美元指数

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ATFX:黄金承压下探,聚焦“超级周”风暴:美欧贸易协议落地,美联储决议成关键催化
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 10:13
周一金价跌至近三周最低,美欧贸易协定提振美元和风险情绪,与此同时,投资者等待本周美国方面的新线索。本周美联储利率决议、 PCE通胀与非农等重磅数据将集中登场,或成为金价短期方向的关键催化。 美元作为黄金主要对手盘,其反弹是近期金价承压的重要原因。上周美元指数自低位回升,受美国经济数据强劲支撑,如核心资本财订单 增长及贸易谈判乐观情绪提振。Zaner Metals副总裁Grant指出,美元走强令黄金对非美货币持有者成本上升,打压金价。不过,美元涨势 也面临制约:尽管短期走强,但上周整体录得一个月最大跌幅。美联储政策保持谨慎,加上特朗普持续呼吁降息,为金价提供潜在支撑。 ▲ATFX供图 黄金目前围绕3335美元震荡整理,技术面处于关键节点。图表显示,价格正测试自7月初以来的上升趋势线,同时临近3319–3325美元的首 个支撑区域(支撑区1)。若该区间与趋势线共振支撑有效,短线有望迎来技术反弹,目标关注3368–3374美元区域阻力。但若金价跌破趋 势线并有效失守支撑区1,下方或将快速指向3255–3261美元的次级支撑区(支撑区2),进一步考验中期多头结构。整体结构上,行情正 处于整理末端,短期方向预计将在本周 ...
ATFX策略师:美元指数W型结构愈发清晰,已形成头肩底的中部结构
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 09:48
本周四2:00,美联储将公布7月利率决议结果,主流预期其将维持4.25%~4.5%的基准利率不变。如果美联储真的 能够保持当前的高利率不变,美元相比其他货币的吸引力更高,美元升值的趋势就能够维持住。但是,美国总统 特朗普一直在批评美联储的暂停降息政策,他希望美联储能够在短时间内将基准利率从4.5%下降至1%左右。如果 美联储坚持不降息,美联储主席鲍威尔极有可能因为总部大楼的翻新资金超预算而在明年5月份任期届满之前离 职。综合来看,美联储下半年迅速降息的概率极高,这是美元指数的潜在重大利空。 ATFX汇市:全球主要国家与美国的关税协议落地后,市场情绪转向乐观,美元指数开启暴涨模式。本周一,美元 指数从最低97.46暴涨至最高98.66,本周二涨势延续,亚盘和欧盘时段,最高点已经冲击至99.03点,逼近100整数 关口。受美元指数上涨影响,黄金、欧元、日元等剧烈贬值,其中黄金和欧元表现最为明显,前者从3438美元跌 至3301美元,后者从1.1769跌至1.1525点。 国际市场对于关税的态度发生巨大变化。英国、日本、欧盟等全球主要经济体先后与美国达成贸易协议,并且协 议内容有利于美国。美国不仅可以从关税收入中弥 ...
【日报】欧盟让步承诺导致欧元下跌 国际金价震荡收跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 08:08
Group 1: International Gold Market - International gold price fluctuated and closed down at $3314.18 per ounce, with a high of $3345.35 and a low of $3301.47 during the trading day [1][9] - The COMEX gold futures closed at $3314.00 per ounce [9] - SPDR Gold ETF holdings stood at 956.23 tons [9][10] Group 2: Currency and Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 495.8 billion yuan, resulting in a net injection of 325.1 billion yuan after 170.7 billion yuan matured [2][10] - The onshore RMB closed at 7.1729 against the USD, down 50 basis points from the previous trading day, with the USD index rising by 1.02% to 98.6694 [15][2] Group 3: Macro Events and Trade Agreements - Trump announced that the U.S. will soon impose tariffs on pharmaceuticals, with global tariffs expected to be around 15-20% [2][17] - The EU and U.S. have established a general framework for a trade agreement, but specific details, including those related to alcoholic beverages, are still under negotiation [2][17] - The trade agreement includes a $750 billion energy purchase commitment and a $600 billion investment commitment from the EU, which may increase energy costs in Europe and accelerate capital outflow, negatively impacting the European economy [2][17] Group 4: Stock Market Performance - U.S. major stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow down 0.14% at 44,837.56 points, S&P 500 up 0.02% at 6,389.77 points, and Nasdaq up 0.33% at 21,178.58 points [16] - Chinese A-shares saw gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.12% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.44% [16]
美元指数DXY短线拉升20点,上破99关口,欧元兑美元EUR/USD短线走低20余点。
news flash· 2025-07-29 07:01
美元指数DXY短线拉升20点,上破99关口,欧元兑美元EUR/USD短线走低20余点。 美元指数 欧元/美元 ...
山海:美元指数较强,黄金的多头需要耐心等待!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 02:05
Group 1 - The current trend for gold is weak, but the long-term outlook remains bullish, with a focus on the 3330 resistance level for potential upward movement [1][2][3] - The recent decline in gold prices broke the support level at 3320, with a low of 3301, indicating a loss of confidence among bulls [2][3] - The domestic gold market continues to show weakness, with the Shanghai gold contract (2512) hitting a low of 770, but the long-term outlook remains bullish with targets of 790 for Shanghai gold and 785 for Rongtong gold [3] Group 2 - International silver experienced slight declines, with a low of 37.9, but the overall view remains bullish with a defensive level set at 37.5 [4] - The Shanghai silver contract (2512) was advised to go long at 9180, with a target of 9500, indicating a cautious but optimistic approach to the silver market [4] - International crude oil has successfully risen to 67, with previous long positions at 65 yielding profits, and the focus is on the 68 resistance level for potential further gains [4][5] Group 3 - Domestic fuel oil (2512) has shown good profits, reaching above 2930, and the focus is on the continuation of this upward trend, with potential targets around 3200 [5]
美元走强打压,纽约金价28日触及两周低点
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 00:54
纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2025年12月黄金期价28日下跌24.4美元,收于每盎司3370.9 美元,跌幅为0.72%。这是金价近期连续第四个交易日下跌,且当日盘中金价触及两周低点的3357美 元。 不过,桥水基金的创始人瑞·达利欧(Ray Dalio)日前在接受媒体采访时,继续对全球经济状况发出警 告,并建议投资者将约15%的投资组合配置到黄金或比特币等替代货币。 当天美元指数大幅上涨,美国国债收益率小幅上升,令金价承压。衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数 28日上涨1.02%,在汇市尾市收于98.634。 与此同时,市场整体风险偏好增强,也利空黄金。 消息面上,美国总统特朗普和欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩27日在位于英国苏格兰南艾尔郡的特恩贝里高尔 夫球场共同宣布,美欧达成新贸易协议。在与冯德莱恩举行非正式会晤后,特朗普透露了新协议的部分 细节,包括美国将对欧盟输美产品征收15%的关税、欧盟将对美增加6000亿美元投资及购买价值7500亿 美元的美国能源等。这一消息导致28日欧元大幅下跌,并提振美元指数上涨。 另外,美联储公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 会议于29日上午开始,并于30日下午结束。尽管鲍 ...
美元指数周一涨1%
news flash· 2025-07-28 19:18
周一(7月28日)纽约尾盘,ICE美元指数上涨1.02%,报98.642点,北京时间14:00打破日内稍早的窄幅 横盘震荡状态、并持续走高,日内交投区间为97.492-98.681点。 彭博美元指数涨0.78%,报1207.89点。 ...