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中金:升德康农牧(02419)目标价至111港元 维持“跑赢行业”评级
智通财经网· 2025-07-04 02:01
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the profit forecast for Dekang Agriculture (02419) for 2025/26, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 11.5 and 6.7 for those years. The target price is raised by 68% to HKD 111, indicating a potential upside of 28% from the current price, supported by the company's continued growth and improved trading liquidity [1] Group 1 - The company adopts a "company + farmer" light asset development model, with the second farm's sow breeding model achieving the lowest costs within the system. The current operational model distribution is 20% self-operated, 60% first farm, and 20% second farm, with the average annual income for contracted farmers reaching RMB 770,000, a historical high for the company [2] - The second farm model has lower breeding costs compared to the first farm and self-operated models, enhancing operational efficiency and farmer engagement [2] Group 2 - The company continues to reduce costs, maintaining its position as an industry leader. The monthly total cost is reported to be below RMB 12.5 per kilogram, attributed to a focused breeding strategy in the Southwest region, technological empowerment, and efficient management practices [3] - The company expects to achieve a pig output of 11 million and 15 million heads in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with long-term potential exceeding 30 million heads [3] Group 3 - Liquidity has improved significantly, with an average turnover rate of 1.9% since the release of the 2024 annual report, and average daily trading volume increasing to RMB 140 million from RMB 3.69 million year-on-year. The proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect has also risen [4] - The valuation of the company is expected to increase, with a calculated average market value of RMB 2,528 per head, indicating a 22% potential increase compared to industry leaders [4]
亚朵陷“医院枕套”风波加盟店占98% 酒店主业承压靠卖枕头被子年入22亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-06-09 23:32
酒店客房枕套上印有医院标识,罕见的黑天鹅袭击了知名连锁品牌亚朵(ATAT.NASDAQ)。 6月3日,有网友在社交平台发文称,杭州一亚朵酒店客房出现印有"杭州御湘湖未来医院"标识的枕套, 由此引发公众对布草卫生管理的质疑。当晚,涉事酒店道歉。 6月8日,亚朵集团发布道歉声明,事件原因调查结果系分拣错发,为洗涤供应商在分拣环节出现错发, 涉事门店在布草验收、布房、查房环节存在疏漏。当事酒店停业整顿,4440件布草全部换新。 亚朵是国内知名中高端连锁酒店。截至今年一季度末,旗下在营酒店数1727家,客房约19.4万间。第三 方数据显示,亚朵位居国内中高端连锁酒店规模及市场占有率第一位。 不过,亚朵坚持轻资产扩张,加盟店占比超98%。 2024年,亚朵实现营业收入72.48亿元、归母净利润12.75亿元,同比增长约55%、73%。 官网显示,亚朵定位"始于住宿的生活方式品牌集团",旗下拥有A.T.HOUSE、萨和酒店、亚朵S酒店、 亚朵酒店、亚朵X酒店、轻居酒店六大住宿品牌,以及零售品牌"αTOUR PLANET亚朵星球""SAVHE 萨 和"。 依赖加盟模式激进扩张 亚朵深陷"医院枕套"风波。 6月3日,有网友在 ...
霸王茶姬上市后首份季报:业绩狂飙突进 利润率警钟却已拉响
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 07:56
一季度,霸王茶姬净收入为33.927亿元,同比增长35.4%。其中,特许经营店收入为31.499亿元,占比92.8%,同比增长31.8%;自有门店收入为2.428亿元, 占比为7.2%,同比增长7.7%。 霸王茶姬(CHA.NASDAQ)近日发布了2025年一季报,也是其上市后的首份财报。 随着电商经济崛起,霸王茶姬线上销售增速可观,线下营业表现却呈收缩态势。据一季报披露,霸王茶姬一季度线上总GMV为82.268亿元,同比增长38%。 其中,大中华区GMV为80.484亿元,占比97.8%;海外GMV为1.784亿元,占比2.2%。霸王茶姬线下门店单店月均GMV为43.197万元,同比下滑21.4%;其中 大中华区同比下滑19.1%,海外同比下滑8.4%。关于餐饮行业一季度业绩表现,离不开京东杀入外卖市场,平台内卷为企业带来的流量红利,如库迪咖啡月 销超3000万单、古茗月销700万单的亮眼成绩,而霸王茶姬也在此期间推出了23元双杯套餐,以期从中分羹。 整体来看,霸王茶姬以特许经营模式为主,走轻资产扩张路线,自有门店仅起到了聚焦品牌的标杆作用。随着销售、管理等费用的激增,霸王茶姬利润率下 滑的隐忧已经到来。霸 ...
