2026年2月9日，作为欧盟的双引擎之一，法国突然发布了一份重磅政府报告，令整个国际市场震动。这份报告的语气可以说是强硬无比，内容也让人难以置 信：为了扭转与中国之间巨大的贸易逆差，法国建议欧盟27个成员国对中国商品加征30%的关税。这还不是全部，法国人甚至提出了一个震撼金融界的提 议：要么加税，要么就让欧元对人民币贬值20%到30%。换句话说，法国试图通过人为制造一场汇率风暴，迫使人民币升值，从而削弱中国制造的竞争力。 这一招是不是听着有些耳熟？没错，稍微懂点历史的朋友一定会发现，这不正是广场协议的翻版吗？美国当年通过这一手将日本压得喘不过气，今天法国把 这套旧剧本从废纸堆里捡了出来，只不过这次主角换成了中国。然而，当法国高喊加税，甚至在BFM电视台上惊呼令人震惊的时候，地球另一端的巴西圣 保罗，美国财政部长贝森特却轻描淡写地说了一句让全球都无法理解的话。 当被问及中美关系时，贝森特这位曾为特朗普政府提供财政支持的财神爷，笑着说：我们正处在一个非常舒适的位置。一边是法国歇斯底里地要求掀桌子， 一边是美国悠闲地称舒适。这两大西方强国为何突然间唱起了对台戏？背后到底藏着怎样的博弈和逻辑？ 现在，让我们来看看淡定 ...

市场普遍估算，贸易政策相关成本对奔驰利润的影响已达到10亿欧元。与此同时，外汇汇率波动、核心 原材料价格持续上行，再加上供应链各环节的整体成本抬升，正持续压缩企业利润空间，进一步拉低了 集团整体盈利指标。 2月12日，梅赛德斯-奔驰集团正式发布2025财年业绩报告。在全球豪华车市场格局洗牌、中国本土高端 新能源品牌崛起、电动化智能化转型加速等多重背景下，这家百年豪华车企正面临利润下滑、销量承压 的现实，同时仍在努力维持资金和高端市场的基本盘。 财报显示，2025年奔驰集团全年营业额为1322亿欧元，同比下滑9.2%；调整后息税前利润为82亿欧 元，较2024年大幅缩水40%，利润蒸发近一半；工业业务自由现金流54亿欧元，即使自由现金流保持正 向，但也远低于上一年的近92亿欧元。 主流市场疲软，高端车型稳健 事实上，奔驰的营收销量双下行并非偶然，而是多重因素叠加的综合结果，首当其冲的是当前全球贸易 摩擦与关税壁垒带来的直接冲击。 从业务板块来看，奔驰各细分业务表现不一。作为集团的主要营收与利润来源，乘用车业务2025年调整 后息税前利润约48亿欧元，较2024年明显下滑；调整后销售利润率也从8.1%降至约5.0 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth in 2025, driven by the synergistic development of "robotics + vehicles + liquid cooling" [1] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is projected to be between 287.50 billion to 303.50 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.08% to 14.10% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline by 3.35% to 13.35%, estimated at 26.00 billion to 29.00 billion yuan [8] - The company is planning to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to accelerate its international strategy [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 19,701 million yuan, with a projected increase to 29,939 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.55% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 2,813 million yuan in 2025, a decrease of 6.25% compared to the previous year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.62 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 44.48 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 72.01 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 125,141.54 million yuan [6] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.38 [6] Operational Insights - The company has secured a 15 billion yuan order in its thermal management business, indicating strong demand in international markets [8] - The company’s revenue growth is supported by its Tier 0.5 collaboration model and a diverse product portfolio [8]

以下文章来源于36氪汽车 ，作者徐蔡钰 樊舒琪 36氪汽车 . 看懂汽车产业新百年。36氪旗下智能电动车产业报道公号。 趋势不可逆，底线不能退。 文 ｜ 徐蔡钰 樊舒琪 编辑 ｜ 李勤 杨轩 来源｜ 36氪汽车（ID：EV36kr） 封面来源 ｜ 视觉中国 "速成车"踩刹车 2026年一开年，监管部门再一次收紧了对汽车开发的要求。这让不少"老汽车人"松了一口气。 一名头部车企的软件总工告诉36氪，在他十余年的从业生涯里，从未经历过去几年的激进时刻： 原本需要适配两年才能上车的新架构，现在10个月就得上车；之前机械验证要做的两次冬测试、两次夏测，被压缩成了一次冬测、一次夏测。 原本要验证4个月的整车控制软件，现在2个星期就可以上车。 他这种内行人才知道的隐忧还有：看似测试环节都在，但压缩时长伴随着高强度加班，实际操作中，需要测200次的项目最后可能只测了30次；测完10 次，员工便可能说已经测过100次了。 "有些问题就会测不出来，其中可能包含高安全相关问题。比如经常车卖出去，门把手出不来等等B类问题还有一堆。" 因为智能电动车普遍的特点是可以空中升级，不少车交车时，一些软件还未开发完成，公司就寄希望于后续推出 ...

