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有色板块“炸锅”!“超级牛股”飙涨,公募基金却“躲着走”?
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2026-02-04 09:17
Core Insights - The article highlights a paradox in the non-ferrous metals sector where despite a significant bull market, very few public funds have captured the top-performing stocks [1][2] - The analysis indicates that institutional investors are generally avoiding stocks with historical governance issues or high uncertainty, even if market expectations are strong [2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Fund Holdings - Some non-ferrous metal stocks have seen remarkable price increases, with Zhaojin Gold rising over 540% and Xiaocheng Technology increasing over 362% since 2025 [2] - As of the end of 2025, Zhaojin Gold was held by only 15 funds, Xiaocheng Technology by 3 funds, and Hunan Silver by just 1 fund, indicating a lack of institutional interest in these high-performing stocks [2][4] Group 2: Institutional Investment Behavior - Public funds are constrained by strict compliance frameworks and risk management systems, leading to cautious investment decisions regarding companies with historical flaws or high operational uncertainty [3][4] - The preference for larger, more stable companies is evident, as only 17 non-ferrous stocks are held by over 100 funds, primarily those with market capitalizations exceeding 50 billion [4][5] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The current non-ferrous metal market is supported by a multi-dimensional logic, including global liquidity easing and anticipated continued monetary and fiscal stimulus [6][8] - Supply constraints and new demand from sectors like AI and energy transition are focal points for institutional investors, with copper, gold, and aluminum identified as key investment directions [8][9]
融资融券2月月报:主要指数全部上涨,两融余额继续上升-20260204
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2026-02-04 06:33
Content: --------- <doc id='1'>融资融券月报 13307 主要指数全部上涨,两融余额继续上升 ――融资融券 2 月月报</doc> <doc id='2'>| 分析师:王雪莹 | SAC NO:S1150525020001 2026 年 2 月 4 日 | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师 | 核心观点: | | 王[Table_IndInvest] 雪莹 | | | | 市场概况 | |  022-23839121 | | | wangxy4430@bhzq.com  | 本月(1 月 1 日-1 月 30 日)A 股市场主要指数全部上涨,其中科创 50 | | | 涨幅最大,上涨了 12.29%;上证 50 涨幅最小,上涨了 1.17%。此外, | | | 上证综指上涨 3.76 %,深证成指上涨 5.03%,创业板指上涨 4.47%, | | | 沪深 上涨 上涨 300 1.65 %,中证 500 12.12%。 | |  | 截至 1 月 30 日,沪深两市两融余额为 27,064.74 亿元,较上月末增加 | | | 1,737.60亿元。其中融资余额为 26,898.76 亿元,较上月末增加 1,736.88 | | | 亿元;融券余额为 165.99 亿元,较上月末增加 0.72 亿元。