友好集团出售房地产子公司背后:扣非净利润连亏5年,对2025年度业绩构成重大影响
5月21日,友好集团(600778)公告,拟以土地使用权及相关资产作价,向全资子公司华骏房地产增 资。 早在2012年,友好集团与华骏房地产联合竞买、共同所有位于乌鲁木齐市会展大道以东挂牌编号为 2011-C-114和2011-C-115的地块,合计支付土地出让金3.5亿元。彼时,为按规划归集上述地块后续开发 过程中的支出和收入,便于公司财务处理及后续工作的推进,友好集团与华骏房地产对上述地块按照友 好集团分摊35%土地面积、华骏房地产分摊65%土地面积进行划分并承担相应费用。 友好集团表示,本期,根据市场变化,为进一步优化公司资产结构,便于华骏房地产后续筹划,公司拟 以上述地块35%土地面积的使用权及地上附着物等资产以评估值作价1.52亿元向华骏房地产增资,其中 拟增加华骏房地产公司的注册资本9831.61万元,其余部分计入华骏房地产的资本公积。本次增资完成 后,友好集团对华骏房地产的持股比例仍为100%。 数据显示,2024年末,华骏房地产资产总额为3.14亿元,净资产-4985万元,2024年,该公司营业收入 为44.81万元,净利润-27.81万元。 友好集团表示,本次增资有利于华骏房地产后续筹划工作 ...
友好集团: 友好集团关于向全资子公司增资的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-20 11:55
Core Viewpoint - The company plans to increase capital for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Xinjiang Youhao Huajun Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., by contributing land use rights and related assets valued at 151.79 million yuan [1][2]. Summary by Sections Capital Increase Overview - The capital increase amount is 151.79 million yuan, with 98.32 million yuan allocated to increase the registered capital of Huajun Real Estate, raising it from 20 million yuan to 118.32 million yuan [1][2]. - The remaining amount will be added to the capital reserve of Huajun Real Estate [2]. Approval Process - The capital increase has been approved by the company's 10th Board of Directors and does not require shareholder meeting approval [2][3]. Subsidiary Information - Xinjiang Youhao Huajun Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. was established on November 22, 2007, with a registered capital of 20 million yuan [3][4]. - The company operates in real estate development, leasing, and property management [4]. Asset Valuation - The assets being contributed for the capital increase have been appraised at 151.79 million yuan, with a book value of 153.67 million yuan and a net value of 98.32 million yuan, resulting in an appreciation of 53.48 million yuan, or a 54.39% increase [4][5]. Impact on the Company - The capital increase is expected to facilitate future planning for Huajun Real Estate, optimize the company's asset structure, and enhance operational efficiency without affecting the consolidated financial statements [5].
如何重构商业地产发展新路径?业界大咖这样支招
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-05-17 14:08
在日前举办的2025观点购物中心暨零售消费峰会上,中国商业联合会购物中心分会副会长、专家委员会 首席研究员蔡云指出,重构商业地产发展的新路径,需要从消费端去思考,让消费端的居民从原来的物 质满足转向体验服务,推动商业地产从传统零售向沉浸式体验转型。 峰会上,蔡云指出,在构建商业新需求当中,Z世代年轻人需要通过社交去转换成消费,老年人需要品 质的去陪伴,新中产则需要精神治愈。消费新动能的重构核心要素是,在供给重构上建立从商品到服 务,从功能到情感,从物质占有到有意义消费;在链接重构上建立新的产业链和消费链等。 "从消费端去思考,从原来的物质满足转向体验服务,推动商业地产从传统零售向沉浸式体验转型"。蔡 云建议,如在购物中心引进主题街区、艺术展览、亲子娱乐等多元业态。通过场景化设计,如夜经济街 区、社交化空间,延长消费者停留时间,提升消费的频次。借助消费者行为数据分析,精准匹配品牌组 合,优化租户结构,提升坪效。在政策导向下,社区商业崛起,政府推动15分钟便民生活圈,驱动商业 地产向社区化、小型化、便利化布局,出现了商业中心、邻里中心。此外,通过节能改造,绿色建筑认 证等提升资产价值,降低长期运营成本;老旧商业项 ...
上市首日大涨40%后,如何看待沪上阿姨(02589.HK)的长期价值?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-09 02:15
Core Viewpoint - The successful IPO of Hu Shang A Yi on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reflects strong market confidence in its business model and growth potential, with a market capitalization exceeding HKD 18.1 billion after a significant stock price increase [1][3]. Group 1: Business Model and Growth - Hu Shang A Yi's rapid expansion is driven by a franchise-focused business model, with 99.7% of its 9,176 stores operated by franchisees across over 300 cities in China [4][5]. - The company has seen a strong reinvestment from existing franchisees, with 48.8% of new stores in 2024 coming from current franchisees, indicating a well-functioning franchise system [6]. - The average initial investment for a new store is approximately CNY 275,000, lower than the industry average, making it attractive for potential franchisees [6][7]. Group 2: Product and Supply Chain - Hu Shang A Yi has a diverse product line, including the "Light Enjoy" brand and "Hu Coffee," catering to various consumer preferences and enhancing franchisee profitability [7][9]. - The company sources ingredients globally, ensuring product quality and innovation, with over 100 new products launched from 2022 to 2024 [8][9]. - A centralized procurement platform helps maintain low ingredient costs, benefiting franchisees and creating a sustainable growth loop [8]. Group 3: Market Strategy and Positioning - The company is strategically focusing on the lower-tier markets, with 50.4% of its stores located in these areas by 2024, capitalizing on the expected rapid growth in these segments [9][10]. - The mid-priced tea beverage market is projected to grow significantly, with Hu Shang A Yi positioned to capture a substantial share due to its extensive network and brand recognition [13][16]. - The combination of its franchise model, product diversification, and focus on lower-tier markets positions Hu Shang A Yi for sustainable growth and competitive advantage in the tea beverage industry [19][20].