Group 1 - Apple confirmed that the AI version of Siri is still on track for release within 2026, despite reports suggesting delays, which led to a 5% drop in its stock price [1][1] - The stock price decline erased Apple's gains for the year, with a nearly 4% drop attributed to the news [1] - The company aims to stabilize investor confidence by affirming its commitment to the planned release schedule [1] Group 2 - Zhao Ming, former CEO of Honor, announced his joining of Qianli Technology, expressing excitement about building an AI business ecosystem [2] - Zhao's decision to join Qianli Technology is influenced by his belief that AI is a field worth investing in for the next 20 years [2] Group 3 - Google announced a significant upgrade to its Gemini 3 Deep Think model, designed for scientific and engineering applications, achieving high performance in complex reasoning tasks [3][3] - The upgraded model demonstrated a 48.4% score on the Humanity's Last Exam and 84.6% on ARC-AGI-2, verified by ARC Prize Foundation [3] - In addition to mathematics, the model also showed strong capabilities in chemistry and physics, achieving gold medal-level results in international competitions [3][3] Group 4 - OpenAI and Cerebras launched the GPT-5.3-Codex-Spark model, aimed at real-time programming, marking their first public collaboration [4][4] - Codex-Spark is designed for high-speed interactive software development, achieving over 1000 tokens/s inference speed [5] - OpenAI emphasized the importance of developer control in the coding process, positioning Codex-Spark as a collaborative tool [5] Group 5 - Spotify revealed that its top developers have not written any code since December 2022, attributing this to the use of an internal AI system called "Honk" [6][6] - The "Honk" system utilizes generative AI technology to enhance coding speed and efficiency, allowing for real-time code deployment [6] Group 6 - Xiaomi announced that it will provide at least 10 years of spare parts support for its first-generation SU7 model, even after its discontinuation [8] - The new generation SU7 will be showcased in various cities starting February 13, with plans for a launch event in April [8] Group 7 - BMW confirmed a global recall of several hundred thousand vehicles due to a potential fire risk associated with the starter motor, affecting 16 models produced between July 2020 and July 2022 [9][9] - The company will notify affected vehicle owners to replace the potentially defective motors [9] Group 8 - Mercedes-Benz announced a recall of 11,895 EQB electric vehicles in the U.S. due to a risk of fire from the high-voltage battery [10] - The company will replace the batteries free of charge and has advised owners to park their vehicles outdoors [10] Group 9 - Sony launched the WF-1000XM6 wireless earbuds, claiming a 25% improvement in noise-canceling performance compared to the previous model [12][12] - The new earbuds feature an upgraded processor for enhanced audio processing and improved connectivity [12] Group 10 - NeuroXess announced a significant advancement in brain-computer interface technology, enabling a paralyzed patient to perform daily activities through thought control [15][15] - The patient achieved a brain control decoding rate of 5.2 BPS, comparable to international standards [15]

