联合研究丨行业深度 [Table_Title] Robotaxi 系列深度（一）：千亿星辰，商业竞速 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 25 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 [Table_Summary] Robotaxi 具有理论上更高的行驶安全性、更低的运营成本以及具有运营/体验的优势，从传统出 租车/网约车向 Robotaxi 发展是 AI 发展的重要应用。当前行业的加速发展，是政策许可+技术 发展+商业化推动的共振结果。预计 2030 年国内 Robotaxi 保有量有望达到约 52 万辆，共享出 行车队渗透率约 10%，市场空间约 902 亿元。商业化落地验证是短中期跟踪 Robotaxi 行业的 核心主线，行业焦点从车内无安全员运营转向关注实现单车经济效益的能力。核心关注在城市 牌照拓展、车辆规模扩张及综合运营效率方面表现突出的行业参与者。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 韩轶超 宗建树 SAC：S0490517060001 SAC：S04905 ...

小马智行创始人、首席执行官彭军表示，现在是科技创业最好的时期，创业者应该"放心大胆的去闯，撸起袖子直接干"。小马智行一直以来的愿景，就是希 望用用无人驾驶让出行更安全、便捷、高效，最终让每个人的生活变得更好。 华熙国际投资集团、华熙生物董事长赵燕则将目光投向生命科学的未来。她表示，"未来十年，随着科技突破，高血压、高血脂、高尿酸、阿尔茨海默症甚 至肿瘤，都有望被有效干预乃至攻克。"她强调，科技创新必须与现代生活方式、情绪价值深度融合。 "我们希望大众不再觉得科技是高高在上的，而是能真切感受到它就在身边，时刻守护健康。"赵燕说，"2025年对我们意义非凡——这一年，我们真正打通 了从实验室到日常生活的'最后一公里'。我们的终极目标，是让人有质量地活得更久、更健康、更美丽、更快乐。" 浙江强脑科技创始人韩璧丞表示："强脑科技听起来很前沿、很遥远，但离生活非常近。"他透露，中国约有500万肢体残疾人因失去手脚而逐渐脱离社会。 强脑科技的目标很简单："用最先进的技术，帮他们重新'长出'手脚，重返工作与生活。" 珍酒李渡集团、华致酒行（300755）董事长吴向东表达了对中国民族品牌的坚定信心："希望我们的白酒不仅深耕中 ...

Group 1: Precious Metals Market - International precious metals futures experienced significant volatility, with gold and silver prices initially plummeting before recovering, ultimately closing with gains of over 1% for both COMEX gold and silver [1] - At one point, spot silver fell by 8%, and spot gold dropped below $5,200 per ounce [1] Group 2: Stock Market Performance - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with technology stocks experiencing divergent trends; Meta surged by 10%, while Microsoft fell by over 10% due to slowing cloud business growth [4][6] - Chinese online education stocks mostly rose, with TAL Education Group increasing by over 18% following better-than-expected earnings [4][8] Group 3: Fund Market Activity - Multiple funds announced a collective suspension of trading starting January 30, following a strong performance in resource-related LOFs, including oil and silver funds [9][10] - The price of WTI crude oil reached $65.002 per barrel, marking a 2.83% increase and the highest level since September 2025, driven by heightened geopolitical risks and inflation expectations [14] Group 4: Fund Subscription Limits - Starting January 30, several funds, including those managed by Huashan and GF Fund, significantly reduced their daily subscription limits to as low as 2 yuan, effectively restricting large investments [15][20] - The high premium rates in the secondary market prompted warnings from fund managers about potential risks associated with blind investments [17][18]

