证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 发布时间：2026-03-02 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 6571.81 | | 52 | 周最高 | 6706.6 | | 52 | 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《电子布涨价超预期，看好 26 年涨价 持续性》 - 2026.02.09 建材行业报告 （2026.02.23-2026.03.01） 电子布延续高景气，看好龙头中国巨石 投资要点 行业投资评级 电子布自 25 年 10 月已经历 4 轮涨价，2 月初涨价幅度达 0.5-0.6 元/米，涨价节奏及幅度均超预期。一方面，AI 相关的 low-CTE、一 代布二代布等产品需求旺盛高景气，供给短期难以满足，产品价格有 望持续提升。另一方面，由于行业产能转向 AI 特种玻纤，传统电子 布产能紧缺、叠加织布机紧缺等因素，预计传统电子布仍将延续超预 期涨价态势。建议关注：中国巨石。 水泥： ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the electronic cloth sector has experienced four rounds of price increases since October 2025, with a price increase of 0.5-0.6 yuan/meter in early February 2026, driven by strong demand from AI-related products and a supply shortage [3] - The cement industry is gradually recovering post-Spring Festival, with demand showing signs of improvement, particularly in the civil market, while the overall capacity is expected to decline under production restriction policies, leading to increased profit elasticity [3] - The glass industry is facing continuous demand pressure due to real estate impacts, with short-term price fluctuations expected to remain low due to high inventory levels among intermediaries [4] - The fiberglass sector is anticipated to see explosive growth driven by AI demand, with a clear upgrade in product structure and a trend of simultaneous volume and price increases [4] - The consumer building materials sector is expected to see profit improvements as prices stabilize after years of competition, with major companies expected to issue price increases in 2026 [4] Summary by Sections Cement - National demand is gradually recovering post-Spring Festival, with a notable decline in cement production of 1.44 billion tons in December 2025, down 6.6% year-on-year [8] Glass - The glass market is under pressure with traditional peak season orders showing limited improvement, and supply-side adjustments are expected to keep prices low in the short term [15] Fiberglass - The demand for electronic yarn is strong, driven by the AI industry, with expectations for simultaneous increases in volume and price due to product upgrades [4] Consumer Building Materials - The sector's profitability has reached a bottom, with strong calls for price increases expected to lead to profit improvements for leading companies in 2026 [4]

财通证券 CAITONG SECURITIES ok st skill an "抱团"新战场 S0160523030003 80160526010002 币:熊宇翔 S0160524070003 分析师:王亦奕 SAC: S0160522030002 分析师:张洲驰 下 SAC: S0160524070004 联系人:常瑛珞 2026/3 养研究报告 配置方向:进攻HALO(出海+涨价)+防御HALO(重资产高门槛) 进攻HALO: 1、涨价+出海周期(农化、化纤、稀土): 2、出海高端制造(专用设备、仪器仪表、船舶等): 3、受益于资本市场回暖的券商: 4、基建 地产链(装饰材料、建筑设计)。出海方向提示我们2026年度策略就向大家前瞻推荐的"奔马50"组合。 防御HALO:1、低持仓行业:煤炭、建筑等地产链:2、TMT低相关:煤炭、石化等。 引言：2024年9月至今的A股告市已选1年半，2023年以来的美股牛市已超3年，方向最明确、交易和选择最简单的阶段可能已经过去。后续加快知 何抉择? 当前美股经验-HALO交易、效寿看不明白的科技后半场，提前特向长期左侧交易替代对冲：美股科技虽然业绩持续向好、资本开支 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the electronic inflation chain and oil chain sectors, indicating potential price increases and strong demand in various materials [1][2][3]. Core Insights - The electronic inflation chain is expected to see price increases in early March due to strong downstream demand from AI materials and new product launches, with a successful price transmission anticipated [1]. - The oil chain is impacted by rising oil prices, leading to cost increases for products like asphalt, with companies adjusting prices accordingly [2]. - Companies like Keda, Huaxin, and Leshushi are highlighted for their expansion into international markets, particularly in Africa and South America, indicating a strategic focus on local manufacturing and job creation [3]. Summary by Sections Electronic Inflation Chain - Strong demand for AI materials is driving price increases in electronic fabrics and copper foil, with expectations for smooth price transmission in March [1]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of AI displacing traditional production capacities in various sectors, including storage