Summary of Changbai Mountain Company Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance and operational strategies of Changbai Mountain Company, focusing on tourism and hospitality in the context of the scenic area. Key Points Visitor Statistics - In the first three quarters of 2025, Changbai Mountain received 3.06 million visitors, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [2][3] - In Q3 2025, the company welcomed 2.02 million visitors, marking a 20.24% increase compared to the same period last year [2][3] Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue reached 636 million yuan, up 6.99% year-on-year, with a net profit of 149 million yuan, reflecting a 1.05% increase [3] - Q3 revenue was 400 million yuan, a 17.78% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising by 19.43% to 151 million yuan [3] Impact of Transportation Infrastructure - The opening of the Shenbai High-Speed Railway on September 28, 2025, significantly boosted visitor numbers during the National Day holiday, with arrivals at Changbai Mountain station nearly doubling [6][11] - October saw an 18.25% increase in overall visitor numbers compared to the previous year, attributed to the railway's impact [6][11] Seasonal Performance and Marketing Strategies - The company plans to conduct marketing activities during the off-peak season to extend peak periods into quieter months, such as opening the Peace Ski Resort earlier [10] - Daily visitor numbers at the Peace Ski Resort have increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 60% to 70% [10] Hotel Performance - The Crowne Plaza Hotel reported a 20% increase in occupancy rates in November 2025 compared to the previous year, with a 10.45% rise in revenue from available rooms [13] - The hotel achieved full occupancy for several consecutive days in mid-November, indicating strong performance heading into the winter tourism season [13] Snow Season Expectations - The company anticipates a peak season for snow tourism due to early snowfall and a long holiday period extending into February 2026 [9][8] - New projects for the snow season, such as snowmobiles and snow sculpture attractions, are expected to enhance visitor experiences [8][16] New Developments and Future Plans - The second phase of the hot spring project is expected to launch in 2026, enhancing the area's facilities and attractiveness [14] - The company has added 142 new guest rooms in the Enduri area, which are projected to contribute significantly to revenue despite a short operational period [17] Competitive Landscape - The company maintains a cooperative relationship with other businesses in the area, such as Wanda and Luneng, focusing on shared growth rather than direct competition [19] Transportation and Operational Efficiency - Since 2022, the company has increased its vehicle fleet from over 600 to 900, supporting a rise in visitor numbers from 2.75 million in 2023 to an expected 3.41 million in 2024 [20][21] - The company aims to enhance transportation capacity while managing operational costs to improve profit margins [23] Guesthouse Performance - The Enduri brand guesthouses have shown promising occupancy rates since their opening, with expectations for improved performance during the snow season [25][26] Pricing and Policy Considerations - Transportation pricing within the scenic area is regulated by provincial authorities, while external services like charter buses can set their own prices [24] This summary encapsulates the key insights and operational strategies discussed during the conference call, highlighting the company's growth trajectory and future plans in the tourism and hospitality sector.

Group 1: Overall Strategy and Market Trends - The report highlights a dual-driven strategy where technology and cyclical sectors are rebalancing, with opportunities in the chemical industry emerging under the "anti-involution" trend [7][8] - The A-share market is experiencing accelerated capacity clearance, indicating a turning point for cyclical industries, particularly in chemicals, which show significant advantages over traditional sectors like steel and coal [8][9] - The chemical industry is expected to enter a new prosperity cycle driven by supply-demand recovery and anti-involution policies, with a notable decrease in capital expenditure and a resilient export market [9][10] Group 2: Industry-Specific Insights - The military industry is currently facing high valuations, with a PE-TTM of 67.34, indicating a slight decrease from previous weeks, while geopolitical uncertainties are expected to accelerate military orders [13][14] - The real estate sector shows signs of stabilization, with new home transaction areas increasing month-on-month, supported by government policies aimed at boosting investment and consumption [17][21] - The consumer services sector, particularly in tourism and dining, is witnessing a recovery, with companies like Ctrip and Haidilao reporting strong performance and expansion plans [24][25] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Lenovo Group is benefiting from the Windows 11 upgrade cycle, with a projected non-GAAP net profit growth of 21.8% for FY2026, reflecting strong supply chain resilience [29][30] - NetEase is expected to see growth driven by overseas gaming expansion and new game launches, with a projected net profit increase of 31.8% in Q3 2025 [34][35] - Dawi Technology is focusing on AI data centers, with plans to enhance its competitive edge through strategic partnerships and infrastructure development [38][39]

