Market Overview - Global markets are experiencing a significant rebound, with US stock indices showing strong gains after the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 50,000 points for the first time [1] - As of 7:33 AM, S&P 500 futures rose by 0.30%, Nasdaq futures increased by 0.38%, and Dow futures were up by 0.26% [1] - In the commodities market, gold prices rose to approximately $5,040, up 1.6%, while silver prices surpassed $80, gaining over 3% [1] Asia-Pacific Market Performance - Asian markets opened strongly, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index rising 1.54% to reach a historical high of 55,000 points, and South Korea's KOSPI index increasing by 4.13% [1] - The FTSE China A50 index futures rose by 1.07%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index opened up by 1.59% [1] A-Share Market Dynamics - The three major A-share indices opened higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.51%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.8% [2] - AI application stocks surged, with several companies, including Rongxin Culture and Zhongwen Online, hitting the daily limit [2][3] - The CPO and computing hardware sectors continued their strong performance, with Tianfu Communication rising nearly 10% to set a new historical high [4] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities believes that external disturbances have not significantly impacted China's industrial fundamentals, and the market sentiment has fully released, suggesting a continuation of the spring market after the Spring Festival [5][6] - The firm highlights key sectors for future investment, including AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment [6] Sector Highlights - AI applications are leading the market, with significant gains in media and short drama sectors, driven by advancements in AI video generation technology [3] - The advanced packaging market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 9.4%, potentially reaching nearly $80 billion by 2030 [4] Investment Strategies - Various securities firms recommend holding stocks through the holiday period, emphasizing sectors with upward trends such as electronics, media, and healthcare [8][9] - Tianfeng Securities suggests focusing on three main investment themes: opportunities in AI-driven technology, economic recovery, and potential sector rotations [9]

Group 1: Company Developments - Nvidia's stock price surged nearly 8%, adding $325 billion to its market value, driven by CEO Jensen Huang's assertion that substantial AI investments are reasonable and sustainable as long as AI companies can achieve profitability from these investments [1] - Nvidia is nearing a $20 billion investment agreement with OpenAI, which would create a strategic alliance to advance AI technology [1][2] - Nvidia's recent CES 2026 announcements included the launch of the NVIDIA Spectrum-X Ethernet co-packaged optical devices, further promoting the application of CPO technology in AI data centers [1][3] Group 2: Industry Trends - The demand for high-speed optical modules is expected to rise alongside the acceleration of AI data center construction, with Nvidia's CPO technology driving manufacturers to enhance their development and production of co-packaged optical products [4] - The silicon photonics industry is set to expand due to Nvidia's collaboration with Tower Semiconductor, optimizing silicon photonic chip performance to meet AI data center transmission needs [4] - The AI data center construction industry will see increased participation from more companies, focusing on high-performance computing clusters and optimizing data center infrastructure to accommodate new interconnection solutions like CPO technology [5] Group 3: Key Companies in the Supply Chain - Zhongji Xuchuang specializes in the research and manufacturing of optical module products, positioning itself to benefit from the growing demand for high-speed transmission solutions and CPO technology [6] - Tianfu Communication focuses on optical communication devices, providing essential optical components for CPO products, with plans to enhance product compatibility and transmission efficiency [7] - Shiyun Circuit has entered Nvidia's supply chain through OEM partnerships, leveraging its advanced PCB technology to meet the high specifications required for AI servers, with future business growth expected to align with Nvidia's expansion [7]

Group 1 - On February 6, a total of 3,771 A-shares received financing funds for purchase, with 378 stocks having purchase amounts exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - The top three stocks by financing purchase amount were Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication, with amounts of 2.579 billion yuan, 2.098 billion yuan, and 1.696 billion yuan respectively [1] - One stock had a financing purchase amount accounting for over 30% of the total transaction amount, with Zhend Medical, Chutian Expressway, and Xiechang Technology ranking highest at 38.43%, 27.3%, and 25.42% respectively [1] Group 2 - There were 21 stocks with a net financing purchase exceeding 100 million yuan, with Hunan Gold, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Shenzhen South Circuit ranking highest at 404 million yuan, 404 million yuan, and 283 million yuan respectively [1]

