Core Insights - The A-share non-ferrous metal industry, comprising 141 listed companies, achieved a total revenue of 2.82 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 9.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 151.29 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 41.55% [2][3]. Revenue Performance - Jiangxi Copper, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum ranked highest in revenue, with figures of 396.04 billion yuan, 254.2 billion yuan, and 176.51 billion yuan respectively. Over 70% of the companies in the non-ferrous metal sector reported year-on-year revenue growth [5][7]. - Companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum and Yunnan Copper also exceeded 100 billion yuan in revenue during the same period [7]. Profitability - More than 90% of the listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector reported profits in the first three quarters of 2025. Zijin Mining led with a net profit of 37.86 billion yuan, achieving a year-on-year growth rate of 55.45% [7]. - Companies like Pengxin Resources and Tianqi Lithium successfully turned losses into profits during this period [8][10]. Gross Margin Analysis - The average gross margin for A-share non-ferrous metal companies was approximately 18.15%, an increase of 0.47 percentage points year-on-year. Companies such as Zhaojin Mining, Cangge Mining, and Xiaocheng Technology exhibited significant growth in gross margin [8][10]. - Notably, Xiaocheng Technology and Sichuan Gold had the highest sales gross margins at 65.07% and 64.11% respectively [11].

证券日报网讯江西铜业11月18日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年10月31日，公司A股股 东人数为167630户。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Group 1: Aluminum Market - The logic of aluminum shortage is expected to gradually materialize, leading to an upward cycle in aluminum prices, with electrolytic aluminum profits continuing to expand [3] - Shanghai aluminum price increased by 1.48% to 22,000 yuan/ton, and the profit margin for electrolytic aluminum rose by 5.40% to 6,051 yuan/ton [3] - Inventory levels show an increase in London aluminum stock by 0.57% to 552,400 tons and Shanghai aluminum stock by 1.38% to 114,900 tons, while domestic spot inventory decreased by 0.16% to 619,000 tons [3] Group 2: Copper Market - Copper prices are expected to remain volatile due to macroeconomic factors, with London copper, Shanghai copper, and US copper showing respective changes of +0.99%, +1.12%, and +1.86% [2] - Domestic copper inventory is decreasing, with London copper at 136,000 tons, New York copper at 381,000 short tons, and Shanghai copper at 109,000 tons, showing changes of -0.13%, +3.23%, and -4.89% respectively [2] - The operating rate for electrolytic copper rods increased by 4.91 percentage points to 66.88% [2] Group 3: Lithium Market - Lithium demand has exceeded expectations, with lithium carbonate prices rising by 5.91% to 85,200 yuan/ton and spodumene concentrate increasing by 8.52% to 1,006 USD/ton [4][5] - Lithium carbonate production reached 21,500 tons, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1%, while weekly inventory decreased by 2.8% to 120,500 tons [4][5] - The lithium sector is expected to see a profit turning point as inventory continues to decline [5] Group 4: Cobalt Market - The tight supply of cobalt raw materials remains unchanged, with cobalt prices expected to continue rising, as MB cobalt increased by 0.53% to 23.65 USD/pound and domestic cobalt prices rose by 3.39% to 397,000 yuan/ton [5] - The Democratic Republic of Congo has lifted its cobalt export ban, transitioning to a quota system, but current export approvals are still pending, indicating a continued tight supply in the short term [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry in China [6]. Core Viewpoints - As expectations for interest rate cuts fluctuate, the focus should shift to sectors benefiting from mid-term fiscal policy initiatives [10][13]. - The copper sector is expected to see upward price movement due to supply constraints and increased demand from AI data centers [10][13]. - The lithium carbonate sector is poised for growth as policy improvements enhance the economic viability of energy storage projects [10][14]. - The gold sector is anticipated to experience price stability in the short term, with a bullish outlook for the medium term driven by credit and risk factors [10][15]. Summary by Sections Copper Sector - Supply guidance has been continuously revised downward, with a cumulative reduction exceeding 500,000 tons for 2025, indicating tightening supply conditions [10][13]. - Demand for copper is expected to rise significantly due to the expansion of AI data centers, with projected cumulative usage exceeding 4.3 million tons from 2025 to 2035 [10][13]. Lithium Sector - Recent policy changes have improved the economic feasibility of energy storage, with a notable strategic partnership between Haibo Shichuang and CATL for a significant battery cell procurement order [10][14]. - The demand for lithium is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by favorable policies [10][14]. Steel Sector - Steel production is entering a peak demand season, with slight increases in iron output and a decrease in rebar consumption [10][16][20]. - Overall inventory levels for steel are declining, indicating a tightening market [10][22]. - Profitability for most steel products is recovering, with cost differentiation observed across various steel types [10][26]. New Energy Metals - In October 2025, China's lithium carbonate production surged by 67.28% year-on-year, reflecting strong supply growth [10][41]. - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with significant year-on-year increases in production and sales [10][45]. Price Trends - Prices for lithium and cobalt have shown upward trends, while nickel prices have experienced slight declines [10][50][51]. - The overall steel price index has seen minor fluctuations, with specific products experiencing varied price movements [10][36][37].