and electronic fabrics [1]. Oil Chain - The report notes that the cost of asphalt has risen from 3,000 RMB/t to 3,350 RMB/t, prompting companies to increase prices by 5%-10% for related products [2]. - The report highlights the potential for coal chemical alternatives to gain traction as oil prices rise, suggesting increased capital expenditure in this area [2]. International Expansion - Keda's establishment of a glass factory in Ghana is noted as a significant development, with expectations for local job creation and reduced costs for construction and automotive needs [3]. - Leshushi's inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index is also highlighted, indicating its growing market presence and liquidity [3]. Market Performance - The report provides insights into the performance of various materials, with cement prices averaging 339 RMB/ton, down 52 RMB/ton year-on-year, and glass prices showing a slight increase [4][15]. - The overall building materials index has shown a positive performance, with specific sectors like glass manufacturing and fiberglass seeing notable gains [18].

Group 1: Metal Sector - Hongda Co. (600331.SH) is projected to have a net profit of 0.36 billion CNY in 2024, but is expected to incur a loss of 0.80 billion CNY in 2025, with a significant recovery to 4.00 billion CNY in 2026, resulting in a PE ratio of 131.36[17] - Zijin Mining (601899.SH) is forecasted to achieve a net profit of 320.51 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 913.17 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio dropping from 32.86 to 11.53[17] - Huaxi Nonferrous (600301.SH) is expected to see net profits rise from 6.58 billion CNY in 2024 to 12.69 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 32.29[17] Group 2: Construction Materials - Oriental Yuhong (002271.SZ) is projected to have net profits of 1.08 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 21.94 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio of 19.60[17] - China Jushi (600176.SH) is expected to grow its net profit from 24.45 billion CNY in 2024 to 47.80 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 22.65[17] - The construction materials sector is facing a significant supply exit, with 2024 commodity housing sales expected to decline by approximately 47% compared to 2021[44] Group 3: Transportation - YTO Express (600233.SH) is forecasted to achieve net profits of 40.12 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 50.84 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio of 13.20[17] - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026.SH) is expected to see net profits rise from 40.37 billion CNY in 2024 to 98.19 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 10.94[17] Group 4: Chemical Sector - Boyuan Chemical (000683.SZ) is projected to have net profits of 18.11 billion CNY in 2024, decreasing to 23.43 billion CNY by 2026, with a PE ratio of 14.87[17] - Xingfa Group (600141.SH) is expected to see net profits rise from 16.01 billion CNY in 2024 to 24.54 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 19.62[17] Group 5: Power and Coal - Longyuan Power (001289.SZ) is forecasted to achieve net profits of 63.45 billion CNY in 2024, with a slight decrease to 61.52 billion CNY by 2026, maintaining a PE ratio of 17.20[17] - Electric Power Investment (002128.SZ) is expected to see net profits rise from 53.42 billion CNY in 2024 to 68.98 billion CNY in 2026, with a PE ratio of 9.98[17]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the electronic inflation chain and oil chain sectors, indicating potential price increases and strong demand in various materials [1][2][3]. Core Insights - The electronic inflation chain is expected to see price increases in multiple products such as electronic cloth and copper foil due to strong demand from AI materials and new product launches [1][12]. - The oil chain is impacted by rising oil prices, leading to cost adjustments in products like asphalt, with companies like Dongfang Yuhong announcing price hikes of 