Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the banking sector [4]. Core Insights - As of January 23, 2026, eight banks have reported stable growth in performance and maintained asset quality. The outlook for 2026 suggests continued improvement in bank performance, supported by narrowing interest margin declines and decreasing credit costs [2][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Indicators - Eight banks reported their performance for 2025, showing stable growth and asset quality. The revenue growth rates for major banks were as follows: - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank: +1.9% - Industrial Bank: +0.2% - China Merchants Bank: +0.01% - CITIC Bank: -0.6% - Regional banks showed varied performance, with Nanjing Bank at +10.5%, Ningbo Bank at +8.0%, Hangzhou Bank at +1.1%, and Suzhou Rural Bank at +0.4% [4][6]. 2. Scale and Growth - Quality regional banks continued to experience strong credit growth. By the end of 2025, asset growth rates were: - Nanjing Bank: 16.6% - Ningbo Bank: 16.1% - Hangzhou Bank: 12.0% - Loan growth rates were: - Nanjing Bank: 13.4% - Ningbo Bank: 17.4% - Hangzhou Bank: 14.3% - Overall deposit growth remained stable, with city commercial banks maintaining a growth rate of over 10% and joint-stock banks at 7%-8% [4][6]. 3. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios showed a stable or declining trend across the eight banks, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank at 1.26%, Suzhou Rural Bank at 0.88%, and CITIC Bank at 1.15%. The provision coverage ratios remained robust, with Hangzhou Bank and China Merchants Bank showing a decline of over 10 percentage points but still at high absolute levels [4][6]. 4. Outlook for 2026 - The report anticipates continued improvement in bank performance in 2026, driven by: - A narrowing decline in interest margins leading to improved net interest income growth. - Increased fee income from insurance and wealth management channels. - Continued resolution of risks in key corporate sectors and stabilization of retail risk exposure [4][6]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines for 2026: 1. Identifying banks with potential for performance growth, recommending Ningbo Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Nanjing Bank. 2. Considering banks with convertible bond expectations, recommending Chongqing Bank and Changshu Bank. 3. Continuing dividend strategies, recommending Bank of Communications, Jiangsu Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expectation that the sector will outperform the benchmark index [1]. Core Insights - The banking index has declined by 8.4% since December, primarily due to concerns over real estate and interest rate cuts, leading to a valuation drop to 0.65x PB, which is at the 65th percentile over the past five years. Some quality stocks are offering a dividend yield close to 6% for 2025 [2][6]. - Despite the market's concerns, the core revenue trends in the banking sector remain positive. Eight banks, including Nanjing and Ningbo, reported improved revenues and profits for 2025, suggesting a favorable outlook for 2026 as net interest margins stabilize and wealth management income contributes positively [7][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality banks with strong fundamentals and earnings elasticity, such as Ningbo, Nanjing, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, as well as those with excellent dividend yield ratios like Shanghai and Chengdu banks [7][9]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report highlights specific banks with investment recommendations: - Chengdu Bank (601838 CH): Buy with a target price of 23.25 [5]. - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (3618 HK): Buy with a target price of 8.34 [5]. - Nanjing Bank (601009 CH): Buy with a target price of 14.78 [5]. - Shanghai Bank (601229 CH): Buy with a target price of 12.38 [5]. - Ningbo Bank (002142 CH): Buy with a target price of 35.12 [5]. - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077 CH): Hold with a target price of 8.29 [5]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the banking sector's credit issuance has been robust at the start of 2026, with a significant portion of new credit issued in January, indicating a shift in lending patterns. The focus remains on sectors like transportation, energy, and manufacturing [9][10]. - The report anticipates a narrowing of the decline in net interest margins for 2026, driven by the optimization of funding costs and stabilization in new loan pricing. The impact of potential interest rate cuts by the central bank is expected to be limited due to the timing of loan repricing [10][21]. Performance Metrics - The report provides performance metrics for various banks, indicating improvements in revenue and profit growth for several institutions. For instance, Nanjing Bank is projected to achieve a net profit of 219 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 8.5% [26]. - The report also highlights the asset quality of banks, noting that the average non-performing loan ratio for mortgage loans remains below 1%, indicating manageable risk levels [6][9].