Key Points - Insta360 held its annual meeting where it awarded five sets of properties and several cars to employees, all of whom were born in the 1990s, emphasizing the importance of material incentives alongside recognition [5][6] - The company reported that 2025 was its highest revenue year, with a significant increase in R&D investment, surpassing the total of the previous three years [6] - DeepSeek's recent update has faced backlash from users who feel the model has become less engaging, despite a significant increase in context window capacity [11][12] - AWS has completed layoffs in its Greater China region, affecting approximately 150 employees, primarily in second-tier departments [14][15] - Zhao Ming, former CEO of Honor, has joined Qianli Technology, focusing on AI business models [16] - BMW announced a global recall of multiple models due to a defect in the starter motor that poses a fire risk [56] - Xiaomi's YU7 became the best-selling car in China for January 2026, with a total of 37,869 units sold, significantly outpacing competitors [35][36] - Chery employees expressed dissatisfaction with the company's strict leave policies during the Spring Festival, which limited vacation days [23] - Great Wall Motors announced that its average year-end bonus for 2025 would exceed 50,000 yuan per employee, with a total bonus pool potentially exceeding 42.45 billion yuan [25][26] - Huawei's new vehicle, the Zun Jie S800, will appear on the CCTV Spring Festival Gala, highlighting its market presence [45]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the changing landscape of car loans in China, highlighting how the increasing accessibility of car ownership for young people is accompanied by longer repayment periods, which significantly impacts personal financial decisions [3][4][6]. Group 1: Car Loan Trends - Since the beginning of 2026, companies like Tesla and domestic brands such as Xiaomi, Li Auto, and Xpeng have introduced extended car loan terms of up to seven years, making it easier for consumers to afford vehicles [5][6]. - The trend of extending repayment periods from three to five and now seven years has become a standard practice in the electric vehicle market, lowering monthly payments and attracting more buyers [6][8]. Group 2: Consumer Perspectives - Many consumers perceive long-term loans as a cost-effective solution, believing that lower monthly payments allow them to invest or save the difference, potentially outpacing inflation [6][8]. - However, there is a growing concern among consumers that long-term loans may lead to financial strain, as they commit to fixed monthly payments that could affect their quality of life and spending decisions [6][8]. Group 3: Personal Experiences with Car Loans - The article shares personal stories of individuals who have taken out car loans, illustrating the complexities and challenges they faced, such as high-interest rates and unexpected total costs [12][18]. - One individual, after a poor initial experience with a high-interest loan, became more informed and cautious in subsequent purchases, emphasizing the importance of understanding loan terms and conditions [14][29]. Group 4: Financial Implications - The article highlights the financial burden of car ownership, including not just loan repayments but also insurance, maintenance, and operational costs, which can add significant pressure on young consumers [8][24]. - The phenomenon of "high interest, high return" in car financing is discussed, where dealerships and banks collaborate to offer attractive loan terms, often leading to consumers believing that loans are cheaper than outright purchases [23][24]. Group 5: Changing Consumer Behavior - The shift towards car loans has altered consumer behavior, with many individuals feeling pressured to reduce discretionary spending to meet monthly loan obligations, impacting their lifestyle choices [20][21]. - The article concludes that while car ownership can enhance convenience, the financial implications of long-term loans require careful consideration and planning [26][31].

