□ 大河财立方 记者 陈薇 1月26日，腾讯旗下AI助手"元宝"正式开启"元宝派"功能内测。不同于豆包、千问及手机厂商AI产品多 聚焦工作、消费等单一场景，"元宝派"锚定多人真实社交场景，成为腾讯发力AI社交赛道的重要布局。 作为腾讯混元大模型赋能的重点产品，元宝派深度打通微信、QQ两大社交生态，用户可自由创建或加 入主题化"派"社群，通过@元宝即可触发AI聊天总结、表情包生成等场景化服务。据悉，后续公测阶段 还将上线接入腾讯会议音视频能力的"一起看""一起听"功能，实现好友同步观影、听歌的沉浸式社交体 验。 AI切入社交场景，意味着其从被动响应指令的效率工具，升级为主动参与群体互动的"社交伙伴"，完成 了从"工具依赖"到"关系依赖"的关键转变，也为AI技术开辟了高频次、高黏性的全新应用场景。值得注 意的是，在元宝派内测前四天，即1月22日，百度文心App已披露正在内测多人、多Agent群聊功能，该 功能支持在同一群聊中调用多个AI角色，AI可根据讨论氛围主动应答，这也意味着头部企业对AI社交 赛道的布局已形成竞速态势。 相较于同行，腾讯虽非AI社交赛道的先发者，但其沉淀二十余年的社交生态优势，让元宝派构筑了 ...

新力量 New Force 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com 【公司评论】 特斯拉 2025Q4 业绩前瞻 【行业评论】 互联网行业周报 【宏观经济评论】 第一上海——First Call 一月策略（二） 第一上海证券有限公司 香港中环德辅道中 71 号永安集团大厦 19 楼 咨询热线：400-882-1055 服务邮箱：Service@firstshanghai.com 网址：www.mystockhk.com 第一上海证券有限公司 www.mystockhk.com 总第 4952 期 2026 年 1 月 27 日 星期二 研究观点 第一上海 新力量 New Force 【公司评论】 | 李京霖 | | --- | 852-25321957 jinglin.li@firstshanghai.com.hk 唐伊莲 alice.tang@firstshanghai.com.hk | 行业 | 汽车 | | --- | --- | | 股价 | 449.06 美元 | | 市值 | 1.49 万亿美元 | | 总股本 | 33.26 亿股 | | 52 周高/低 | 499 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The data center industry has become a core incremental application scenario for the power equipment sector, directly driving demand growth and technological iteration [5] - The capital expenditure of major cloud vendors is a key indicator of demand for power distribution equipment, with significant growth observed in both overseas and domestic markets [2][12] - The supply chain remains robust, with companies like NVIDIA and TSMC reporting strong revenue growth, indicating a healthy demand for GPUs and semiconductors [18][23] - AI applications are expanding, with an increase in model updates and API call volumes, which are crucial for assessing the sustainability of capital expenditure cycles in data centers [30][35] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The semiconductor export from South Korea has significantly increased, with DRAM prices continuing to rise [1] 2. Capital Expenditure Trends - Overseas cloud vendors' capital expenditure reached $99.617 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.39% [7] - Domestic cloud vendors like Alibaba and Tencent showed a slowdown in capital expenditure, with Alibaba spending 31.5 billion yuan, up 80.10% year-on-year but down 18.55% quarter-on-quarter [12] - The investment in data centers is expected to remain high, with major cloud vendors planning substantial capital expenditures for AI infrastructure [11][13] 3. Supply Chain Analysis - NVIDIA's revenue for Q3 2025 was $57.006 billion, with data center products contributing $51.215 billion, marking a historical peak [18] - TSMC reported a revenue of 335 billion New Taiwan dollars in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [23] - The price of DRAM surged from $27.14 to $71.25 within two months, reflecting strong server demand [26] 4. AI Application Development - The number of AI models is steadily increasing, with significant updates and a growing number of API calls, indicating a robust application landscape [30] - The price of tokens for high-performing AI models has decreased by over 50% following the release of new models [48] - The weekly token call volume for AI applications was 7.50 trillion, showing a slight decline of 1.96% [35]

【 DeepSeek 发布 DeepSeek-OCR 2 】 DeepSeek 发布全新 DeepSeek-OCR 2 模型，采用创新的 DeepEncoder V2 方法，让 AI 能够根据图像的含义动态重排图像的各个部分，而不再只是机械地从左到右扫描。 这种方式模拟了人类在观看场景时所遵循的逻辑流程。最终，该模型在处理布局复杂的图片 （如文档或图表）时，表现优于传统的视觉 - 语言模型，实现了更智能、更具因果推理能力的 视觉理解。 【 Kimi 智能助手发布 K2.5 版本】 Moonshot AI 于 2026 年 1 月 27 日上线 Kimi 智能助手 K2.5 版本，以静默推送方式完成 更新，用户在官网聊天界面中 K2 模型已自动切换为 K2.5 。 该版本原生支持视觉理解功能，用户可直接上传图片并由 AI 进行分析与创作，例如依据平面 布局图生成对应 3D 模型。工具调用能力同步增强，模型可通过分步推理执行数学计算、编程 等复杂任务，相关测试显示其在多项任务中表现突出。 【阿里千问最强模型亮相，性能媲美 GPT-5.2 】 1 月 26 日，阿里正式发布千问旗舰推理模型 Qwen3-Max-Th ...