今日（1月30日），港股市场早盘低开。 截至发稿，恒生指数开盘报27785.98点，下跌182.11点，跌幅0.65%。 天齐锂业(HK09696)：预期2025年度净利润为3.69亿元至5.53亿元，同比转亏为盈。 泰格医药(HK03347)：预期2025年归母净利约8.3亿元至12.3亿元，同比增长105%至204%。今日早间， 泰格医药涨超10%。 | 分时 5日 = 6分 15分 30分 60分 日本 周K 月K 第K = | 二八日 · 出版 · 图 / : | | 恒生指數 (HSI) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 慢生排数 片班 ▼ | 0000 | | | 27785.98 **** -0.65% | | | | | 28056.10 - | 28000.0 | | | | | | | | | 行情报价 | | | | | | | 27500.0 | 成交量 | 2.85亿 最高 | 27785.98 今开 | 27785.98 | | | | | 成交部 | 60.8亿 最低 | 27785.98 作者 | 271 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on January 30, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.65% at 27,785.98 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.88% at 5,789.49 points, the National Enterprises Index down 0.68% at 9,487.76 points, and the Red Chip Index down 0.4% at 4,452.34 points [1] - Major tech stocks experienced declines, with Alibaba down 1.9%, Tencent down 1.13%, JD.com down 0.79%, Xiaomi down 1.15%, Meituan down 0.56%, Kuaishou down 2.35%, and Bilibili down 1.23% [1] - Gold stocks fell broadly, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining down over 8% [1] - AI application stocks mostly declined, with Pony.ai down over 4% [1] - Oil stocks were active, with PetroChina up over 1% [1] Company Earnings Forecasts - Guoquan (02517.HK) expects revenue for 2025 to be approximately 7.75 billion to 7.85 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of about 19.8% to 21.3%, and net profit of 443 million to 463 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of about 83.7% to 92.0% [2] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) anticipates a net profit of 4.5886 billion to 4.7235 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 70.0% to 75.0% [3] - Baidu (02315.HK) expects to achieve revenue of 1.369 billion to 1.389 billion RMB in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 39.61% to 41.65%, and net profit of 162 million to 182 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 384.26% to 443.88% [3] - WuXi AppTec (09969.HK) forecasts total revenue of approximately 2.365 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 134%, and expects to turn a profit with a net profit of around 633 million RMB [3] - Rainbow New Energy (00438.HK) anticipates revenue of approximately 2.885 billion to 2.915 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of about 11.02% to 11.94%, and a net loss of 542 million to 592 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of about 44.15% to 57.45% [3] - Dazhong Public Utilities (01635.HK) expects net profit of 350 million to 500 million RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 50.12% to 114.46% [3] - Spring Medical (01858.HK) forecasts net profit of 245 million to 288 million RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 96.01% to 130.41% [4] - Meet Xiaomian (02408.HK) expects net profit between 100 million to 115 million RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 64.7% to 89.5% [5] - Macro Holdings (09930.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a 70%-90% decline in shareholder profit for 2025 [6] - Financial Street Securities (01476.HK) issued a profit alert, expecting shareholder profit to increase to approximately 327 million RMB for 2025 [7] Project Wins and Developments - China Railway (00390.HK) recently won several major projects with a total bid amount of approximately 43.292 billion RMB [8] - New天绿色能源 (00956.HK) reported a cumulative power generation of 15.2104 million MWh for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.71% [9] - Hengrui Medicine (01276.HK) received acceptance for a new indication application for its innovative drug, which may become a new clinical treatment option for patients with unresectable liver cancer [9] - Gilead Sciences (01672.HK) reported positive top-line results from a Phase III open-label study of its oral FASN inhibitor for acne treatment [9] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities noted that the performance expectations adjustment and funding disturbances that led to the decline in Hong Kong stocks in Q4 2025 have come to an end, predicting a continuation of the spring market trend into February 2026 [11] - Huashan Securities highlighted that the consumer sector, particularly food and beverage, has experienced a rare downturn for five consecutive years, with many leading companies now at historical valuation levels below 5%/10% [12] - Huayuan Securities projected that the copper supply-demand balance may shift from "tight balance" to "shortage" due to insufficient capital expenditure in copper mines [12] - Shenwan Hongyuan confirmed a high growth trend in brokerage performance for 2025, supported by increased trading activity and a recovery in investment banking and public asset management [12]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced fluctuations with major indices showing mixed results; the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.11%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell by 0.72% and 0.13% respectively [2] - Large technology stocks mostly saw gains, with notable movements including META rising over 10%, marking its largest single-day increase since July, while Microsoft dropped approximately 10%, resulting in a market cap loss of $357 billion [3] Commodity Prices - Precious metals experienced significant volatility, with spot gold dropping over 5% at one point, falling below $5100 per ounce, and spot silver declining over 8% [1][7] - As of the latest updates, London gold was down 0.20% at $5406.958 per ounce, while COMEX gold rose by 1.67% to $5429.4 per ounce [7][8] - Other precious metals showed varied performance, with platinum down 2.36% at $2640.30 per ounce and palladium down 2.46% at $2006.40 per ounce [7][9] Energy Sector - Energy stocks showed positive movement, with Exxon Mobil increasing by 2.05%, Chevron by 0.7%, and ConocoPhillips by 1.39% [4] Airline Sector - The airline sector displayed mixed results; Boeing fell by 3.12%, while Delta Airlines rose by 1.06% and Southwest Airlines surged by 18.53% [5] Gold Mining Stocks - Gold mining stocks faced a downturn, with major companies like AngloGold Ashanti dropping over 7% and Newmont Mining down 3.81% [6]

