Core Insights - The demand for efficient and convenient foreign exchange risk management tools among domestic enterprises is unprecedented due to the increasingly complex global economic environment and growing cross-border trade and investment activities [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of January to July 2025, 1,114 listed companies in China have engaged in futures and derivatives business, with over 80% (902 companies) involved in foreign exchange hedging, indicating a rapid increase in demand for foreign exchange risk management as China's economy becomes more globalized [1][2]. - Approximately 33% (364 companies) of companies have engaged in commodity futures hedging, and about 15% (162 companies) are involved in both commodity futures and foreign exchange derivatives, with manufacturing companies being the main force in hedging activities [2]. Group 2: Risk Management Evolution - Risk management capabilities have shifted from being a "bonus" to a "survival" necessity for enterprises, highlighting the importance of managing various risks during development [3]. - The use of futures and derivatives has become essential for modern enterprises to manage risks and achieve stable operations, reflecting a qualitative leap in risk management awareness among Chinese companies [3]. Group 3: Need for Comprehensive Risk Management - Companies are encouraged to integrate foreign exchange risk management into a comprehensive risk management system, moving away from conservative attitudes and avoiding reckless speculation [5]. - The cultivation of specialized talent in derivative risk management is crucial, as it requires a combination of knowledge in spot trading, financial theory, and risk control experience [5]. Group 4: Product Development and Market Growth - The introduction of foreign exchange futures products is expected to provide more options, improve the efficiency and transparency of foreign exchange risk management, and reduce hedging costs for enterprises [4]. - As of July 2025, the total capital in the futures market is approximately 1.82 trillion yuan, reflecting an 11.6% increase from the end of 2024, indicating a growing market and increasing demand from enterprises [6].

Core Insights - The 2025 China (Zhengzhou) International Futures Forum focused on risk management in the oilseed and oil market, highlighting the importance of canola oil and peanuts in China's agricultural landscape [1][2] - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) has opened its canola oil, canola meal, and peanut futures and options to foreign traders, with significant participation from international grain merchants [1] - The oilseed and oil futures have become essential risk management tools for industry chain enterprises, contributing to food security in China [1][2] Group 1 - Canola oil is the second-largest plant oil in terms of production and consumption in China, while peanuts have the highest self-sufficiency rate among major oilseed crops [1] - In the first seven months of 2023, the Dalian Commodity Exchange reported an average daily trading volume of 4.69 million contracts for oilseed and oil futures and options, a 21% increase year-on-year [1] - The average daily open interest reached 8.09 million contracts, reflecting a 33% year-on-year growth, with institutional clients accounting for nearly 70% of the positions [1] Group 2 - The oilseed and oil futures market has evolved beyond being a mere "safe haven" to becoming a stabilizing force for numerous enterprises in China [2] - Industry leaders suggest that in the face of increasing international policy and market uncertainties, enterprises should utilize hedging and financial tools to enhance operational resilience [2] - Risk management in the oilseed sector should closely monitor global production, import-export dynamics, tariff policy adjustments, and biodiesel industry policies [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the increasing importance of the futures market as a professional risk management platform amid profound adjustments in the international economic order and rising uncertainties in the global economy [1] - The futures market's service capabilities have been continuously enhanced, with a rich variety of products and tools introduced, including new futures contracts for polysilicon, casting aluminum alloy, pure benzene, and propylene, bringing the total number of listed commodity futures and options to 131 [1] - The participation of industrial clients in the futures market has significantly increased, with a year-on-year growth of 12.2% in average daily trading volume for industrial clients in 2024, and the total position of industrial clients in 48 major products equivalent to over 200 million tons in the spot market [1] Group 2 - The influence of futures prices has been continuously rising, with domestic application scenarios expanding, and various forms such as hedging, arbitrage, and rights trading being widely adopted [2] - The futures market is increasingly integrated into the national development agenda, supporting rural revitalization and ensuring food security through innovative models like "insurance + futures," while also serving the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry [2] - Among the listed commodity futures and options, 84 are industrial products, accounting for 64%, providing solid support for market participants in stabilizing operations and enhancing supply chain security amid increasing uncertainties [2]

Core Viewpoint - Jiufeng Energy (605090) reported a decline in net profit by 22.17% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with total revenue also decreasing by 7.45% compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 10.428 billion yuan, down from 11.267 billion yuan in the same period of 2024, representing a decrease of 7.45% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million yuan, a decline of 22.17% from 1.106 billion yuan in the previous year [1] - Gross margin improved to 10.77%, an increase of 12.01% year-on-year, while net margin decreased to 8.28%, down 16.31% [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 264 million yuan, accounting for 2.53% of revenue, which is an increase of 17.72% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share decreased to 1.35 yuan, down 24.16% from 1.78 yuan in the previous year [1] Key Financial Metrics - Cash flow from operating activities decreased by 40.48%, attributed to uncollected large sales receivables [4] - The company’s return on invested capital (ROIC) was 13.23%, indicating strong capital returns [5] - The company’s cash assets are reported to be healthy, with a debt ratio of 24.96% for interest-bearing liabilities [5] Changes in Financial Items - Significant changes in financial items included a 3148.27% increase in trading financial assets due to net subscriptions of financial products [3] - Accounts receivable increased by 116.46%, indicating outstanding large sales payments [3] - Inventory decreased by 40.90%, reflecting sales from previously accumulated stock [3] Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding Jiufeng Energy is Tianhong Multi-Asset Bond A, with a current scale of 1.701 billion yuan and a recent net value of 1.3178 [6]