Group 1: Investment Trends in Precious Metals - Investment silver bars have gained popularity in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market, with a 1000g silver bar priced at 30,860 yuan, indicating a rising interest in silver as an investment and jewelry-making option [1] - Several gold jewelry brands have raised their prices, with Shusheng's gold jewelry priced at 1,577 yuan per gram, reflecting a historical high in gold prices [1] Group 2: Automotive Industry Insights - The automotive industry's sales profit margin has dropped to a historical low of 4.1% for the year 2025, with December's margin at 1.8%, marking a significant decline [2] - TrendForce predicts that global sales of range-extended electric vehicles (REEV) will reach 3 million units by 2030, doubling from 2025, supported by regulatory flexibility and market acceptance [2] Group 3: Semiconductor and Memory Market Developments - Yole's report indicates a 23% growth in global DRAM memory demand by capacity in 2026, with data centers contributing over half of this increase [3] - Synopsys' CEO forecasts that the chip shortage will persist through 2026 and 2027, primarily due to high demand from AI infrastructure and limited production capacity from major memory manufacturers [2][3] Group 4: Corporate Announcements and Financial Projections - Companies like Bohui Innovation and Antu Bio have developed Nipah virus testing kits but have not yet generated significant revenue from them [5] - SK Hynix will exclusively supply HBM3E chips to Microsoft's Maia 200, which will feature a total memory capacity of 216GB [5] - Norde's subsidiary plans to invest 168 million yuan in upgrading a production line to meet high-end copper foil demand [10] - Aisen plans to invest 2 billion yuan in a semiconductor materials manufacturing base in East China, with production expected to start in phases from 2028 to 2035 [11] - Jinma Amusement anticipates a net profit increase of 811.17% to 1069.56% for 2025, projecting earnings between 67 million to 86 million yuan [12] - Red Tower Securities expects a 59.05% increase in net profit for 2025, amounting to 1.215 billion yuan [13] Group 5: Market Performance and Trends - The market saw a rebound with the ChiNext index rising by 0.71%, driven by strong performance in the semiconductor sector and precious metals [22]