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [8]. Core Views - The demand outlook in the energy storage sector remains positive, driving significant price increases in lithium chemical products [4]. - The end of the U.S. government shutdown has led to a shift in market sentiment, with expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve becoming more uncertain [12][13]. - The overall market for precious metals is characterized by a strong performance, with gold and silver prices benefiting from geopolitical uncertainties and inflation concerns [12][74]. Summary by Sections 1. Precious Metals - The U.S. government shutdown has ended, but expectations for a rate cut in December have become more volatile, impacting market confidence [12]. - Gold prices have shown resilience, supported by geopolitical risks and inflation concerns, while silver prices have also increased significantly [74]. - Key stocks to watch include Zhaojin Mining, Zijin Mining, and others in the A-share and H-share markets [14]. 2. Industrial Metals - The market for copper remains tight, with supply disruptions contributing to price support, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate due to seasonal demand [15][18]. - The anticipated increase in investment and consumption due to potential Federal Reserve rate cuts is expected to further support copper prices [18]. - Notable stocks include Jiangxi Copper, Luoyang Molybdenum, and others [18]. 3. New Energy Metals - The lithium market is experiencing a tight supply situation, with strong demand from the energy storage sector driving prices higher [19]. - The production of lithium iron phosphate is expected to increase, further supporting price stability [19]. - Key stocks in this sector include Ganfeng Lithium, Yahua Industrial, and others [20]. 4. Other Minor Metals - The rare earth market is showing a mixed outlook, with price increases in raw materials but cautious purchasing behavior from separation enterprises [21][24]. - The market for antimony and tungsten is also experiencing fluctuations, with specific stocks recommended for monitoring [24]. 5. Market Review - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 1.1%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [25][26]. - Notable stock performances include Fangyuan Co. with a 34.59% increase and Yunlu Co. with a 14.98% decrease [28]. 6. Valuation - The non-ferrous metals sector is currently valued at a PE ratio of 26.47, with aluminum expected to see valuation increases due to supply constraints and higher green metal value [35].

Core Viewpoint - The expectation for interest rate cuts has cooled, leading to fluctuations in COMEX gold futures prices, which briefly surpassed $4,215 before declining to around $4,194 per ounce [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Gold-related ETFs have experienced declines, with the Huaxia Gold ETF (518850) down 0.51%, the Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650) down 1.24%, and the Gold Stocks ETF (159562) down 1.51% [1] - Major holdings in these ETFs, such as Jiangxi Copper and Zhaojin Mining, have also seen significant drops in their stock prices [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Commentary - Multiple Federal Reserve officials have expressed hesitance regarding the prospect of further rate cuts in December, including San Francisco Fed President Daly, who stated it is too early to determine if a cut is warranted [1] - The market's expectations for a December rate cut have fluctuated, with the latest CME FedWatch Tool indicating a 51.6% probability for a 25 basis point cut and a 48.4% probability for maintaining the current rate [1] Group 3: Gold Price Dynamics - The Federal Reserve's cautious stance is contributing to gold price volatility, with the overall trend remaining strong until clearer policy signals emerge [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hai'an Group (001233.SZ) is set to be publicly offered on the Shenzhen Main Board, focusing on the research, production, and sales of giant all-steel engineering radial tires and mining tire operation management [1][2]. Company Overview - Hai'an Group is recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and was awarded the title of "specialized and innovative 'little giant'" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in 2021 [1]. - The company has been acknowledged as a "service-oriented manufacturing demonstration enterprise" since 2018 [1]. Financial Information - The offering price is set at 48.00 yuan per share, with an institutional quotation of 48.93 yuan per share, and a market capitalization of 6.695 billion yuan [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.94, compared to the industry average P/E ratio of 26.38 [2]. - The company plans to allocate raised funds for various projects, including: - Expansion of all-steel giant engineering radial tire production: 1.945 billion yuan (65.90%) - Automation upgrades for production lines: 371 million yuan (12.56%) - R&D center construction: 286 million yuan (9.69%) - Working capital: 350 million yuan (11.86%) [2]. Market Position - Giant engineering tires are defined as tires with a rim diameter of 49 inches or more, primarily used in large mining dump trucks and loaders [3]. - The global market for all-steel giant tires has seen growth from 167,000 units in 2017 to 215,000 units in 2022, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.18% [3]. - Hai'an Group has become the third manufacturer globally capable of mass-producing a full range of all-steel giant tires, breaking the domestic market monopoly held by international brands [3]. Production and Sales - In 2022, Hai'an Group ranked first in domestic production and fourth globally for giant tire output [4]. - The company has established a significant customer base, including well-known domestic firms such as Zijin Mining and XCMG [4]. - Hai'an Group has a global presence with 12 overseas subsidiaries, selling products to dozens of countries and regions, with over 75% of revenue coming from exports [4]. Revenue Trends - The proportion of overseas sales in the main business revenue is projected to be 65.19% in 2022, increasing to 76.16% in 2023, and stabilizing around 67.18% by mid-2025 [4]. - Revenue from the Russian market has significantly increased, especially following the exit of major international brands from that market [4].

