Group 1 - The report indicates that the current market conditions since October last year resemble those of 2013 and 2019, suggesting a potential transition to a comprehensive bull market [2][10][30] - The strategic characteristics of the current market include low valuation levels, weak corporate earnings, positive policy tone, and active thematic opportunities, which are similar to the market conditions observed in previous bull markets [9][10][30] - Historical analysis shows that out of several past oscillating markets, there were four bear markets and two bull markets, indicating a mixed outcome for similar conditions [3][10] Group 2 - The report highlights that the transition from a structural bull market to a comprehensive bull market in July 2014 was driven by a brief economic rebound, a shift to positive policies, and inflows of resident funds [16][23] - In July 2020, the transition was characterized by a rapid recovery of the economy post-pandemic, global policy easing, and significant inflows of resident funds, leading to a strong earnings bull market [23][30] - The current assessment suggests that while the strategic outlook is positive, tactical indicators do not yet show clear signs of a breakout, and further oscillation may be needed before a transition occurs [30][37] Group 3 - The report provides a configuration suggestion that emphasizes value-oriented investments in the current quarter, with a potential increase in growth sector allocations later in Q3 [37][39] - Specific industry outlooks include a focus on new consumption, media, military industry, and non-bank financial sectors, with an emphasis on the potential for strong performance in these areas [38][39] - The report notes that the financial sector remains undervalued, with expectations of a gradual recovery in the real estate market, which could positively impact financial institutions [39]

证 券 研 究 报 告 保险行业周报（20250623-20250627） 风偏上行催化板块行情，看好负债端经营质 推荐（维持） 量改善趋势 本周行情复盘：保险指数上涨 3.89%，跑赢大盘 1.93pct。保险个股表现分化， 阳光+9.57%，太平+8.63%，友邦+5.53%，太保+4.47%，平安+4.06%，财险 +3.61%，新华+3.46%，人保+2.82%，国寿+2.39%。10年期国债收益率1.65%， 较上周末+1bp。 本周动态： （1）中证网：6月 24日，港交所披露易最新数据显示，蚂蚁集团当日减持约 3375.48万股众安保险股。此次减持后，蚂蚁集团对众安保险的持股数量占已 发行的有投票权股份百分比降至 7.63%。 （2）众安在线：增资约 39亿港元，配售价 18.25港元/股，配售股份相当于现 有已发行 H股的 15.14%。本次增资主要用于补充资金需求、支撑金融科技创 新投资以及一般企业用途。 （3）金融监管总局：2025 年 1-5 月原保费收入 3.06 万亿，其中财产险 6129 亿元，人身险 24473 亿元。 保险近期行情点评： 近期保险板块行情表现突出，我们认为主要催 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the past week, convertible bonds performed remarkably. The small - cap growth style led the rise in the equity market, and the pricing window for convertible bond rating downgrades was about to end. The Wind Information Technology, low - rated, high - priced, and small - cap convertible bond styles led the gains. The 100 - yuan premium rate continued to climb, and the overall market sentiment was high. Although the Wind Financial Convertible Bond Index adjusted significantly in a single day under the influence of the bank stock index adjustment, the adjustment range was limited compared to equities [1][4]. - It is recommended to maintain a dumbbell - shaped allocation. For large - cap blue - chip convertible bonds, the supply - demand relationship is more imbalanced. As underlying bonds like Pufa Convertible Bond mature and exit, the allocation demand for underlying varieties in the convertible bond market will further overflow. Investors are advised to focus on high - grade convertible bonds with stable long - term fundamentals and short - term operational safety. Small - cap growth convertible bonds will continue to benefit from loose liquidity and the AI+ industrial trend. Investors are advised to pay attention to opportunities in industries such as humanoid robots, AI+, and new consumption. Additionally, as the average remaining term of the entire market approaches 2 years, the willingness of convertible bonds to make downward revisions may increase overall, and investors are advised to focus on the downward revision opportunities of low - priced, high - premium convertible bonds [1][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Viewpoint and Outlook - The small - cap growth style in the equity market led the rise, and the convertible bond rating downgrade pricing window was about to end, resulting in excellent performance of convertible bonds in the past week. The Wind Information