Core Insights - The AI application concept has seen significant growth in the Hong Kong stock market, with MINIMAX-WP rising by 26.48%, Zhizhu by 7.56%, and Alibaba by nearly 3% [1][2] - Major tech companies are intensifying their competition in the AI sector, with each adopting different strategies [5][17] Group 1: Company Developments - Alibaba has released its strongest model, Qwen3-Max-Thinking, which is claimed to be the largest and most capable reasoning model, outperforming competitors like GPT-5.2 and Gemini 3 Pro in several benchmark tests [4][5] - Tencent's CEO, Ma Huateng, acknowledged the slow pace of AI development and emphasized the integration of large models and AI products [3] - Baidu has increased its AI-related revenue growth forecast for 2026 to 200%, aiming to lead the AI cloud market [3] Group 2: Model Innovations - Qwen3-Max-Thinking features over one trillion parameters and has set new records in 19 authoritative benchmark tests, focusing on reasoning technology innovations [5][8] - The model employs a new Test-time Scaling mechanism that enhances reasoning performance while being more economical, allowing for more efficient and intelligent reasoning results [7][8] - The model has significantly improved its autonomous tool-calling capabilities, enabling it to perform complex tasks like planning trips and analyzing data [8][9] Group 3: Strategic Moves - Alibaba is integrating Qwen into its ecosystem while also planning to spin off its chip company, Pingtouge, to transform it from a cost center to a revenue center [10][11] - The integration of Qwen into Alibaba's ecosystem aims to create a "super entrance" for AI applications, connecting various services like e-commerce, local life, and entertainment [13][15] - Other tech giants like Tencent and Baidu are also enhancing their AI strategies, with Tencent focusing on integrating AI into its social products and Baidu targeting B2B solutions [17][18]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a strong rally on January 27, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,126.95 points, up 361.43 points, representing a 1.35% increase [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index closed at 5,754.72 points, rising by 28.73 points, or 0.50% [2] Sector Highlights - Insurance stocks showed significant strength, contributing to the rise of the Hang Seng Index. China Life (HK02628) surged nearly 6%, reaching its highest level since May 2015. AIA Group (HK01299) increased by over 4%, while New China Life and China Pacific Insurance both rose by over 3% [4] - Gold stocks remained strong, with Zijin Mining (HK02899) increasing by over 2% and reaching a new historical high. Zijin Gold International (HK02259) saw a substantial rise of 11% [6] Corporate Actions - Zijin Mining announced that its subsidiary, Zijin Gold International, signed an arrangement agreement to acquire all issued common shares of a joint venture listed in Toronto and New York at a cash price of CAD 44 per share, totaling approximately CAD 5.5 billion (around RMB 28 billion) [7] Market Outlook - Huatai Securities anticipates that the Hong Kong stock market will continue its rebound in the first quarter, focusing on sectors such as AI (semiconductors, software) and innovative pharmaceuticals. The firm suggests gradually accumulating quality consumer leaders and overweighting cyclical and upstream sectors in the power chain [9] - Zheshang International is optimistic about sectors benefiting from policy support, including new energy, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI technology, as well as local Hong Kong banks and telecommunications that are relatively independent and benefit from a rate-cutting cycle [10]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive trend with the Hang Seng Index rising over 1%, closing at 27,126.95 points, an increase of 1.35% or 361.43 points, with a total turnover of 254.37 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.07% to 9,244.88 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.5% to 5,754.72 points [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - China Life (02628) led the blue-chip stocks, rising by 5.97% to 34.1 HKD, contributing 22.99 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - A report from Citigroup anticipates a historic opportunity for life insurance stocks due to wealth reallocation, as retail investors seek higher reinvestment yields [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances include AIA (01299) up 4.09%, CSPC Pharmaceutical (01093) up 3.54%, while Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) faced declines of 4.51% and 4.37% respectively [2] Sector Highlights Technology Sector - Major tech stocks mostly rose, with Alibaba increasing nearly 3% and Tencent rising over 1% [3] - AI-related stocks saw significant gains, with MINIMAX surging by 26.48% and Kingsoft Cloud up by 9.74% [3][4] Insurance Sector - The insurance sector performed well, with China Life and AIA showing strong gains [5] - Reports indicate that 80% of new insurance policies this year are dividend insurance, reflecting strong demand for wealth management products [5] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector experienced a downturn, with several stocks like Zhenfeng Gold and China Silver Group declining significantly [6][7] Notable Corporate Developments - Zijin Mining announced a major acquisition of Canadian company United Gold for 5.5 billion CAD (approximately 28 billion RMB), which will expand its asset base significantly [8] - Harbin Electric (01133) projected a net profit of approximately 2.65 billion RMB for the fiscal year 2025, a substantial increase from 1.686 billion RMB in the previous year [11] - Ying Si Intelligent (03696) entered a strategic cooperation agreement with Qilu Pharmaceutical for drug development, valued at over 931 million HKD [10]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive trend with the Hang Seng Index rising over 1%, closing at 27,126.95 points, with a total trading volume of 254.37 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.07% to 9,244.88 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.5% to 5,754.72 points [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - China Life (02628) led the blue-chip stocks, increasing by 5.97% to 34.1 HKD, contributing 22.99 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances included AIA (01299) up 4.09%, CSPC Pharmaceutical (01093) up 3.54%, while Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) saw declines of 4.51% and 4.37% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks mostly rose, with Alibaba increasing nearly 3% and Tencent rising over 1% [3] - The insurance sector performed well, with China Life and AIA showing significant gains [4] - AI-related stocks saw strong performance, with MINIMAX surging by 26.48% [3][4] AI Industry Developments - Alibaba launched its Qwen3-Max-Thinking model, marking a significant advancement in AI capabilities [4] - Nvidia expanded its partnership with CoreWeave to accelerate AI factory construction, indicating a growing trend in AI commercialization [4] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance industry is experiencing a strong demand for participating insurance products, with 80% of new policies being participating insurance [5] - Morgan Stanley predicts that 2026 will be a strong year for the insurance sector, driven by sales growth and favorable investment conditions [5] Precious Metals Market - The precious metals sector saw a decline, with several companies like Zijin Mining and China Silver Group reporting losses [5][6] Notable Stock Movements - Zijin Mining (02259) rose by 11.59% after announcing a significant acquisition of Canadian gold assets [7] - Wanshan Wanshui-B (02630) reached a new high, increasing by 10.9% due to positive news regarding a new antiviral drug [8] - Ying Si Intelligent (03696) gained 7.15% following a strategic partnership for drug development [9] - Harbin Electric (01133) announced a profit increase, leading to a 5.89% rise in stock price [10] - Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) remained active with a 4.56% increase, driven by expectations of rising NAND flash prices [11]

港股三大指数集体收涨，恒生科技指数一度冲高至1.6%，最终收涨1.35%重新站上27000点，国企指数 涨1.07%，恒生科技指数涨0.5%。具体盘面上，权重科技股走势继续分化，阿里巴巴涨近3%，腾讯、小 米、快手飘红，京东跌超2%，美团、百度小幅下跌；保险股、银行股拉升走强助力大市回暖，其中中 国人寿涨近9%，工商银行、农业银行、建设银行皆有涨幅，汇丰控股、中烟香港再创历史新高；黄金 股部分继续上涨，紫金矿业、紫金黄金国际均大涨再创历史新高；重型机械股继续活跃，中国重汽、三 一国际齐创新高；光伏股、苹果概念股、港口及海运股、AI应用概念股普遍上涨。另一方面，钢铁 股、铜业股、煤炭股全天疲弱，其中，中国罕王大跌近11%，汽车股、家电股、水务股多数下跌。(格 隆汇) ...