Core Viewpoint - China has become a focal point for global investors, with a consensus emerging that the question is no longer whether to invest in China, but how to smartly allocate resources in the market [1] Group 1: Investment Themes - Foreign investors are focusing on three main lines: technological innovation, overseas industrial chains, and valuation recovery [1] - The AI sector, represented by Chinese tech giants, is particularly attractive to foreign capital, driven by breakthroughs in AI, a large domestic market, favorable policies, and an expanding consumer base [2] - The shift of Chinese companies from merely exporting products to establishing production capacity and supply chains overseas is seen as a significant trend [3] Group 2: Positive Signals - Since 2025, foreign capital has been reassessing Chinese assets, with positive signals emerging from policy, corporate performance, and funding [4] - The Chinese government has implemented various reforms, including increasing fiscal deficits and enhancing social security, which have bolstered investor confidence [4] - Chinese enterprises have shown strong competitiveness in technology innovation and global competition, indicating a robust recovery potential [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Recent market fluctuations are viewed as creating attractive investment opportunities, with the long-term core logic of the A-share market remaining intact [5] - The ongoing AI revolution is expected to continue driving growth opportunities in related sectors, supported by a likely shift towards looser monetary policy from the Federal Reserve [5][6] - Emerging markets, including China, are anticipated to perform well in 2026 due to favorable macroeconomic conditions such as a weaker dollar and easing inflation [6]

Summary of Conference Call on Rare Earth Materials Industry Company and Industry Overview - The document discusses the rare earth materials industry, specifically focusing on Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals (formerly known as Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals) and its integration into the China Rare Earth Group [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments - **Company Name Change**: The renaming of Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals to Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals signifies a deeper integration of state-owned enterprises in the rare earth sector, reflecting a broader business scope that includes tungsten and copper [2][4]. - **Market Sentiment**: The name change and the transfer of 100% equity of Guangdong Rare Earth Group to China Rare Earth Group are expected to catalyze market sentiment, potentially driving the sector's performance in the coming months [2][4]. - **Asset Composition**: Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals has a comprehensive asset layout, including rare earth (Huaqi Company, New District Trade), tungsten (Shirenzhang, Hongling Tungsten Mine), and copper (Dabaoshan Copper Mine), forming a complete industrial chain from mining to smelting [1][4][5]. - **Production Capacity**: The total rare earth production capacity is expected to nearly double with the commissioning of the Zuo Gong Mine, while the smelting capacity at Fuyuan Company is also projected to increase [1][5]. - **Financial Performance**: Excluding the pressure from magnetic materials, Zhongxi's expected performance for the year is over 300 million RMB, with a valuation lower than its peers [1][5]. - **Valuation Comparison**: Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 60, compared to 120 for its peers, indicating significant room for valuation correction [1][6][7]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The rare earth sector is experiencing a bullish trend due to several factors, including a 15% year-on-year increase in exports in October and a 20% increase in rare earth permanent magnet exports in Q3 [8][11]. - **Regulatory Environment**: The introduction of the "Rare Earth Management Regulations" and the "Total Control Management Measures for Rare Earth Mining" is expected to tighten supply and enhance the market's regulatory framework [11]. - **Supply Chain Concerns**: The anticipated closure of tin mines in Myanmar by the end of 2025 is expected to tighten supply, further supporting price increases in the rare earth sector [11]. Future Outlook - **Growth Potential**: Zhongxi Nonferrous Metals is projected to have a growth potential of 50%-100% in the short term due to favorable policies and supply-side reforms [3][9]. - **Comparative Analysis**: Baogang Co. and Northern Rare Earth are also highlighted as having significant upside potential, with Baogang expected to see a price increase of over 50% due to its valuation correction [10].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market shows positive momentum with the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Tech Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index all experiencing slight increases, indicating investor confidence in the market's potential for growth [1] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.46%, the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.51%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index gained 0.50% during the midday session [1] - The market's half-day trading volume reached HKD 113.95 billion [1] Sector Analysis - In the technology sector, Meituan-W saw a significant increase of 5.85%, followed by Huahong Semiconductor with a rise of 2.80%, JD Group-SW up by 1.96%, and BYD Electronics increasing by 1.89% [1] - Conversely, NIO-SW experienced a decline of 7.13%, and Bilibili-W fell by 2.43% [1] Foreign Investment Sentiment - Major foreign institutions, including JPMorgan and Aberdeen Investment, express a bullish outlook on Chinese assets, highlighting the growth potential of the technology sector and the valuation advantages of the Hong Kong stock market [1] - These institutions believe that the technology industry will benefit from policy support and market demand amid China's economic transformation [1] Future Outlook - Foreign investment firms anticipate that the technology-driven rally in the Hong Kong stock market will continue [1] - Investors are encouraged to focus on two types of opportunities: leading companies in high-end manufacturing sectors like AI and semiconductors, and growth companies with reasonable valuations and competitive advantages [1] - The technology sector in Hong Kong is expected to generate excess returns for investors, driven by the dual themes of "technological innovation and valuation recovery" [1]

