Core Insights - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their performance and dividend yield as of December 15, 2025 [1][4] Group 1: Stock Performance - The top-performing stock is LuRi Co., Ltd. (002083.SZ) with a daily increase of 10.03% and a year-to-date increase of 138.01% [1][4] - Dai Mei Co., Ltd. (603730.SH) ranks second with a daily increase of 3.58% and a year-to-date increase of 22.61% [1][4] - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478.SZ) follows with a daily increase of 3.24% and a year-to-date increase of 69.53% [1][4] Group 2: Dividend Yields - Jiangsu Jinzhong (600901.SH) offers the highest dividend yield among the top 20 stocks at 6.70% [1][4] - Other notable dividend yields include Changsha Bank (601577.SH) at 6.54% and Huaxia Bank (600015.SH) at 5.97% [1][4] - The average dividend yield for the top 20 stocks varies, with several companies offering yields above 5% [1][4] Group 3: Additional Stock Insights - The performance of stocks like Midea Group (000333.SZ) shows a year-to-date increase of 12.77% despite a daily increase of only 1.37% [1][4] - Some stocks, such as Oppein Home Group (603833.SH), have experienced a year-to-date decline of 22.63% [1][4] - The data reflects a diverse range of performance and dividend strategies among the top stocks in the index [1][4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that the domestic solar installation in China is expected to reach 290 GW in 2025, influenced by policy changes, while the global solar installation is projected to grow steadily, particularly in emerging markets like the Middle East and India [1][2]. Demand - Domestic solar installations from January to October 2025 are projected at 252.87 GW, a year-on-year increase of 39%, with an expected total of 290 GW for the year [2] - In the overseas market, the US and Europe are expected to add 50 GW and 70 GW respectively in 2025, maintaining year-on-year stability [2] - Emerging markets, especially in the Middle East and India, are anticipated to contribute significantly to growth, with projections of 28 GW and 31 GW respectively, representing increases of 87% and 29% [2] - Global new solar installations are expected to reach 599 GW in 2025, an 11% increase, but will slightly decline to 588 GW in 2026 due to a decrease in domestic installations [2] Supply - The industry is expected to see a halt in capacity expansion for silicon wafers and modules starting in 2026, which may alleviate the current oversupply situation [3] - Companies are facing profitability pressures, with a focus on cash flow quality and debt structure becoming more critical than profits [3] - A joint storage platform established by leading silicon material companies aims to address the issues of oversupply and price discrepancies in the industry [3] Industry Chain - The silicon material industry is projected to have a total capacity of approximately 3 million tons by the end of 2025, with current operating rates at 37% [4] - Silicon material prices have rebounded to around 50 yuan, with profit margins expected to recover in 2026 [4] - The module prices have seen a cumulative decline of over 60% since their peak in 2023, but leading companies are experiencing a narrowing of margin declines [4] - The inverter market is expected to see significant growth, particularly in large-scale and commercial storage [4] Investment Recommendations - Focus on high-growth areas such as inverters and mounting systems, with specific companies highlighted for their strong market positions [5][6] - Beneficiaries of supply-side reforms and cost advantages include leading silicon material companies and strong channel advantage module manufacturers [5][6] - New technology leaders in materials and perovskite solar cells are also recommended for investment consideration [6]

国证新能源电池指数聚焦储能产业链核心环节，储能系统占比约65%，有望深度受益于储能产业贝塔的 持续上行。储能电池ETF（159566）是目前全市场聚焦储能领域规模第一的ETF，可助力投资者一键布 局产业链龙头。 今日早盘市场走势分化，算力硬件方向震荡回调，光伏、储能等部分新能源赛道接力上涨，国证新能源 电池指数冲高回落后再次翻红，截至10:42上涨0.1%，成份股中，固德威涨超8%，英维克涨超4%，德 业股份、新风光涨超3%。跟踪该指数的储能电池ETF（159566）上周累计净流入超3.5亿元，产品最新 规模约35亿元、创下历史新高。 消息面上，11月国内储能共计完成招标10GW，同比增长116%，而北美10月储能装机达1.67GW，同比 增长122%，全球主要储能市场均延续了较高的景气度。 有分析表示，随着越来越多的省份出台容量电价与峰谷套利等政策，储能IRR收益率普遍达到 6%-12%，部分地区甚至更高，项目建设热情持续高涨；海外全球人工智能浪潮高速推进，随着数据中 心等基础设施建设越来越多，行业除缺芯外，当前也出现越发明显的缺电趋势。 ...

