Group 1 - The real estate market in Sanya is experiencing a unique trend, with an increase in homebuyers looking to improve their living conditions, particularly from regions like Northwest, North China, and Northeast China [2][5] - Since December of the previous year, there has been a noticeable increase in the number of clients looking at properties, leading to heightened activity among real estate agents and marketing personnel [2][5] - In January 2026, Sanya's newly built commercial housing signed sales area reached 217,400 square meters, a year-on-year increase of 24%, with sales amounting to 6.478 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year [5] Group 2 - The commercial property sector in Sanya is witnessing explosive growth, with sales area for commercial properties reaching 20,800 square meters in January, a staggering year-on-year increase of 93% and a month-on-month increase of 108% [5][6] - The sales amount for commercial properties in January was 607 million yuan, reflecting a 15% year-on-year increase and a 155% month-on-month surge [5][6] - The growth in commercial properties is attributed to the ongoing development of the Hainan Free Trade Port, which is attracting more businesses to establish regional headquarters in Sanya, thereby creating real demand for office and investment spaces [6][7]

Group 1: Real Estate Transactions in Beijing - On February 13, 2023, Beijing recorded 85 new home registrations with a total area of 10,855.75 square meters, including 43 residential units covering 5,395.44 square meters [2] - The same day, there were 220 second-hand home registrations with a total area of 19,413.37 square meters, of which 195 were residential units covering 18,062.41 square meters [2] Group 2: High-Value Property Sales in Shanghai - A villa in Shanghai's Hong'anli was sold for over 140 million yuan, marking a significant transaction in the luxury real estate market [3] - Hong'anli has a total of 11 villas priced over 100 million yuan, all of which have now been sold, indicating strong demand in this segment [4] Group 3: Zeiss Investment in Shanghai - Zeiss has officially launched the construction of its Greater China headquarters in the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, with a planned construction area exceeding 50,000 square meters, representing the largest single infrastructure investment by the company in China to date [5] Group 4: Residential Project Development in Hangzhou - Far East Horizon has announced plans for a residential project in Hangzhou's Qiantang District, which will consist of five 23-story high-rise buildings [6] - The project site was acquired for 47.658 million yuan, with a floor price of 10,500 yuan per square meter, and will cover a total building area of 69,819.09 square meters [6] Group 5: Urban Renewal Projects in Beijing - Beijing has released its first batch of urban renewal projects for 2026, totaling 1,321 projects with an annual investment plan of 104.95 billion yuan [7] - The projects will focus on various types of urban improvements, including historical preservation, community construction, and infrastructure updates [7]

Group 1 - Wuhan city is offering free parking in certain residential communities for owners and their friends during the Spring Festival holiday from February 15 to February 21 [1][2] - The parking fees prior to the free period in the Jianghan District's Green City Lakeside Cloud Residence are 2 yuan per hour for the first 5 hours, and 10 yuan per hour thereafter, with a daily cap of 80 yuan [2] - Other residential areas, such as Qiaokou District's Chuangxin Tianyue Yijiangyuan, are also providing free parking for owners and their friends during the same holiday period [2][3] Group 2 - The free parking initiative is limited to owners and their friends, requiring identity verification for entry into the underground parking [2][3] - The Green City Lakeside Cloud Residence plans to start charging for parking in the first half of 2025, having previously offered free parking during the Mid-Autumn Festival in 2025 [2] - Other communities, including Sanhong Jiayuan and Nanguo Huajun, are also participating in the free parking initiative during the Spring Festival [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the benchmark index over the next 6-12 months [24]. Core Insights - The pilot program in Shanghai for acquiring second-hand housing for rental housing is expected to have advantages compared to lower-tier cities and may serve as a guiding model for other key urban projects [2][4]. - If the implementation is orderly, it could positively impact market expectations and confidence [2]. - The acquisition of second-hand homes is part of a new model called "monetization of affordable housing construction," allowing for the conversion of physical affordable housing into monetary funds for purchasing suitable existing homes [1][4]. Summary by Sections Event Overview - On February 2, 2026, the first batch of second-hand housing acquisitions for rental housing projects in Shanghai was officially signed, supported by China Construction Bank [1]. - The pilot will take place in the districts of Pudong, Xuhui, and Jing'an, focusing on acquiring 96 second-hand homes to be included in the affordable housing supply system [1]. Acquisition Mechanism - The acquisition will prioritize small-sized units built before 2000, with a total price not exceeding 4 million yuan, targeting properties with clear ownership and no disputes [4][5]. - The program aims to address the housing supply-demand imbalance in key areas with high rental demand [4][6]. Market Conditions - As of the end of 2025, there were approximately 4,825 second-hand homes in the three districts that met the acquisition criteria, with a total listing value of 14.2 billion yuan [4][11]. - The rental demand for one and two-bedroom units in these districts is notably high, with demand ratios reaching 85.4% in Xuhui, 80.2% in Pudong, and 78.2% in Jing'an [6][8]. Financial Support and Sustainability - The funding for the acquisitions will come from district-level financial resources, supplemented by bank loans, with rental income from the acquired properties expected to support ongoing operations [4][5]. - China Construction Bank is expected to provide financial support for the acquisition process, including customized financing solutions [4][5]. Comparative Analysis - The report compares Shanghai's approach to similar initiatives in Zhengzhou, noting that while Zhengzhou's program has not significantly boosted market demand, Shanghai's pilot is positioned to better meet existing rental needs [4][5]. - The price decline of second-hand homes in Shanghai has been significant, with prices in the three districts dropping by over 20% compared to their peak [4][15].