基金管理人在四季报中表示，展望2026年一季度，宏观环境与市场格局有望呈现新的特征：中美贸易环境大概率改善，国内政策刺激预期保持平稳，反内卷 进展相对缓慢，出口仍将是经济增长的重要贡献项，而消费受以旧换新补贴退坡影响可能面临回落压力，地产投资仍处于磨底阶段，整体经济维持弱复苏态 势，PPI预计温和修复。流动性方面，海外市场主要博弈美联储主席换届带来的政策不确定性，国内货币政策环境将继续保持宽松。风格层面，春季躁动行 情下成长风格有望相对占优，红利风格或较难跑出显著超额收益，但中长期资金入市与国家队托底的背景下，红利资产仍具备一定支撑。基金将延续行业配 置相对均衡的思路，在红利组合中重点筛选成长与估值匹配度较高、具备长期投资价值的优质企业，力争精准把握市场结构性机会。 截至1月22日，汇添富红利增长混合A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为6.30%，位于同类可比基金179/265；近半年复权单位净值增长率为17.99%，位于同类 可比基金186/265；近一年复权单位净值增长率为31.70%，位于同类可比基金189/265；近三年复权单位净值增长率为21.16%，位于同类可比基金113/256。 通过所选区间该基金净 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the AI Fund, which reported a profit of 6.1281 million yuan in the fourth quarter of 2025, with a net value growth rate of 3.55% [3] - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value stands at 1.183 yuan, and the fund manager, Cai Zhen, oversees 13 funds [3] - The highest one-year return among the funds managed is 54.44% for the Zhaoshang CSI 1000 Enhanced Strategy ETF, while the lowest is 5.32% for Zhaoshang Anyang Bond A [3] Group 2 - The fund management indicated that the highest weight in their portfolio is in the banking sector, with a strategy to keep the allocation to the CSI Dividend Index below 3% [4] - The fund is currently overweight in the machinery and electronics sectors, while underweight in transportation and coal, based on growth potential considerations [4] - The top ten holdings of the fund as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2025 include BOE Technology Group, Sany Heavy Industry, Hikvision, Jiangsu Bank, Shanghai Bank, CRRC Corporation, Haier Smart Home, Ping An Insurance, Weichai Power, and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The return variance of funds has widened, and convertible bond funds have outperformed active products. The scale of public funds' convertible bond holdings decreased by 2.6% to 30.83 billion yuan, less than the overall market scale decline of -7%. Most convertible bond funds achieved positive returns, and there was an obvious trend of funds flowing from passive to active products [1][13]. - In Q4 2025, funds mainly increased positions in bank, military, photovoltaic industry targets and semiconductor new - issue bonds, and reduced positions in battery convertible bonds. Convertible bond funds led active - type funds, and the performance variance of active equity - oriented funds was extremely large [2]. - Among the high - performing products, Fund A, which ranked first in returns, adopted a quantitative strategy with outstanding asset - switching ability. Fund B, which ranked second, had excellent bond - selection ability, heavily invested in securities and technology, and significantly outperformed the index during the rising stage [3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Fund Holding Convertible Bond Scale and Fund Type Distribution - The convertible bond holding scale of first - and second - tier bond funds and flexible allocation funds slightly increased, while that of partial - debt hybrid and convertible bond funds decreased. The total asset value of convertible bond funds decreased from 67.85 billion yuan at the end of Q3 to 65.459 billion yuan [12]. - In Q4 2025, affected by multiple factors, the market mostly oscillated until late December. The scale of the convertible bond market continued to shrink, and the supply - demand contradiction was prominent. The convertible bond holding scale of public funds decreased by 830 million yuan to 30.83 billion yuan, with a decline of 2.6%, less than the overall market scale decline [13]. - The number of funds with a decreased convertible bond position in Q4 2025 was more than those with an increased position, and the ratio of adding - position funds to reducing - position funds was 0.74. The number of funds with a convertible bond position of more than 5% decreased significantly compared with Q2 and Q3 2025 [15][17]. - By fund type, first - tier bond funds, second - tier bond funds, convertible bond funds, partial - debt hybrid funds, and flexible allocation funds were the main forces in convertible bond allocation. More first - tier bond funds began to allocate convertible bonds in Q4 2025, and the scale of second - tier bond funds expanded most significantly [20][25]. - In terms of the price of convertible bonds held by public funds in Q4 2025, the proportion of balanced convertible bonds slightly increased, the position of bank convertible bonds remained stable, and the proportion of high - priced convertible bonds slightly decreased [27]. 3.2 2025 Q4 All Types of Fund Return Statistics - In Q4 2025, convertible bond funds led active - type funds, and the performance variance of active equity - oriented funds was extremely large. The average quarterly returns of ordinary stock funds and partial - equity hybrid funds were - 1.59% and - 1.94% respectively, with performance variances of 6.72% and 7.5% respectively. The average quarterly return of convertible bond funds was 0.86% [2][43]. - Most convertible bond funds achieved positive returns, and the trend of funds flowing from passive to active products was obvious. The median return of 41 convertible bond funds (including convertible bond funds, Xingquan Convertible Bond, and two ETFs) in Q4 was + 1.09%, and the return of convertible bond ETFs was 1.45%. The median return of these 41 products in the past year was 1.21% [46]. - Among the high - performing products, Fund A, which ranked first in returns, adopted a quantitative strategy, with the proportion of convertible bonds in the fund's total assets increasing significantly in Q4. It had outstanding asset - switching ability. Fund B, which ranked second, had excellent bond - selection ability, heavily invested in securities and technology, and significantly outperformed the index during the rising stage [3][51][62].