Group 1: Financial Technology - In 2026, global liquidity is expected to remain reasonably ample, with the domestic monetary policy maintaining a moderately loose tone[14] - The digital RMB 2.0 will officially implement on January 1, 2026, transitioning from M0 to M1 currency attributes[18] - The CIPS network expansion will be a key focus starting February 1, 2026, as new rules for the RMB cross-border payment system come into effect[20] Group 2: AI Applications - The AI application landscape is shifting towards commercial monetization, with a focus on achieving breakeven after initial explosive growth[24] - C-end applications are dominated by major tech giants, making it difficult for smaller firms to survive in the market[40] - B-end applications are seeing some achieving unit economics (UE) breakeven, particularly in sectors with high product-market fit (PMF) like robotaxi[45] Group 3: AI Computing Power - Global demand for AI computing power is on the rise, with domestic internet companies being the largest consumers of intelligent computing servers[3] - Domestic chip manufacturers are making significant breakthroughs, with companies like Huawei and Cambricon showing strong growth potential[3] - The shift towards scale-up supernode architectures is expected to accelerate, enhancing overall system performance[3] Group 4: AI Energy - The AIDC power supply paradigm is evolving towards 800V HVDC systems, driven by the need for higher power density and efficiency[4] - Nuclear fusion is being explored as a long-term energy solution, with significant advancements expected within the next five years[7]

Group 1 - The company has officially launched its first unmanned vehicle for trial operation, marking a significant breakthrough in its unmanned driving business [1] - The public transport business remains stable, providing robust revenue support through strategies like "transportation and tourism integration" and the introduction of "point-to-point" convenient bus services [2] - The company is positioned to benefit from the commercialization of unmanned driving, as it collaborates with leading L4 unmanned delivery vehicle companies to expand its service boundaries [2] Group 2 - The company is recognized as a leader in public transport in Southwest China, and the current period is seen as a window for the commercialization of unmanned driving [3] - The partnership with New Stone Technology for unmanned delivery trial operations is viewed as an early exploration with cautious optimism regarding its commercial prospects [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [2] Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leading player in the road passenger transport sector in Southwest China, with stable core business operations providing robust revenue support [8] - The collaboration with New Stone Technology marks a significant step towards commercializing autonomous driving, potentially opening a "second growth curve" for the company [4][8] - The company has successfully launched its first autonomous vehicle for trial operations, indicating a breakthrough in its autonomous driving business [2] Financial Data Summary - Current Price: 12.86 CNY - Market Capitalization: 4,031.47 million CNY - Gross Margin: 18.63%, significantly higher than the industry average of 12.19% [1] - Net Margin: 25.95%, compared to the industry average of 3.47% [1] - Return on Equity: 9.38%, well above the industry average of 0.85% [1] - Debt to Asset Ratio: 38.92%, lower than the industry average of 40.32% [1] - Dividend Yield: 0.93%, compared to the industry average of 0.11% [1] - Price-to-Earnings Ratio: 21.45, contrasting with the industry average of -44.55 [1] - Price-to-Book Ratio: 2.34, slightly lower than the industry average of 2.90 [1] Profit Forecast and Investment Suggestions - The company is expected to generate main revenue of 85,583.94 million CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of -1.05% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 12,223.13 million CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 18.77% [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.39 CNY in 2024, with a gradual increase to 0.71 CNY by 2027 [6]

纳斯达克金龙中国指数收涨0.35%，热门中概股中，蔚来初步收涨3.8%，百胜中国涨1%，腾讯、新东方、理想、小米、美团至多涨超0.9%，阿里跌0.7%， 网易跌1.3%，文远知行跌4.5%，小马智行跌7.9%。 美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，纳指跌0.72%，标普500指数跌0.13%，道指涨0.11%。科技股涨跌互现，微软下跌10%，市值蒸发3570亿美元；特斯拉跌超 3%，甲骨文跌超2%，Meta涨超10%，IBM涨超5%。 ...