Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly recommending companies involved in coal power, hydropower, nuclear power, green energy, and gas [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in November 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 835.6 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.2%. The growth contributions from the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries, as well as residential consumption, were 2%, 49%, 29%, and 19% respectively [4][6]. - The secondary industry remains the largest contributor to electricity consumption, accounting for over 60% of the total, with significant growth in high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors [5][6]. - Natural gas prices have shown fluctuations, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $3.31/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decline of 7.30%. The report notes that the domestic LNG ex-factory price is 3915 yuan/ton, down 2.85% week-on-week [1][16]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - In November 2025, the electricity consumption by the first, second, and third industries grew by 7.9%, 4.4%, and 10.3% respectively, while residential consumption increased by 9.8% [4][6]. - The high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors saw a 6.7% increase in electricity consumption, with automotive manufacturing leading at a 10% growth rate [5][6]. Natural Gas Sector - The report indicates that global gas prices are experiencing slight fluctuations, with the U.S. market showing a significant drop in spot prices. The report anticipates that the demand for natural gas will increase as winter approaches, potentially stabilizing prices [1][16]. - Recommendations include focusing on integrated gas companies and those benefiting from cost reductions and improved profitability due to lower oil prices [39][40]. Investment Recommendations - For coal power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their diversified revenue sources [1]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are favored due to expected improvements in profit margins from reduced capital expenditures [1]. - Nuclear power firms like China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are highlighted for their stable cost structures and growth potential [1]. - In the green energy sector, companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power are recommended for their stable returns and increasing operational value [1]. - The report also suggests investment in gas companies like Shenzhen Energy and Kunlun Energy, which are expected to benefit from cost reductions and improved market conditions [1][39].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 25M11 全社会用电同比+6.2%，促进光热发 电规模化发展 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 风险提示：需求不及预期、电价煤价波动风险、流域来水不及预期等 2025 年 12 月 29 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600522030002 renyx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 2024/12/30 2025/4/29 2025/8/27 2025/12/25 公用事业 沪深300 相关研究 《2026 年全国能源工作会议召开，做 好 2026 年电力中长期合同签约履约》 2025-12-22 《气温偏高美国气价继续回落，库存 提取欧洲气价微增，25M11 国内用气 需求边际改善》 2025-12-22 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 任逸轩 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周核心观点：1） ...

Group 1 - The global technology competition is intensifying, with disruptive technologies at the core of the "future industries" becoming a prominent part of China's economic landscape, as highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][2] - The total financing in related fields has approached 70 billion yuan this year, with specific sectors like nuclear fusion and 6G seeing index increases of over 80% [1][4] - The future industries are transitioning from "concept validation" to "commercialization," becoming a leading force in driving economic and social transformation [1] Group 2 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a clear blueprint for future industries, focusing on seven key areas including quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen energy, nuclear fusion, brain-computer interfaces, embodied intelligence, and 6G [2] - Local governments are actively responding with supportive policies, such as Beijing's "Create the Future" initiative, which has supported 83 potential enterprises and facilitated over 2 billion yuan in financing [2] - Various cities like Shenzhen and Shanghai are implementing financial measures to support high-quality development in future industries, establishing a solid foundation for growth [2] Group 3 - The capital market's enthusiasm for future industries is evident, with IPOs and refinancing processes accelerating significantly, totaling nearly 70 billion yuan as of December 26, 2025 [4] - Notable fundraising includes 14 billion yuan from China Nuclear Power in the nuclear fusion sector and over 8 billion yuan from companies in the embodied intelligence sector [4] - The overall profitability of future industries is expected to improve, with a median net profit forecast of over 650 billion yuan for 381 companies in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 20% [5] Group 4 - Market funds are actively seeking undervalued potential stocks, with over 40 companies showing a decrease in shareholder numbers, indicating a concentration of shares [6] - Companies like Fuzhijun Technology and Zhongyuan Neipei have seen significant reductions in shareholder numbers, suggesting increased market attention [6] - Some companies, despite underperforming in the market, are positioned in sectors like embodied intelligence and quantum technology, presenting potential investment opportunities [6]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The public utility sector experienced a modest increase of 0.92% from January to September 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 17.02 percentage points, with total revenue