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金价创12年来最大单日跌幅!现在该不该入手?机构吵翻了
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-10-22 06:25
在社交媒体上,不少买入黄金的网友心态"崩"了。 来源:北京商报 对于黄金未来走势,各机构态度不一。 花旗银行一改此前看涨表态,表示短期内看跌黄金,设定0—3个月目标价为4000美元/盎司。花旗银行 预计,美国政府"停摆"结束及中美协议公布可能推动黄金在未来2—3周内进入震荡整理阶段。 一夜之间,黄金从避险资产变成了风险资产。 当地时间21日,受地缘政治、投资者获利止盈等多重因素影响,黄金、白银遭遇市场广泛抛售。当天, 国际现货黄金价格一度下跌超6%,跌破每盎司4100美元,创下12年来最大单日跌幅;国际现货白银价 格一度下跌超8%,跌破每盎司48美元,创下2021年以来最大单日跌幅。 据大河报,一名福建网友发视频称:"在暴跌之前,我订了1公斤的黄金板料和15公斤的白银板料,1个 小时至少亏损了5万元。" 受此影响,国内品牌连锁金店也调整了今日金饰金条的挂牌价格。其中亚一金店、老庙黄金金饰报价 1211元/克,较前一日下跌83元/克;老凤祥报1229元/克,较前一日下跌61元/克;周大福、六福、潮宏 基、周大生报1235元/克,较前一日下跌57元/克。 对于价格的波动,周大福方面表示,集团设有机制密切监测金价波 ...
深夜突发,金价崩了!网友懵圈:我才买啊
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 04:43
Core Viewpoint - The gold and silver markets experienced significant declines on October 21, with gold prices dropping sharply due to profit-taking by investors after a recent surge driven by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and strong safe-haven demand [7][9][11]. Price Movements - As of October 21, gold prices fell by 6.3%, dropping below $4100 per ounce, with a decline of over $240 in just seven hours [2]. By 11 PM, gold was reported at $4112.37 per ounce, marking a 5.58% decrease, while COMEX futures were at $4145 per ounce, down 4.92% [2]. - Concurrently, silver also saw a significant drop, with London silver reported at $48.18 per ounce, down 8.02%, and COMEX silver futures declining by 7.69% to $47.44 per ounce [4][5]. Market Analysis - Analysts attribute the recent pullback in gold prices to profit-taking after a rapid increase in prices, which was fueled by geopolitical tensions and expectations of monetary easing [7][9]. - The market is currently experiencing a correction phase, with concerns about overbought conditions leading to increased caution among traders [9][11]. - The volatility in gold trading has reached high levels, indicating potential risks associated with overtrading [9]. Future Outlook - The future trajectory of gold prices remains uncertain, with some analysts suggesting that the likelihood of a decline is greater than further increases [10]. - The sustainability of high net-worth individual investors' demand for gold is a critical factor; if this demand diminishes, it may be challenging to maintain current price levels [10]. - HSBC forecasts that gold's upward momentum could continue until 2026, driven by strong central bank purchases and ongoing fiscal concerns in the U.S., with a target price of $5000 per ounce [11]. However, they caution that fewer interest rate cuts than expected could hinder gold's price trajectory [11].
金价大跌!什么原因?未来走势如何?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 02:38
据央视新闻客户端消息,当地时间21日,受地缘政治、投资者获利止盈等多重因素影响,黄金、白银遭遇市场广泛抛售。当天,国际现货黄金价格一度 下跌超6%,跌破每盎司4100美元,创下12年来最大单日跌幅;国际现货白银价格一度下跌超8%,跌破每盎司48美元,创下2021年以来最大单日跌幅。 受此影响,国内金饰价格22日也大幅下调。中新经纬查询发现,老庙黄金报价1211元/克,较前一日下跌83元/克;周生生足金饰品报价1250元/克,较前 一日下跌39元/克;老凤祥报价1229元/克,单日下跌61元/克。 20日,因市场预期美联储将进一步降息,且避险需求强劲,黄金价格创下新高。市场分析认为,21日的回调主要由于投资者获利了结。 据CNBC报道,KCM交易公司首席市场分析师Tim Waterer表示:"获利了结操作与避险资金流减弱共同作用,导致金价小幅承压。但只要美联储维持当前 的降息路径,黄金价格的任何回调都将被视为买入机会。"他认为,只要本周晚些时候公布的美国消费者物价指数(CPI)数据未出现意外上涨,当前的 黄金涨势就仍有上行空间。 光大期货研究所有色金属总监展大鹏表示,上周贵金属价格一度出现快速冲高,不仅黄金,银 ...