Core Insights - The report from Guosen Securities highlights several key areas of investment opportunity in the energy sector, particularly focusing on the growth of global energy storage demand, the expansion of AIDC power equipment industry, advancements in green methanol, adjustments in the photovoltaic supply side, recovery in the power grid equipment sector, and the impact of rising lithium battery material prices on profitability, as well as the progress in solid-state battery industrialization [1]. Group 1: Power Equipment Demand - The demand for power equipment is expected to grow rapidly in the AI era, driven by companies like Google Cloud, OpenAI, and TikTok planning to build data centers, which accelerates the infrastructure for AI [2]. - The global data center construction is accelerating, leading to an explosive growth in power demand for equipment in the AI sector [2]. Group 2: Energy Storage Demand - Global energy storage demand is continuously increasing, with a projected 404 GWh of installed capacity by 2026, representing a 38% year-on-year growth [3]. - Factors driving this demand include power supply shortages due to data centers in the U.S., unstable power grids in Europe, and supportive government policies in emerging markets [3]. Group 3: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery supply chain is expected to see a reversal of the downtrend in prices, with significant recovery in prices and profitability anticipated by 2026 [4]. - New technologies such as steel-shell batteries, silicon anodes, and large energy storage cells are expected to achieve mass supply by 2026, while solid-state battery technology is accelerating towards industrialization [4]. Group 4: Wind Power Sector - The domestic wind power sector is projected to maintain a 10%-20% growth in new installations by 2026, supported by saturated orders and stable pricing [5]. - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is improving, with exports contributing to performance growth, indicating a synchronized recovery in both domestic and international markets [5]. Group 5: Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic sector is undergoing supply-side adjustments, with a focus on cost reduction through new technologies such as low-silver and silver-free pastes, which are nearing mass production by 2026 [6]. - Companies in the photovoltaic industry are increasingly expanding into the semiconductor field, indicating a strategic shift in their business models [6].

需求：全球装机持续增长，中国装机高位回落。2025年国内受136号文影响1-10月装机252.87GW，同比+39%，整体装机处于高位，预计全年装机 290GW，26年装机215GW，同降26%。海外市场，预计25年美国/欧洲新增装机50/70GW，同比持平，后续保持15-21%稳定增长态势。新兴市场贡献较多 增量，尤其是中东及印度国家项目规划推动，装机增速或超预期，预计25年分别达28/31GW，同增87%/29%。我们预计2025年全球新增光伏装机 599GW，同增11%，预计2026年全球新增光伏装机588GW，同减2%，受国内装机有所回落所致。 供给：反内卷陆续起效，价格逐步回升 1）各环节产能扩张停止，过剩情况有望缓解：随着行业反内卷的推进，我们预计26年起硅片、组件等环节产能扩 张将停止，甚至将出现减产，供需过剩有望改善。2）企业盈利承压，看好开工率温和回升：组件、电池、硅片环节普遍亏损，行业仍处去库与资金紧平 衡阶段，现金流质量与负债结构成为比利润更关键的因素；开工率方面，当前排产仍处底部区间，但在硅料端产能出清、自律减产带动下，行业有望在淡 季过后迎来排产的温和回升。3）头部企业建立共同体，推 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of December 12, 2025 [1][4]. - The stock with the highest daily increase is Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478.SZ) with a daily rise of 10.04% and a year-to-date increase of 64.21% [1][4]. - Other notable performers include Jiufeng Energy (605090.SH) with a daily increase of 9.99% and a year-to-date increase of 38.54%, and Jianlin Home (603408.SH) with a daily increase of 9.98% and a year-to-date increase of 22.34% [1][4]. Group 2 - The dividend yields for the top stocks range from 1.43% to 7.67%, with Yongxin Co., Ltd. (002014.SZ) offering the highest yield at 7.67% [1][4]. - The data indicates that several companies, such as Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) and De Ye Co., Ltd. (605117.SH), have shown significant year-to-date increases of 79.46% and 57.02%, respectively [1][4]. - The overall performance of the index reflects a diverse range of industries, including energy, home appliances, and aluminum production, showcasing potential investment opportunities [1][4].