市场 ETF | | | 融资余额为 亿元,较上月末增加 亿元;融券余额为 1128.80 33.06 73.71 | | | 亿元,较上月末增加 亿元。户均融资融券余额为 元,较 0.94 1,414,996 | | | 上月末增加 35,599 元;有融资融券负债的投资者数量占全体融资融券 | | | 投资者数量的占比为 23.97%,较上月末增加 0.73 个百分点。1 月 1 日 | | | -1 月 30 日每日平均参与融资融券交易的投资者数量为 600,192 名,较 | | | 上月增长 42.73%。 | |  | 板块方面,主板和科创板融资余额占沪深两市 A 股融资余额比例下降, | | | 创业板占沪深两市 A 股融资余额比例上升。融券方面,主板和科创板融 | | | 券余额占沪深两市 A 股融券余额比例上升,创业板占沪深两市 A 股融券 | | | 余额比例下降。 | |  | 标的券情况 | |  | 行业方面,本月有色金属、电子和非银金融行业融资净买入额较多,建 | | | 筑材料、轻工制造和美容护理行业融资净买入额较少;本月融资买入额 | | | 占成交额比例较高的行业为非银金融、通信和电子,较低的行业为纺织 | | | 服饰、轻工制造和建筑材料;本月有色金属、食品饮料和家用电器行业 | | | 融券净卖出额较多,电力设备、电子和医药生物行业融券净卖出额较少。 | |  | 个股方面,本月个股融资净买入额前五名为中国平安(601318)、紫金 | | | 矿业(601899)、天孚通信(300394)、招商银行(600036)、长江电 | | | 力(600900)。本月个股融券净卖出额前五名为贵州茅台(600519)、 | | | 赤峰黄金(600988)、兴业银锡(000426)、美的集团(000333)、洛 | | | 阳钼业(603993)。 | |  | 风险提示:两融业务成本超预期变动风险;两融监管政策超预期变动风 | | | 险。 | | 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 | 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 20 |</doc> <doc id='3'>金 融 工 程 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 融 资 融 券 月 报</doc> <doc id='5'>| 1. 市场数据概览 | | 4 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2. 行业融资融券特征 | | 9 | | 3. ETF 标的券 | | 13 | | 4. 个股标的券及重大事项 | | 15 | | 5. 结论 | | 17 |</doc> <doc id='6'>| | |</doc> <doc id='7'>| 图 1:近一年沪深 300 收盘价与融资买入额占成交额比例 4 | | --- | | 图 2:本月融资业务情况 5 | | 图 3:本月融券业务情况 5 | | 图 4:近五年两融余额情况 6 | | 图 5:各板块融资余额情况(亿元) 6 | | 图 6:各板块融券余额情况(亿元) 6 | | 图 7:各指数融资余额情况(亿元) 7 | | 图 8:各指数融券余额情况(亿元) 7 | | 图 9:近一年融资融券机构投资者及个人投资者数量 8 | | 图 10:近一年参与融资融券交易的投资者数量与有融资融券负债的投资者数量 8 | | 图 11:本月申万一级行业涨跌幅及融资买入额占成交额比例(%) 9 | | 图 12:本月行业融资净买入额情况(万元) 9 | | 图 13:本月行业融券净卖出额情况(万元) 10 | | 图 14:近一年 ETF 融资融券余额情况 13 | </doc> <doc id='8'>| 表 1:A | 股市场主要指数本月表现 4 | | --- | --- | | 表 2:本月标的券所属行业融资情况 10 | | | 表 3:本月标的券所属行业融券情况 11 | | | 表 4:本月 ETF 融资净买入前 20 | 名 13 | | 表 5:本月个股融资净买入前 20 | 名 15 | | 表 6:本月融资买入额占成交额比例前 | 20 名 15 | | 表 7:本月个股融券净卖出前 20 | 名 16 |</doc> <doc id='9'>1. 市场数据概览 本月(1 月 1 日-1 月 30 日)A 股市场主要指数全部上涨,其中科创 50 涨幅最大, 上涨了 12.29%;上证 50 涨幅最小,上涨了 1.17%。此外,上证综指上涨 3.76 %, 深证成指上涨 5.03%,创业板指上涨 4.47%,沪深 300 上涨 1.65 %,中证 500 上涨 12.12%。</doc> <doc id='10'>表 1:A 股市场主要指数本月表现 | 指数名称 | 12 月 31 日收盘价 | 1 月 30 日收盘价 | 月涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证综指 | 3968.84 | 4117.95 | 3.76 | | 深证成指 | 13525.02 | 14205.89 | 5.03 | | 创业板指 | 3203.17 | 3346.36 | 4.47 | | 科创 50 | 1344.20 | 1509.40 | 12.29 | | 沪深 300 | 4629.94 | 4706.34 | 1.65 | | 上证 50 | 3031.13 | 3066.50 | 1.17 | | 中证 500 | 7465.57 | 8370.52 | 12.12 | 资料来源:同花顺,渤海证券研究所 图 1:近一年沪深 300 收盘价与融资买入额占成交额比例</doc> <doc id='12'>资料来源:同花顺,渤海证券研究所 1 月 30 日,沪深两市两融余额为 27,064.74 亿元,较上月末增加 1,737.
