拉长来看，本周标普500指数小幅上涨0.1%，纳指上涨0.5%，而道指则下跌0.7%。 纽约联储主席威廉姆斯明确表示，鉴于最近的就业和通胀数据，目前没有再次降息的紧迫性，这进一步强化了市场对短期内暂停降息的预期。 据香港万得通讯社，据高盛数据，本交易日将有超过7.1万亿美元名义价值的期权合约到期，创下历史最高纪录。这一天被称为所谓的"四巫日"，即股指 期货、股指期权、个股期货和个股期权同时到期的日子，这种集中到期通常会放大市场交易量和波动性。在这次创纪录的到期事件中，约5万亿美元的风 险敞口与标普500指数挂钩，另有8800亿美元与个股相关。高盛指出，虽然12月的期权到期通常是全年规模最大的，但本次的规模超过了以往所有记录， 其名义风险敞口相当于罗素3000指数总市值的约10.2%。 AI概念股强势 英伟达、AMD大涨，美光科技创历史新高 美东时间12月19日，美股AI概念股强势，多个热门股收涨。 美东时间12月19日，在英伟达等AI概念股的强势带动下，美股三大指数集体收涨。截至收稿，道指涨0.38%，报48134.89点；纳斯达克指数涨1.31%，报 23307.62点；标普500指数涨0.88%，报683 ...

*耐克暴跌拖累消费板块 *美光科技创收盘新高 *"三巫聚首日"放大波动 美国股市周五收高，科技股反弹成为推动大盘走强的主要力量，盖过了耐克等消费类个股大幅下跌的影 响。当天正值"三巫聚首日"，股票期权、股指期货和股指期权集中到期，加大了盘中波动。 截至收盘，道琼斯工业指数上涨0.38%至48134.89点；标普500指数上涨0.88%至6834.50点；纳斯达克综 合指数上涨1.31%至23307.62点。 【热门股表现】 科技股延续前一交易日的反弹势头。芯片制造商美光科技在发布强劲财测后继续走高，周五大涨7%， 创下收盘纪录新高。 大型科技股表现分化。英伟达上涨3.93%，谷歌A股上涨1.55%，苹果上涨0.54%，微软上涨0.40%，亚 马逊上涨0.26%；特斯拉下跌0.45%，Meta下跌0.85%。 甲骨文上涨6.63%。第一财经此前报道，当地时间12月18日，TikTok CEO周受资发出内部信，更新 TikTok美国业务进展。内部信称字节跳动、TikTok已与三家投资者签署协议，并将成立新的TikTok美国 合资公司。这三家企业包括，甲骨文公司、银湖及MGX。 博通上涨3.18%，AMD大涨6.1 ...

新股上市：N优迅 688807.SH 中签缴款：江天科技 920121.BJ * 来源：国金证券第5小时 新股申购：誉帆科技 001396.SZ 新股申购：双欣环保 001369.SZ 新股申购：强一股份 688809.SH 1、中国对外开放迎来具有里程碑意义的标志性举措。海南自由贸易港全岛封关运作12月18日正式启动，"零关税"商品范围扩大到6600多个税目。对消费 者而言，首先，到海南出差、旅游、生活如常，不需要任何额外证件。其次，对于文旅消费"买买买"，将有更好的体验。有媒体实探三亚海旅免税城发 现，在一家售卖苹果产品的门店，免税价叠加消费券，苹果手机最高可比官网售价便宜2140元。 2、时隔16年我国再次对钢铁实施出口许可证管理。商务部表示，此举主要目的是加强对钢铁产品出口的监测统计分析，跟踪出口产品质量。与此同时， 商务部已批准部分稀土出口通用许可申请。商务部指出，欧委会近期密集对中国企业发起《外国补贴条例》（FSR）调查，中方对此强烈反对，将采取必 要措施，坚决维护中国企业合法权益。 3、山东省莱州市三山岛北部海域新发现国内唯一、亚洲最大的海底巨型金矿，全市累计探明金资源储量3900余吨，约占全国 ...

受业绩提振，美光科技收盘大涨10.2%。美国11月CPI低于市场预期，亦让股指得到提振。 微软、谷歌等24家公司加入美国政府的人工智能"创世使命"计划。 上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 美东时间12月18日（周四），道指与标普500指数结束此前四连跌，美国三大股指全线收 涨。 美股收涨 11月CPI超预期 截至收盘，道指涨65.88点，涨幅为0.14%；纳指涨313.04点，涨幅为1.38%；标普500指 数涨53.33点，涨幅为0.79%。 市场十分关注首份涵盖美国政府停摆期间的CPI报告。美国11月未季调CPI同比升2.7%，预 期升3.1%；未季调核心CPI同比升2.6%，放缓至2021年以来最低水平，预期升3%。美国潜 在通胀率在11月份同比上涨，但增速为2021年初以来最低。 Fundstrat在周四数据发布前的一份报告中表示："温和的CPI数据将进一步印证美联储正专注 于保护就业市场。这意味着美联储对经济的'看跌期权'（Fed put）现已到位。换句话说，如 果美联储担忧经济面临下行风险，'美联储看跌期权'就会推动股市上涨。" 大型科技股 ...