Core Insights - The energy storage industry is transitioning from simple scale and price competition to a multi-dimensional competition focusing on technological innovation, globalization, integrated layout, and capital strength [2] - A new generation of young leaders is emerging in the energy storage sector, driving the integration of industry, capital, and technological innovation [2] - The "Top Ten Young Leaders in China's Lithium Battery Industry" initiative aims to identify outstanding young leaders under 40 who are forward-thinking and innovative [2] Company Achievements - DeYe股份 (605117.SH) has shifted its focus to the photovoltaic and energy storage sectors, achieving a global market share of over 50% in user-side energy storage inverters [6][7] - In 2025, DeYe股份 reported a revenue of 88.46 billion RMB and a profit of 23.47 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 10.36% and 4.79% respectively [6] - The company is pivoting towards the commercial energy storage sector, with a projected annual sales revenue of approximately 48.76 billion RMB from its new production line [7] Market Strategy - DeYe股份 has successfully targeted emerging markets such as South Africa and Brazil, with a 2023 inverter export value of 1.26 billion RMB to South Africa [7] - The company announced a strategic adjustment to focus on commercial energy storage, reallocating 6.51 billion RMB of unused funds towards this initiative [7][8] Global Expansion - DeYe股份 is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global development strategy and brand influence [8] Industry Trends - 天合光能 (688599.SH) is transitioning from a photovoltaic manufacturer to a comprehensive energy solution provider, with a cumulative energy storage system shipment exceeding 10 GWh [11][12] - The company aims to achieve a storage shipment target of 8 GWh in 2025, with expectations to double this figure in 2026 [12][13] Performance Metrics - 瑞浦兰钧 (0666.HK) reported a revenue of 94.91 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 24.9% [17] - The company is focusing on high-quality development and has established a strong global presence with subsidiaries in Germany, the USA, and Indonesia [16][17] Financial Growth - 锦浪科技 (300763.SZ) saw a 313.51% year-on-year increase in energy storage revenue, reaching 7.93 billion RMB in the first half of 2025 [21] - The company is expected to achieve a total shipment of 250,000 to 300,000 units in 2025, reflecting a growth of over 180% [21] Technological Innovation - 华宝新能 has developed a new generation of DIY balcony energy storage systems and outdoor power supplies, with a revenue of 29.42 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 37.95% increase [25] - The company holds 1,939 patents globally, indicating a strong commitment to technological innovation [25] Market Position - 鹏辉能源 (300438.SZ) achieved a significant turnaround in Q3 2025, with a revenue increase of 74.96% and a net profit increase of 977.24% [28] - The company is focusing on high-capacity energy storage cells and has made significant advancements in technology [29] Competitive Landscape - 国轩高科 (002074SZ) ranked seventh globally in power battery installation and eighth in energy storage cell shipments as of 2025 [32] - The company reported a revenue of 295.08 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 17.21% [32] Product Development - 禾迈股份 (688032.SH) launched a new series of low-voltage energy storage inverters and achieved a revenue of approximately 3 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 67% increase [36] - The company is targeting significant growth in overseas markets, particularly in Europe, Latin America, and North America [36]

Investment Ratings - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both the power equipment and environmental protection sectors [1]. Core Views - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the application of green electricity and promotes the development of hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, and energy storage, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in green energy sectors in 2026 [3]. - Domestic energy storage saw significant growth in November, with newly installed capacity reaching 4.51GW/13.03GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 57.14% in power and 74.66% in capacity [3][7]. - The report highlights the importance of hydrogen and green fuels as new growth points, with expectations for increased investment in these areas due to supportive policies and market conditions [4]. Summary by Sections Energy Storage - Domestic energy storage is experiencing a boom, with November's new