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 港股通50ETF（159712）跟踪的是港股通50指数（930931），该指数从港股通机制下选取交易活跃、流 动性良好的50只港股上市证券作为指数样本，覆盖金融、信息技术、消费等多个重要行业，综合反映港 股通范围内具有市场代表性和核心竞争力的上市公司证券的整体表现。 招商证券指出，港股通50行业近期受美元指数走强影响出现调整，恒生科技指数领跌，对外部流动性变 化较为敏感。当前港股估值已进入配置价值区间，恒生科技PE-TTM处于历史14.8%分位。在中国经济 结构转型背景下，科技板块汇集了A股稀缺的优质科技公司，AI产业趋势持续强化，相关企业竞争力突 出。顺周期、服务业消费及自主可控成为三大主线，其中科技板块在AI基础设施、大模型竞争升级推 动下具备长期发展潜力。存储器、集成电路等TMT领域维持高景气， ...

Core Insights - The Hong Kong technology sector is experiencing a resurgence, with significant capital inflows into technology ETFs, indicating growing investor interest and optimism about future performance [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 21, 2025, Hong Kong technology ETFs have seen a net inflow of 98.31 billion yuan over the past month, with the Hang Seng Technology Index ETF attracting 24.17 billion yuan [1][2]. - On November 21, 2025, the Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) recorded a single-day trading volume of 9.80 billion yuan, significantly higher than its year-to-date average of 5.30 billion yuan [2]. - The overall scale of ETFs tracking the Hang Seng Technology Index has increased by 170.88 billion yuan since 2025, with the Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) doubling its size to 41.76 billion yuan [3]. Group 2: Capital Inflows - Southbound capital has been consistently flowing into the Hong Kong market, with a total net inflow exceeding 1.37 trillion Hong Kong dollars in 2025, significantly surpassing the previous year's total [3]. - The Hong Kong market has seen a total share repurchase amount exceeding 153.54 billion Hong Kong dollars in 2025, reflecting confidence from listed companies [4]. Group 3: Valuation and Growth Potential - The Hang Seng Technology Index is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of 21.56, which is at a historically low valuation compared to other indices like the STAR 50 and NASDAQ [5][6]. - Positive signals from the fundamentals include strong third-quarter earnings reports from leading technology companies, indicating resilience and potential for growth [6]. - Analysts predict that the Hong Kong market will benefit from internal economic plans and external monetary easing, suggesting a potential second round of valuation recovery in 2026 [6][7]. Group 4: Institutional Interest - Foreign institutions are increasingly focusing on the Chinese technology sector, with expectations for sustained development in the Hong Kong market as a hub for quality technology assets [7]. - Opportunities in AI applications are expanding, and there is a growing interest in semiconductor sectors driven by supply chain restructuring and demand recovery [7].