金属行业周报:资金情绪回落,多品种价格回调-20260204
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2026-02-04 05:32
行 行业周报 资金情绪回落,多品种价格回调 分析师: 张珂 SAC NO: S1150523120001 2026 年 2 月 4 日 钢铁 有色金属 证券分析师 张珂 022-23839062 zhangke@bhzq.com 研究助理 重点品种推荐 洛阳钼业 增持 中金黄金 增持 华友钴业 增持 紫金矿业 增持 中国铝业 增持 近三月行业指数走势图 投资要点: 行业情况及产品价格走势初判 钢铁:后续随着春节前需求季节性走弱,钢材库存或进一步累积,需关注宏观 情绪对钢价影响。 铜:临近春节假期下游需求将减弱,资金情绪回落,短期铜价或调整后震荡运 行。 铝:资金情绪回落,春节前需求预计将走弱,短期铝价或迎来调整后震荡运 行。 黄金:我们认为金价回调后,后续地缘政治风险以及美国国内政治不确定性 (如政府停摆风险)仍有望为金价提供底部支撑,需警惕风险事件缓和对金 价的压力。另外,我们认为美国总统特朗普提名的新美联储主席未来偏鸽派 的可能性更大,后续美联储政策或超出市场预期,有望支撑金价。 锂:抢出口需求叠加供应偏紧预期,容量电价政策也有望改善需求预期,锂价 调整过后有望获得支撑。 稀土:春节前需求或走弱,但现货供 ...
稀有金属ETF基金(561800)跟踪标的含锂量同类最高!锂供给侧持续偏紧,碳酸锂进一步调整空间有限
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 05:14
场内ETF方面,截至2026年2月4日午间收盘,中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)下跌0.62%。成分股方面 涨跌互现,东方钽业领涨3.86%,金钼股份上涨2.45%,川能动力上涨2.06%;中稀有色领跌,西部材 料、云路股份跟跌。稀有金属ETF基金(561800)换手5.33%,半日成交1230万元。 数据显示,截至2026年1月30日,中证稀有金属主题指数(930632)前十大权重股分别为洛阳钼业、北方 稀土、华友钴业、盐湖股份、赣锋锂业、厦门钨业、中矿资源、天齐锂业、中钨高新、中国稀土,前十 大权重股合计占比59.71%。 华西证券指出,全球头部锂矿企业2025年四季度锂精矿销量同比大幅增长,其中Mt Marion锂精矿销量 同比增长63%,Wodgina同比增长29%,叠加平均售价环比上涨29%–31%,反映海外优质锂资源端在价 格企稳背景下正加速释放量价弹性;与此同时,Kathleen Valley矿山完成露天开采转型100%地下开采, 地下矿石品位达1.4% Li₂O,产能爬坡顺利,为中长期低成本稳定供应奠定基础。 稀有金属ETF基金(561800)跟踪的CS稀金属指数,该指数主要配置碳酸锂+小 ...
有色ETF银华(159871)开盘涨1.72%,重仓股紫金矿业涨1.78%,洛阳钼业涨3.98%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 05:09
有色ETF银华(159871)业绩比较基准为中证有色金属指数收益率,管理人为银华基金管理股份有限公 司,基金经理为谭跃峰,成立(2021-03-10)以来回报为126.71%,近一个月回报为16.79%。 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布,不代表新浪财经观点,任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问,请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 来源:新浪基金∞工作室 2月4日,有色ETF银华(159871)开盘涨1.72%,报2.301元。有色ETF银华(159871)重仓股方面,紫 金矿业开盘涨1.78%,洛阳钼业涨3.98%,北方稀土涨0.35%,华友钴业涨1.70%,中国铝业涨1.75%,赣 锋锂业跌0.29%,山东黄金涨0.39%,云铝股份涨1.17%,中金黄金涨0.18%,中矿资源涨1.14%。 ...