Technology, low - rated, high - priced, and small - cap convertible bond styles led the gains. The 100 - yuan premium rate continued to rise, and market sentiment was high. The Wind Financial Convertible Bond Index adjusted significantly in a single day due to the bank stock index adjustment, but the adjustment was limited compared to equities [1][4]. - A dumbbell - shaped allocation strategy is recommended. For large - cap blue - chip convertible bonds, due to the exit of some underlying bonds, the demand for underlying varieties will increase. Investors should focus on high - grade, fundamentally stable, and short - term operationally safe convertible bonds. Small - cap growth convertible bonds will benefit from liquidity and industrial trends, and investors should pay attention to industries like humanoid robots, AI+, and new consumption. Also, as the average remaining term approaches 2 years, the downward revision willingness of convertible bonds may increase, and investors should focus on low - priced, high - premium convertible bonds [1][4]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - This week, the equity and convertible bond markets broke through key points, and market sentiment was good. Convertible bond valuations continued to rise, with the 100 - yuan premium rate reaching 31%, a single - week increase of 1.06%, and the latest quantile at the 83.90% percentile since 2017. The valuation differentiation between high - and low - rated convertible bonds was not significant, with high - rated convertible bonds performing slightly better [3][5]. - Convertible bonds rose significantly following the underlying stocks this week, and the yield to maturity dropped significantly, reaching a new low since 2025. As of the latest data, the conversion premium rate index, pure bond premium rate index, and yield to maturity were 46.58%, 29.10%, and - 3.39% respectively, with changes of - 2.49%, + 3.66%, and - 0.80% compared to last week. Their current quantile levels since 2017 were 70.10%, 46.30%, and 5.40% respectively [3][9]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, Chuanheng Convertible Bond, Jinling Convertible Bond, Guansheng Convertible Bond, and Huafeng Convertible Bond announced early redemptions. Currently, there are 11 convertible bonds that have announced forced redemptions or maturity redemptions but have not been delisted, and 1 convertible bond has triggered the forced - redemption condition but has not announced it. The potential maturity or conversion balance of forced - redeemed and matured convertible bonds among those not delisted is 4.2 billion yuan [10]. - There are currently 35 convertible bonds in the redemption process, and 7 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week, which should be closely monitored [15]. - Two convertible bonds announced non - redemption this week [17]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - This week, Jiangong Convertible Bond announced a downward revision to the maximum extent, and Shanshi Convertible Bond proposed a downward revision. As of the latest, 160 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision period, 27 are restricted by net assets and cannot be revised downward, 2 have triggered the downward - revision condition but the stock price is still below the trigger price and no announcement has been made, 41 are accumulating days for downward revision, and 6 have issued board proposals for downward revision but have not held a general meeting of shareholders [18]. 3.3.3 Put Option - No convertible bonds announced put options this week. As of now, 1 convertible bond has issued a put - option report and is in the put - option process. Eight convertible bonds are accumulating days to trigger the put - option condition, among which 2 are in the downward - revision process, 5 are in the non - downward - revision period, and 1 has proposed a downward revision [21]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - Three convertible bonds announced their issuance this week. According to the latest announcements, no convertible bonds are scheduled to be listed next week. As of now, there are 6 convertible bonds in the approval - registration process, with a total issuance scale of 10.4 billion yuan, and 3 convertible bonds have passed the listing committee review, with a total issuance scale of 2.6 billion yuan [23].