华统股份(002840) - 2025年4月29日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-04-29 14:14
证券代码:002840 证券简称:华统股份 浙江华统肉制品股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号:2025-001 | 投资者关系 活动类别 | ☐特定对象调研 ☐分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | | ☐媒体采访 ☐业绩说明会 | | | ☐新闻发布会 ☐路演活动 | | | ☐现场参观 | | | 其他(2024年年度及2025年一季度业绩电话交流会) | | | 华泰保兴基金 王语嫣;京管泰富基金 王欣伟;国泰租赁 田永新,杭州热联 黄 震宇;玄卜投资 韦琦;嘉富行远私募基金 周辉;绿能(北京)私募基金 汪涵;江 | | | 西金控 王宏;国海证券 王思言;国海证券 熊子兴;太平洋证券 程晓东;华鑫 | | 参与单位名 | 证券 卫正;西部证券 高林峰;国信证券 李瑞楠;国泰君安 王艳君;开源证券 | | 称及人员姓 | 王高展;光大证券 于明正;国盛证券 沈嘉妍;招商证券 李秋燕;财通证券 肖 | | | 珮菁;甬兴证券司 江路;海通证券 巩健;兴业证券 潘江滢;华福证券 申钰 | | 名 | 雯;开源证券 陈雪丽;华源证券 冯佳文;广发证券 李雅琦;华源证券 顾超; | | | 中信证 ...
宋城演艺(300144):新项目快速成长 发力轻资产扩张
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:50
宋城演艺发布2024 年及1Q25 业绩, 2024 年实现营收24.17 亿/yoy+25.49%,归母净利10.49 亿/同比扭 亏;若不考虑持有花房集团公司的长期股权投资形成的投资收益及减值损失,24 年实现净利润10.39 亿/同口径yoy+25.24%,业绩表现符合预告(营收23-25 亿;归母净利润:9.3-12亿)。1Q25 实现营收 5.61 亿/yoy+0.26%,归母净利2.46 亿/yoy-2.18%,整体稳健。展望后续,公司部分存量项目经营受旅游 消费习惯变化、行业竞争等影响阶段性承压;佛山、西安等新项目表现突出,轻资产布局提速,成为增 厚公司业绩新引擎。公司24 年拟现金分红总额5.25 亿/yoy+100.2%,分红率50.01%,股东回报持续优 化,叠加股权激励有望释放核心团队动能,公司长期发展信心得以彰显。维持"买入"评级。 新项目表现靓丽,存量景区经营阶段性承压 考虑文旅消费习惯变迁,25-26 年存量项目经营或仍有所承压,我们下调25-26 年EPS 15/12%至 0.44/0.51 元,新引入27 年EPS0.55 元。参考可比公司25 年Wind 一致预期PE 均值2 ...
中银证券:给予宋城演艺买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-28 06:45
中银国际证券股份有限公司李小民,宋环翔近期对宋城演艺(300144)进行研究并发布了研究报告《新项目爬坡迅 速,关注轻资产扩张与存量项目优化》,给予宋城演艺买入评级。 宋城演艺 消费恢复不达预期、存量项目优化不及预期、安全事故风险。 证券之星数据中心根据近三年发布的研报数据计算,东北证券赵涵真研究员团队对该股研究较为深入,近三年预 测准确度均值为39.04%,其预测2025年度归属净利润为盈利13.3亿,根据现价换算的预测PE为18.78。 最新盈利预测明细如下: 公司发布2024年年报及2025年一季报。24年公司实现营收24.17亿元,同比+25.49%;归母净利润10.49亿元,同比 扭亏为盈。24年公司业绩增长主要系上年基数较低,存量项目整体承压,后续需关注优化情况;新项目爬坡迅速 表现优异,轻资产签约稳定推进,后续增长潜力可期,维持买入评级。 支撑评级的要点 24年公司业绩稳健增长,分红率逐步提升。24年公司实现营收24.17亿元,同比+25.49%;归母净利润10.49亿元, 同比扭亏为盈;扣非归母净利润10.32亿元。24年公司的业绩实现高增长,主要系23年花房集团计提大额减值,基 数较低,若不 ...