Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the non-ferrous metal sector, with notable increases in stocks such as Northern Rare Earth rising over 5% and both Luoyang Molybdenum and Western Mining increasing by over 2% [1] - Industrial non-ferrous related ETFs also saw gains, with an overall increase of over 2% in the market [1] Group 2 - Specific ETF performance includes: - Industrial Non-Ferrous ETF Wanji at a price of 1.912, up by 0.053 or 2.85% - Industrial Non-Ferrous ETF Penghua at a price of 0.984, up by 0.027 or 2.82% - Non-Ferrous Metal ETF Tianhong at a price of 0.997, up by 0.026 or 2.68% [2] - Analysts indicate that despite short-term market fluctuations, the long-term outlook for cyclical resource sectors like industrial non-ferrous remains promising, driven by industrial structural optimization and sustained demand growth [2] - Based on performance trend models, the current valuation of the industrial non-ferrous sector is deemed reasonable, with potential for a rebound, suggesting investors focus on its potential performance within the industry chain to capitalize on investment opportunities from recent declines [2]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant capital inflows into various stocks, highlighting potential investment opportunities in specific sectors such as energy metals, rare metals, and technology [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflows - The top stock with capital inflow is Greeenmei, attracting 1.312 billion yuan with a price increase of 9.84% [2] - Northern Rare Earth follows closely with 1.305 billion yuan inflow and a 4.94% rise [2] - Zijin Mining received 0.809 billion yuan with a 1.6% increase [2] - Zaiseng Technology saw a capital inflow of 0.763 billion yuan, marking a 10% rise [2] - Wangsu Technology attracted 0.701 billion yuan with a notable increase of 10.22% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The energy metals sector is represented by Greeenmei and Huayou Cobalt, both showing strong capital inflows and positive price movements [2] - The rare metals sector includes Northern Rare Earth and Zhongtung High-tech, both experiencing significant inflows and price increases [2] - The technology sector is highlighted by Wangsu Technology and Zaiseng Technology, both of which have seen substantial capital inflows and notable price gains [2][3]

www.ccxi.com.cn www.ccxi.com.cn 行业展望 联络人 作者 企业评级部 | 陈田田 010-66428877 | | --- | | ttchen@ccxi.com.cn | | 刘紫萱 010-66428877 | | zxliu@ccxi.com.cn | 其他联络人 王梦莹 010-66428877 mywang01@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 中国有色金属行业 中国有色金属行业展望，2026 年 2 月 在矿端供应偏紧、需求韧性较强的背景下，预计 2026 年有色金属行 业保持较高景气度，全球财政与货币政策调整、贸易摩擦、地缘政 治等因素将对行业发展形成扰动，基本金属价格中枢存在上行或高 位震荡预期；加工费低迷、行业竞争加剧令冶炼加工环节承压，行 业利润将进一步向资源自给率高、成本控制能力强的企业集中，整 体信用水平保持稳定。 中国有色金属行业展望为维持稳定，中诚信国际认为未来 12~18 个 月行业总体信用质量不会发生重大变化。 核心观点 1 2026 年 2 月 目录 核心观点 1 分析思路 2 行业基本面 2 行业财务表现 14 结论 22 附表 23 中诚信 ...

Market Overview - A-shares opened lower on February 11, with mixed performance across major indices. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4137.55 points, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.07%, and the ChiNext Index dropped 0.91% [2][3]. Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector showed a significant rebound, particularly in tungsten-related stocks, with companies like Xianglu Tungsten and others hitting the daily limit [5][6]. - The chemical sector also performed strongly, with multiple stocks reaching their daily limit, driven by price increases in various chemical products [9][11]. Individual Stock Highlights - Notable performers in the non-ferrous metals sector included: - Luoyang Molybdenum, up over 4% - Xianglu Tungsten, Zhangyuan Tungsten, and others hitting the daily limit - Prices for tungsten concentrate have risen, with 65% black tungsten quoted at 697,000 CNY/ton, up 7,000 CNY from the previous day [6][8]. - In the chemical sector, stocks like Sanfangxiang, Xinjinlu, and Jinniu Chemical all reached their daily limit, with Wanhuah Chemical rising over 4% [11][12]. Market Trends - The demand for tungsten and other minor metals is increasing due to rapid growth in high-demand sectors like new energy and photovoltaics, leading to a favorable market environment for these materials [8]. - A recent UBS report has raised expectations for the Chinese chemical industry, predicting a new upward cycle from 2026 to 2028, driven by multiple positive factors [12]. Media and Entertainment Sector - The media and entertainment sector experienced a significant pullback, with several stocks, including Huayi Brothers and Wanda Film, seeing declines of over 10% [19][20]. - The recent surge in film ticket sales during the Spring Festival has not sustained, leading to a sharp correction in stock prices [20].