5%-10% [2][13]. - Companies like Keda, Huaxin, and Leshushi are well-positioned for international expansion into regions like Africa and South America, with significant projects underway [3][14]. Summary by Sections Electronic Inflation Chain - March is anticipated to witness price increases in electronic materials due to strong demand from both AI and non-AI sectors, with successful price transmission expected [1][12]. - The report highlights the ongoing trend of AI displacing traditional production capacities in various segments, including copper foil and electronic cloth [1][12]. Oil Chain - The report outlines two main impacts of rising oil prices: direct cost adjustments in products linked to oil prices and the economic viability of coal chemical alternatives [2][13]. - Companies are advised to monitor price adjustments and capital expenditures in the coal chemical sector as they may provide business growth opportunities [2][13]. International Expansion - The report emphasizes the importance of local manufacturing and demand resonance in international markets, particularly in Africa, where companies are establishing production facilities to meet local needs [3][14]. - Leshushi's inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index is noted as a significant milestone, with implications for its market visibility and liquidity [3][14]. Market Performance - The report provides insights into the performance of various construction materials, with cement prices averaging 339 RMB/ton, showing a year-on-year decrease of 52 RMB/ton [4][15]. - The glass market is experiencing price fluctuations, with the average price of float glass at 1164.62 RMB/ton, reflecting a slight increase [4][15]. Price Changes - Cement prices have seen a slight decline due to seasonal factors, while the glass market is characterized by mixed performance across different regions [4][15][26]. - The report indicates that the overall construction material index has shown a positive trend, outperforming the broader market indices [18][22].

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the strengthening of supply logic in the building materials industry due to carbon neutrality policies, with a continued price increase for copper-clad laminates (CCL) and adjustments in real estate policies in Shanghai [2][14][20] - The implementation of differentiated electricity pricing policies across provinces is expected to promote technological advancements and energy-saving measures in high-energy-consuming industries, aiding in the elimination of outdated production capacity [14][15] - The report highlights a significant price increase of over 30% for CCL and adhesive films by Resonac, driven by the ongoing shortage and rising costs of key raw materials [18][19] Group 2 - The building materials industry is experiencing a recovery in demand, particularly in the consumer building materials sector, which is expected to see stable long-term demand and improved profitability for leading companies [29][32] - The national cement market price has decreased by 0.8% week-on-week, but there is potential for price increases as demand recovers [29][33] - The report notes a slight increase in float glass prices, while the trading of photovoltaic glass remains sluggish, indicating a mixed outlook for the glass segment [29][34] Group 3 - The report suggests that the building materials sector is at a historical valuation low, with potential for significant recovery in profitability as supply-side improvements support the market [29][30] - Key companies in the consumer building materials sector, such as Three Trees, Rabbit Baby, and Oriental Yuhong, are highlighted for their resilience and growth potential amid a challenging market environment [29][32] - The report indicates that the glass fiber and carbon-based composite materials sector is expected to see price increases in electronic yarns and fabrics, driven by stable demand and competitive dynamics [29][34]