www.ccxi.com.cn 其他联络人 2026 年 2 月 联络人 作者 企业评级部 蒋 螣 027-87339288 tjiang@ccxi.com.cn 刘旭冉 027-87339288 xrliu@ccxi.com.cn 黎小琳 027-87339288 xlli@ccxi.com.cn | 目录 | | | --- | --- | | 摘要 | 1 | | 分析思路 | 2 | | 行业基本面 | 2 | | 样本企业表现 | 8 | | 结论 | 12 | | 附表 | 13 | 贺文俊 027-87339288 wjhe@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 行业展望 房地产行业 中国房地产行业展望，2026 年 2 月 2025 年房地产行业政策力度同比减弱，但全年销售规模降幅收窄， 去库存亦取得一定进展，在商品房销售额尚未完全企稳的背景下， 供求平衡的修复仍面临挑战；2026 年预计行业销售及投资下行压力 仍存但节奏放缓，政策端或将进入常态化实施阶段，待售面积有望 出现拐点性下降，为"十五五"房地产市场触底企稳打下基础，预 计未来短期内头部房企的市场地位稳固，但行业颈部及腰部企业的 排序或 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry based on expected performance relative to the market benchmark [5]. Core Insights - Recent valuation recovery in real estate stocks reflects a combination of oversold conditions relative to the CSI 300 index, changes in fundamental expectations, and policy anticipations [1][3]. - The upward potential for real estate stock prices requires further support from either fundamental performance or policy implementation, with key drivers including better-than-expected transaction volumes and significant policy announcements [12][14]. - The market is currently divided between investors with optimistic views on fundamentals and those speculating on policy changes, which may lead to conflicting strategies [10]. Summary by Sections Recent Valuation Recovery - The recent increase in real estate stock prices is attributed to a recovery from oversold conditions and shifts in market sentiment regarding fundamentals and policies [1]. - Data from January 1 to February 5 shows a year-on-year decline in new home transactions by 6% and an increase in second-hand home transactions by 31%, although adjusted lunar year comparisons indicate a more significant decline [3]. Conditions for Further Price Increases - The gap between the real estate index and the CSI 300 has narrowed significantly, suggesting that without further catalysts, the potential for excess returns in the real estate sector may diminish [12]. - Future price increases will depend on exceeding expectations in fundamental performance, such as increased transaction volumes and favorable policy developments [14]. Policy Directions and Drivers - Key areas of policy focus include changes in inventory levels, loan continuation methods post "Financial 16," and the outcomes of specific corporate financing events [15]. - Potential policy measures may involve lowering mortgage rates and implementing inventory reduction strategies to stabilize housing prices [16][18]. Market Dynamics and Stock Selection - The current market trend favors companies with higher sales growth and land acquisition rates, indicating a preference for "winning" companies based on market momentum [22]. - If supportive policies are enacted, the focus may shift from "winning" companies to those with attractive valuations, while also considering companies with strong operational momentum [24]. - Specific companies to watch include those with stable performance and high dividend yields, as well as those benefiting from improvements in the housing market [25].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Commercial Aerospace - Shanghai Port Bay's perovskite technology in collaboration with Dongfang Risen is expected to benefit from the SpaceX supply chain. The increase in satellite launches will boost the demand for solar wings, positively impacting related companies [1][3]. Refractory Materials - Companies like Zhongsen Technology, Luyang Energy, and Zhonggang Nairuo are performing well through business extensions and are considered important targets for investment as the sector begins to rally [1][3]. AI+ Sector - Companies such as China National Materials, Honghe Technology, Feilihua, and China Jushi are benefiting from LDK demand, leading to significant profit increases. Attention is drawn to upstream raw materials like high-end electronic fabrics [1][3]. Construction and Building Materials - New business models in the construction and building materials industry focus on increasing market share and revenue scale, with a clear supply clearing and gradual industry improvement. Sanjias Tree's beautiful countryside business and community stores are rapidly developing, while Yuhong enhances competitiveness through service model innovation [1][4]. Real Estate Market Insights Recent Data and Trends - Recent data indicates a positive