有色ETF华宝(159876)开盘涨2.15%,重仓股紫金矿业涨1.78%,洛阳钼业涨3.98%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 04:56
来源:新浪基金∞工作室 2月4日,有色ETF华宝(159876)开盘涨2.15%,报1.188元。有色ETF华宝(159876)重仓股方面,紫 金矿业开盘涨1.78%,洛阳钼业涨3.98%,北方稀土涨0.35%,华友钴业涨1.70%,中国铝业涨1.75%,赣 锋锂业跌0.29%,山东黄金涨0.39%,云铝股份涨1.17%,中金黄金涨0.18%,江西铜业涨3.00%。 有色ETF华宝(159876)业绩比较基准为中证有色金属指数收益率,管理人为华宝基金管理有限公司, 基金经理为陈建华,成立(2021-03-12)以来回报为132.74%,近一个月回报为16.91%。 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布,不代表新浪财经观点,任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问,请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...
港股速报|港股小幅低开 金价重回5000美元 黄金股继续反弹
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-04 03:02
展望后市,瑞银预测金价的上行情景目标价为7200美元/盎司,下行情景目标价为4600美元/盎司。该机 构认为,美联储立场若转向鹰派,可能加剧金价下行风险,而地缘紧张局势急剧升级则可能驱动金价更 接近上行情景。整体而言,瑞银继续看好黄金,并在全球资产配置中维持对黄金的看涨立场。 新股方面,今日国恩科技(HK02768)在港交所上市,首日高开25%,随后涨幅扩大到34%。 2月4日,港股市场小幅低开。 截至发稿,恒生指数开盘报26797.05点,下跌37.72点,跌幅0.14%。 | 分析 5日 = 5分 15分 30分 60分 日报 高K 月K 年K + | 前景区~ 其他· 黑ノ二 恒生指数 (HSI) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 學生福歌 培林 · | 00000 26797.05 | | | 4-37-72 | | | | +-28058.10 28000.0 | 行情报价 | | | | | | | 域交通 | 1,64亿 超源 | 25797.05 今天 | 26797.05 | | | | 成交服 | 42.9亿 最低 | 24 ...
东方证券:铜精矿有望纳入战略储备范围 关键金属地位或进一步增强
智通财经网· 2026-02-04 02:45
智通财经APP获悉,东方证券发布研报称,国内拟将铜精矿纳入国家战略储备体系,以应对75%高进口 依存度,增强产业链安全。全球铜矿品位下降及资本开支不足加剧供给紧张,而新能源等领域需求持续 增长,支撑铜价中期上行。中国严控铜冶炼新增产能,"反内卷"政策有望推动铜价与冶炼费同步上升, 利好相关企业利润修复。 东方证券主要观点如下: 铜冶炼"反内卷"政策不变,继续看好铜价与铜冶炼费齐升的中期趋势 除对铜资源储备体系建设的完善外,发布会上秘书长段绍甫表示已叫停200多万吨铜冶炼项目,未来将 继续配合国家有关部门严控新增矿铜冶炼项目,副会长陈学森也表示,当前铜"反内卷"政策正在出台, 效果预计在后续两三年内逐步体现。该行认为,在国内铜冶炼产能严控新增以及"反内卷"政策落地见效 的预期下,铜冶炼费在中期有望迎来向上修复。该行继续看好中期铜价与铜冶炼费齐升,关注铜矿企业 以及铜冶炼企业的利润修复空间和投资机会。 投资建议:铜矿端:建议关注资源储量较大、中期铜矿持续扩产存在增量预期的紫金矿业,其他标的: 洛阳钼业、金诚信。铜冶炼端:建议关注米拉多铜矿放量提升铜精矿自给率、现货冶炼费改善预期下利 润弹性更为受益的铜陵有色。其他 ...