其核心目的在于通过贸易保护主义手段打压中国出口，保护欧洲本土产业，同时讨好美国、转移国内经 济压力，却忽视了中欧经贸合作的互利共赢本质。 2025年底，马克龙曾时隔两年半再度访华，率领法国企业高管寻求深化对华经贸合作，推动双方产业对 接与市场拓展。此次呼吁欧盟对华加征关税，与此前访华诉求形成鲜明反差，凸显其政策的短视性与不 一致性。 «——【·前言·】——» 今年轮到法国担任"七国集团"轮值主席国，在这个位置上，马克龙政府做出了一个不明智的决定，在一 份战略报告中，呼吁欧盟对华加征30%的关税，或推动欧元兑人民币贬值30%。对于法方的险恶用心， 中方的反制手段是现成的：针对法国葡萄酒发起双反调查；对欧盟的不友好行为发起反歧视调查；对欧 盟采取"对等关税"反制，每一招，都足以让欧洲学到教训。 2026年法国担任七国集团轮值主席国，本可借助这一平台推动欧洲协同发展，提升欧盟国际影响力。 但马克龙政府却将这一身份作为对华发难的契机，在战略报告中明确呼吁欧盟对中国商品加征30%关 税，并提出推动欧元兑人民币贬值30%的建议。 «——【·马克龙摆不清位置·】——» 法国呼吁加征30%关税的举措，违反世贸组织规则，破坏全 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Longxin General (隆鑫通用) as a first-time coverage [1] Core Views - Longxin General is a leading company in the motorcycle and all-terrain vehicle sectors in China, with a strategic focus on three main business areas: motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, and general machinery. The company has made significant advancements in high-end motorcycle series and smart garden machinery through continuous technological innovation [2][4] - The collaboration with Zongshen Power, a major shareholder, is expected to enhance the company's core competitiveness through synergies in technology research and development, supply chain management, and overseas channels [2] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.73 billion, 2.25 billion, and 2.70 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.84, 1.10, and 1.31 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 18.9, 14.5, and 12.1 times for the same years [2] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - Revenue is expected to grow from 13.066 billion yuan in 2023 to 27.396 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 12.7% from 2020 to 2024 [6][28] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from 583 million yuan in 2023 to 2.698 billion yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 23.6% during the same period [6][28] - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 18% from 2024 to 2027, while the net margin is projected to rise from 4.5% in 2023 to 9.8% in 2027 [6][28] - The company’s EPS is forecasted to grow from 0.28 yuan in 2023 to 1.31 yuan in 2027, reflecting strong earnings growth [6][28] Business Development - Longxin General has optimized its business structure by focusing on core areas and divesting non-core businesses, which has led to improved profitability [3][28] - The motorcycle segment is expected to see significant growth, with the high-end "Wuji" brand contributing over 30% of motorcycle revenue by 2024, and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34.9% from 2020 to 2024 [4][52] - The all-terrain vehicle segment is also experiencing rapid growth, with a revenue increase of 73.9% in 2024 [54] - The company is expanding its global presence, with products sold in over 90 countries and more than 2,000 sales points worldwide [4][39] Strategic Changes - The recent change in shareholding structure, with Zongshen New Manufacturing becoming the controlling shareholder, is expected to bring significant synergies and enhance governance [3][22] - The management team remains stable, with experienced leaders who have been with the company for many years, ensuring continuity in strategic execution [25][26]

调研情况显示，众捷汽车在投资者调研中详细介绍了公司海外基地布局，包括在墨西哥、西班牙设立生 产基地，在美国、英国建立销售中心，并积极推进国际化布局，加强北美等海外市场的团队建设。 公司主要客户为马勒、摩丁、翰昂、马瑞利、康迪泰克等知名大型跨国一级汽车零部件供应商，产品覆 盖奔驰、宝马、奥迪、保时捷、特斯拉等众多国际品牌，同时积极拓展国内新能源整车市场，已与比亚 迪、长城汽车、上汽集团等建立直接业务合作关系。在液冷领域，公司主要产品为数据中心液冷芯板， 已成功拓展与全球热管理解决方案领导者Boyd宝德集团的合作。 天眼查资料显示，苏州众捷汽车零部件股份有限公司成立于2010年02月10日，是一家以从事汽车制造业 为主的企业。截至2026年01月09日，众捷汽车股东户数9614户，较上次减少84户，户均持股市值47.11 万元，户均持股数量1.26万股。 2026年02月11日，众捷汽车披露接待调研公告，公司于02月10日接待睿远基金等2家机构调研。 参与此次调研的睿远基金是一家以价值投资、研究驱动和长期投资风格为主的长期价值投资机构，聚焦 于权益投资和固定收益投资领域。截至目前，管理基金数量为5只，其中睿远成长 ...