一年一度的酒饮消费大节，尤其白酒最为重视，今年更是史上最长的春节长假，为创造更多酒饮消费场景提供 了可能性。 综合21世纪经济报道综合记者走访和券商调研的情况来看，今年茅台、五粮液等头部白酒继续占据家庭团圆、节庆宴 请等核心场景的C位。券商多预计茅台今年春节销量有两位数甚至更高的增长，五粮液有个位数至两位数的增长。 尤其是茅台，大单品500m53度飞天茅台今年通过直销渠道放量，春节期间"上桌率"大幅提升。21世纪经济报道 ...

01 多家白酒品牌赞助央视春晚 作为全球华人关注度最高的文化盛事，央视春晚历来是白酒品牌的"必争之地"。对于白酒行业而言，央 视春晚不仅是顶级流量入口，更是品牌实力、文化底蕴的展示舞台，尤其是在新春消费旺季，一句春晚 口播、一次互动合作，都能直接带动品牌曝光与终端动销。 2026年春节假期长达九天，号称"史上最长春节"。2026年的春节在2月17日，又被称为"近二十年第二晚 春节"（仅晚于2015年的2月19日）。超长假期，叠加消费复苏的预期升温，让2026年春节档的白酒营 销"慢热而又浓郁"。 春节，作为白酒消费的黄金旺季，历来是行业竞争的主战场，也是检验酒企实力、行业景气度的核心窗 口。头部品牌联手亮相央视春晚，抢占国民级流量入口；上市公司密集出台促销、控价、渠道赋能举 措，"三管齐下"冲刺春节业绩；A股白酒板块在旺季预期与基本面压力下上下震荡，资金博弈加剧。 但在热闹的背后，白酒行业"寒意"未完全散去。2026年春节白酒销售旺季较往年明显推迟，旺季周期大 幅缩短，仅集中于春节前半个月，较往年一个月左右的窗口期收窄；市场也呈现"名酒遇冷、平价走 俏、低度酒升温"的分化格局。 与此同时，白酒行业整体还在进行 ...

2026年马年春节作为假期延长后的首个春节，叠加消费市场持续回暖的利好态势，成为检验酒类产业转型成效、洞察消费趋势变革的关键窗口。中国酒业 协会结合全国多地市场调研、渠道反馈及第三方数据监测发现，马年春节酒类消费市场呈现"结构分化、理性升级、场景多元、品质为王"的鲜明特征，高 端酒稳健承压、大众酒韧性凸显、特色酒多点突破，行业正从"规模扩张"向"质效提升"稳步迈进，在团圆年味中书写高质量发展的新答卷。 一、消费核心转向：理性回归主导，品质需求凸显 马年春节，酒类消费彻底告别"盲目攀比、过度消费"的旧模式，"少喝、喝好、喝对"成为主流共识，消费者决策更趋理性，品质与性价比成为核心考量因 素，这也与行业长期"由规模向质量的转型方向高度契合。 从消费行为来看，消费者主权时代特征愈发明显，开瓶率取代渠道库存成为衡量品牌健康度的核心指标，头部酒企纷纷通过精准投放、扫码促销等措施， 将资源集中于促进终端开瓶，推动行业增长引擎切换至真实消费。调研显示，春节期间多数消费者饮酒频次较往年有所减少，但对酒体品质、酿造工艺的 关注度显著提升。 价格带表现呈现清晰的"两极稳健、中端承压"格局：100元以下光瓶酒、口粮酒销量同比增长； ...

Investment Rating - The food and beverage industry is rated as stable for 2025 and 2026 [1] Core Insights - The food and beverage industry in China includes various sub-industries such as agriculture, food processing, and beverage manufacturing, closely linked to economic development, population structure, and consumer preferences. Despite ongoing economic pressures and weak consumer demand, the industry continues to grow, although revenue growth rates are declining and profitability is weakening [1][6] - The agricultural sector shows a steady increase in grain planting area and production, with major crops like rice, wheat, and corn maintaining a balance between supply and demand. However, some crop prices are under pressure due to supply-demand dynamics and international trade conditions [24][25] - The food manufacturing sector is experiencing stable growth, with overall profitability remaining flat. The industry is characterized by increasing fixed asset investments and a slight increase in total assets [52][53] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The food and beverage industry has a total asset value of 8.42 trillion yuan at the end of 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.59%. The industry’s revenue for 2024 is 9.07 trillion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.20% year-on-year [7][11] - By the end of September 2025, the industry’s total assets increased to 8.61 trillion yuan, with a revenue of 6.71 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.75% [7][11] 2. Agricultural Sector - The agricultural sector's total output value reached 162,787.5 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.7%. The grain planting area for 2024 and 2025 is projected to be 11,931.9 million hectares and 11,940.9 million hectares, respectively [24][25] - Grain production is expected to increase, with total grain output for 2024 and 2025 estimated at 70.65 million tons and 71.49 million tons, respectively [27] 3. Feed Industry - The feed industry is experiencing growth in production, influenced by the recovery of the livestock sector. The total industrial feed production for 2024 is 31,503.1 million tons, showing a year-on-year decline of 2.1% [45] - The feed prices are expected to remain low due to fluctuations in raw material prices and weak downstream demand [49] 4. Food Manufacturing - The food manufacturing sector continues to grow, with total assets reaching 2.41 trillion yuan by September 2025, reflecting a 4% increase year-on-year. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 is 1.63 trillion yuan, with a slight decrease in profit margins [52][53] 5. Livestock Industry - The livestock sector is under pressure, with pork prices gradually declining. The production of beef is increasing, while sheep meat production is decreasing due to weak demand [56][58] - The overall production of meat is expected to grow, with pork production for 2024 and 2025 estimated at 5,706.03 million tons and 5,938 million tons, respectively [58]