trend in the real estate market, particularly in first and second-tier cities where second-hand housing transaction volume has increased year-on-year, and price indices have turned positive. The listing volume has decreased, with demand driven by school district housing improving transaction structure. The new housing market is expected to rebound post-holiday due to supply constraints [1][5]. Investment Strategy - The current rally in real estate stocks is characterized by a mix of speculative and long-term capital, suggesting a more sustainable upward trend. The second quarter may present an opportunity to increase real estate positions, with recommended stocks including China Merchants Shekou, New City Holdings, Jindi Group, and Wo Ai Wo Jia [1][6][8]. Transportation and Logistics Sector Investment Themes - The transportation and logistics sector has four main investment themes: 1. Domestic express logistics is entering a critical consolidation phase, with a focus on leading companies like ZTO Express and YTO Express [2][9]. 2. Cross-border e-commerce and the Belt and Road Initiative, with key companies including SF Holding and JD Logistics [2][9]. 3. Platform transportation through internet platforms like Didi and Cao Cao Mobility, which are expected to enhance profits with the realization of autonomous driving and new energy vehicle replacements [2][10]. 4. Large cycle sectors, including aviation and shipping, are anticipated to see profit growth due to tight supply and recovering demand. Companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping are recommended, with significant profit elasticity expected from VLCC operations [2][10]. Additional Considerations - The real estate market's upward speed is not expected to be as rapid as in previous cycles, with a potential long-term upward trend following policy implementation. The core cities' housing prices may stabilize by the end of the year, with real estate stocks likely leading the fundamental bottom by 2 to 3 quarters [1][8]. - Long-term capital movements should be closely monitored to adjust investment strategies accordingly [1][7].

内房股整体走强。 此前较长时间整体不受港股市场"待见"的内房股，2026年以来表现可圈可点，不仅股价明显跑赢了港股市场平均水平，还获得包括南向港股通等资金的青 睐。 上述现象背后的原因几何？ 港股内房股受到资金追捧 尽管仍面临诸多不确定性，不少港股内房股已开始受到资金的追捧。这里面，2026年以来南向港股通资金对不少内房股加仓迹象比较明显，某种程度上折 射出二级市场上不少资金对于内房股的态度趋暖。 据Wind数据，2026年以来，在中华内房股指数30只成份股中，有18只成份股背后的港股通持股数量出现提升，占比达六成。 比如港股通2026年2月10日持有的华润置地股票数量为8.39亿股，较2025年底增长逾8000万股，其间港股通持股占比由10.52%提升至11.75%，港股通持股 占比累计提升超过1个百分点。 中国海外发展、新城发展等港股在上述期间也获得港股通加仓。数据显示，2025年底港股通持有的中国海外发展股票数量为6.02亿股，至2026年2月10日 达7.36亿股，其间持股量累计增长1.34亿股，持股比例则由5.49%提升至6.72%；2025年底港股通持有的新城发展股票数量为14.07亿股，至202 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The economy in early 2026 shows a complex situation. The GDP growth rate slows down, and the manufacturing and non - manufacturing PMIs fluctuate. The consumer price index and producer price index have different trends, and the investment and consumption data also show certain changes. In the commodity market, there are adjustments in futures contract rules and price fluctuations in various commodities. The financial market has changes in monetary policy, bond market, and exchange rate market, and the stock market shows different trends in A - shares and Hong Kong stocks [1][38][39]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Macro Data - GDP growth rate in Q4 2025 was 4.5%, down from 4.8% in the previous quarter and 5.4% in the same period last year [1]. - In January 2026, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, slightly up from 49.0% in the previous month, and the non - manufacturing PMI: business activity was 49.4%, down from 50.1% in the previous month [1]. - In December 2025, social financing scale was 2207.5 billion yuan, down from 3529.9 billion yuan in the previous month and 2853.7 billion yuan in the same period last year [1]. - CPI in December 2025 was 0.8% year - on - year, up from - 0.3% in the previous month, and PPI was - 1.9% year - on - year, up from - 2.3% in the previous month [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - Dalian Commodity Exchange adjusted the daily price limit and trading margin levels of various futures contracts from February 12, 2026 [2]. - Bank of China adjusted the margin ratios of gold and silver deferred contracts from February 11 [2]. - On February 10, 41 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis, and 27 had negative basis [3]. - The China Futures Association drafted a management rule for stress testing of futures companies' trading and settlement systems and solicited public opinions [3]. - Heraeus Limited was approved as an overseas standard gold ingot provider by the Shanghai Gold Exchange and can trade and deliver since February 5, 2026 [4]. - Fed officials Logan and Hamark said the Fed's policy stance was close to neutral and there might be no need for further rate cuts if inflation fell and the labor market remained stable [4]. 