【导读】美股三大股指收涨，大型科技股集体上涨；特朗普重申2028年登月目标 中国基金报记者 赵刚 综合整理 截至收盘，道指涨65.88点，涨幅为0.14%；纳指涨313.04点，涨幅为1.38%；标普500指数涨53.33点，涨 幅为0.79%。 市场十分关注首份涵盖美国政府停摆期间的CPI报告。美国11月未季调CPI同比升2.7%，预期升3.1%； 未季调核心CPI同比升2.6%，放缓至2021年以来最低水平，预期升3%。美国潜在通胀率在11月份同比上 涨，但增速为2021年初以来最低。 Fundstrat在周四数据发布前的一份报告中表示："温和的CPI数据将进一步印证美联储正专注于保护就业 市场。这意味着美联储对经济的'看跌期权'（Fed put）现已到位。换句话说，如果美联储担忧经济面临 下行风险，'美联储看跌期权'就会推动股市上涨。" 大型科技股集体上涨 大型科技股集体上涨。特斯拉涨超3%，亚马逊、脸书涨超2%，谷歌、英伟达涨近2%，微软涨超1%， 苹果涨0.13%。 | 苹果(APPLE) | 272.190 | 0.13% | | --- | --- | --- | | US AAPL | 271 ...

Group 1: Technology Stocks Performance - Major tech stocks experienced a collective rise, with Tesla increasing over 3%, Amazon and Facebook rising over 2%, and Google and Nvidia gaining nearly 2% [2] - Chip stocks saw widespread gains, with Micron Technology up over 10%, TSMC rising nearly 3%, and ASML increasing over 2% [2] Group 2: Individual Stock Movements - Micron Technology's stock price reached $248.55, reflecting a 10.21% increase [3] - Tesla's stock price was $483.37, marking a 3.45% rise [3] - Amazon's stock price was $226.76, with a 2.48% increase [3] - Facebook's stock price was $664.45, showing a 2.30% rise [3] - Nvidia's stock price was $174.14, reflecting a 1.87% increase [3] - AMD's stock price was $201.06, with a 1.49% rise [3] Group 3: Chinese Stocks and Indices - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.97%, indicating a positive trend for Chinese stocks [2] - Individual Chinese stocks such as BOSS Zhipin increased over 5%, while XPeng Motors and Hesai Technology rose nearly 3% [2] Group 4: Trump Media Technology Group - Trump Media Technology Group's stock surged over 40% following the announcement of a merger agreement with TAE Technologies, expected to complete by mid-2026 [4] Group 5: Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil futures closed up 0.38% at $56.15 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures rose 0.23% to $59.82 per barrel [5] - COMEX gold futures fell 0.23% to $4363.9 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures dropped 2.17% to $65.45 per ounce [6] Group 6: Cryptocurrency Market - Major cryptocurrencies experienced declines, with Bitcoin dropping below $85,000, currently priced at $85,340 per coin [7][8] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 160,000 traders faced liquidation, totaling approximately $549 million [8] Group 7: Economic Indicators - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November rose 2.7% year-on-year, down from 3% in September, with food prices increasing by 2.6% and energy prices by 4.2% [9] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 2.6% year-on-year [9] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is 26.6%, with a 73.4% chance of maintaining current rates [9]

来源：喜娜AI ●油价小幅上涨，市场评估供应风险加剧 周四，油价小幅上涨，投资者评估美国或对俄进一步制裁及委内瑞拉油轮遭封锁带来的供应风险。纽约 商品交易所1月WTI期货价格涨0.21美元，收于56.15美元。有分析称原油期货正从委石油出口封锁中找 支撑，若封锁持续该地区产量或关停；若俄乌未达成协议，针对俄打击升级将收紧全球供应，当前油价 或被低估。英国已对部分俄实体实施制裁，ING认为对俄石油制裁冲击更大。美对委油轮封锁执行情况 不明，美银预计低价将抑制供应。 [4] 北京时间12月19日凌晨，美股周四收高，科技股领涨，道指与标普500指数结束四连跌。美光科技强劲 财报及美国11月CPI同比涨2.7%低于预期，提振市场信心。美光因一季度营收、利润超预期且产品售 罄，收盘大涨10.2%。此前美股经历艰难交易日，受人工智能相关半导体股下跌拖累。尽管投资者从科 技股轮动，但该板块仍有望2025年涨约19%。此外，多项经济数据发布，费城联储制造业指数不佳，首 申失业救济人数减少，11月实际平均周薪同比增0.8%。 [1] ●12月19日美股成交额前20：美光财报显示其存储芯片需求强劲 周四美股成交额前20的公司中， ...