金价大跌
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-22 02:06
据央视新闻客户端消息,当地时间21日,受地缘政治、投资者获利止盈等多重因素影响,黄金、白银遭遇市场广泛抛售。当天,国际现货黄金价格一度下跌 超6%,跌破每盎司4100美元,创下12年来最大单日跌幅;国际现货白银价格一度下跌超8%,跌破每盎司48美元,创下2021年以来最大单日跌幅。 受此影响,国内金饰价格22日也大幅下调。中新经纬查询发现,老庙黄金报价1211元/克,较前一日下跌83元/克;周生生足金饰品报价1250元/克,较前一日 下跌39元/克;老凤祥报价1229元/克,单日下跌61元/克。 | 周生生 | PROMESSA | MINTYGREEN | 周生生 (how Sang Sang EMPHASIS | MARCO BICEGO | 劳力士 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 最後更新时间: 2025-10-22 09:15:14 | | | | | | | 金价(人民币) | | 足金饰品 (每克 ) | | | 卖出 | | ¥1250 | | | | | 换金价 | | *1089 | | | | | 换珠宝价 | | 1 ...
深夜跳水!黄金创12年来最大单日跌幅 白银创4年来最大跌幅!什么原因?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-21 23:26
Core Insights - Gold and silver prices experienced significant declines, with gold dropping 6.3%, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013, and silver falling 8.7%, the largest drop since 2021 [1][3] Price Movements - As of the report, spot gold was down 5.24% at $4128.27 per ounce, while spot silver was down 7.29% at $48.58 per ounce [1][3] - Gold opened at $4359.15, reached a high of $4375.27, and a low of $4082, closing at $4128.27 [2] - Silver opened at $52.48, peaked at $52.68, and hit a low of $47, closing at $48.58 [3] Market Analysis - Analysts indicated that profit-taking was a primary reason for the price drop, alongside a temporary easing of global trade tensions which reduced safe-haven demand [3][4] - The strengthening of the US dollar made precious metals more expensive for most buyers, contributing to the decline [3] Future Outlook - Market analysts believe that as long as the Federal Reserve maintains its current interest rate path, any pullback in gold prices will be viewed as a buying opportunity [4] - Upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is expected to influence gold's upward momentum, provided there are no unexpected increases [4] - Changes in the geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine situation, may also impact the gold market significantly [4]
深夜突发!金价崩了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 22:57
Core Viewpoint - The international gold and silver markets experienced a significant crash, with gold prices dropping over $240 in just 7 hours, reflecting a decline of 6.3% to below $4200 per ounce, while silver also saw a sharp decline of 8.02% [1][3][5] Market Reaction - As of the latest updates, spot gold was reported at $4112.37 per ounce, down 5.58%, and COMEX futures were at $4145 per ounce, down 4.92% [1] - The silver market mirrored this trend, with London silver at $48.18 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 7.69% to $47.44 per ounce [3][5] Investor Behavior - Many investors expressed confusion and concern on social media, particularly those who had recently purchased gold [7] Analysis of Price Decline - The price drop is attributed to profit-taking by investors after a recent surge in gold prices driven by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and strong safe-haven demand [9] - Analysts noted that the rapid increase in precious metal prices indicated an overheated market, leading to a swift adjustment as geopolitical tensions eased and trade attitudes softened [9] Future Outlook - The future trajectory of gold prices remains uncertain, with some analysts suggesting a greater likelihood of declines rather than further increases [10] - Key factors influencing future demand include the sustainability of high-net-worth individual investments in gold and potential shifts in market sentiment due to reduced uncertainties in U.S. government operations and other geopolitical factors [10]
贺博生:9.12黄金原油晚间行情涨跌趋势分析及美盘最新独家操作建议指导
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 12:58
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices are currently experiencing a volatile upward trend, trading around $3646.18 per ounce, following a slight decline of 0.2% to $3632.49 per ounce [2] - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by 38%, driven by geopolitical risks, inflation pressures, and expectations surrounding U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve monetary policy [2] - The latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August rose by 2.9% year-on-year, marking a seven-month high, while initial jobless claims surged to 263,000, indicating a weakening labor market [2] - Despite a recent pullback from a record high of $3674.36, the overall bullish trend for gold remains intact, with support levels identified around $3620 [3][5] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - Brent crude oil futures fell by 0.45% to $66.07 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) dropped by 0.5% to $62.00 per barrel, reflecting ongoing market pressure [6] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that global supply growth will outpace expectations by 2025 due to OPEC+ production plans, while OPEC maintains a positive outlook for global demand growth [6] - The oil market is currently facing a dual challenge of increasing supply and demand uncertainties, with OPEC+ deciding to raise production quotas starting in October [6] - Technical analysis indicates that oil prices are in a weak downward trend, with short-term resistance levels at $65.0-$66.0 and support levels at $62.0-$61.0 [7]