3.2.2 Metals - On February 11, spot gold reached $5050, up 0.53% for the day, and spot silver reached $81 per ounce, up 0.81% for the day [5]. - Chow Tai Fook may adjust the price of gold products in mid - March, with an expected increase of 15% - 30% for fixed - price products [5]. - The price of indium has reached a more than ten - year high, up more than 55% since last September [5]. - In December, Codelco's copper production increased by 3.7% year - on - year to 181,400 tons, while the copper production of Collahuasi Mine decreased by 12.1% year - on - year to 36,200 tons [6]. - As of February 10, 2026, the holdings of SPDR Gold Trust decreased by 0.34 tons to 1079.32 tons [6]. - On February 9, tin and copper inventories reached new highs, while aluminum, zinc, and lead inventories decreased [6][7]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - The White House will hold a coal - related event on Wednesday [8]. - The US Trade Representative is conducting negotiations on key minerals, including with Mexico and India, and expects to finalize an agreement with Indonesia in the next few weeks. Japan and the US will discuss a project supported by a $550 - billion investment tool [8][9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - Zhoushan was approved to carry out the mixed - export business of marine bio - fuel oil [9]. - The US Energy Information Administration predicted that US natural gas production would reach a record high in 2026, while demand would remain stable. It also provided forecasts for oil demand and prices [9][10]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - Beef prices showed a slight upward trend as the Spring Festival approached. Egg prices declined due to sufficient supply and weakening demand [11]. - The US Department of Agriculture's February forecast for US soybean production, ending stocks, and yield in the 2025/2026 season remained unchanged from January [12]. - Bangladesh will purchase soybeans, wheat, cotton, and corn. Brazil's February exports of soybean meal and soybeans are expected to increase [13]. - The India Cotton Association expects the cotton supply in the 2025 - 26 season to be 42.8 million bales [14]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On February 10, the central bank conducted 311.4 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net injection of 205.9 billion yuan [15]. - On February 10, the Ministry of Finance and the central bank conducted a 150 - billion - yuan central treasury cash management commercial bank time - deposit auction, with an interest rate of 1.73% [15]. 3.3.2 Important News and Information - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, use policy tools flexibly, and normalize treasury bond trading operations [16]. - The 21st session of the 14th National People's Congress Standing Committee will be held from February 25 - 26, with multiple draft laws to be reviewed [17]. - The market regulatory authority approved a batch of important national standards in various fields [17]. - Five ministries jointly issued a guide for the construction of the science and technology service industry standard system [18]. - In January 2026, investment in digital economy - related fields was active, and consumption increased [18]. - Fiscal expenditure is shifting from infrastructure to "new - quality productivity" [19]. - The focus of the real estate market in 2026 is to stabilize the market, reduce inventory, strengthen housing security, and promote urban renewal [20]. - In 2025, the national social logistics volume increased by 5.1% year - on - year, with significant growth in the logistics volume of industrial robots and new - energy vehicles [20]. - Local debt resolution is in a critical stage, and some areas have completed debt - clearing tasks [20]. - Some real - estate enterprises have new