Current Strategy Viewpoints - The capital market experienced fluctuations in early February but rebounded later in the month, primarily due to reduced trading activity before the Spring Festival and short-term policy guidance [1] - The market is expected to enter a phase of economic data and policy verification, with a seasonal increase in trading activity post-Spring Festival, laying a foundation for future market performance [1] - Upcoming economic and corporate profit data, along with the National People's Congress in March, will be crucial for setting the annual policy tone and economic targets, which are significant for the capital market [1] Sector Focus - Short-term focus on safe-haven assets and resource products due to tensions in the Middle East, including precious metals and oil sectors [2] - Long-term focus on growth and cyclical sectors, with particular attention to small-cap stocks that typically perform well in spring [2] - Key sectors to watch include humanoid robots, computing, and AI, benefiting from sustained industry enthusiasm and increased risk appetite among investors [2] Macro Overview - The upcoming National People's Congress will set the tone for the annual economy, with GDP growth targets expected to be set between 4.5% and 5% [8] - Fiscal policy is anticipated to include a deficit rate of 4.0% and new special bonds totaling 5 trillion yuan, indicating a significant increase in fiscal deficit compared to last year [8] Financial Engineering - The A-share market has seen a rise in industry crowding, particularly in media and resource sectors, with the media sector showing a crowding degree of 98.25% [12][14] - The resource sector continues to perform well, with price fluctuations leading to a decrease in crowding indicators, suggesting a potential for continued upward movement [13] Electronic Communication Industry - The upcoming GTC conference is expected to showcase new chip developments from NVIDIA, reinforcing AI as a core investment theme [24] - The demand for storage products is projected to rise significantly, driven by strong AI customer needs and price increases in the DRAM market [25] Computer Industry - The rapid iteration of domestic AI large models is expected to drive significant growth in computing power investments, with a focus on world model technology advancements [28] - The demand for AI-driven applications is anticipated to increase, leading to a surge in computing needs and infrastructure investments [29] New Energy Industry - Focus on hydrogen and ammonia projects, with government support for integrated energy bases expected to drive growth in this sector [32] - The electric power equipment sector is poised for growth due to ongoing global energy demands and potential easing of import restrictions in India [32] High-end Manufacturing Industry - The humanoid robot sector is entering a phase of mass production, with significant advancements showcased during the Spring Festival [35] - The North American AI supply chain remains robust, with ongoing demand for advanced equipment and materials expected to drive growth [36]

每日复盘（2/26）：科技股带领美股连涨两日，英伟达盘后一度涨3%后回落，加密货币大反弹；A股延续放量上 涨，周期资源股再度走强 【海外】投资者押注英伟达强劲业绩将重新点燃AI交易热情，科技股连续第二个交易日反弹。 纳指涨1%，软件股ETF上涨3%。 科技七巨头全线上涨，盘后英伟达财报和指引远超预期，一度涨约3.5%后回落。 Circle暴涨35%，四季度财报好于预期。< 每日复盘（2/26）：科技股带领美股连涨两日，英伟达盘后一度涨3%后回落，加密货币大反弹；A股延续放量上 涨，周期资源股再度走强 【海外】投资者押注英伟达强劲业绩将重新点燃AI交易热情，科技股连续第二个交易日反弹。 纳指涨1%，软件股ETF上涨3%。 科技七巨头全线上涨，盘后英伟达财报和指引远超预期，一度涨约3.5%后回落。 Circle暴涨35%，四季度财报好于预期。 10Y美债收益率上行1.3BP至4.05%。 美元跌0.24%。 人民币四连涨，逼近6.85，创2023年4月以来高点。 比特币大涨近8%，逼近7万美元。 美国原油库存大幅增加，WTI原油跌0.77%。 金银延续反弹，黄金涨0.44%，白银涨2.2%。 【国内】上海发布楼市 ...

关键词：原子灰、原子灰市场规模、原子灰行业现状、原子灰发展趋势 内容概况：当前，中国原子灰行业正步入从传统"量增"向现代"质升"转型的关键阶段。2024年，中国原 子灰行业市场规模约为12.01亿元，同比增长5.81%。原子灰行业主要服务于汽车、船舶、家具、建筑及 高端装备制造等工业领域，其景气度与宏观固定资产投资和制造业活跃度高度相关。过去，行业的快速 增长往往与地产基建的繁荣同步。而在当前的经济转型期，以地产为代表的部分传统需求趋于平稳甚至 收缩，而原子灰行业增长的动力正从普涨的"水涨船高"模式，转向依靠新能源汽车、轨道交通（如高 铁）、新能源装备（如风电叶片）等新兴高端制造领域的增量需求拉动。这些领域对原子灰的耐候性、 附着力、环保性等提出了远超传统应用的专业化要求，成为驱动行业技术升级和市场增长的核心引擎。 相关上市企业：回天新材（300041）、哥俩好（836618）、东方雨虹（002271）、三棵树（603737） 相关企业：江苏亚邦涂料股份有限公司、万华化学集团股份有限公司、江苏扬农化工股份有限公司、江 苏三木集团有限公司、山东圣泉新材料股份有限公司、彤程新材料集团股份有限公司、中国石油化工股 ...