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4137.55 points, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.07% and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.91% [2][3] - A total of 2728 stocks rose, with 53 hitting the daily limit, while 2475 stocks declined. The trading volume for the day was 1.3 trillion yuan, a decrease of 949 billion yuan from the previous trading day [3] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector rebounded significantly, with tungsten-related stocks experiencing a surge, including companies like Xianglu Tungsten Industry and Zhongtung High-tech [4][5] - The chemical sector also showed strength, driven by price increases, with a report from UBS predicting a new upward cycle for the Chinese chemical industry from 2026 to 2028 [9] Individual Stock Highlights - Baichuan Co. saw its stock price rise sharply, achieving 8 consecutive limit-ups over 11 days, attributed to advancements in its new materials business and rising product prices. The company reported a projected 165% year-on-year increase in negative electrode material shipments by 2025 [9][10] - In the tungsten market, prices have been on the rise, with 65% black tungsten concentrate quoted at 697,000 yuan per ton, an increase of 7,000 yuan from the previous day [7] Media and Entertainment Sector - The media and entertainment sector faced a significant downturn, with major stocks like Huayi Brothers and Wanda Film dropping over 10%. This decline follows a previous surge driven by expectations of increased box office revenues during the Spring Festival [10][11][12]

有数据显示，2020–2022年锂电产业链涨价周期中，上游碳酸锂价格从4万元/吨底部启动，两年内最高 冲至60万元/吨，涨幅达14倍；当前时点产业扩产意愿显著低于2021年，2026年新增供给有限，而储能 等新兴需求持续超预期，稀有金属中具备类似资源刚性与下游高成长性的品种，价格弹性与盈利修复空 间值得重视。 此外，钴作为新能源与高温合金核心稀有金属，其供给格局正经历政策驱动型重塑。华西证券援引嘉能 可季报指出，刚果（金）已于2025年四季度解除钴出口禁令，转而实施配额管理制度，并允许未使用配 额延至2026年3月31日；嘉能可明确将优先保障铜出口，钴则按分配额度有序释放，超出配额部分以在 制品或成品形式在国内库存累积，该策略既响应监管要求，又为后续价格弹性预留空间。 稀有金属ETF基金（561800）跟踪的CS稀金属指数，该指数主要配置碳酸锂+小金属+稀土板块，碳酸 锂含量在30%~40%，是市面上含"锂"量最高的指数，为场内投资者提供一键布局稀有金属行业的优秀 投资工具。 场内ETF方面，截至2026年2月11日午间收盘，中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)强势上涨4.13%，成分股 东方钽业、章源钨业1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yongtai Technology plans to acquire a 25% stake in Yongtai High-tech from CATL through a share issuance, aiming to enhance its lithium battery materials business and improve profitability [2][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition will make Yongtai High-tech a wholly-owned subsidiary of Yongtai Technology, while CATL will become a shareholder of the listed company [4]. - Yongtai Technology currently holds a 75% stake in Yongtai High-tech, which specializes in lithium battery materials such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide [5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Yongtai High-tech's revenue fluctuated significantly, with reported revenues of 779 million yuan in 2021 and 1.454 billion yuan in 2022, but dropped to 639 million yuan in 2023 and is expected to decline further to 457 million yuan in 2024 [8]. - The company faced net losses of 325 million yuan in 2023 and 154 million yuan in 2024, but is projected to reduce losses to between 25.6 million and 48.6 million yuan in 2025, a decrease of over 90% compared to the previous year [8]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The demand for lithium battery materials surged due to the rapid growth in the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, leading to significant increases in sales and prices of core products [9]. - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate saw a dramatic increase from around 60,000 yuan per ton to 180,000 yuan per ton within a few months, marking a rise of over 280% [8]. Group 4: Strategic Implications - The acquisition is expected to maximize shareholder value by integrating assets at a reasonable price, while also enhancing collaboration with CATL in technology development and market expansion [9]. - CATL's investment aims to secure a stable supply of electrolyte materials and mitigate price volatility, reinforcing its long-term partnership with Yongtai Technology [10]. Group 5: Industry Trends - The transaction reflects a trend of consolidation at the bottom of the lithium battery supply chain, with leading companies strengthening collaboration through capital ties [13]. - CATL has invested in numerous suppliers across various segments of the lithium battery industry, creating a comprehensive ecosystem known as the "CATL system" [13].