financing activities, but the financing environment has only "point - like improvement" [21]. - Banks have issued a large number of large - denomination certificates of deposit, with a short - term trend and differentiated product strategies [21]. - The wealth management scale of large - scale wealth management companies declined in January 2026, but there are positive expectations for the future [22][23]. - Small and medium - sized banks have raised deposit interest rates at the beginning of the year [23]. - Tianjin's first batch of ESG - standardized bonds for financial leasing were issued [23]. - Alphabet issued a 750 - million - pound 100 - year bond, with over 7 - fold over - subscription [24]. - According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in March is 21.6%, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 78.4% [24]. - Japan's national debt reached a record high at the end of 2025 [25]. - Ray Dalio warned that the US is in the "fifth stage" of the imperial cycle and recommended holding 5% - 15% of gold in the investment portfolio [26]. - There were various bond - related events, including credit rating adjustments and disciplinary actions [27]. - Overseas credit rating agencies adjusted the credit ratings of some Chinese real - estate enterprises [28]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Summary - The inter - bank bond market showed narrow fluctuations, with government bonds performing better than policy - financial bonds. The money market interest rates mostly increased [29][31]. - The exchange - traded bond market had active trading, with some bonds rising and some falling. The convertible bond index declined [29][30]. - The yields of European and US government bonds declined [33]. 3.3.4 Exchange Rate Express - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose 155 points to 6.9129 at the close on February 11. The RMB central parity rate against the US dollar was raised by 65 points [34]. - The US dollar index rose slightly, and most non - US currencies fell [34]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - CITIC Securities believes that the liquidity of urban investment bonds will continue to differentiate, and 3 - 5 - year urban investment bonds have high cost - performance [35]. - CITIC Securities points out that the consumption during the Spring Festival and the policy from local two sessions are the focuses in Q1, and the industrial destocking speed after March and the implementation of new industrial policies are crucial for the annual economic recovery [35]. - Xingzheng Fixed - Income suggests that investors focus on the coupon strategy for Chinese - funded US - dollar bonds in 2026 and pay attention to the yields of offshore urban investment dim - sum bonds and bonds of banks and financial services sectors [36]. - Yangtze River Fixed - Income believes that the spread changes of local bonds are affected by market trading and policies, and there are differences in liquidity and trading preferences among different provinces [36]. 3.3.6 Today's Reminder - On February 11, 280 bonds were listed, 74 bonds were issued, 75 bonds were due for payment, and 89 bonds were due for principal and interest repayment [37]. 3.4 Stock Market News - On February 11, the A - share market showed narrow fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising 0.02%, and the ChiNext Index falling 0.37%. AI application stocks and some concept stocks were active, while photovoltaic and consumer stocks were weak [38]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 0.58%, and AI application stocks and innovative drug concept stocks rose. Southbound funds had a small net purchase, and Tencent Holdings was sold [39]. - Foreign institutions are optimistic about Chinese assets, believing that China has a complete industrial chain, strong innovation ability, and attractive valuations [39].

如果告诉你，一台晚会没有顶流明星撑场、主角全是"普通人"，却能成为跨越全国20座城市的年度文化 事件，并持续吸引数万家庭参与22年——你或许会认为这只是个理想化的故事。 但这就是在绿城，实实在在发生的事。 2月7日晚，上海音乐厅的灯光为一场特别的"春晚"点亮。当《相亲相爱一家人》的全场合唱声落下帷 幕，2026绿城业主春晚上海站在温暖与掌声中圆满定格。这场晚会，主角是近百位来自上海及启东各绿 城园区的普通业主，节目涵盖从少儿越剧、太极功夫到现代乐队等十余种形式。它的特别之处在于，这 并非一场孤立的年终活动，而是绿城持续运营了二十二年的全国性IP"绿城春晚，家礼中国"在上海的首 次落地。 从"观众"到"主角"，让温情在专业舞台绽放 与许多品牌单方主导、业主被动参与的活动不同，这场春晚的魅力在于其"共享、共乐、共创、共建"的 真实底色。 舞台上银发业主的优雅走秀、少儿戏曲的有模有样、业主乐队的倾情弹唱，其生命力均源自日常社区中 自然生长的兴趣社群。绿城的角色，更像是一个平台的搭建者和资源的连接者——邀请资深导演许晨云 提供专业支撑，组织业主、绿城服务团队从节目海选到排练的数月筹备，最终在专业级艺术殿堂呈现精 彩演 ...