超配（维持） 强政策刺激消费，关注结构性机会 资料来源：iFind，东莞证券研究所 相关报告 投资要点： 消费者服务行业 2026 年投资策略 2025 年 11 月 24 日 推荐 分析师：邓升亮 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523050001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： dengshengliang@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340513040002 电话：0769-22119462 邮箱：whm2@dgzq.com.cn 消费者服务指数走势 投 资 策 略 行 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 消费者服务行业 ◼ 行业回顾：2025年年初以来，消费者服务指数整体波动上涨。截至 2025年11月20日，消费者服务指数整体上涨9.82%，跑输沪深300指 数。细分板块均上涨，其中免税行业受到多重政策支持利好出现较大 幅度上涨，带动旅游休闲板块上升，酒店餐饮板块竞争仍较激烈但供 需格局有所缓和。在政 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of "strong, change, and new" in the 2026 strategy for the trading industry, focusing on both external and internal demand, particularly through consumer exports and resource trading [1][3] Group 1: Industry Review and Trends - In 2025, the trading industry benefited from national subsidies, leading to a recovery in consumer demand, particularly in discretionary categories, with growth rates of 18-21% for various consumer goods [3][14] - The "anti-involution" trend has led to a recovery in production profits, with industrial profits showing over 20% year-on-year growth in August and September [3][23] - The rise of new consumption patterns, the impact of trade wars on consumer exports, and the significant increase in gold prices present unique opportunities for the industry [3][24][26] Group 2: Future Directions for the Trading Industry - Consumer exports and trade security are expected to play a crucial role in China's economy, with a focus on building "Chinese brands" globally [3][28] - The gold and jewelry retail sector is anticipated to remain a key area of focus in 2026, despite high gold prices, as consumer habits typically lag behind price changes [3][29] - The bulk trading sector is at a turning point, with potential for the emergence of large Chinese trading groups similar to Japan's trading houses [3][30] - Retail and tourism sectors are expected to undergo significant changes and reforms, providing marginal catalysts for growth [3][31] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Strong investment opportunities include companies involved in consumer exports such as Xiaoshangcheng, Anker Innovations, and Luguan Technology, as well as gold retail brands like Luk Fook Holdings and Chow Tai Fook [3][33] - Companies undergoing changes in trading cycles and brand development, such as Xiamen Xiangyu and Yonghui Superstores, are also recommended [3][34] - New consumption trends represented by brands like Laopu Gold and Pop Mart are highlighted as potential growth areas [3][35] - Companies with low valuations, including Huazhu Group and Miniso, are suggested for consideration [3][36] Group 4: Cross-Border E-commerce Growth - The cross-border e-commerce sector is experiencing high growth, with exports reaching 2.6 trillion yuan in 2024, a 10.8% increase year-on-year [42] - The sector's growth is driven by China's supply chain advantages and increasing e-commerce penetration in overseas markets [42][45] - Future growth in cross-border e-commerce is expected to be fueled by the branding of supply chains and the continued rise of overseas e-commerce platforms [42][45] Group 5: Bulk Supply Chain Recovery - The bulk supply chain industry is fragmented, with leading companies holding less than 2% market share, indicating significant growth potential [54] - The market concentration in the bulk supply chain sector is increasing, with leading companies showing continuous growth [54][58] - As domestic manufacturing becomes more specialized, the advantages of leading supply chain companies in terms of scale and efficiency are expected to enhance their market share [58]

行 华福证券 行 业 定 期 报 告 海南离岛免税政策方面，本周财政部等国家部委研究制定并出台 《公告》，为激发海南消费市场潜能注入新动力、拓展新空间，核心 包括品类拓展等利好政策，关注四季度海南封关主线下中国中免等海 南免税运营商。旅游标的方面，2025 年前三季度，国内居民出游人次 49.98 亿，比上年同期增加 7.61 亿，同比增长 18.0%，旅游出行 beta 不断向好，建议关注四季度冰雪游旺季公司长白山、大连圣亚，以及 拥有收并购预期的头部公司祥源文旅、西域旅游等。 黄金珠宝：税收新政落地，长期有望推动行业合规发展。 黄金税收新政发布后，针对黄金首饰产品，从上海金交所采购标 准黄金的增值税进项税抵扣额从 13%下降至 6%，企业税负成本增加， 预计成本压力将传导至终端，导致首饰产品价格提升。我们估计价格 变动短期将影响终端克重产品销售，长期看民众对高金价逐步接受后 终端消费有望回补，且水贝等渠道销售有望向合规金店转移。建议关 注一口价产品占比高的老铺黄金，公司产品价格相对稳定，金价持续 上行受益；其他建议关注潮宏基、菜百股份。 餐饮：关注具备成长动能的细分赛道龙头。 餐饮板块分化延续，看好具备成 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" investment rating for the consumer services industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [33]. Core Insights - The consumer services industry index rose by 3.82% from November 7 to November 20, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 6.56 percentage points during the same period [9][10]. - The report highlights strong growth in domestic travel, with outbound hotel and flight bookings reaching 140% of the levels seen in the same period of 2019, and inbound tourism bookings increasing by over 100% year-on-year [33][27]. - The implementation of digital technologies in the cultural and tourism sectors is expected to enhance the supply side of the tourism industry, promoting upgrades and new consumption