环球市场动态 欧 盟 更 新 经 济 安 全 战 略 股 票 中国市场周五午后集体拉升，监管 有望推动保险资金入市点燃市场情 绪；欧洲股市走势分化，市场谨慎 等待美联储议息；美国 9 月 PCE 数 据符合预期，巩固降息预期，美股 小幅收高。 外 汇 / 商 品 交易员关注俄乌停火谈判进展及其 对市场供应的潜在影响，上周五国 际油价上涨；市场观望美联储议息， 金价变动不大；铜、白银价格创历 史高位。 固 定 收 益 上周五美国国债下跌，收益率上涨 近 4 个基点。本周将迎来美联储利 率决议，以及 3 年期、10 年期和 30 年期美债拍卖。亚洲债市交投清淡， 利差收窄 2-3 个基点。 产品及投资方案部 注：bp/bps=基点；pt/pts=百分点 中信证券财富管理 (香港) 免责声明请参考封底 2025 年 12 月 8 日 ▪ 上周欧盟发布新版《加强欧盟经济安全》框架，对 2023 年《欧洲经济安全战略》框架进行了系统性更新。在 新版框架中，欧盟提出了六大类 "去风险" 政策工具，以提升欧盟的经济安全水平与全球竞争力，具体包括： 减少对商品和服务的战略依赖；吸引安全投资进入欧盟；支持欧洲国防和航天产业及其 ...

| 分时 5日 = 5分 15分 30分 60分 图K 周K 月K 年K = | | (x = 其他 · ■ / : 恒生指数 (HSI) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生頻數 但因 · | | 0000 | | 26103.08 103.08 | | | | | -27381.84 | | 呼撞报价 | | | | | | | 27000.0 | 域交量 | 7.46亿 新闻 | 2011133 今天 | 26067.86 | | | | | 成交租 | 196亿 最低 | 26067.04 作者 | 20005.06 | | | | 26500.0 | 其他指数 | | | | | | | | 名称 | | 最新 | 双4 | | | | | 周无脂数 | | 58.92 | -0.08% | | | | | 10.05 | | 47264 0 | +0.22 | | | | 25500.0 | 解解达真 | | 21570.12 | +0.31 | | | | | 标值500 | | 6870,40 | +0.137 | ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 港股速报 | 港股小幅高开 内资券商股全线上扬 12月8日早盘，港股市场小幅高开。 截至发稿，恒生指数报26103.08点，上涨18点，涨幅0.07%。 上周末，证监会主席吴清发表重要致辞，围绕"十五五"时期证券行业的使命责任、一流投资银行与投资机构建设两大核心议题，系统提出9条关键要求。吴 清指出，"十五五"是推进中国式现代化、加快建设金融强国的关键时期，证券行业作为直接融资的主要"服务商"、资本市场的重要"看门人"、社会财富的专 业"管理者"，发展空间广阔、大有可为，必须主动呼应时代召唤，自觉担负四大使命责任。 恒生科技指数报5690.54点，上涨28.08点，涨幅0.50%。 焦点板块方面，受消息面刺激，今日内资券商股全线上扬。 今日早盘表现来看，宏业期货（HK03678）大涨超8%，国泰海通（HK02611）、华泰证券（HK06886）涨超5%，中信证券、招商证券、国联民生涨超4%， 其余内资券商股涨幅在2%~4%区间。ETF方面，香港证券ETF早盘涨超3%。 其他方面，盘面上，科网股涨跌不一，百度涨超4%，美团涨超1%、联想跌 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed a slight increase, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.07% to 26,103.08 points, reflecting a positive market sentiment influenced by recent developments in the securities industry [1][2]. Group 1: Securities Industry Developments - The Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, Wu Qing, emphasized the critical role of the securities industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, outlining nine key requirements for the sector [2]. - Wu highlighted the securities industry as a major "service provider" for direct financing, an important "gatekeeper" for capital markets, and a professional "manager" of social wealth, indicating significant growth potential [2]. Group 2: Market Performance - Domestic brokerage stocks experienced a notable rise, with Hongye Futures (HK03678) increasing over 8%, and other firms like Guotai Junan (HK02611) and Huatai Securities (HK06886) rising more than 5% [2][4]. - The Hong Kong Securities ETF also saw an increase of over 3% in early trading [2]. Group 3: Sector Highlights - The Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.50% to 5,690.54 points, indicating a positive trend in technology stocks [3]. - Mixed performance was observed in the tech sector, with Baidu increasing over 4% and Meituan rising over 1%, while Lenovo saw a decline of 0.7% [6]. - Semiconductor stocks gained, with companies like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor rising over 2% [6]. - The innovative drug sector showed strength, with Kangfang Biotech increasing over 2% [6]. - Domestic insurance stocks also performed well, with China Ping An and China Life both rising over 2% [6]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Huatai Securities noted that the recent appreciation of the RMB is a positive sign in domestic economic and financial data, suggesting that moderate appreciation could benefit corporate performance despite common beliefs about its negative impact on export companies [7]. - The firm indicated that the current market sentiment remains pessimistic, but it is viewed as a potential opportunity for investment, particularly in technology and pharmaceuticals, while also suggesting a focus on consumer goods for alpha opportunities [7].