Group 1 - The core concept of "Southbound Capital" refers to mainland investors using the Stock Connect mechanisms to invest in stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, serving as a key source of liquidity for the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2 - As of November 20, 2023, the cumulative net inflow of Southbound capital has exceeded HKD 1.36 trillion, representing a growth of over 68% compared to the total inflow of HKD 807.8 billion for the entire year of 2024, and is 1.7 times the net buying amount for 2024 [2] - The cumulative trading volume of Southbound capital has surpassed HKD 26.37 trillion, which is an increase of over 135% compared to the cumulative trading volume of HKD 11.22 billion for the entire year of 2024, making it 2.35 times the total for 2024 [2] - Since the launch of the Stock Connect, the cumulative net inflow has exceeded HKD 5 trillion, setting a historical record since the mechanism's inception [2] Group 3 - As of November 19, 2023, the top five sectors for Southbound capital holdings are: banking, retail, non-bank financials, pharmaceuticals, and media, with the banking sector receiving the most significant net buying across various time frames [3] - The monthly frequency of net buying in the banking sector accounts for 1.54% of the total market capitalization, indicating a substantial increase in investment in this sector [3] - Other sectors that have seen significant increases in investment over the past month include non-bank financials, real estate, oil and petrochemicals, and transportation [3] Group 4 - The primary drivers for the recent Southbound capital flows are institutional funds such as insurance capital and public funds, attracted by the high dividend yield of Hong Kong stocks (average yield of 5.57%) in a low-interest-rate environment [5] - The banking, non-bank financials, real estate, oil and petrochemicals, and transportation sectors have seen increased investment due to their valuation advantages, particularly in the context of Hong Kong's market being perceived as undervalued globally [6] - The price-to-book ratio (PB) of the Hong Kong banking sector is currently at 0.52, representing a discount of over 40% compared to similar sectors in A-shares, which attracts funds seeking value [6] Group 5 - For individual investors, participating directly in Hong Kong stocks may involve risks such as exchange rate fluctuations and differences in trading rules, making ETFs a preferable option for exposure [6] - Recent trends indicate that Southbound capital is increasingly focused on high-dividend, low-volatility ETFs, which cater to investors with moderate risk preferences [6] - The Hong Kong Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF and other similar products allow investors to benefit from the inflow of Southbound capital while diversifying their investment risks [6]

| 序号 代码 | | 名称 | O | 最新 | 总市值 | 涨幅％ 1 | 年初 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 601009 | 南京银行 | 1 | 11.64 | 1439亿 | 2.65 | | | 2 | 601998 | 中信银行 | 1 | 7.91 | 4402亿 | 246 | | | 3 | 601328 | 交通银行 | 1 | 7.72 | 6822亿 | 2.12 | | 农业银行此前走出"14连阳"行情，截至11月25日收盘，收盘价为8.07元/股。据东方财富choice数据，农行年初至今涨幅近58%，居板块首位。对于农业银行 本轮行情，资深金融监管政策专家周毅钦曾向记者分析谈到，其核心逻辑仍以估值修复为主，尚未切换为成长属性定价。一方面当前仍以低估值与高股息的 吸引力为主。农行股息率显著高于国债收益率，叠加市场避险情绪升温，险资、公募等长期资金持续加仓，推动估值向合理区间回归。 "另外一方面是基本面韧性提供支撑。农行上半年财报数据稳健，存款成本低、不良率可控的护城河优势强化了安全垫，但成长属性 ...

