周四（11月27日）金价小幅回落，自前一交易日触及近两周高位后略作整理。投资者正密切评估美国12月降息的 可能性，随着联储官员表态转鸽，市场对降息押注迅速升温，进一步强化了黄金在低利率环境下的支撑。 美市盘中，现货金下跌0.1%，交投于4158美元一线。 瑞士宝盛（Julius Baer）分析师 Carsten Menke 表示："我们仍预计金价自10月回调以来的盘整将继续，因为那轮调 整的影响尚未完全消化。" 自10月20日触及4381.21美元的纪录高位以来，黄金已回落约5%，但整体仍稳站在4000美元关键水平之上。 Menke补充说："我们认为支撑金价的因素基本未变，包括美国经济增速放缓带来更低利率和疲软美元、持续的避 险需求、以及强劲的央行购金。" 美联储在降息时间与幅度上释放出相互矛盾的信号，推动对隔夜利率相关掉期期权及衍生品的对冲需求上升。 被视为接替鲍威尔的热门人选、并与美国总统特朗普立场一致的哈塞特也公开支持降息。 与此同时，旧金山联储主席戴利与美联储理事沃勒本周的讲话，亦强化了降息预期。 根据 CME FedWatch 数据，交易员目前押注美联储下月降息的概率已升至85%，而在一周前仅为30 ...

张尧浠：美12月降息预期持续升温、金价多头持稳仍看走强 上交易日周三(11月26日)：国际黄金反弹收涨，继续运行在中轨等均线上方，多头占据优势，布林带也向上延伸等等，基本面市场对美联储在下月会议上 降息的预期继续进一步增强，整体暗示后市将继续反弹走强，冲击4230美元或更高位置。 具体走势上，金价自亚市开于4132.01美元/盎司，先行录得日内低点4129.67美元，之后日内基本处于4145美元上方震荡走盘，并于欧盘尾录得日内高点 4173.43美元，最终于美盘尾窄幅震荡4160美元上方，收于4163.77美元，日振幅43.76美元，收涨31.76美元，涨幅0.77%。 影响上，虽然日内几度受到俄罗斯已收到最新版和平计划，以及美盘整体数据利空的影响而回落，但因俄罗斯达成协议还为时尚早！美联储褐皮书揭示经 济隐忧，市场对于美联储降息预期继续升温，而提振金价多头持稳，最终表现收阳。 展望今日周四(11月27日)：国际黄金开盘先行窄幅波动，但由于目前多头占据优势，美元指数早盘开盘表现走低，运行至中轨下方，则仍暗示金价日内仍 偏向看涨反弹为主。那么操作上，依然还是依托日内5日均线以及短周期均线支撑进行看涨反弹。 日内 ...

Core Insights - The low interest rate environment presents both challenges and opportunities for the financial industry, prompting a shift from "asset-driven" to "strategy-driven" approaches [3] - The current market is characterized by low interest rates, high volatility, and asset scarcity, with significant fluctuations expected to continue into 2024 [3] - The transition to net value transformation by regulatory authorities will require firms to adapt their valuation methods, making reliance on single assets and strategies unsustainable [3] Company Strategy - The company is transitioning from a product-centric to a client-centric model, and from an asset-centric to a strategy-centric approach, with early signs of success [3] - The "fixed income plus" strategy is identified as a critical factor for success in the wealth management and asset management sectors [3] - The company has seen over 70% growth in its fixed income plus product scale since the beginning of the year, gaining broad recognition from channels and clients [3] Systematic Capabilities - The company has developed a comprehensive asset map covering various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, gold, REITs, and derivatives [4] - A rich toolbox of strategies has been created, utilizing quantitative models and macro hedging for dynamic asset allocation [4] - The company conducts detailed research and management of multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches to uncover investment value [4] - Effective drawdown control measures are in place for fixed income plus products, aiming for optimal risk-return profiles [4] - A full product supply chain is maintained, ensuring balanced development across various product lines [4] - Risk management is integrated throughout the investment process, with a record of zero defaults in bonds over the company's six-year history [4] Conclusion - The low interest rate challenge ultimately reflects a question of capability, emphasizing the importance of a client-centered approach in asset allocation, product innovation, risk control, and investor services [4] - The company aims to continuously enhance its professional capabilities to create certainty for investors amidst uncertainty, contributing to high-quality economic development [4]