reaching 1.381783 trillion yuan, a slight year-on-year growth of 0.02% [1][13] - The overall profitability of the power sector remained stable, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 172.32 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.43% increase year-on-year [1][13] - The electricity consumption growth rate for the first three quarters of 2025 was 4.6%, with a notable decline in the elasticity coefficient to 0.88, indicating a shift towards balanced supply and demand in the electricity market [2] Group 2: Thermal Power - The thermal power sector reported a net profit of 71.12 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 15.83% increase year-on-year, supported by low coal prices [1][20] - The overall revenue for the thermal power sector was 905.78 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.08% year-on-year, while operating costs fell by 6.15% to 745.64 billion yuan [20] - The sector is expected to see a restructuring of its profit model, with a focus on high-dividend thermal power leaders and companies in regions with stable electricity prices [3] Group 3: Renewable Energy - The wind power sector achieved a net profit of 22.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.67%, with revenue rising by 29.98% to 108.09 billion yuan [1][28] - The solar power sector, however, faced challenges with a revenue decline of 18.63% to 26.10 billion yuan, despite a significant profit increase of 67.57% to 2.90 billion yuan [1][28] - The introduction of market-oriented policies and the acceleration of green energy subsidies are expected to improve cash flow for renewable energy companies [3] Group 4: Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector is projected to see significant growth, with an expected operational capacity of 110 million kilowatts by 2030, driven by the increasing importance of nuclear energy in the context of AI competition [4] - The marketization of nuclear power pricing is gradually increasing, with expectations for price rebounds in Guangdong province due to policy changes [4] - Investment opportunities are recommended in nuclear power operators and companies involved in nuclear fusion and uranium mining [4] Group 5: Hydropower - The hydropower sector reported a revenue of 148.76 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.56%, and a net profit of 51.32 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.30% increase [1][37] - The sector's stability and high dividend yield make it an attractive investment, especially in a fluctuating market environment [3][37] - Companies in the hydropower sector are encouraged to maintain strong dividend policies to attract investors [3] Group 6: Natural Gas - The natural gas sector is expected to recover profitability as global LNG production ramps up, with a projected oversupply of 65 billion cubic meters by 2030 [3] - The implementation of pricing reforms in various cities is alleviating margin pressures for city gas companies, leading to increased sales volumes [3] - Investment focus is recommended on high-quality city gas leaders with stable dividend policies [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the utility and environmental sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities in these areas [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in November, the total electricity consumption in China reached 835.6 billion kWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.2%. The contributions from various sectors were: primary industry (7.9%), secondary industry (4.4%), tertiary industry (10.3%), and urban and rural residents (9.8%) [3][8]. - The growth in electricity consumption is primarily driven by the tertiary industry, particularly in sectors related to big data analysis and artificial intelligence services, which saw significant increases in electricity usage [9]. - The report notes that the natural gas market is experiencing slight fluctuations, with LNG prices continuing to decline. As of December 26, the national LNG ex-factory price was 3915 RMB/ton, down 2.85% week-on-week [3][40]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - In November, the total electricity consumption was 8356 billion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2%. The secondary industry contributed 49% to the growth, while the tertiary industry followed with a 29% contribution [10][11]. - The high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors showed a notable increase in electricity consumption, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7%, surpassing the average growth rate of the manufacturing sector by 2.5 percentage points [9][10]. Natural Gas Sector - The report indicates that global gas prices are experiencing minor fluctuations, with the Henry Hub spot price at $3.31/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decrease of 7.30%. The TTF spot price in the Netherlands was €27.70/MWh, down 1.42% week-on-week [3][19]. - The report suggests that the LNG ex-factory price in China is under pressure due to high inventory levels and low-cost sea gas resources, leading to a continued downward trend [40][41]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their performance and market positioning: - For thermal power, companies like Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and Datang Power are highlighted for their integrated coal and power operations [3][17]. - In the hydropower sector, companies such as Yangtze Power and Guotou Power are recommended due to their stable financial performance and reduced capital expenditures [3][17]. - For nuclear power, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are suggested due to their stable cost structures and growth potential [3][17]. - In the green energy sector, companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power are noted for their improved returns from stable project yields [3][17].

