Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market, particularly the information technology sector, shows stable performance with potential for continued upward movement due to strong earnings capabilities and low valuations despite recent gains [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of December 4, the Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131) saw a price increase of 0.7% [1][3]. - Strong performers among constituent stocks included UBTECH, Q Technology, and InnoCare, with respective gains of 2.47%, 1.5%, and 1.43% [1][3]. - Conversely, stocks such as Fufeng Group, China Software International, and Kingdee International experienced declines of 0.87%, 0.78%, and 0.46% [1][3]. Group 2: Company Developments - SMIC announced the completion of equipment installation for its 12-inch wafer fab expansion project by the end of November, with production expected to commence in Q1 2026 [1][3]. - Xiaomi Group launched a new generation of bionic robots on November 30, featuring self-developed AI models and achieving commercial mass production [1][3]. Group 3: Investment Insights - According to Everbright Securities, the overall profitability of the Hong Kong stock market is strong, with relatively scarce assets in internet, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1][3]. - Despite several months of increases, valuations remain low, indicating high cost-performance for long-term allocations [1][3]. - The report suggests focusing on technology growth and high-dividend "barbell" strategies, including sectors like self-controllable technology, semiconductors, high-end manufacturing, telecommunications, and public utilities [1][3]. Group 4: Index Composition - The Hong Kong Information Technology ETF (159131) passively tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Information C (HKD) Index, with top ten weighted stocks including SMIC, Xiaomi Group, Lenovo Group, SenseTime, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Kingdee International, Sunny Optical Technology, UBTECH, Meitu, and BYD Electronics [4].

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Bank of America predicts a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with two additional cuts expected in June and July 2026, bringing the final rate to a range of 3.00%-3.25% [1] - The expectation of a rate cut is influenced by a weak labor market and recent comments from policymakers suggesting an earlier-than-expected easing [1] - Most major global investment banks anticipate a 25 basis point cut next week, with only a few, such as Morgan Stanley and Standard Chartered, predicting rates will remain unchanged [1] Group 2: Silver Market Outlook - Spartan Capital Securities forecasts that silver prices could exceed $75 per ounce, driven by optimistic market sentiment and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [1] - Silver has seen a significant increase, more than doubling in price this year, and is expected to outperform gold in the upcoming trading sessions [1] Group 3: Japanese Yen and Bank of Japan Policy - Analysts from Mitsubishi UFJ highlight that the Japanese yen may strengthen further due to rising expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike, following comments from the bank's governor [1] - Barclays notes an increased likelihood of a rate hike in December rather than January, with a terminal rate forecast of 1.0% by January 2027 [2] - Analysts from OCBC Bank emphasize that while the yen is being supported by rate hike expectations, sustained recovery will require more decisive actions from the Bank of Japan [3] Group 4: AI Industry and Investment Trends - CITIC Securities identifies a 60% probability that OpenAI will face operational challenges and that investment in the AI sector will slow down, marking this as the baseline scenario [4] - The report suggests that discussions around an "AI bubble" are becoming unavoidable due to increasing investment sizes and unclear return rates [4] Group 5: New Energy Sector - Galaxy Securities indicates that the new energy sector is poised to open a second growth space, particularly as competitive pricing mechanisms are introduced [5] - The report suggests that integrating new energy with green hydrogen and computing capabilities could enhance efficient utilization [5] Group 6: Metal Industry Outlook - Huatai Securities predicts that supply-demand improvements will characterize the metal industry in 2026, with potential increases in LME gold prices above $4,800 per ounce [5] - The report anticipates a stronger performance for silver compared to gold, driven by global monetary easing and economic recovery [5]

12月2日，A股三大指数集体下跌，截至收盘，沪指跌0.42%报3897点，深证成指跌0.68%，创业板指跌0.69%。全市场成交额1.61万亿 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨幅 现价 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | -0.42% 3897.71 | -16.30 | | 399001 | 深证成指 | -0.68% 13056.70 | -90.02 | | 399006 创业板指 | | -0.69% 3071.15 | -21.35 | 元，较前一交易日缩量2822亿元，逾3700股下跌。 盘面上，福建再推12条惠台利民政策措施，福建板块爆发，平潭发展、睿能科技及福建高速等多股涨停；医药商业、SPD概念走高， 人民同泰、开开实业涨停；另一方面，能源金属概念普跌，天齐锂业领跌；影视院线、光伏设备、贵金属及教育等板块跌幅居前。 具体来看： 福建板块走高，嘉戎技术、招标股份20cm涨停，福建高速、海欣食品、太阳电缆等多股涨停，海峡创新涨超13%，恒锋信息涨超 12%。 消息面上，《福建省有序推进算力基础设施发展若干措施》印发。其中提到，优化算力空 ...