23 February 2026 | 1:39AM HKT Equity Research China Spirits Tracker: 2026 LNY retail sales slightly better than expected; Resilient super premium with Moutai/Wuliangye LNY consumption sentiments: Pax mobility: The pax mobility for LNY holiday (Feb 15 - 21), up by c.9% yoy and the whole Chunyun window recorded 5.3bn (Feb 2-20). Strong homecoming flows translated into robust on-premise activity: daily average sales of key retail and catering enterprises rose +10.6% yoy over the first two holiday days (MOFCOM) ...

行业点评报告 | 食品饮料 证券研究报告 行业评级 推荐（维持） 报告日期 2026 年 02 月 24 日 相关研究 【兴证食饮】餐饮链克危寻机，同时关 注食品春节备货-2026.01.21 【兴证食饮】保健品行业：赛道长青， 新消费重构增长逻辑-2026.01.12 分析师：沈昊 S0190525010006 shenhao@xyzq.com.cn 投资要点： 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/3 ⚫ 春节动销符合预期，高端突出，大众价格带表现稳健。根据渠道反馈，春节白酒动销普 遍下滑 10-20%，边际改善，整体表现符合此前预期。分区域看，经济基础、饮酒氛围 好的河南、四川、华东等市场反馈动销下滑约 10%左右，山东、安徽等市场下滑幅度约 20%。分场景看，受禁酒令影响商务宴请依旧承压，礼赠需求有所恢复，自饮及中低端 宴席需求相对稳健。春节期间，不同价格带动销表现有所分化，高端表现突出，i 茅台 上线普飞刺激需求，100-200 元大众价格带动销平稳，而次高端价格带承压较大、春节 期间动销下滑约 20%左右。 ⚫ 茅台市场化改革初步显效，基本面表现好于预期。茅台以消费者为中心，积极推进市场 化转型，强化 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the white liquor industry has experienced a significant sales decline of nearly 20% since early 2026, with a more severe drop of 20%-25% when excluding Moutai [1][2] - The average price of white liquor products, excluding Moutai, has decreased by 10% year-on-year, while sales volume has dropped by 15%, indicating that volume is a major drag on overall performance [2][3] - The industry is currently in a passive destocking phase, with some brands showing accelerated inventory reduction in Q1 2026, but reaching the inventory bottom will take time due to the absence of business and government consumption scenarios [1][3] Group 2 - The white liquor sector is undergoing a transformation where family and daily consumption is becoming more rigid, and companies are shifting their focus from scale to channel profitability [3] - The market is expected to confirm the bottom of white liquor performance with the Q1 2026 reports, suggesting that the negative impact of performance downgrades on stock prices will diminish by 2026 [4] - The investment recommendation includes top companies like Shanxi Fenjiu, Guizhou Moutai, and Wuliangye, as well as regional leaders and flexible stocks, indicating a shift towards companies with strong market positions [5]

与高端市场的火热形成呼应的是大众价格带的繁荣。走访时，北京商报记者发现，泸州老窖六年窖龄 酒、海之蓝等300元以下白酒产品也成为消费者追捧的热销产品。方庄附近的烟酒店店员表示："春节期 间高端白酒产品销量亮眼的同时，大众酒销量也在稳步提升。家庭自饮场景下消费者多选择大众酒，进 一步推动了该价格带动销提升，这与我们年前的预判一致。" 随着9天"加长版"假期落下帷幕，白酒旺季消费也逐渐告一段落。今年春节期间，白酒消费市场呈现出 清晰的"哑铃型"分化结构。2月24日，北京商报记者走访北京部分终端市场并结合春节期间调研发现， 高端酒与大众酒两端需求升温，次高端价位却陷入"冰河期"，这一格局的形成，是消费场景深度重构的 集中体现。如今，当春节旺季的喧嚣散去，白酒行业如何在接下来的消费淡季中"弯道超车"，成为所有 从业者必须直面的课题。 高端与大众的"崛起" 在白酒传统消费周期中，春节假期既将行业消费旺季推向小高潮，也预示着淡季的到来。在2026年春节 期间，白酒消费在旺季小高潮中，呈现出明显的分化发展。这种分化不再是简单的品牌此消彼长，而是 沿着价格带形成了清晰的断层。 北京商报记者走访终端发现，春节期间，茅台、五粮液 ...