Core Viewpoint - The traditional energy equipment manufacturing giant, Lanzhou Lanshi Heavy Equipment Co., Ltd. (Lanshi Heavy Equipment), is strategically transitioning into the new energy sector, focusing on hydrogen and nuclear fusion technologies through partnerships with research institutions [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Partnerships - Lanshi Heavy Equipment and its subsidiary signed agreements with the Hefei Comprehensive National Science Center Energy Research Institute to establish joint laboratories for hydrogen-ammonia fusion technology and nuclear fusion heat exchange equipment [1][2]. - This collaboration aims to promote the localization of core hydrogen and nuclear fusion equipment, addressing critical technological challenges [2]. Group 2: Industry Positioning - Lanshi Heavy Equipment is expanding its capabilities in the energy revolution, focusing on both nuclear fusion and hydrogen-ammonia sectors, reflecting its strategic commitment to the new energy equipment industry [2][3]. - The company has established a comprehensive industrial chain in nuclear energy, covering everything from nuclear-grade materials to environmental protection equipment, with a significant increase in orders in the nuclear sector [3]. Group 3: Technological Development - In the nuclear fusion field, Lanshi Heavy Equipment has developed a new type of compact heat exchanger for fusion engineering, contributing to major scientific projects and achieving a 90% market share in nuclear-grade plate heat exchangers [3]. - The joint laboratory for fusion heat exchange equipment aims to tackle extreme temperature challenges and drive technological advancements in fusion power generation [3]. Group 4: Hydrogen-Ammonia Sector - Lanshi Heavy Equipment is developing a systematic solution capability in the hydrogen-ammonia sector, establishing a green hydrogen integrated demonstration base and creating leading core equipment in the industry [4]. - The partnership with the Energy Research Institute aims to advance research and industrial application of zero-carbon technologies in hydrogen and ammonia fusion, with ambitious goals for modular ammonia production facilities [4]. Group 5: Innovation and Talent Development - The collaboration establishes a closed-loop system for industry-academia-research cooperation, enhancing the transition of scientific research into market applications [6]. - The establishment of a nuclear fusion science and engineering college in partnership with Lanzhou University aims to strengthen talent cultivation, creating a virtuous cycle of research, transformation, and talent development [6].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Chinese Companies and Global Demand - Chinese listed companies maintain higher overseas gross margins compared to domestic margins, particularly in capital and technology-intensive industries, indicating a significant competitive advantage [1] - The global demand in 2026 is expected to be favorable for Chinese outbound enterprises, benefiting from the latter half of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle, with an uptrend in global industrial and infrastructure capital expenditure [1][5] Aviation Industry - The aviation sector is viewed as a major investment opportunity, with ticket prices showing positive year-on-year growth, serving as a catalyst for the industry [1][6] - Despite fluctuations in December ticket prices, strong travel demand during the holiday season is anticipated to support price increases post-New Year [6] - Recommended stocks include China National Aviation, Juneyao Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [6] Shipping and Oil Transportation - The oil shipping market experienced significant price fluctuations recently, with a notable drop in TCE rates for VLOCs [7] - Long-term outlook remains optimistic due to increased oil production driving demand, with a recommendation to focus on COSCO Shipping Energy, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and China Ship Leasing [8] Chemical Industry - The chemical sector, particularly the spandex segment, is performing well, with Huafeng Chemical showing significant cost advantages and benefiting from demand growth [9] - Other noteworthy areas include coal chemical companies like Hualu Hengsheng and soda ash producers like Boyuan Chemical [9] Metals Sector - The metals sector is experiencing strong performance, with gold reaching new highs and significant increases in silver, copper, aluminum, and lithium carbonate prices [11] - The supply side remains rigid, and the demand recovery driven by liquidity and AI-related factors is expected to keep prices on an upward trend [11][12] Company-Specific Insights Coal Market - Current coal prices are declining, with expectations of stabilizing around 670 RMB/ton as a bottom [3][18] - The outlook for 2026 suggests a rebound in coal demand due to a recovery in thermal power generation [21] Petrochemical Industry - The petrochemical sector is optimistic for 2026, with signs of inventory replenishment and a favorable price index for products [16] - The polyester supply chain is particularly promising, with recommendations for Tongkun Co., New Fengming, and Hengyi Petrochemical [17] New Materials - Focus areas in the new materials sector include lubricant additives, storage materials, and AI-related high-speed technologies, with specific companies recommended for investment [10] Energy Metals - The lithium carbonate market is expected to remain strong due to increasing storage demand, with recommendations for stocks in the energy metals sector [14] Steel Industry - Leading steel companies like Nanjing Steel and Baosteel are seen as good investment opportunities despite recent adjustments, with a projected decline in capital expenditure for 2026 [15] Additional Considerations - The overall sentiment for the Chinese stock market in 2026 is optimistic, driven by economic reforms and increased capital inflows [3] - The impact of monetary policy, geopolitical factors, and supply uncertainties on various sectors should be closely monitored [2]