Group 1 - The report highlights that most provinces in China have either maintained or lowered their economic growth targets for 2026, indicating a stable policy stance compared to 2025, with a focus on structural policies in sectors like artificial intelligence, service consumption, commercial aerospace, and robotics [3][12][13] - The current period is identified as the optimal entry point for the strongest seasonal construction market, with a significant probability of entering the first benign adjustment phase in the growth industry cycle [4][14] - The report suggests that representative stocks typically experience a maximum adjustment range of 15-30% during the first benign adjustment phase, with a pattern of "decline → rebound → decline" observed historically [15][17] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on stable and certain investment opportunities, particularly in sectors with regular construction opportunities, highlighting ten key sub-sectors and a portfolio of 18 advantageous stocks [29][30] - It notes that the AI industry chain remains a core focus for 2026, although it is currently entering the first benign adjustment phase, with expectations of a 15-20% adjustment in growth style [30][31] - The report indicates that traditional consumer goods and defensive dividend stocks are experiencing a short-term rotation, which aligns with historical patterns observed during the initial phase of benign adjustments [29][30]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the dual focus on AI advancements and the deepening of domestic network capabilities in the communication industry, predicting significant growth in AI-related investments and domestic production across various segments [4][5][6] - The anticipated performance for Q4 2025 shows a robust increase in net profits for key companies, with some expected to see over 50% year-on-year growth [4][15] Group 1: AI and Network Development - The AI focus is expected to evolve around overseas mapping, optical communication trends, and changes in optoelectronic technology, with a shift from Scale out to Scale up in ecosystem development [4][5] - Domestic production trends are accelerating across four key areas: chips, cloud, network, and end devices, with significant growth potential in the chip sector due to global supply chain dynamics [4][5] - The report highlights the expected explosion in demand for optical devices and chips, driven by AI needs and the introduction of new technologies like silicon photonics [5][6] Group 2: Company Performance Predictions - Key companies are projected to experience substantial profit growth, with notable increases such as Heertai (+798%), Guangku Technology (+439%), and 5.5G Canqin Technology (+290%) [4][15] - The report outlines specific performance forecasts for major players, indicating a strong recovery in demand across various sectors, including optical communication and satellite internet [4][15] - Companies like China Mobile and ZTE are expected to benefit from increased capital expenditures directed towards AI and network investments, enhancing their revenue and profitability [6][15] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment opportunities in the AI computing network, including companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, which are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI capabilities [4][6] - The satellite internet sector is highlighted as having high barriers to entry and significant long-term investment potential, with companies like Zhenyou Technology and Xinke Mobile being key players [4][6] - The IoT sector is expected to see a surge in demand driven by AI and robotics, with companies like Lexin Technology and Guanghe Technology poised for growth [10][11]

[Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 08 日 [Table_Title] 关注商业航天，坚定算力基建扩张 证券研究报告|行业点评报告 [Table_Title2] 通信 [Table_Summary] 1、关注商业航天，持续进展催化市场关注度上升 当前时点，国内低轨卫星批量发射已进入实质阶段，与商业航天 高度重合，在相关政策、产业驱动，卫星网络作为 6G 网络建设基 础，当前时点建设确定性较强。伴随可回收火箭预研阶段开启首 个发射项目，后续多家商业火箭可回收发射计划有序进展，商业 航天进入加速落地阶段，卫星互联网发展势头迅猛，星座常态化 发射，实现通信容量增大，时延降低，同时有望看到手机宽带直 连卫星与低轨卫星网联智能驾驶系统的相关应用快速落地。卫星 通信、卫星物联网相关受益标的。 2、四部门发文加快培育数据流通服务机构 当前时点，面临近期的流动性担忧以及外围风险厌恶情绪传 导，我们预计市场仍将保持震荡，板块建议相对谨慎，中性配 置。 尽管短期市场对海外加大资本开支背景下 AI 相关收入的疑 惑，以及对 AI 软件板块受挫，但是我们认为目前 AI 发展阶段 仍处于 Scale up 和 Scal ...