岁末年初是非法金融活动的高发时期。为贯彻落实国家打非联办关于做好岁末年初防范非法金融活动宣传教育工作有关要求，切实提升新就业形态劳动者 的金融素养与风险抵御能力，守护快递物流从业人员的财产安全，1月23日下午，在上海市金融风险防范处置工作机制指导下，由上海市金融稳定发展研 究中心、青浦区发展改革委、上海市两新组织党建服务中心联合主办，上海银行股份有限公司、青浦区华新镇人民政府、上海市快递行业协会、上海东方 网文化产业发展有限公司共同承办的2026年上海市防范非法金融活动专项行动启动仪式暨首场"金融可悦读·华新快递物流园区行"活动，在青浦区e通世界 华新园成功举办。相关监管机构、政府部门、司法机关及金融企业、行业协会等单位代表，以及快递物流人员与园区员工200余人参与活动。 针对快递物流行业工作节奏快、人员流动性大、社会接触面广的特点，本次活动创新采用"沉浸式体验+行业化定制"宣教模式，通过三大互动板块推动金 融知识入脑入心。原创舞台剧情景再现——上海戏剧学院师生倾情演绎《陷阱与防线——快递物流从业者金融安全警示》，以"黄金邮寄""黄金托管"等真 实案例为蓝本，生动揭露诈骗分子如何层层设套、利诱物流员工协助转移 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.23 票 研 究 主动基金环比持平，被动基金增持 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 陈惠琴(分析师) | 021-38676666 | chenhuiqin@gtht.com | S0880525100003 | 本报告导读： 25Q4 主动基金对银行持仓比例环比持平于 1.9%，被动基金持仓比例环比+1.6pct 至 7.0%，其中宁波银行、兴业银行、中国银行、建设银行等获主动基金增配。 25Q4 基金对银行持仓点评 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 2025 年四季度基金重仓持股情况披露（主动基金包括普通股票型、 偏股混合型、灵活配置型，被动基金包括被动指数型、指数增强型）： [Table_Report] 相关报告 商业银行《国有大行投放力度较大，不良压力或 企稳》20 ...

AI基金中欧国企红利混合A（019015）披露2025年四季报，第四季度基金利润70.08万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.017元。报告期内，基金净值增长率 为3.64%，截至四季度末，基金规模为5477.92万元。 该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至1月21日，单位净值为1.17元。基金经理是曲径，目前管理的8只基金近一年均为正收益。其中，截至1月22日，中欧金安 量化混合A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达61.83%；截至1月21日，中欧国企红利混合A最低，为14.5%。 基金管理人在四季报中表示，本基金是以中证国企红利指数为主要基准权重指数的，专注投资红利资产的量化基金，面对市场不确定性加剧的现状，我们将 风险敞口的管控调整得更为严谨。我们认为狭义的"红利"投资，也就是高股息的强势，有望将会扩散到具有潜在高分红能力的广义红利股。这类潜力高分红 的公司，往往具有经营壁垒高，ROE稳定，同时经营现金流充沛的特点。这类企业在未来具有持续分红的潜力，同时估值依然处在历史较低位置。我们认为 拥有这类经营稳健特征的国企央企呈现了较好的投资机会。 截至1月21日，中欧国企红利混合A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为1.33% ...

证券之星消息，1月23日城商行板块较上一交易日下跌1.01%，上海银行领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4136.16，上涨0.33%。深证成指报收于14439.66，上涨0.79%。城商行板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002948 | 青岛银行 | 4.52 | 2.49% | 108.02万 | 4.86亿 | | 601963 | 重庆银行 | 10.44 | 1.75% | 13.53万 | 1.41亿 | | 600928 | 西安银行 | 3.69 | 0.54% | 22.19万 | 8174.14万 | | 601997 | 豊阳银行 | 5.83 | 0.52% | 22.43万 | 1.31亿 | | 002936 | 郑州银行 | 1.91 | 0.00% | 88.24万 | 1.69亿 | | 001227 | 兰州银行 | 2.32 | 0.00% | 53.68万 | 1.25亿 | | 601577 | 长沙银行 | 9.37 | ...

固收加锐不可当，延续增长 [Table_Authors] 刘玉(分析师) 25Q4 公募基金转债持仓分析 本报告导读： Q4 固收+规模延续增长态势，震荡市下小幅增配权益、明显增持金融债，在提升权 益暴露的同时控制波动。 投资要点： 债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.23 | | 021-38038263 | | --- | --- | | | liuyu6@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523050002 | | | 孙飞帆(研究助理) | | | 021-23185647 | | | sunfeifan@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880125042242 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 带"负久期"特征的基金产品平均超额收益再测 算 2026.01.19 考虑政府债久期拉长与存款置换：大行 EVE 指标 空间再测算的四个要点 2026.01.15 长债供给放量，需要担忧资金收敛吗 2026.01.13 债券 ETF 持续缩量 2026.01.12 "负久期"、信用套息和地方债套保 2026.01.10 证 券 研 究 报 告 研 究 [ ...