在美国最大存储芯片制造商给出乐观业绩指引后，美股小幅走高，帮助遏制了此前由科技股主导的抛 售。在宏观数据密集、央行会议扎堆的一天里，市场情绪有所改善。 截至发稿，道指期货涨0.12%，标普500指数期货涨0.40%，纳指期货涨0.76%。 欧洲股市普遍上涨，推动欧洲斯托克600指数上涨0.2%，而亚洲股市则走低。 标普500指数期货上涨0.4%，纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.7%，暗示在周三的大幅抛售之后，基准股指 可能迎来短暂喘息。美光科技在盘前交易中股价大涨13%，此前该公司给出的营收预测高于市场预期。 甲骨文成"典型案例" 纳斯达克指数周三下跌近2%，原因在于投资者开始质疑，处于人工智能热潮前沿的企业是否能够持续 为其高估值和激进的资本支出提供合理支撑。 对AI支出创纪录的担忧再度浮现。甲骨文宣布，为支持一项数据中心项目而进行的股权交易将不包括 关键合作伙伴Blue Owl Capital。消息公布后，甲骨文股价暴跌5.4%。自9月中旬以来，该股累计跌幅已 达50%。当时甲骨文与OpenAI达成合作协议，曾推动股价单日大涨35%。 IG分析师Tony Sycamore表示："甲骨文仍然是市场焦虑的主要来 ...

Market Overview - On December 17, U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.47%, S&P 500 down 1.16%, and Nasdaq down 1.81% [1] - Major technology stocks experienced significant declines, with Oracle dropping over 5%, Tesla down over 4%, and Nvidia down nearly 4%, resulting in a market value loss of $164.8 billion (approximately 1160.8 billion RMB) [2][3] Sector Performance - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell by 3.78%, with notable declines in ASML, ARM, AMD, Broadcom, TSMC, and Intel, all dropping over 3% [2] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.73%, with individual stocks like Huya down over 4% and several others, including NIO and Li Auto, down over 3% [3] Commodity Market - WTI crude oil prices surged, with an increase of over 3% during trading, closing up more than 2.9% due to geopolitical concerns following U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil tankers [4] - Silver reached a new historical high at $66 per ounce, while gold was reported at $4338 per ounce [5] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market saw a collective decline, with Bitcoin dropping to $86,104 per coin, reflecting a decrease of 1.87% [6] - Over the past 24 hours, more than 150,000 traders experienced liquidation in the crypto market [5][7] Economic Indicators - According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 75.6% [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article argues that the AI industry is experiencing a significant accounting distortion and potential bubble, similar to past financial crises, driven by inflated valuations, unsustainable business models, and questionable accounting practices [6][10][130]. Group 1: Market Reactions and Financial Signals - Following Nvidia's earnings report, the stock plummeted, and Bitcoin's value dropped from a historical high of $126,000 to $89,000, resulting in a global cryptocurrency market loss of $420 billion in a single day [3][4]. - Nvidia's accounts receivable reached $33.4 billion, indicating a concerning increase in the time taken to collect payments, with the Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) rising to 53.3 days, compared to the historical average of 46 days [16][19]. - The inventory of Nvidia surged by 32% from $15 billion to $19.8 billion, contradicting claims of high demand and supply constraints, suggesting either overproduction or customers unable to pay [28][29]. Group 2: Accounting Practices and Profitability - Nvidia's accounting practices allow for a significant underreporting of depreciation on AI infrastructure, leading to an estimated $176 billion in inflated profits by 2028 due to a discrepancy in depreciation rates [14][15]. - The company's cash conversion rate is only 75.1%, indicating that 25% of reported profits are not translating into actual cash flow, raising concerns about the sustainability of its financial health [35][36]. - Nvidia's stock buyback strategy, amounting to $9.5 billion, raises questions about prioritizing shareholder value over operational health, especially when cash flow is constrained [38][39]. Group 3: Industry-Wide Implications - The AI sector is characterized by a cycle of financing where companies invest in each other, creating a façade of revenue without real external cash flow, leading to inflated valuations [42][47]. - Major players like Microsoft and Oracle are also implicated in similar financing structures, raising concerns about the overall health of the AI ecosystem [50][51]. - Historical parallels are drawn to past financial collapses, such as Enron and WorldCom, highlighting the risks of inflated accounting practices and unsustainable business models in the current AI landscape [68][71]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Risks - The article predicts a rapid market correction, potentially more severe than the 2008 financial crisis, driven by the interconnectedness of AI companies and their reliance on inflated valuations [91][106]. - The potential for a significant drop in AI company valuations, estimated between 50% to 70%, could trigger a chain reaction affecting the broader market, particularly in cryptocurrency [98][100]. - The article emphasizes the need for a market correction to eliminate speculative investments and allow for the emergence of sustainable business models in the AI sector [110][139].