Group 1 - Gold prices reached a nearly two-week high, with spot gold rising 0.53% to $4,152.52 per ounce, the highest level since November 14 [1] - The market increasingly anticipates a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, supported by dovish comments from Fed officials and moderate economic data [1][2] - The U.S. dollar fell to a one-week low, as investors bet on Kevin Hassett as a potential Fed chair, which may lead to a more accommodative monetary policy [1] Group 2 - The probability of a Fed rate cut in December is now priced at 85%, up from 50% the previous week, indicating a significant shift in market expectations [2] - China's net gold imports from Hong Kong in October saw a substantial month-on-month decline of approximately 64% [2] - Other precious metals showed mixed performance, with silver rising 1.11% to $52.05 per ounce, while platinum fell 0.03% to $1,556.28, and palladium remained unchanged at $1,396.80 [2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the shift in wealth management strategies in response to the declining interest rates, with a focus on how financial institutions are adapting to meet changing consumer needs [2][4][8] Group 1: Changes in Wealth Management Demand - The low interest rate environment is reshaping residents' wealth management needs and risk preferences, moving away from reliance on real estate and high-interest deposits to more diversified asset allocation strategies [4] - Three significant changes in client demands for wealth management are identified: a rational adjustment of return expectations, an increased demand for protection products, and a growing awareness of global asset allocation [4][6] - The insurance market reflects the trend of increasing demand for products that balance protection and returns, with a notable 20% year-on-year growth in insurance premiums through bancassurance channels [4][5] Group 2: Investment Strategies and Opportunities - Financial institutions are employing a "dual-track strategy" of "core assets + opportunity assets" to adapt to the low interest rate environment, focusing on dynamic adjustments based on market changes [6][7] - The "fixed income +" product category is highlighted as the fastest-growing fund type, with a net inflow of 460 billion in the third quarter, indicating a gradual increase in risk appetite among investors [5][6] - The article emphasizes the importance of diversified asset allocation, with a focus on technology innovation and undervalued high-dividend assets as key investment directions [7][8] Group 3: The Era of Asset Management - The article posits that China is entering a true asset management era, characterized by a shift towards equity assets as the core vehicle for future wealth growth [8][9] - International investors are increasingly optimistic about Chinese assets, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, new energy, and electric vehicles, which are seen as having global competitiveness [8][9] - The article concludes that financial institutions should focus on comprehensive planning that meets clients' risk, return, and liquidity needs, while emphasizing the importance of active management capabilities in fund companies [9]

临近年末，保险业新一年的"开门红"拉开帷幕，在朋友圈和社交平台上时常会有相关推送，给消费者传 递新的产品信息。 "我们公司是在11月开始推'开门红'活动的，从目前的数据来看，还是挺不错的。"某保司代理人秋秋 （化名）对《每日经济新闻》记者表示。 从产品来看，多家保司都将分红险作为"开门红"的主打产品。去年以来，保险产品预定利率持续下调， 多位业内人士在跟《每日经济新闻》记者交流时就表示，分红险将重回"C位（中心位置）"，而从2025 年市场上的产品结构来看，分红险的占比的确在持续提升。如今将分红险作为2026"开门红"主力产品， 显然延续了之前的销售节奏。 业内人士表示，低利率环境下，保险行业向分红险转型是必然。一方面，监管机制的设置让分红险具有 更多的优势；另一方面，从定价角度来看，分红险具有必然性逻辑，假设传统险预定利率2.5%，保险 公司给到客户的收益率无法突破2.5%，分红险预定利率2.0%，加上按市场上最高红利演示利差水平， 最终演示利率最高大约是3.75%，从专业角度计算，分红险的收益预期更有优势，可更好地穿越周期并 获取更好的收益回报。 某保险中介负责人对记者表示，固定收益的保险产品越来越难卖了 ...

该行策略师团队指出，尽管黄金目前处于"超买"状态，但市场整体仍"投资不足"，且美国特殊的政策组 合为其提供支撑。美银预计明年黄金均价将达4538美元，并指出矿产供应紧张、库存低迷和需求不均衡 是主要支撑因素。 报告同时提示风险，称美联储的鹰派立场是黄金面临的主要下行压力——加息会提升持有无息资产黄金 的机会成本。此外，美银同步上调了2026年铜、铝、银和铂金价格预测，唯认为钯金市场仍将维持供应 过剩格局。 今日周二（11月25日）亚盘时段，黄金期货目前交投于947附近，截至发稿，黄金期货暂946.26元/克， 涨幅1.45%，最高触及947.68元/克，最低下探933.38元/克。目前来看，黄金期货短线偏向看涨走势。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 【要闻速递】 美国银行最新报告预测，黄金价格至2026年可能升至每盎司5000美元。该行认为，推动近期金价上涨的 宏观因素将持续存在，主要包括不断增长的政府债务、持续的通胀压力以及相对较低的利率环境。 【最新黄金期货行情解析】 今日沪金期货需重点关注的关键阻力位区间为940元/克至960元/克，而重要支撑位区间则位于930元/克 至950元/克。 ...