Core Viewpoint - The discussion around the "AI bubble" has become an unavoidable topic in the market due to the increasing scale of AI investments and ambiguous investment returns [1] Group 1: AI Industry Outlook - CITIC Securities analysts predict three potential scenarios for the AI industry over the next 12 months, with a 60% probability assigned to the baseline scenario where OpenAI faces operational challenges and investment pace in the AI sector slows down [1] - The other two hypothetical scenarios, which are considered low probability events (20% each), include significant breakthroughs in AI algorithms and a rebound in U.S. economic inflation leading to a bubble burst [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Given the high uncertainty surrounding short-term AI technological advancements and macroeconomic expectations, CITIC Securities advises investors to adopt a "wait and see" approach and consider "contrarian investing" strategies [1] - The recommendation includes gradually increasing the allocation weight towards the application side, specifically in internet and application software sectors [1]

香港聯合交易所有限公司與證券及期貨事務監察委員會對本申請版本的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦 不發表任何申明，並明確表示概不就因本申請版本全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何 損失承擔任何責任。 SHENZHEN HAN'S CNC TECHNOLOGY CO., LTD. 深圳市大族數控科技股份有限公司 的申請版本 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） 警 告 本申請版本乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司（「聯交所」）及證券及期貨事務監察委員會（「證監會」） 的要求而刊發，僅用作提供資料予香港公眾人士。 本申請版本為草擬本，其內所載資料並不完整，亦可能會作出重大變動。瀏覽本文件即表 示 閣下知悉、接納並深圳市大族數控科技股份有限公司（「本公司」，連同其子公司統稱「本集 團」）、其獨家保薦人、整體協調人、顧問或承銷團成員表示同意： 本公司招股章程根據香港法例第32章公司（清盤及雜項條文）條例送呈香港公司註冊處處長登記前， 不會向香港公眾人士提出要約或邀請。倘於適當時候向香港公眾人士提出要約或邀請，有意投 資者務請僅依據與香港公司註冊處處長登記的本公司招股章程作出投資決定；招股章程的文本 將 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities indicates that the external geopolitical situation has become complex, leading to a temporary pullback in the A-share market. It suggests that future fund allocations should maintain a balanced style while slightly favoring growth, with a focus on technology sector funds and consideration of cyclical and financial assets [1][2]. Equity Mixed Funds - In November, the manufacturing PMI rose to 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, supported by improved foreign trade conditions due to recent US-China economic negotiations [2]. - The Chinese stock market experienced a rapid decline in the penultimate week of November, followed by a recovery in the last week, indicating potential for stabilization and upward movement as a good opportunity for increasing holdings [2]. - The report emphasizes a focus on technology growth and low-position investment opportunities in large financial and consumer sectors, suggesting a structural investment opportunity in both value and growth styles for 2024 [2]. Bond Funds - Following a significant drop, the bond market may enter a phase of corrective rebound, although the extent of recovery may not exceed that of October. The macro environment provides support for bond pricing, allowing for participation in the rebound of certain underpriced bonds [3]. - The report recommends maintaining a "quick in and out" strategy to capitalize on structural opportunities, with a focus on flexible duration interest rate bonds and high liquidity credit bonds [3]. QDII and Commodity Funds - The report highlights that global sovereign credit differentiation and the weakening of the US dollar are prompting central banks to diversify reserves, enhancing the position of gold relative to the dollar and US Treasuries. It suggests a suitable allocation to gold ETFs for long-term and hedging investments [4]. - With the anticipated expansion of capital expenditure in the AI industry and technology companies, the report expects upward revisions in earnings forecasts for US stocks by 2026, recommending an overweight position while being cautious of short-term volatility risks [4]. Fund Recommendations - Recommended equity mixed funds include: Southern Quality Preferred, E Fund Environmental Protection Theme, Boda Huatai Preferred, GF Multi-Factor, Guotai Consumption Preferred, Huatai Baoxing Growth Preferred, and others [5]. - Recommended open-end bond funds include: Bank of China Pure Bond, Fortune Tianli Growth Bond, and China Europe Prosperity [6]. - Recommended QDII and commodity funds include: E Fund Gold ETF, Huaan Yifu Gold ETF, GF Nasdaq 100 ETF, and Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology ETF [6].

