一、【早盘盘面回顾】 智通财经2月3日讯，市场早盘冲高回落后，又再度震荡拉升。三大指数盘中翻绿，创业板指此前一度涨超2%。沪深两市半日成交额1.6万亿，较上个交易日 缩量385亿。盘面上热点较为杂乱，全市场超4400只个股上涨。从板块来看，商业航天概念爆发，十余只成分股涨停，巨力索具、通宇通讯、神剑股份、中 超控股涨停。光伏概念持续走强，双良节能、奥特维涨停。化工板块拉升，红宝丽3天2板，万丰股份4连板。AI应用概念反复活跃，浙文互联11天5板。下 跌方面，有色金属板块再度下挫，贵金属概念领跌，四川黄金、招金黄金等多股跌停。截至收盘，沪指涨0.38%，深成指涨0.93%，创业板指涨0.76% 个股来看，今日早盘涨停数量为46家（不包括ST及未开板新股），封板率为80%，连板股数量为8家，皇台酒业、横店影视、万丰股份4连板，名雕股份、杭 电股份3连板，顺钠股份、中超控股、民爆光电2连板。 板块上，商业航天概念爆发，海兰信、巨力索具、派克新材、通宇通讯、中超控股、再升科技等10余股涨停，乾照光电、信维通信、三角防务、广联航空等 个股涨幅居前。 国盛证券研报称，在全球太空能源需求爆发、中美供应链加速重构的双重驱动下 ...

Group 1: Aerospace and Defense - Domestic aviation engine control systems and related products maintain a leading position in military aviation engine control systems, collaborating closely with major domestic aviation engine manufacturers [2] - Tongyu Communications invested 30 million yuan in Hongqing Technology, a satellite core component company, to strengthen its layout in key components for satellite internet [2] - Jiangshun Technology's related mold products can be used in aerospace applications [2] - Woge Optoelectronics has achieved in-orbit application of flexible solar wing substrates for satellites in collaboration with leading commercial aerospace clients [2] - Parker New Materials is one of the few private enterprises in China providing precision ring forgings and precision die forgings for high-end equipment such as aviation engines and space launch vehicles [2] - Shenjian Co., Ltd. produces aerospace-related molds and metal parts, including products for the Beidou satellite navigation system [2] - Hailanxin, as a member of a consortium, won the bid for the Hainan commercial rocket sea recovery command and control ship project [2] Group 2: Technology and Electronics - Tianyong Co., Ltd. produces lithium niobate crystal materials, which are key raw materials for lithium niobate electro-optic modulation chips and devices [3] - Hangdian Co., Ltd. is an important cable supplier and technical partner for the State Grid Hangzhou Power Supply Company, with an integrated industry chain in optical communication [3] - Huasheng Tiancai is advancing its "AI + computing power" strategy, enhancing revenue from AI-related solutions [6] - ClawdBot and other agent products have gained global popularity, with Kimi's K2.5 model topping multiple global rankings [6] Group 3: Renewable Energy and Materials - Nanwang Energy, a subsidiary of the Southern Power Grid, is actively involved in distributed photovoltaic and wind power, aiming to enhance the grid's capacity for clean energy [7] - The company expects a profit of 300 million to 360 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [7] - Aotwei is a leading manufacturer of photovoltaic module equipment, having entered the supply chain of 18 of the top 20 global module manufacturers [5] - The company has established a business partnership with major battery manufacturers for automated assembly lines of cylindrical lithium batteries [5] Group 4: Consumer and Entertainment - The State Council has issued a plan to accelerate the cultivation of new growth points in service consumption [6] - Hongtai Liquor, a small-scale liquor company in Gansu, has two major brands and a series of products [6] - The company has invested in films scheduled for release during the 2026 Spring Festival [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for stock index futures is "volatile" [1] - The investment rating for treasury bond futures is "relatively strong" [1] Core View - The A-share market is experiencing high valuations in hot sectors, with the dynamic PE of the CSI 500 index exceeding twice the standard deviation of the past 5 years. The "stock-bond seesaw effect" is evident, and regulatory authorities are emphasizing market stability. High-valuation sectors may face capital outflow pressure, and volatility is expected to increase around the Spring Festival [1] - Treasury bond futures show mixed performance, and the bond market lacks strong upward momentum under the backdrop of continuous policy support. Interest rates are expected to remain range-bound [1][2] Summary by Directory Research View - **Stock Index Futures**: The market adjusted with all three major indices down over 2%, and nearly 4,700 stocks falling. High valuations, regulatory emphasis on stability, and measures to cool the market may lead to capital outflows from high-valuation sectors and increased volatility [1] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 30-year contract rose 0.18%, while the 10-year and 5-year contracts declined slightly. The central bank conducted 750 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchases, resulting in a net withdrawal of 755 billion yuan. The bond market lacks strong upward momentum, and interest rates are range-bound [1][2] Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: IH, IF, IC, and IM all declined, with IC dropping 5.49% and IM down 4.71% from January 30 to February 2, 2026 [3] - **Stock Indices**: All major indices, including the Shanghai Composite 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, decreased, with the CSI 500 falling 3.98% [3] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: TS remained flat, TF and T declined slightly, and TL rose 0.13% [3] Market News - **Overall Trend**: The market adjusted throughout the day, with all three major indices down over 2%. Nearly 4,700 stocks fell, and trading volume reached 2.61 trillion yuan [1][5] - **Industry Sectors**: Only the power grid equipment and brewing sectors rose, while precious metals, non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, and semiconductor chips led the decline [5] - **Hot Concepts**: Power grid equipment stocks and liquor stocks rose, while precious metals, oil and gas, and semiconductor chip stocks declined significantly [5] Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: Charts show the historical price trends and basis trends of IH, IF, IC, and IM [7][8][9] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Charts display the price trends, basis trends, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads of treasury bond futures, as well as the yields of treasury bonds and the capital interest rates [14][15][16] - **Exchange Rates**: Charts present the exchange rate trends between the US dollar, euro, pound, yen, and the RMB, including spot and forward exchange rates [22][23][24] Member Introduction - Zhu Jintao, a master's degree holder from Jilin University, serves as the director of macro - financial research at Everbright Futures Research Institute [29] - Wang Dongying, an index analyst with a master's degree from Columbia University, focuses on stock index futures, including macro fundamentals, key industry sectors, index financial reports, and market capital tracking [29]