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·通信 证券分析师 欧子兴 执业证书：S0600525110002 ouzx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 通信行业点评报告 当前时点如何看光模块/CPO/NPO 投资机会 2026 年 02 月 08 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 风险提示：AI 建设不及预期、光互联技术发生重大变化、系统性风险 -18% -7% 4% 15% 26% 37% 48% 59% 70% 81% 2025/2/10 2025/6/10 2025/10/8 2026/2/5 通信 沪深300 相关研究 《我国卫星通信战略提速，建议布局 两大方向》 2026-01-11 《2026 年通信投资机会梳理：算力为 核，卫星为翼》 2026-01-04 东吴证券研究所 1 / 2 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 光模块未来需求置信度进一步提升。本周海外亚马逊、谷歌、微软和 Meta 等主要 CSP 披露最新财报，2026 年资本开支合计将达 6600 亿美 元，同比大幅增长 60%，主要投向 AI 算力的建设。我们认为，海外主 要 CSP 大厂持 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector over the next six months [1][8]. Core Insights - The demand for optical modules is expected to increase significantly, driven by major cloud service providers (CSPs) like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta, which are projected to spend a total of $660 billion on capital expenditures in 2026, a 60% year-on-year increase, primarily focused on AI computing infrastructure [5]. - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) industry is accelerating its progress, with Lumentum announcing substantial orders for high-power lasers, and Nvidia's partners set to deploy CPO systems in 2026, indicating a robust market expansion [5]. - NPO (Near-Package Optics) technology is gaining traction due to its cost-effectiveness and flexibility, making it a preferred choice among CSP clients, which could enhance the long-term growth potential of related companies [5]. - The report emphasizes that multiple optical interconnection solutions will coexist in the long term, suggesting that investors should focus on different investment priorities based on market cycles and technological advancements [5]. Summary by Sections Optical Modules - The future demand for optical modules is expected to remain strong, with a competitive edge due to the ongoing evolution of products like 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T modules, leading to quarterly revenue growth for related companies [5]. CPO Industry - The CPO sector is witnessing accelerated industrialization, with significant orders expected to materialize in 2026 and 2027, indicating a clear commercial value and expanding market space [5]. NPO Technology - NPO technology is recognized for its unique advantages, including cost and power efficiency, and is anticipated to become a long-term technical choice for CSPs, suggesting a strong growth trajectory for companies involved in this space [5]. Investment Focus - The report recommends focusing on three core investment themes: 1. Large-scale optical modules benefiting from high-speed interconnect demand, with key recommendations for companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and attention to new opportunities in the second-tier market [5]. 2. Smaller optical modules with increased customer demand, highlighting potential breakthroughs for companies like LianTe Technology and HuiLv Ecology [5]. 3. New optical technologies that are emerging, with a focus on companies like Tianfu Communication and potential opportunities in the technology upgrade cycle [5].

Fund Size Statistics - The top three equity ETF types by fund size change are: Scale Index ETF (¥15.406 billion), Cross-border Industry Index ETF (¥6.624 billion), and Strategy Index ETF (¥5.384 billion) [9] - The bottom three equity ETF types by fund size change are: Theme Index ETF (-¥26.004 billion), Cross-border Scale Index ETF (-¥1.807 billion), and Cross-border Theme Index ETF (¥0.203 billion) [9] - The top three equity ETF products by fund size change are: CSI 500 ETF (¥2.832 billion), Chemical ETF (¥2.386 billion), and HuShen 300 ETF (¥2.229 billion) [9] - The bottom three equity ETF products by fund size change are: Communication ETF (-¥30.885 billion), Non-ferrous Metals ETF (-¥3.932 billion), and Gold Stock ETF (-¥2.963 billion) [13] Market Outlook - The macro timing model for February 2026 has a score of 0, indicating a historical 78.57% probability of the full A index rising in the following month, with an average increase of 3.37% [23] - A-shares are expected to experience a short-term volatile market, influenced by liquidity from overseas markets and the recent AI bubble discussions affecting tech growth stocks [23] - The recommendation is to adopt a balanced ETF allocation strategy due to the anticipated short-term fluctuations in the market [60]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry, indicating an expectation of returns stronger than the market benchmark by over 5% [5]. Core Insights - Strong demand for computing power driven by AI applications is expected to continue, with significant investments from major cloud providers [8]. - The hardware supply-demand imbalance is spreading across various sectors, leading to price increases [8]. - New technologies such as CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) are anticipated to create additional demand [8]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include: - Semiconductor manufacturing: SMIC (688981, Buy), Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347, Buy) - Testing and packaging: Changdian Technology (600584, Buy), Tongfu Microelectronics (002156, Buy), and others [9]. - Server storage: Lianqi Technology (688008, Buy) - CPUs: Haiguang Information (688041, Buy), Longxin Technology (688047, Not Rated), and others [9]. - Passive components: Sanhua Group (300408, Buy), Fenghua Advanced Technology (000636, Not Rated) [9]. - Server manufacturing: Industrial Fulian (601138, Buy), Huaqin Technology (603296, Buy) [9]. - Analog and power chips: Naxin Micro (688052, Buy), Sierui Technology (688536, Not Rated), and others [9]. - Semiconductor equipment: Zhongwei Company (688012, Buy), Northern Huachuang (002371, Buy), and others [9]. - Optical devices/chips: Zhishang Technology (301486, Not Rated), Tianfu Communication (300394, Not Rated), and others [9]. AI Applications and Edge Computing - Key targets in edge AI applications include: - AI main control chips: Amlogic (688099, Buy), Hengxuan Technology (688608, Buy) - Edge storage: Zhaoyi Innovation (603986, Buy), Bawei Storage (688525, Buy) [10]. - Terminal manufacturers: Hikvision (002415, Buy), Luxshare Precision (002475, Buy), BYD Electronics (00285, Not Rated), and others [10]. - Core components for AI edge: Huanxu Electronics (601231, Buy), Sunny Optical Technology (02382, Buy), and others [10].