Group 1 - The new consumption trend is gaining momentum, characterized by products that cater to emotional value rather than just traditional needs, with significant interest from younger consumers [1] - The Z generation is becoming a crucial consumer group, showing strong willingness to spend and optimistic about future consumption, with 78% of respondents in a McKinsey survey expressing positive outlook [1] - The overall consumption scale is expected to quadruple to 16 trillion yuan over the next decade as the majority of the Z generation enters the workforce [1] Group 2 - The new consumption sector includes various subfields such as trendy toys, beauty care, and pet food, which are currently experiencing rapid growth [2] - The investment focus is on growth stocks, particularly in the technology and internet sectors, as well as industries benefiting from AI advancements [2] - The competitive landscape in the new consumption space is improving, with companies entering a profit release phase and potential for valuation re-evaluation [2]

本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者王兆寰 北京报道 6月份以来，外资机构密集发声，力挺中国资产。高盛、摩根士丹利等多家外资机构不仅上调了对2025 年中国经济增长的预期，还表示看好中国股票市场后续表现。 A股在众望所归下完成了又一突破：6月25日，上证指数收于3455.97点，盘中最高触及3459.01点，创年 内新高，总市值突破100万亿元大关，市场信心大幅回暖。26日，沪指再创新高3462点。 南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示，外资集体看多中国资产，核 心在于中国经济展现的韧性与结构性机遇。 田利辉指出，高盛、摩根士丹利等机构上调GDP增速预测，主要基于内需复苏、政策托底及科技突破带 来的增长预期。当前A股和港股估值处于历史低位，叠加人民币走强，全球资金正加速布局中国市场的 长期价值。 外资持续看多 近期，高盛、瑞银、摩根士丹利等国际机构密集发声，释放了强烈看多中国资产的信号。 高盛维持对A股和港股的超配建议，预计沪深300目标点位为4600点，MSCI China目标点位为84点，隐 含约10%的上行空间。 同时，在行业配置方面，高盛近期调高了银行和地产板块的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the transformation of consumer demand from "pleasing others" to "self-pleasing," indicating a structural change in consumption patterns that favors new consumption trends over traditional ones [4][9] - The report identifies three main lines of investment focus: new demand, new products, and new channels, suggesting that companies that can quickly adapt to these changes will outperform in the market [4][6] - The report highlights the government's ongoing efforts to stimulate consumption through various policies, which are expected to enhance consumer confidence and income, leading to a gradual recovery in the consumption market [7][8] Group 2 - New demand is characterized by a focus on cost-effectiveness, emotional value, and health consciousness among consumers, driven by generational differences in spending intentions [4][14][23] - The report notes that health-oriented products are gaining traction, with companies innovating in healthy snacks and beverages to meet rising consumer expectations for health benefits [28][36] - The emergence of new sales channels, such as bulk snack stores and membership-based supermarkets, is reshaping the retail landscape, allowing companies to better meet consumer demands for quality and convenience [57][63] Group 3 - The report discusses the rapid growth of the bulk snack store sector, which has become the leading channel for snack sales in China, reflecting a shift in consumer shopping habits [57][59] - Membership-based supermarkets are also highlighted as a growing trend, providing high-quality products at competitive prices, which appeals to consumers seeking value [63][66] - Traditional supermarkets are undergoing significant transformations to adapt to the competitive landscape, with successful case studies demonstrating substantial sales increases following strategic adjustments [69][70]

Group 1: New Consumption Trends - The core driving force of new consumption lies in a deep understanding of "people" and value resonance, with five key investment opportunities identified [2] - The new consumption index in the capital market has performed well, driven by generational shifts and consumption upgrades, indicating a profound structural transformation in the Chinese consumer market [1][2] - Key sectors include trendy toys, pets, tea beverages, discount retail, and AI consumption, with emotional and companionship economies showing significant potential [2] Group 2: AI and Digital Assets - AI is driving a shift from "software as a service" to "results as a service," with advancements in AI Agent technology leading to greater autonomy and personalized experiences [1] - Stablecoins are reshaping societal perceptions and usage of currency due to their stability, speed, accessibility, and practicality [1] Group 3: Energy Transition and Nuclear Fusion - The nuclear fusion industry is approaching a critical point of transitioning from scientific research to engineering practice and commercial application, with significant potential for investment [3] - High-temperature superconducting materials are key to breakthroughs in nuclear fusion, with the industry projected to have a trillion-dollar market potential [3] - The existing nuclear power industry has potential technology transfer value and synergies with the development of fusion technology [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the collaboration between Shandong and Zhejiang pet industry associations, focusing on the full industry chain innovation and brand strategy upgrade in the pet industry [2] - The Zhejiang exchange delegation visited leading companies such as Petstar and Tianyuan Pet