scenarios [22][33]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The consumer services index continued its upward trend, ranking fourth among all CITIC first-level industry indices [9]. - The performance of sub-sectors varied, with comprehensive services down by 0.43%, while tourism and hotel sectors saw increases of 4.54% and 6.26%, respectively [10]. - A total of 27 listed companies in the industry reported positive returns, with the top five performers being Jinjiang Hotels, Junting Hotels, Caesar Travel, Changbai Mountain, and China Duty Free, showing increases of 11.23%, 9.49%, 9.16%, 9.08%, and 8.48% respectively [14] [10]. Industry News - The State Council issued an opinion to accelerate the application of digital technologies in the cultural and tourism sectors, aiming to integrate various digital experiences [22]. - Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the government of Kunshan City to enhance the local tourism industry [23]. - Ctrip's Q3 report indicated a robust recovery in domestic travel, with significant increases in international bookings [27]. Company Announcements - Junting Hotels announced a cash acquisition of the remaining 21% stake in its subsidiary, aiming for full ownership [28]. - Huazhu Group reported a 17.5% year-on-year increase in hotel revenue for Q3 2025, with a total revenue of 30.6 billion yuan [24]. Weekly Perspective - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks such as Jinjiang Hotels, Changbai Mountain, Emei Mountain A, Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, and China Duty Free, which are expected to benefit from the recovery in leisure travel demand [34][35].

Market Overview - The tourism and scenic spots sector experienced a decline of 3.08% on November 21, with Dalian Shengya leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Stock Performance - Dalian Shengya saw a significant drop of 10.00%, closing at 47.34, with a trading volume of 147,500 shares and a transaction value of 714 million [2] - Other notable declines included Tianfu Culture Tourism (-4.18%), Changzi Mountain (-4.08%), and Qujiang Culture Tourism (-3.93%) [2] Capital Flow - The tourism and scenic spots sector experienced a net outflow of 486 million from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 461 million [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Yunnan Tourism had a main fund net inflow of 10.99 million, while it faced a retail net outflow of 32.27 million [3] - Huangshan Tourism and Sanxia Tourism experienced significant net outflows from main funds, at 10.61 million and 11.62 million respectively, while both saw positive retail inflows [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Changbai Mountain International (603099) expects a significant reduction in net loss attributable to shareholders for the six months ending September 30, 2025, compared to a net loss of approximately RMB 601 million for the same period ending September 30, 2024, with the anticipated loss ranging between RMB 30 million and RMB 36 million [1] Group 1 - The expected net loss reduction is primarily due to the absence of additional impairment provisions after the sale of a property project in Fusong County, which previously required an impairment provision of approximately RMB 565 million (after deferred tax) [1] - The company has been actively implementing cost-saving measures during the current interim period [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Changbai Mountain International (00989) expects a significant reduction in net loss attributable to shareholders for the six months ending September 30, 2025, compared to a net loss of approximately RMB 601 million for the same period ending September 30, 2024, with the anticipated loss ranging between RMB 30 million and RMB 36 million [1] Group 1 - The substantial decrease in net loss is primarily due to the absence of additional impairment provisions after the sale of a property project in Fusong County, which previously required an impairment provision of approximately RMB 565 million (after deferred tax) [1] - The company has been actively implementing cost-saving measures during the current interim period [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Changbai Mountain International (00989.HK) expects a significant reduction in net loss attributable to shareholders for the six months ending September 30, 2025, compared to a net loss of approximately RMB 601.1 million for the corresponding period ending September 30, 2024, with the anticipated loss ranging between RMB 30 million and RMB 36 million [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company projects a net loss reduction of no less than 90% for the upcoming reporting period [1] - The expected net loss for the current period is estimated to be between RMB 30 million and RMB 36 million [1] Group 2: Reasons for Improvement - The significant decrease in net loss is primarily attributed to the absence of additional impairment provisions related to a property project in Fusong County, which recorded an impairment provision of approximately RMB 564.7 million (after deferred tax) in the corresponding period [1] - The company has been actively implementing cost-saving measures during the current reporting period [1]