金银现货延续反弹,机构研判:贵金属逻辑未变,工业金属供需支撑坚实
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 02:09
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in metal prices, particularly precious metals like gold and silver, has significantly benefited upstream mining companies, while downstream processing industries are facing cost pressures due to rising raw material prices [2][3][5]. Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - Gold prices have rebounded, surpassing $5,000 per ounce, with a daily increase of over 1% [1]. - Silver prices have also seen substantial increases, with the London spot silver price rising from under $29 per ounce to over $121 per ounce, marking a maximum increase of 330% [2]. Group 2: Mining Companies' Profitability - Major mining companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are expected to report significant net profits, with Zijin Mining's projected net profit reaching 52 billion yuan, a 59% year-on-year increase, and Luoyang Molybdenum's projected net profit at 20.8 billion yuan, a 47.8% to 53.71% increase [3][4]. - Other mining companies are also experiencing substantial profit growth, with Shenghe Resources' net profit expected to increase by up to 339% and Huayu Mining by up to 255% [3]. Group 3: Downstream Industry Challenges - The downstream processing sector is facing significant cost pressures due to rising prices of raw materials, which are not being fully passed down the supply chain [5]. - Companies like Loping Zinc Electric are reporting losses due to increased procurement costs for zinc concentrate, highlighting the challenges faced by the downstream industry [5]. Group 4: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The non-ferrous metal industry has shown strong performance, with a year-on-year net profit growth of 41.43% in the first three quarters of 2025, and a further increase to 50.81% in the third quarter [7][8]. - The non-ferrous mining index has demonstrated a ten-year annualized growth rate of nearly 15%, indicating strong long-term performance potential [6][10]. - Institutions remain optimistic about the long-term outlook for precious metals, citing ongoing demand and macroeconomic factors that support price stability [11].
金价重返5000美元!有色开盘大幅异动,有色ETF汇添富(159652)开盘20分钟吸金超2000万!精铜矿或纳入储备范围!紫金矿业、洛阳钼业冲高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 02:09
Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the performance and outlook of the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly focusing on the performance of the Huatai ETF and the broader market dynamics affecting metal prices and investments. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 4, 2026, the China Securities Non-ferrous Metals Industry Theme Index (000811) decreased by 0.32%, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Notable gainers included Shenhuo Co., Ltd. up 1.73%, China Aluminum Corporation up 1.60%, and Luoyang Molybdenum up 1.51%, while Western Gold fell by 6.55% [1] - The Huatai Non-ferrous ETF (159652) saw a slight increase of 0.05%, with a recent price of 1.95 yuan, and a two-week cumulative increase of 2.59% [1] Group 2: Fund Flows and Liquidity - The Huatai Non-ferrous ETF's latest scale reached 6.403 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 51.56 million yuan recently [3] - Over the past five trading days, there were net inflows on four days, totaling 96.57 million yuan, averaging 19.31 million yuan per day [3] - The ETF recorded a turnover rate of 2.21% with a transaction volume of 143 million yuan [1] Group 3: Investment Sentiment and Outlook - The sentiment in the precious metals sector improved significantly as spot gold prices surpassed $5,000 per ounce, with a daily increase exceeding 2% [3] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association has included copper concentrate in its reserve scope, indicating potential upward pressure on copper prices due to supply disruptions and capital expenditure shortages [3] - Institutions are optimistic about the non-ferrous sector, with expectations of high profitability sustained for 3-5 years due to supply-demand mismatches and macroeconomic easing [3] Group 4: ETF Characteristics and Advantages - The Huatai Non-ferrous ETF (159652) covers a wide range of metal sectors, including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, positioning it to benefit from a super cycle in non-ferrous metals [5] - The ETF has a leading "gold-copper content" with 34% copper and 12% gold, totaling 46%, which is superior to its peers [7] - The ETF's index has shown a cumulative return leading its peers since 2022, with a maximum drawdown lower than that of similar funds, indicating a better investment experience [9]