早盘，太空光伏概念震荡拉升。双良节能直线涨停，奥特维"20cm"涨停，迈为股份、帝科股份、国晟科技等多股跟涨。消息面上，当地时间2月2日，美 国企业家马斯克旗下的太空探索技术公司（SpaceX）发表声明，宣布已收购同属于马斯克旗下的人工智能企业xAI公司。xAI公司同时也发表声明，证明 已"加入SpaceX"。 9:40 4838.93个 9:40 4837.48J 9:40 4837.89个 9:40 4836.94J 9:40 4837.31个 4464.27 -4.20% 9:40 4837.20↓ 量比 9:40 4836.837 9:40 4837.10↑ k 7 9:40 4836.85J 9:40 4836.95个 白酒概念股持续活跃。皇台酒业触及涨停 ，金徽酒、利通科技、贵州茅台等多股跟涨。消息面上，国信证券表示，近期白酒、地产等前期滞涨板块表现 较优，其背后逻辑是春季行情进入下半场后，市场结构分化趋于收敛。 | ▼ | 白酒概念 1 | | --- | --- | | | 7377.30 0.11% | | 成分股 看点 | 基金 资金 新闻 | | 実部 龙头股 | 3日内有涨停 连板 连 ...

2月3日，A股酿酒板块表现活跃，20支酿酒股呈上涨状态。其中，贵州茅台涨幅约2%，股价在1451元/ 股左右徘徊。皇台酒业冲击涨停后回调，截至发稿，涨幅约8%。 （wind） ...

1.电网。 上午盘面结构综述 一，盘面最强主线：电网轮动 二，连板结构梳理： 算力。 利通电子 通鼎互联 杭电股份2板 应用。 名雕股份2板 化工。 万丰股份3板 电网。 杭电股份 白云电器2板 白酒。 皇台酒业 影视。 横店影视2 上午盘面结构综述 一，盘面最强主线：电网轮动 二，连板结构梳理： 算力。 利通电子 通鼎互联 杭电股份2板 应用。 名雕股份2板 化工。 万丰股份3板 电网。 杭电股份 白云电器2板 白酒。 皇台酒业 影视。 横店影视2板 汽配。 西上海2板 三，题材板块梳理： 顺钠股份，杭电股份，三变科技，白云电器，双杰电气，电科院，安靠智电，新特电气，森源电气 2.应用。 遥望科技，横店影视，天地在线，利欧股份，引力传媒 阿里系。 亚康股份，通达海，三江购物，新华都，值得买 3.消费 影视。 横店影视，博纳影业，幸福蓝海，金逸影视 白酒。 水井坊，皇台酒业，金徽酒 4.商业航天。 ...