Products, emphasizing the importance of product display and corporate culture [2] - Tianyuan Pet Products is a comprehensive enterprise specializing in the design, development, production, and sales of pet products, covering a wide range of categories including pet beds, toys, clothing, and food [2] Group 2 - Tianyuan Pet Products is actively expanding its business by investing in R&D, with a professional team that has developed nine product categories and holds over 200 domestic and international patents [3] - The company focuses on the lifestyle habits of pets and the interaction needs between pets and owners, continuously developing innovative products that meet various usage scenarios [3] - Tianyuan Pet has established four production bases globally, utilizing intelligent production lines and a strict quality control system to enhance its core competitiveness [3] Group 3 - The company is expanding its international market presence by leveraging platforms like the Canton Fair, establishing long-term partnerships with well-known international retailers and e-commerce platforms [3] - Tianyuan Pet has a presence in over 100 countries and regions, enhancing its brand influence through local market integration [3] - The company has developed multiple well-known brands such as Petstar and Xiaoshouxing, offering over 30,000 different SKUs to provide competitive pricing and quality products [4] Group 4 - The rapid development of Tianyuan Pet reflects the strategic transformation of China's pet industry from traditional manufacturing to comprehensive services [4] - The company is poised to benefit from new consumption trends and the growing pet economy, indicating a promising opportunity for accelerated growth in the pet industry [4]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes three main investment themes: new consumption, national subsidies driving demand, and the challenges posed by tariffs [1][4] - National subsidies have significantly supported domestic demand, with approximately 50% of the annual budget utilized by June 20, 2025, leading to over 1.3 trillion yuan in sales driven by the "old for new" policy [1][14] - The report highlights the strong performance of the home appliance sector during the 618 shopping festival, with total sales reaching 1.1 billion yuan, accounting for 13% of the overall e-commerce sales [20][21] Group 2 - New consumption trends are emerging, particularly in AI and robotics, with companies like Roborock, Ninebot, and Ecovacs leading the way in innovative product offerings [2][23] - The report notes a shift in the kitchen small appliance market from price competition to value competition, driven by new consumer demographics [28][33] - The performance of small household appliances is expected to rebound, with companies like Ecovacs and Roborock showing significant revenue growth in recent quarters [24][25] Group 3 - The report indicates that national subsidies are expected to continue without interruption, with additional funding batches scheduled for July and October 2025 [3][42] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with brands like Xiaomi and Gree engaging in price wars to maintain market share, particularly in the air conditioning segment [3][47] - The report suggests that companies with strong cash flow and high dividend rates, such as Gree Electric and Midea Group, are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing subsidy programs [4][5] Group 4 - The tariff situation poses risks and opportunities for companies engaged in overseas manufacturing, with firms like Ousheng Electric and Dechang benefiting from global supply chain restructuring [4][12] - The report highlights the importance of innovation in the small appliance sector, with AI hardware and smart home devices experiencing rapid growth [25][34] - Companies are encouraged to focus on high-end product offerings and global market expansion to mitigate the impacts of domestic competition and tariff challenges [4][50]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of focusing on innovative opportunities in categories, channels, and consumption scenarios, while also identifying undervalued opportunities in traditional consumption sectors [1] - The report suggests two main investment lines: first, leading companies with stable demand and strong risk resistance; second, companies actively developing new products, channels, and scenarios to capture high-growth markets [1] - The Z generation is becoming the main consumer force, accounting for 40% of consumption despite being less than 20% of the population, indicating significant consumption potential [1][2] Group 2 - New consumption is in a rapid development phase, with emerging categories and channels showing considerable market potential both in China and globally [2] - The characteristics of new consumption include youthfulness and internationalization, with geographical limitations gradually diminishing and a trend towards community and belonging emerging [2] - Investment opportunities in the food and beverage industry are concentrated in three areas: new consumption demands focusing on health, functionality, and personalization; channel transformation with the rise of new retail models; and opportunities arising from youth and internationalization [3]