Core Viewpoint - Baidu is evaluating the potential spin-off and independent listing of its subsidiary Kunlun Chip (Kunlun Xin), with no guarantee that the process will proceed, despite media reports suggesting plans for an IPO in Hong Kong by early 2026 [1][3][29]. Group 1: Company Developments - Kunlun Chip, an AI chip company, was previously part of Baidu's internal projects and has undergone several financing rounds, achieving a post-investment valuation of 21 billion yuan [3][7]. - The company has expanded its external sales over the past two years, with projected revenues of over 3.5 billion yuan in 2025 and a goal of breakeven [11][12]. - Baidu's stock price surged over 7% following the news of the potential spin-off, reflecting market optimism about Kunlun Chip's prospects [3][13]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Baidu's Q3 2025 financial results showed a decline in total revenue, with a year-over-year decrease of 7% [25][26]. - The company is under pressure to identify new growth drivers as its traditional advertising and cloud businesses face challenges [24][27]. Group 3: Product Development and Market Position - Kunlun Chip has launched several generations of AI chips, with the latest P800 model achieving significant performance improvements and gaining market recognition [10][11]. - The company plans to release new products, including the M100 and M300 chips, aimed at large-scale inference and multi-modal training, respectively [17][18]. - Baidu is positioning Kunlun Chip as a key player in the AI hardware market, aiming to reduce reliance on expensive NVIDIA chips and enhance operational efficiency [27][28].

百度港交所公告：公司注意到，于2025年12月5日有媒体报道本公司拟分拆非全资附属公司昆仑芯（北京）科技有限公司进行独立上市。本公司谨此澄清，目前正就拟议分拆及上市进行评估。倘进行拟议分拆及上市，将须经相关监管审批程序，而本公司并不保证拟议分拆及上市将会进行。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):路透：百度AI芯片子公司昆仑芯正在考虑在香港上市。消息称，昆仑芯在过去6个月内完成了最新一轮融资，从中国移动基金和其他私人投资者那里筹集了超过20亿元。本轮融资的估值约为210亿元，高于上一轮融资的180亿元。 ...