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Group has expanded its civil explosives business by acquiring 100% equity of Beijing Mining and Metallurgy Blasting Technology Engineering Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Beijing Mining Blasting") for 110.1 million yuan, aligning with national policies and enhancing its competitive edge in the industry [2][4]. Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - The acquisition was confirmed on November 13, with Cathay Group participating in a public auction for the 100% equity of Beijing Mining Blasting [4]. - The transaction price was set at 110.1 million yuan, and the seller is Beijing North Mining Yibo Technology Co., Ltd. [4]. - The acquisition aims to strengthen Cathay Group's integrated civil explosives business and meet the production capacity requirements outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][4]. Business Synergy and Capabilities - Beijing Mining Blasting has a strong operational base in Jiangxi province, holding first-class blasting qualifications and technical reserves, which will enhance business synergy with Cathay Group [2][6]. - The company serves Jiangxi Copper's mining operations and has an annual production capacity of 8,000 tons of mixed explosives, which aligns well with Cathay Group's core business [2][6]. Financial Performance - Beijing Mining Blasting reported stable financial performance, with revenues of 35.88 million yuan in 2023, 26.74 million yuan in 2024, and 11.97 million yuan for the first seven months of 2025 [6][8]. - Net profits for the same periods were 5.80 million yuan, 4.46 million yuan, and 1.66 million yuan, respectively [6][8]. - As of July 2025, the company had total assets of 58.17 million yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 13.66% [6][7]. Valuation and Market Context - The total equity of Beijing Mining Blasting was appraised at 85.69 million yuan as of December 31, 2024, reflecting a 77.78% increase in value [10]. - The acquisition aligns with recent government initiatives encouraging consolidation in the civil explosives industry to create a more self-sufficient supply chain [10].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic market is increasingly recognizing the valuation of precious metals and non-ferrous resource stocks, with significant inflows of capital driving a strong upward trend in related assets [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 13, 2023, the A-share market saw a comprehensive surge in precious metals and non-ferrous metals, with gold stocks ETF (159562) rising by 3.07% and non-ferrous metals ETF (516650) increasing by 4.06%, significantly outperforming the market [1]. - As of the close on November 13, domestic gold and silver futures rose by 1.56% and 5.48%, respectively, with silver reaching a historical high of 12,588 yuan per kilogram [4]. - The lithium metal sector led the A-share market with a 7.03% increase, while other non-ferrous metals like lead, zinc, nickel, and cobalt also saw gains of over 4% [6]. Group 2: Economic Drivers - The recent bullish trend in resource metals is supported by a favorable international macroeconomic environment, domestic policies, and industry factors, including the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the U.S. trade protectionism [11][12]. - The World Gold Council reported that 95% of surveyed central banks plan to increase their gold holdings in the next 12 months, indicating a strong demand for gold as a "super-sovereign currency" [12]. Group 3: Sector Growth - The lithium battery sector has experienced explosive growth, with domestic sales of new energy vehicles reaching 11.196 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.55% [16]. - The copper market is projected to face a supply shortage, with demand expected to reach 27.29 million tons by 2025, while supply growth lags behind at only 1.1% [17]. - The aluminum sector is characterized by China's dominance, accounting for over 60% of global production and consumption, which provides a significant cost advantage for Chinese aluminum companies [18]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous metals ETF (516650) has seen a substantial inflow of funds, with a net inflow of 1.755 billion yuan from August 14 to October 17, 2023, and a year-to-date share increase of 900.76% [24]. - The gold stock ETF (159562) has also performed well, with a year-to-date increase of 86.98%, benefiting from the rising gold prices and favorable tax policies for virtual gold investments [26]. - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector has been outstanding, with 60 out of 90 non-ferrous concept stocks in the A-share market rising over 50% this year [19].

Core Insights - The industrial metals sector experienced a significant increase of 3.57% on November 13, with Xingye Silver Tin leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4029.5, up 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13476.52, up 1.78% [1] Industrial Metals Sector Performance - Xingye Silver Tin (000426) closed at 33.50, with a rise of 10.02% and a trading volume of 1.0651 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 3.507 billion [1] - Guocheng Mining (000688) also saw a significant increase of 10.01%, closing at 24.39 with a trading volume of 500,600 shares, resulting in a transaction value of 1.198 billion [1] - Other notable performers included Jinhui Co. (603132) with a 10.00% increase, closing at 15.07, and Minfa Aluminum (002578) with a 9.93% increase, closing at 4.87 [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The industrial metals sector saw a net inflow of 3.242 billion in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 2.452 billion [2] - The main funds' net inflow was particularly strong in stocks like Xingye Silver Tin and Guocheng Mining, despite overall retail outflows [3]