张德盛:9.12国际黄金今日走势分析?积存金行情买卖操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 03:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing fluctuations but remain in a strong upward trend, with significant support from geopolitical risks and inflation pressures [2][3] - As of September 12, spot gold is trading around $3635.18 per ounce, having seen a slight decline of 0.2% from the previous day, but still close to the record high of $3674.36 set earlier in the week [2] - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by 38%, influenced by U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations [2] Group 2 - Recent U.S. economic data shows that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.9% year-on-year in August, marking a seven-month high, while initial jobless claims surged to 263,000, indicating a weakening labor market [2] - These mixed signals have led to increased volatility in the market but ultimately reinforced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, providing further support for gold prices [2] - Technical analysis suggests that gold remains above the 5-day moving average, indicating no signs of a top and maintaining a strong bullish trend, with potential targets of $3660 and $3675 [3]
DLSM外汇平台:美元指数维持疲软,市场静待美国CPI
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 06:17
Core Viewpoint - The foreign exchange market is currently cautious, with investors focusing on the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, following an unexpected decline in the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for August, which has strengthened expectations for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [1]. USD Analysis - The U.S. Dollar Index is hovering around 97.82, with a slight increase of 0.08% to close at 97.83 on Wednesday, marking a nearly 10% decline year-to-date. Concerns over U.S. fiscal and trade policy uncertainties, along with doubts about the Federal Reserve's independence, continue to suppress the dollar's performance [2]. - Technically, the U.S. Dollar Index is oscillating within the range of 97.253 to 98.834, with significant resistance levels at 98.100 (50-day moving average) and 98.317. The market is expected to maintain this range until the CPI data is released, which is anticipated to be a key catalyst for the dollar's next direction [4]. EUR/USD Analysis - The EUR/USD is trading around 1.1700, remaining stable as the dollar weakens. Fitch Ratings predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points in both September and December, while the European Central Bank is expected to keep rates unchanged with a 93% probability. This divergence in monetary policy supports the euro in a weak dollar environment [5]. - From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD has broken below 1.1700 but found strong support near the 20-day moving average (1.1672) and the 50-day moving average (1.1659). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has decreased from 60 to 52, indicating a weakening buying momentum [7]. GBP/USD Analysis - The GBP/USD is currently fluctuating around 1.3530, with the market also focused on the U.S. CPI data. The weak PPI data for August has further increased expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Market consensus suggests that the headline CPI for August may rise to 2.9%, while the core CPI is expected to remain at 3.1% [7]. - Technically, the GBP/USD is consolidating within the range of 1.3500 to 1.3550, with resistance levels at 1.3550, 1.3590, and 1.3681, and support levels at 1.3500, the 20-day moving average (1.3491), and the 50-day moving average (1.3465). The RSI remains bullish but is trending flat, indicating a potential wait for data release before any breakout [9]. Overall Market Sentiment - The U.S. Dollar Index is maintaining a weak pattern within a consolidation range, with the market having largely priced in expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The euro is supported by differing policy expectations, although its momentum is weakening, while the pound is consolidating between key support and resistance levels. The foreign exchange market is likely to see clearer directional movement following the release of the U.S. CPI data [9].
CPI数据或重塑美联储决策
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-12 04:08
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the US dollar index and the implications of recent employment data on Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, highlighting a strong market expectation for a rate cut in September. Group 1: Economic Indicators - The US dollar index is currently priced at 98.49, with a slight decline of 0.01% from an opening price of 98.51 [1] - There is a 90% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points in September due to weak employment data [1] - The ISM services price index is showing signs of increasing inflation pressure, which could challenge the prevailing view of an assured rate cut [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - The recent rebound of the dollar index from a low of 96.3729 to a resistance level of 100.2599 indicates a potential false breakout [1] - The dollar index has moved upward within a short-term consolidation range of 98.00 to 99.00 but has not yet broken through the upper resistance of this range [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be crucial; if inflation data exceeds expectations, the market may reassess its rate cut predictions [1] - The nomination of Milan to the Federal Reserve Board may further bolster the dovish sentiment in the market [1]