【 导读 】百度：正就分拆昆仑芯独立上市进行评估 中国基金报记者 忆山 12月7日，百度发布公告称，公司注意到，2025年12月5日有媒体报道公司拟分拆非全资附属公司昆仑芯（北京）科技有限公司（以下简 称昆仑芯）进行独立上市。公司目前正就拟议分拆及上市进行评估。若进行分拆及上市，将须经相关监管审批程序， 而公司并不保证分拆 及上市将会进行。 12月5日，市场传出消息，昆仑芯已启动在香港上市的筹备工作，计划最早在明年一季度递交上市申请，目标是在2027年初完成IPO。昆仑 芯最新获得2.83亿美元融资后，估值达29.7亿美元，约合210亿元人民币。受此消息影响，当日百度港股股价一度涨超7%。 昆仑芯的前身是百度智能芯片及架构部，自2011年开始布局加速计算领域，于2021年完成独立融资后，逐步成为业内领先的人工智能芯片 供应商。 产品方面，在11月举办的百度世界大会2025上，新一代昆仑芯M100及M300亮相。其中，M100针对大规模推理的场景优化，充分发挥昆 仑芯自研架构的优势，使MOE模型的推理性能大幅提升，预计在2026年初上市；昆仑芯M300主要针对超大规模的、多模态大模型的训练 和推理做了深入优化， ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the continuous growth in AI demand, which is expected to enhance the demand for computing power [5][30] - The storage market is anticipated to experience price increases for at least 2-3 more quarters due to supply constraints [40][42] - Huawei's new product launches are expected to impact the supply chain positively, with significant market shares in the domestic smartphone market [43][44] Summary by Sections Internet - The rapid growth of the Qianwen app user base, with a monthly active user count reaching 18.34 million and a growth rate of 149.03% in November 2025 [18][19] - AI applications are primarily focused on programming and entertainment, with programming-related token consumption accounting for 50% [21][23] - The launch of the Doubao AI mobile assistant is expected to drive token usage further [29] Computing - The release of Google's Gemini 3 series is expected to extend the life of scaling laws and create a favorable ecological gain [30] - Data is identified as the core asset and barrier, with significant increases in training data for Gemini 3 compared to its predecessor [30] - Google's infrastructure allows researchers to focus on algorithms rather than technical issues, enhancing productivity [31][32] Storage - The supply of DRAM and NAND Flash is expected to be tight, with predictions of shortages in the first half of 2026 [40][41] - The price of storage contracts is projected to continue rising for at least 2-3 quarters, driven by limited new capacity [42] Electronics - Huawei's market share in the domestic smartphone market was 18.1% in Q2 2025 and 15.2% in Q3 2025, indicating strong performance [43][44] - The launch of new products, including the Mate 80 series and Mate X7, is expected to influence the supply chain positively [43] Tools - The report notes significant fluctuations in interest rate expectations, with a clear mid-term trend towards rate cuts [50][59] - The upcoming IPO of Zhongjian Technology is highlighted as a significant event in the capital market [60]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [4][17]. Core Insights - The core opportunities in the entertainment industry stem from domestic young users and overseas expansion, with key targets expected to have a PE ratio of approximately 15x in 2026 [3][4]. - Companies such as Giant Network and 37 Interactive Entertainment are highlighted for their growth potential, particularly in the gaming sector, with significant international revenue contributions [3][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI applications in enhancing user experience and operational efficiency across various platforms [5][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Key Companies and Their Prospects - **Giant Network**: Long-term potential in the female-oriented gaming sector is underestimated, with expectations for increased daily active users (DAU) and revenue during the Spring Festival [3][4]. - **37 Interactive Entertainment**: Recently faced administrative penalties but maintains a low PE and high dividend yield, with 32% of revenue coming from overseas [3][4]. - **Century Huatong**: Focus on the global expansion of casual gaming in 2026, with strong core products [4]. - **Pop Mart**: Market expectations for single IP are overly pessimistic; expansion of IP and regions (Europe and America) is crucial for mid-term growth [4][5]. - **Red Star**: Leading in social entertainment in the Middle East, with a low PE and high growth potential [5]. AI and Technology Developments - **Doubao AI Phone**: Represents a significant exploration in cross-application AI agents, with capabilities for deep scheduling and operation across applications [5][6]. - **Cloud AI Infrastructure**: Companies like Baidu and Alibaba are strengthening their AI infrastructure, with new chip developments expected to launch in 2026 and 2027 [6][7]. Market Trends and Valuation - The report includes a valuation table for key companies, indicating projected revenues and net profits for 2024 to 2026, with notable growth rates in several firms [10][11]. - The overall market sentiment is positive, with a focus on recovery rhythms for companies like Focus Media and Visionox [8].

Group 1 - The annual China Private Equity Annual Conference will be held from December 2 to 5, 2025, in Shenzhen, focusing on observing China's technological innovation [2] - The chairman of Dongfang Fuhai, Chen Wei, predicts that the Chinese stock market will increase by at least 100 trillion yuan in value [2][16] - The current market dynamics show that the U.S. tech giants have a dynamic P/E ratio of around 28 times, while the Hang Seng Tech index is at 24 times, indicating a lower valuation compared to the internet bubble era [7] Group 2 - AI investments are projected to reach $1.4 trillion from 2025 to 2027, with $500 billion already invested in AI this year [4] - The global investment in data center construction is expected to be between $5 trillion to $7 trillion over the next five years, with the U.S. leading the charge [4] - The current AI user penetration is only 10% of mobile phone users, indicating that AI is still in its early stages compared to the internet's growth [8] Group 3 - Historical comparisons suggest that the current AI wave may resemble the early internet phase, with significant potential for future growth [6][11] - The internet infrastructure investment from 1995 to 2023 totaled $11 trillion, while AI infrastructure investments from 2023 to 2025 are projected to be only $1 trillion, indicating room for growth [8] - The potential for AI to revolutionize productivity and wealth generation is significant, with past technological revolutions leading to exponential economic growth [10][11] Group 4 - The Chinese stock market is expected to see a significant increase in market value, potentially adding 100 trillion yuan, driven by technological advancements and innovation [16][17] - The era of large tech companies in China is emerging, with a notable increase in the number of companies valued at over 100 billion yuan [17] - The investment ecosystem in China is robust, with a focus on innovation and technology, positioning it as a center for creating miracles in the industry [17]