Group 1: Technological Breakthroughs - China has achieved a world record in superconducting electric magnetic levitation, accelerating a test vehicle weighing tons to 700 km/h in just two seconds, marking the fastest speed for this type of platform globally [1] - The world's first methanol dual-fuel intelligent super-large oil tanker, "Kai Tuo," has been successfully delivered, featuring a length of approximately 333 meters and a capacity to carry about 2.1 million barrels of crude oil [2] - The first near-zero carbon steel production line in China has been fully connected, capable of reducing carbon emissions by over 3.14 million tons annually, equivalent to reforesting 2,000 square kilometers [3] Group 2: Energy and Infrastructure Developments - China's largest offshore oil field, Bohai Oilfield, is projected to produce over 40 million tons of oil and gas equivalent by 2025, providing a solid guarantee for national energy security [6] - The "Linglong No. 1," the world's first land-based commercial modular small reactor, successfully completed its non-nuclear commissioning test, laying a solid foundation for future nuclear operations [8] - The first unit of China's largest pumped storage power station has been connected to the grid, marking a significant breakthrough in hydropower equipment and engineering [13] Group 3: Transportation Expansion - Multiple high-speed rail lines have been opened, including the Guangzhou-Zhanjiang high-speed rail, which can reach Zhanjiang in as little as 1 hour and 32 minutes [20] - The Shantou-Shantou South high-speed rail has officially commenced operations, with a total length of 162 kilometers and a design speed of 350 km/h [21] - The Baotou-Yinchuan high-speed rail has achieved full operation, bringing high-speed rail access to Inner Mongolia [23] - The Xi'an to Yan'an high-speed railway has been opened, contributing to a total high-speed rail network exceeding 50,000 kilometers [24] - The Wuhan to Yichang section of the Huhangyu Railway has been opened, enhancing rapid passenger transport in the Jianghan Plain and western Hubei [25] - The Hangzhou to Quzhou high-speed rail has been opened, adding a new artery to the Yangtze River Delta intercity rapid transit network [26] - The Ankang to Lanhua Expressway has been completed, becoming an important inter-provincial passage between Shaanxi and Chongqing [27] - The world's longest highway tunnel, the Tianshan Victory Tunnel, has been opened, significantly reducing travel time between Urumqi and Korla [28] - The Cangzhou-Zhao Expressway has been officially opened, ending reliance on ferry transport for over 10,000 residents [29] - The Guiyang to Beihai Expressway has been opened, providing a new north-south route to the Beibu Gulf [30] - The first "6-lane to 12-lane" expressway expansion project in China has been completed, enhancing the capacity of the Jing-Tai Expressway [31]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Insights - The annual electricity price expectations are gradually becoming clearer, with multiple factors constraining electricity price levels. The average transaction price for Guangdong's annual electricity trading in 2026 has reached the lower limit of the medium to long-term trading price, indicating a downward price expectation [2][6] - Despite the clear downward expectation for electricity prices, the thermal power sector has shown relative stability, outperforming the hydroelectric sector, which is less impacted by price fluctuations [2][6] - The recent decline in coal prices and the expected increase in capacity prices for 2026 are expected to provide a buffer against the downward trend in long-term contract prices, supporting market expectations for thermal power company profitability [2][6] Summary by Sections Electricity Price Expectations - The electricity supply and demand situation is at risk of deterioration, and there are non-seasonal risks associated with coal prices. The market's expectation for the 2026 annual electricity price has been negatively impacted by weak monthly and spot electricity prices in some provinces [2][7] - The average monthly prices for Guangdong and Jiangsu this year were 373 and 377 cents/kWh, respectively, down by 47 and 52 cents/kWh year-on-year. The announcement of the annual trading results has confirmed the market's previous pessimistic expectations [2][6] Thermal Power Sector Performance - The thermal power sector has shown resilience despite the downward price expectations, driven by two main factors: a significant "inverted V" trend in coal prices since October and the expected stepwise increase in capacity prices for 2026 [2][6] - The price of Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal peaked at 834 yuan/ton in late November but has since dropped to 672 yuan/ton by December 26, a decrease of 162 yuan/ton [2][6] - The expected increase in capacity prices by approximately 65 yuan/year·kW across provinces is anticipated to enhance the profitability stability of thermal power companies [2][6] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include Huaneng International, Datang Power, Guodian Power, Huadian International, China Power, China Resources Power, and Funiu Co., as well as Inner Mongolia Huadian, which represents "coal-electricity integration" thermal power [2][12][13] - For the hydroelectric sector, recommended companies include Yangtze Power, Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Huaneng Hydropower [2][12][14] - In the renewable energy sector, companies such as Longyuan Power H, Xintian Green Energy H, China Nuclear Power, and Zhongmin Energy are recommended due to their potential for growth [2][12][15]

Core Insights - The China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) has launched China's first nuclear medical demonstration base at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Suzhou University, marking a significant advancement in nuclear medicine [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The newly inaugurated phase of the nuclear hospital integrates functions such as precise diagnosis and treatment using nuclear technology, clinical trials, medical innovation, and training exchanges [1] - The focus areas of the project include nuclear medicine, oncology, and chronic disease prevention and treatment [1]