首先，海外扰动继续缓和。一方面，联储表态与经济数据共同推升降息预期。另一方面，全球AI产业 的亮眼进展也在持续缓解"AI泡沫"担忧。 中证A500创新指数编制方案，以国际通用的"行业均衡"方式编制。它挑选了各行业市值较大、流动性 较好的500只证券作为指数样本，成分股覆盖全部中证二级行业和97%中证三级行业。同时，几乎所有 三级行业龙头都入选样本，真正实现了"龙头荟萃"。与此同时，指数编制引入互联互通、ESG筛选等机 制，符合海内外机构投资者偏好，有利于吸引长期资金配置A股核心资产。 同时，国内环境继续为中国资产修复提供顺风。尤其是近期人民币汇率加速升值破7.08关口，汇率走强 与资本市场修复形成共振。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 天风证券指出，前期扰动市场的各类因素，近期已在逐步缓解。海外冲击下中国资产已调整出性价比， 随着美联储降息悲观预期、"AI泡沫"等压制全球风险偏好的关键因素迎来缓和，中国资产有望凭借自身 逻辑迎来修复。近期这一观点已在逐步验证： 往后看，随着前期扰动逐步过去，市场有望迈入一个新的阶段。后续，从日历效应角度出发，大势上的 焦点在于跨年行情能否如期启动。岁末年初是孕育躁动行情的重要窗口 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a slowdown in global merchandise trade growth as indicated by the World Trade Organization [4] - The U.S. online consumption during Black Friday reached a record high of $11.8 billion [4] - The European Central Bank President Lagarde stated that interest rates are at a reasonable level [4] - OPEC+ has agreed to maintain the overall oil production of the group unchanged until 2026 [4] - The proportion of single-person households in South Korea has surpassed 36% for the first time [4] - China's National Bureau of Statistics reported that the manufacturing PMI for November was 49.2%, while the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.5% [4] - The total social logistics volume in China for the first ten months reached 293.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [4] - The top 100 enterprises in China acquired land worth 847.8 billion yuan from January to November, marking a year-on-year growth of 14.1% [4] - New regulations for live-streaming e-commerce are expected to be introduced [4] - The AI industry in Beijing is projected to exceed 450 billion yuan this year [4] Economic Data - The Baltic Dry Index closed at 2560.00, up 3.23% [5] - The Nasdaq Index closed at 23365.69, up 0.65% [5] - The CME Bitcoin futures price was 91500.00, up 1.27% [5] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 47716.42, up 0.61% [5] - The ICE Brent Crude Oil price was 63.19, down 0.24% [5] - The London Gold price closed at 4218.55, up 1.48% [5] - The U.S. Dollar Index was at 99.44, down 0.11% [5] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25858.89, down 0.34% [5] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.60, up 0.34% [5] - The Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 2453.81, up 0.96% [5]

风风险险资资产产回回稳稳，，高高低低切切或或已已结结束束 22002255年年1111月月2244日日--22002255年年1111月月2288日日基基金金投投顾顾观观 本周中美股市止跌回稳，A股上涨但成交额周度回落，债市走弱，黄金上涨。具体来看，市场 有以下几个重要方面： 01 经过前周市场大幅调整后，本周A股市场明显回升，上证指数周上涨1.40%。但沪深两市日 均成交金额回落近1200亿元至1.72万亿附近。申万一级行业上，通信、电子、综合行业涨 幅居前，石油石化、银行、煤炭跌幅居前。本周国证价值上涨0.47%，国证成长上涨 2.81%，成长风格占优。恒生指数上涨2.53%，万得全A上涨2.90%，A股表现略强于港 股。 04 海外方面，在上周大幅下跌后，上周五至本周四，美股共4个交易日连收4阳，美元指数和美 债收益率下行。主要因素一是美联储官员接连发表有利于降息的讲话，12月降息的概率显著 提升，且其中可能还包含对下一任联储主席人选及其偏鸽态度的猜测，基本面数据暂无波 澜，风险资产本周皆有所缓和；二是中美领导人对话，释放积极信号。行业方面，工业材 料、消费医药、科技等板块反弹靠前，科技板块中市场交易谷 ...

12月1日，港股集体高开，恒生指数涨0.34%报25945.87点，恒生科技指数涨0.21%报5611.02点，国企指 数涨0.31%报9158.34点，红筹指数涨0.1%报4197.73点。 盘面上，大型科技股多数走高，阿里巴巴涨0.99%，腾讯控股涨0.33%，京东集团跌0.69%，小米集团涨 0.54%，网易涨1.31%，美团跌2.34%，快手涨0.66%，哔哩哔哩涨0.58%；有色金属板块多股高开，江西 铜业股份涨4.82%，中国铝业涨2.76%；创新药概念活跃，华昊中天医药涨超13%；黄金股普涨，中国白 银集团涨超14%；汽车股部分高开，赛力斯涨超4%。 企业新闻 华新手袋国际控股(02683.HK)：发布截至2025年9月30日止六个月业绩，收入4.32亿港元，同比增加 22.55%；利润4826.2万港元，同比增加78.88。 湾区发展(00737.HK)：10月，广深高速公路、广珠西线高速公路及沿江高速公路(深圳段)月总路费收入 分别为约2.08亿元、7978万元及5531.2万元，同比分别减少0.5%、6%及11%。 光荣控股(09998.HK)：获授一份约5650万新加坡元的建筑合约。 海 ...