2月3日，A股三大股指集体高开，其中上证综指上涨28.16点，涨幅0.7%报4043.91点；深证成指上涨 162.54点，涨幅1.18%报13986.89点；沪深300上涨42.38点，涨幅0.92%报4648.36点；创业板指上涨53.95 点，涨幅1.65%报3318.06点；科创50指数上涨24.67点，涨幅1.7%报1475.57点。半导体（核心股）板块 盘初走强，朗科科技、普冉股份双双涨超7%，芯导科技、恒烁股份、强一股份、北京君正、长川科技 等个股跟涨；房地产（核心股）板块高开，京投发展、城建发展涨停，华夏幸福、大龙地产、荣盛发展 纷纷高开；贵金属（核心股）板块低开，四川黄金、招金黄金双双跌停，中金黄金跌超8%，恒邦股 份、山东黄金、西部黄金等个股跟跌，湖南黄金逆市走强涨超5%。 盘面上，半导体（核心股）、存储芯片、CPO集体回升；贵金属（核心股）、白酒（核心股）及油气板 块继续调整；市场焦点股万丰股份（3板）竞价涨停，白酒股皇台酒业（3板）低开1.71%、金徽酒（3 天2板）低开3.79%，影视股横店影视（3板）竞价涨停，零售板块茂业商业（2板）低开2.62%、新华百 货（3天2板）低开0.2 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced significant fluctuations with all three major indices dropping over 2%, and the Sci-Tech 50 index falling over 3% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.58 trillion, a decrease of 250.8 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 4,600 stocks declined, with 123 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - The liquor sector showed resilience, with stocks like Huangtai Liquor and Jinhui Liquor performing well [1] - The electric grid equipment sector also performed strongly, with multiple stocks reaching the daily limit up [1] - Conversely, sectors such as non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, chemicals, coal, and semiconductors saw significant declines, particularly the non-ferrous metals sector, which faced severe losses [1] Analyst Insights - Huatai Securities suggested that the current market pullback creates opportunities for entry, emphasizing a mid-term positive outlook for Chinese assets despite short-term liquidity pressures [2] - Zhongtai Securities recommended focusing on sectors with strong demand and certainty, particularly in commodities related to geopolitical tensions and renewable energy [3] - Guotai Securities noted the need to observe potential style shifts in the market, particularly around the Chinese New Year, and highlighted the ongoing debate regarding inflation trends leading into 2026 [4]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant decline on February 2, 2026, with all major indices dropping over 2%, indicating a widespread bearish trend [2][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75 points, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 2.69% and 2.46%, respectively [3] Individual Stock Performance - The market's profitability sharply decreased, with only 771 stocks rising against 4652 declining, and 123 stocks hitting the daily limit down [5] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 26.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.14 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking a three-month low [5] Sector Analysis - The precious metals sector was heavily impacted, with significant declines following a sharp drop in international gold and silver prices, leading to a loss of over 300 billion yuan in market value for this sector [6] - In contrast, the electric power equipment sector saw a surge, with stocks like YN Power and Tongguang Cable hitting the daily limit up, driven by the demand for AI computing infrastructure [7] - The liquor sector also performed well, with stocks like Moutai and Huangtai Liquor showing resilience due to expectations of strong consumption during the upcoming Spring Festival [8] Unlocking of Restricted Shares - February 2026 is marked by a large-scale unlocking of restricted shares, with a total market value of approximately 2335.84 billion yuan facing release, contributing to liquidity pressure [9][12] - On February 2 alone, 15 companies had restricted shares unlocked, totaling about 600.11 billion yuan, with Xinda Securities leading at 448.79 billion yuan [10][11] Future Market Outlook - Short-term market fluctuations are expected to continue due to liquidity pressures and external market volatility, but the medium-term recovery trend remains intact [13] - The Shanghai Composite Index has broken below the 20-day moving average, indicating potential further declines, yet the valuation levels suggest limited downside risk [13]

这场暴跌的导火索直指贵金属市场的史诗级崩盘。周末，伦敦金银价格突发闪崩，黄金单日跌幅超12%，白银暴跌35%，国内沪银期货主力合约直接封死跌 停板。A股贵金属板块应声崩溃，晓程科技、招金黄金等十余只个股竞价跌停，板块整体跌幅超过8%。此前支撑市场人气的黄金有色板块瞬间瓦解，成为 拖累指数的"元凶"。 暴跌背后，是多重利空因素的共振。美联储主席提名事件成为关键转折点——特朗普提名鹰派人物凯文·沃什执掌美联储，市场预期其可能推行"缩表 降 息"组合拳，导致美元指数快速走强，全球流动性收紧担忧升温。与此同时，上海黄金交易所紧急上调白银合约保证金比例至26%，杠杆资金被迫平仓，引 发连锁踩踏。 春节前的资金避险行为进一步放大了市场波动。随着长假临近，投资者"持币过节"意愿强烈，内资单日流出超700亿元，两市成交额缩量至2.6万亿元以下。 缺乏增量资金支撑的市场犹如"无水之舟"，稍有抛压便快速下沉。 板块分化在此次大跌中展现得淋漓尽致。贵金属、油气、有色金属等资源板块成为重灾区，白银有色、中曼石油等个股跌停；而防御性板块则逆势崛起，白 酒股集体飘红，金徽酒、皇台酒业涨停，电网设备概念股三变科技、保变电气等超10只个股涨 ...