一些消费行业个股，正在凭借自身产品创新与渠道变革实现基本面增长。 作者 | 紫枫 编辑 | 小白 结合当前宏观经济数据、行业基本面变化及政策导向，食品饮料板块正呈现出比较清晰的投资逻辑。 另外，政策层面的持续催化为板块提供了重要支撑。今年以来，政府出台了不少提振消费的政策。财政部 明确继续实施提振消费专项行动，强调扩大服务消费，对重点领域消费贷款给予财政贴息，五部门完善免 税店等政策将进一步助力消费提振。 而《十五五规划建议》强调"居民消费率明显提高、内需主导消费拉动"的发展导向，以及加大公共服务支 出、实施城乡居民增收计划、扩大服务消费等具体举措，从收入端和供给端共同改善消费环境。 而从二级市场的角度来看，根据Choice数据显示，中证主要消费指数和恒生消费指数的市盈率分别在20倍 和18.5倍之间。有券商预测，不少食品饮料企业在2026年市盈率处于15-20倍区间，位于历史估值中枢低 位，具备相对良好的安全边际。 宏观、政策与估值三重共振，板块值得一看 10月宏观数据显示消费领域逐步回暖，CPI同比由负转正至0.2%，环比同步提升0.2%，扣除食品和能源后 的核心CPI保持1.2%的同比增速。 其中，其他 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][22]. Core Views - The company plans to issue up to 800 million shares of RMB ordinary shares for listing on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which represents 11.52% of the total share capital post-issuance. The funds raised will be used for business development and to supplement working capital [3][4]. - The issuance of A-shares is expected to have a limited dilution effect, and the company has sufficient free cash flow to maintain its dividend per share (DPS) [4][18]. - The garbage incineration industry is entering a mature phase, with a slowdown in capacity release. The national capacity for harmless treatment of municipal solid waste has increased to 1.5226 million tons per day, with incineration accounting for 76.08% [4][12]. - The company’s free cash flow has turned positive, reaching HKD 4.416 billion in 2024, indicating a shift from expansion to refined operations, which may lead to a revaluation in the secondary market [18][25]. Summary by Sections Share Issuance Impact - The proposed issuance of A-shares is expected to increase the total share capital from 6.143 billion to 6.943 billion shares, with a potential upper limit of 7.063 billion shares if the overallotment is exercised. The total dividend amount is projected to increase by 11.3% to HKD 15.97 billion, or by 14.9% to HKD 16.24 billion considering the overallotment [10][4]. Industry Analysis - The number of new garbage incineration projects has decreased significantly, with only 20 new projects in 2024, a reduction of 35 from 2023. The total investment in these projects is estimated at approximately HKD 5.26 billion, down about 80% from HKD 28.77 billion in 2023 [4][15]. Financial Performance - The company’s net profit for 2025 is projected to be HKD 3.532 billion, with a growth rate of 4.6% for the following years. The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is estimated at 8.7x for 2025, indicating potential for valuation recovery [22][25]. - The company has maintained a consistent dividend policy, with a projected DPS of HKD 0.23 for 2025, reflecting a commitment to returning value to shareholders [25][22]. Valuation Comparison - The current PE ratio of the company’s H-shares is 9.8x, significantly lower than the average issuance PE of over 20x for A-share listed garbage incineration companies, suggesting room for valuation improvement [18][22].

廖臣悦(投资咨询证号：Z0022951) 股指期货日报 2025年11月24日 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 降息预期升温带动股指高开，中小盘超调有所修复 市场回顾 今日股指涨跌不一，大盘股指收跌，中小盘股指收涨。从资金面来看，两市成交额回落2378.87亿元。期指方 面，IF、IH缩量下跌，IC、IM放量上涨。 重要资讯 1. 美联储"三把手"放鸽，称"近期"仍存在降息空间，市场预期12月降息概率盘中突破70%。威廉姆斯在 演讲中表示，随着劳动力市场降温，就业面临的下行风险已经增加，而通胀面临的上行风险有所减轻。他认 为货币政策目前处于温和紧缩状态，但限制性程度低于近期行动之前的水平。 2.日媒称中方拒绝明年1月中日韩首脑会谈，外交部回应表示中日韩三方并没有就第十次中日韩领导人会议的 会期达成共识。 核心观点 周末美联储三把手放鸽，强调就业下行风险，提振市场降息预期，今日股指集体高开。不过由于当前中日紧 张关系尚未缓和，叠加资金止盈意愿增强，股指高开后随即回落转跌。午后开盘集体拉升，中小盘股指翻 红，表现较强，中日风波影响下军工板块领涨，两市成交额再度缩量至1.7万亿元左右。我们认为今日 ...