Group 1 - Gold stocks continue to rise, with significant increases in companies such as WanGuo Gold Group (up 9.39%), Zijin Mining (up 3.5%), and Lingbao Gold (up 7.24%), driven by fluctuating gold prices and rising interest rate cut expectations [1][2] - Zijin Mining has approved a three-year production plan for major mineral products from 2026 to 2028, outlining clear production targets [1] - China Duty Free Group reported a 14.71% year-on-year increase in duty-free shopping amounts, totaling 11.585 billion yuan since the policy adjustment [1] Group 2 - Mongol Mining shares rose over 15% during trading, reflecting its transition from a single coking coal producer to a multi-mineral producer, including gold and copper [2] - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC reported a 12.8% year-on-year increase in Q4 2025 revenue, reaching $2.489 billion, with a 60.7% increase in attributable profit [2] - Health 160 experienced a significant drop of nearly 40%, with its market value falling below 20 billion HKD, indicating a major reversal in its stock performance [2] Group 3 - Xiaomi Group shares increased nearly 5% following a live broadcast by its founder, emphasizing ongoing investments in technology and product development [3] - Zhizhu shares rose over 10% this week, with a cumulative increase exceeding 70%, driven by the launch of a new anonymous model by OpenRouter [3] - Jiantao Group stocks rose due to increased demand for high-end copper-clad laminates driven by AI computing power [3] Group 4 - Jaguar Uranium's stock opened over 35% higher on its debut in the US market but later fell by 23.25%, indicating volatility in its initial trading [4] - NIO shares rose 1.43% as the CEO highlighted significant achievements and future plans for profitability by 2026 [4] - Sohu reported a 6% year-on-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, with a notable reduction in losses compared to the previous year [4] Group 5 - Ferrari's Q4 2025 revenue reached €1.8 billion (approximately $2.14 billion), exceeding expectations, with a positive outlook for 2026 [5] - Philips reported a 1% year-on-year sales increase in Q4, with adjusted EBITA surpassing market expectations, particularly in its personal health segment [5]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with companies like Zhongtung High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant stock price increases of 7.98%, 6.72%, and 6.34% respectively, contributing to a nearly 3% rise in the Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF (159157) [1] - The Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF has attracted substantial capital inflow, with a total of 890 million shares purchased in a single day and a cumulative net inflow of 614 million yuan over three days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The ETF covers a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, and rare earths, allowing it to capture various market cycles effectively [1] Group 2 - On February 10, prices for mainstream rare earth products such as praseodymium and neodymium oxides have risen due to tight supply conditions and strong demand from downstream buyers [2] - The non-ferrous sector is expected to perform well in 2025, with companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum projected to see net profit increases of over 60% and 50% respectively, while Shenghe Resources and Huayu Mining are expected to see even higher profit growth [2] - Following price adjustments by tungsten companies, Zhangyuan Tungsten has also raised its long-term procurement prices for black and white tungsten concentrates by 28.1% [2] - The U.S. has initiated a $12 billion strategic metal reserve plan, and the Non-ferrous Metals Industry Association has suggested commercial interest subsidies for copper and copper concentrates to enhance resource value [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing short-term pressure due to pre-holiday sentiment, but there are structural opportunities in specific sub-sectors [2] - The global non-ferrous metals industry is expected to enter a "recovery cycle with supply constraints" from 2026 to 2027, with copper and aluminum prices shifting from supply constraints and loose liquidity in 2026 to demand recovery in 2027 [2] - The supply growth of electrolytic aluminum is projected to be only 1.7% in 2026, with a supply gap of over 800,000 tons; electrolytic copper supply growth is 2.4% while demand growth is 3.3%, indicating a shift from surplus to shortage [2] Group 2 - Tungsten is expected to see a continued supply-demand shortage due to China's mining control policies, leading to sustained price increases from 2026 to 2027 [3] - Rare earth permanent magnets are experiencing tightening supply-side integration, with improving demand expectations for exports, indicating a fundamental improvement [3] - Cobalt is projected to face a global shortage due to supply reduction policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo, with strong upward momentum in the short term [3] Group 3 - Lithium is benefiting from the rising demand for energy storage batteries and domestic supply disruptions, potentially at the bottom of its cycle [3] - Nickel is expected to clear supply issues from the second half of 2026 to 2027 due to Indonesia's quota policies, with prices likely to rise if economic recovery boosts stainless steel demand [3] - Magnesium is gaining traction in the lightweighting sector of new energy vehicles due to its higher cost-effectiveness compared to aluminum, indicating improved industry sentiment [3] Group 4 - The non-ferrous metals ETF (512400) closely tracks the CSI Shenyin Wanguo Non-Ferrous Metals Index, which selects 50 listed companies to reflect the overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [3]