上世纪 80 年代末，日本被一场巨大的经济泡沫所笼罩。都说东京一座城市的地价总和可以买下整个美国土地， 虽然有夸张成分，但足以见得当时日本经济泡沫之严重。 随着 1990 年泡沫破灭，日本"失去的 30 年"也正式拉开帷幕。 在这一大背景下，日本投资者逐渐从"恐慌保守"转向"主动适应"，一部分为了安全感选择手持现金，一部分则热 衷"高收益"保险投资，还有一部分做起了海外资产配置，也就是那些"借便宜的钱，去买更高息的资产"的渡边太 太们。 直到 2020 年，日本这一窘境才有所好转。 对于中国，虽然当前的低利率环境确实是所有投资者不得不面临的难题，但好在我们有性价比较高的投资选项 ——债券基金或者固收 + 基金，尤其对风险厌恶型投资者们来说。 在我们筛选绩优债基产品的过程中，注意到了中欧基金固收投资业务实现了规模和业绩的双丰收，整体业务能力 迅速提升，正在成为当前固收市场上不容忽视的一股力量。 近期，我们和中欧基金固收团队几位核心人物做了次深聊，试图找到其长短期业绩优异背后的核心推动力。 云集一群"用长期业绩说话"的强将 2023 年，陈凯杨、雷志强、闫沛贤、邓欣雨、吕修磊、王申等行业知名强将陆续加盟中欧基金。 ...

Core Insights - The FOF market has seen significant expansion this year, with fundraising reaching a three-year high, driven by favorable policies, market conditions, and product offerings [1][2]. Fundraising and Market Performance - As of November 21, 2023, 69 new FOFs have been established this year, raising a total of 692.36 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase compared to 38 FOFs and less than 40 billion yuan raised last year [2]. - The total market size of FOFs reached 1,933.37 billion yuan by the end of Q3 2023, reversing a three-year decline and showing a growth of over 46% compared to the end of last year [2]. Performance Metrics - Over 90% of FOFs have reported positive unit net value growth this year, with an average growth rate of 12.25% [3]. - The positive performance of A-shares has attracted more funds into FOFs, creating a virtuous cycle of good performance attracting more investments [3]. Future Development Potential - Public fund companies believe that FOFs have vast future development potential due to their multi-asset allocation advantages [4]. - The trend of shifting from single-asset investments to diversified multi-asset allocations is seen as irreversible, driven by the need for wealth management and increased awareness of retirement investments [4]. Investment Strategy Recommendations - Investors looking to use FOFs for asset allocation should prioritize products that cover multiple asset classes to diversify risk [5]. - It is advised to focus on long-term annualized returns and drawdown control rather than short-term gains, especially in volatile market conditions [5].

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent global market downturn, highlighting a liquidity shock that has led to a collective decline in various asset classes, including global stocks, cryptocurrencies, and gold, with the Asia-Pacific region experiencing the largest drop of over 3% in Japan and South Korea [4][8]. - It emphasizes the importance of maintaining core positions in quality equity investments, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment, and suggests that the main investment themes remain unchanged despite market fluctuations [7][10]. - The article advises investors to lower their expectations and set realistic benchmarks for returns, suggesting that the focus should be on long-term investment in quality companies rather than short-term gains [13][15]. Group 2 - The article highlights the need for investors to avoid crowded trades and to be cautious about entering popular sectors unless they have a deep understanding of industry trends, using examples from the lithium battery sector and the banking sector to illustrate the risks of chasing hot stocks [17][22]. - It advocates for dynamic portfolio balancing and the acquisition of undervalued assets, suggesting that investors should assess their holdings and consider diversifying across different sectors and regions to mitigate risks [24][27]. - The article mentions the performance of the Hong Kong stock market, noting the impact of significant capital raises on valuations and the mixed results from companies like Xiaomi, which reported a 20% year-on-year revenue increase but faces concerns about sustaining growth in its automotive business [34].