Group 1 - The 2025 China (Zhengzhou) International Futures Forum emphasized the importance of risk management for industrial enterprises participating in the futures market [1] - Futures and derivatives are financial tools for managing market price volatility, but they come with inherent risks such as leverage and speculation, necessitating robust internal risk control systems [1] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges have issued guidelines stressing that companies should engage in futures trading legally and prudently, discouraging speculative trading [1] Group 2 - State-owned enterprises prioritize compliance in hedging activities, viewing internal control as essential for sustainable business operations [2] - Effective incentive mechanisms for futures trading should balance risk control and hedging effectiveness, ensuring alignment with core business objectives [2] - Companies must focus on risk management, compliance, and cost-effectiveness when constructing futures business incentive mechanisms [2] Group 3 - Effective risk control relies on information technology systems, which enhance efficiency and reduce operational risks [3] - Companies should view information technology as a strategic investment to build intelligent risk control platforms for stable hedging operations [3] - Disclosure of hedging activities by listed companies must be complete, timely, and proactive to mitigate negative perceptions of futures trading [3]

Group 1 - The 2025 China (Zhengzhou) International Futures Forum focused on risk management for industrial enterprises and the high-quality development of China's futures and derivatives market [1] - As of July 2025, 1,114 listed companies in the market have engaged in futures and derivatives business, with over 80% (902 companies) involved in foreign exchange hedging and about one-third (364 companies) in commodity futures hedging [1] - The manufacturing sector is the main force in hedging activities, covering industries such as chemicals and agricultural products, facilitating industrial upgrades and overseas expansion [1] Group 2 - Derivatives have become an essential tool in enterprise risk management, and companies are encouraged to establish professional risk management teams to enhance their application capabilities [2] - As of July 2025, the total capital in the futures market reached approximately 1.82 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.6% from the end of 2024 [2] - The number of listed companies announcing hedging activities increased significantly, with 1,383 companies reporting hedging announcements in the first seven months of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 15.7% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The concept of effective hedging has been established among listed companies, with a total hedging amount of approximately 3.4 trillion yuan announced by A-share listed companies in 2024 [1] Group 1: Hedging Strategies - Liu Wencai, founder of the Hedging Network, highlighted the initial doubts companies have regarding the effectiveness of futures hedging during normal price fluctuations and the increased capital pressure during extreme price movements [1] - In May 2024, influenced by market sentiment, international copper futures prices reached historical highs, prompting a copper company to use call options instead of futures for hedging [1] Group 2: Practical Application - The copper company closed its futures buy hedge position on May 30, 2024, and opened a position in copper options with a quantity of 1,000 tons at an exercise price of 84,000 yuan/ton, with an average premium of 1,552 yuan/ton [2] - On June 24, 2024, the copper options expired without being exercised, resulting in a premium loss of 1,552 yuan/ton, while the company bought back copper futures at a transaction price of 78,650 yuan/ton, achieving an estimated profit of approximately 3.5 million yuan through this strategy [2] - Liu Wencai emphasized that futures are excellent tools for industrial companies, and the combination of futures and options can significantly enhance profits [2]

Core Viewpoint - The development quality of listed companies is crucial for the stability of the capital market, and effective risk management is a key dimension of this quality [1][2]. Group 1: Risk Management Trends - In 2025, from January to July, 1,114 listed companies engaged in futures and derivatives business, with approximately 80% (902 companies) involved in foreign exchange hedging, 33% (364 companies) in commodity futures hedging, and 15% (162 companies) in both [1]. - Manufacturing companies are the main participants in the futures market for hedging, particularly in the chemical and agricultural processing sectors, facilitating industry upgrades and overseas expansion [2]. - There is a growing trend towards systematic, refined, and global risk management among listed companies, with an increasing awareness of proactive hedging [2]. Group 2: Role of Associations and Guidelines - The China Listed Companies Association plays a pivotal role in guiding companies in rational participation in hedging, enhancing their quality of development [3]. - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges have issued guidelines for the disclosure of hedging business information, leading to improved transparency and understanding of hedging effectiveness among investors [2][3]. Group 3: Recommendations for Companies - Companies are encouraged to establish a strong risk management awareness, avoid both conservative and speculative behaviors, and engage in regulated operations [4]. - It is essential for companies to develop a rigorous and efficient risk control system, including scientific decision-making and risk warning mechanisms [4]. - The cultivation of professional talent in derivatives risk management is critical, requiring a blend of knowledge in spot operations, financial theory, and risk control experience [4].