installations showing a 45.95% year-on-year increase in power and a 49.6% increase in capacity [3][7]. - The report anticipates that independent energy storage tenders will maintain a good level in 2026, supported by a complete revenue model through energy markets and auxiliary services [3]. Hydrogen and Green Fuels - The report suggests that hydrogen and methanol will play a crucial role in the non-electric applications of green electricity, with significant investment expected in these areas [4]. - The development of zero-carbon parks and factories is also highlighted as a key initiative for 2026 [3]. Wind Power - The report notes that in 2024, onshore wind power installations are expected to reach 75.8GW, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while offshore wind installations are projected to be 4.0GW, a decrease of 40.85% [8]. - The bidding capacity for wind power equipment in 2024 is expected to be 164.1GW, a 90% increase year-on-year [13]. Lithium Battery - The report indicates that the demand for lithium batteries remains strong, with December's retail sales of new energy vehicles expected to show a bright performance despite a year-on-year decline of 17% [19]. - The supply chain for lithium batteries is expected to stabilize, with ongoing negotiations for long-term contracts and price adjustments [22][23].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights a new growth cycle for energy storage, projecting significant increases in installed capacity and demand in both domestic and international markets [2][5][32] - Domestic energy storage demand is driven by capacity pricing and innovative business models, with a projected installed capacity of 163 GWh in 2025, a 47% year-on-year increase, and 265 GWh in 2026, a 60% increase [2][32] - Internationally, the U.S. is experiencing a surge in demand due to AI data centers, while Europe and emerging markets are also showing strong growth potential [2][34] Group 2: Domestic Market Dynamics - In the domestic market, the introduction of capacity pricing subsidies by local governments has significantly boosted the internal rate of return (IRR) for energy storage projects, with IRR rates ranging from 6% to 12% [2][13] - The report notes that from January to November 2025, domestic energy storage bidding reached 190 GWh, a 138% increase year-on-year, with a total of 175 GWh awarded [2][27] - The cumulative installed capacity of domestic energy storage reached 72 GWh from January to October 2025, marking a 42% increase year-on-year [2][27] Group 3: International Market Trends - The U.S. is expected to see a demand for approximately 53 GWh of new energy storage installations in 2025, driven by AI data centers and peak load shortages [2][34] - In Europe, the energy storage market is projected to grow significantly, with an expected installation of 20 GWh in 2025, a 131% increase year-on-year, and 42 GWh in 2026, a 109% increase [2][34] - Emerging markets, particularly in the Middle East, Australia, Southeast Asia, and South America, are anticipated to contribute to a combined installation of 34 GWh in 2025, a 220% increase year-on-year [2][34] Group 4: Industry Chain and Competitive Landscape - The global demand for energy storage batteries is projected to reach 628 GWh in 2025, a 91% increase, and 663 GWh in 2026, a 61% increase [2][6] - The report indicates that leading companies in the energy storage sector, such as Tesla and BYD, are expected to strengthen their market positions as battery prices stabilize and production capacity increases [2][6] - The integration of large battery cells is expected to reduce system costs by 10-15%, enhancing the competitive advantage of leading firms [2][6] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends strong investment in large-scale energy storage companies, including Sungrow Power Supply, CATL, and BYD, as they are positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the market [2][6] - It also highlights the potential for growth in residential and commercial energy storage sectors, suggesting companies like DeYe and Airo Energy as promising investment opportunities [2][6]

2025 年 12 月 12 日 ︱证券研究部 叶海燕, CFA, CESGA 电话: +852 2533 3723 电邮: evayip@sbichinacapital.com 储能行业专题报告 储能风光无限，把握行业高景气 核心观点 全球能源转型加速、风光装机大幅增加令电网消纳压力攀升、储能经济性逐 步凸显、海内外支持政策频出，以及人工智能数据中心（AIDC）等新兴领域 崛起等多重驱动因素的共振之下，储能作为支撑构建新型电力系统的关键技 术，需求持续提升，而这一增长趋势有望在未来持续。据 EESA 统计，2019- 2023 年全球新型储能市场平均增速为 93%，2024 年全球储能新增装机约 188.5GWh，同比增长 80%，继续保持较高增速。EESA 预计 2025 年全球 储能市场新增装机将达到 265.1GWh，同比增长 41%。 碳中和承诺加速新能源的发展。"双碳"目标的大背景下，新型储能 2020 年 正式进入商业化阶段，其中以锂电池储能为代表的电化学储能迎来高速增长。 2026 年储能市场或延续高速增长态势。核心的驱动因素包括：（1）能源结 构向低碳转型，全球范围内可再生能源发电占比不断上 ...