Core Viewpoint - The importance of establishing an internal control and risk management system for futures derivatives business in enterprises is emphasized, highlighting that internal control is essential for effective risk management [1][2]. Group 1: Internal Control and Risk Management - Internal control consists of policies, systems, and processes designed to ensure normal operations, reduce errors, and prevent asset loss [1]. - Risk management is a systematic approach to identify, assess, monitor, and control various risks faced by enterprises, aiming for sustainable development under different risk conditions [1]. - The risk management framework is built upon the internal control framework, making internal control a crucial part of risk management [1]. Group 2: Hedging and Operational Guidelines - The centralized operation and management of futures and derivatives trading should be conducted by the enterprise headquarters, ensuring separation of key roles such as decision-making, order placement, risk control, compliance supervision, and market research [1]. - The primary goal of engaging in futures market hedging is to mitigate market operational risks, necessitating the establishment of a supervision system and checks and balances for operational procedures [1]. - It is essential to standardize operations in decision-making, authorization, and trading processes to enhance the enterprise's risk resistance capabilities in the futures market [1]. Group 3: Trading Motivation and Behavior - The understanding of concepts influences trading motivations, which in turn determines trading behavior; poor trading motivations can amplify trading risks [2]. - Enterprises must adhere to the original intention of risk hedging, focusing on the physical market and avoiding speculation, while accepting imperfect hedging [2]. - Fine management of basis is necessary to optimize the hedging effect [2].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information is provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The listing of pure benzene futures/options allows caprolactam (CPL) enterprises to shift from being "passive price takers" to "active cost managers". By focusing on procurement price locking (going long on BZ), combined with rolling position transfers and basis point pricing, and using options to set a cost ceiling, profit fluctuations can be contained within an "operationally acceptable" range [2][3][24]. - The key is to closely align spot plans, futures positions, and profit accounting to form a complete, reviewable, auditable, and optimizable process loop, rather than "guessing price directions" [3][24]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs I. Pure Benzene Industry Chain and Pricing Logic - **Pure Benzene**: It is a basic organic raw material in the petrochemical industry chain with wide - ranging downstream applications. Its price fluctuations significantly impact the cost of CPL production enterprises. Supply is affected by refinery operating rates, import arbitrage windows, and crude oil trends. Demand is mainly from styrene (nearly 50%) and CPL (about 15% - 20%). Its price is highly correlated with crude oil, PX, and styrene, with obvious cyclical fluctuations and relatively limited basis fluctuations in monthly and quarterly dimensions, providing a basis for hedging [4]. - **Caprolactam (CPL)**: It is the core raw material for producing polyamide 6 (PA6). Raw material costs account for over 70% of CPL production costs, with pure benzene having the highest proportion. Its price is driven by pure benzene, energy costs, downstream demand, and industry supply - demand patterns, and there is a certain price - spread transmission relationship with pure benzene [7]. II. Price Linkage Analysis between Pure Benzene and CPL - **Historical Price - Spread Relationship**: Since 2020, the prices of pure benzene and CPL have been highly correlated, with correlation coefficients generally between 0.7 - 0.9, and the CPL - BZ price spread has weakened year by year. In 2025, the average price spread was only 3,201 yuan/ton [8]. - **Profit Transmission**: There are three types of profit transmission: upstream - driven (crude oil price increase leads to reduced CPL profits), downstream - demand - driven (strong demand for spinning and engineering plastics repairs CPL profits), and import - window - driven (opening or closing of the import arbitrage window affects CPL spot pricing) [10]. III. Hedging Strategy Design for Pure Benzene and CPL - **Hedging Principles**: The core goal of hedging is to lock in the enterprise's future production profits. Strategies include full - hedging (maximally hedges raw material price increase risks but loses potential benefits from price drops), proportional - hedging (balances risk hedging and profit elasticity), rolling - hedging (spreads the risk of entry timing but requires high risk - control and fund - management capabilities), and cross - hedging (using other related varieties, but may be ineffective when correlations are insufficient) [11][12][13][14]. - **Calculation of Hedging Lots**: The number of hedging lots = external pure benzene procurement volume ÷ contract unit × hedging ratio. There is a dynamic adjustment mechanism based on production and sales plans, price spreads between spot and futures, and market expectations [15]. - **Key Points of Strategy Implementation**: Select the main contract or near - month contracts with good liquidity, set a margin occupancy cap, and evaluate hedging effectiveness by comparing simulated profits with non - hedged profits [16]. IV. Case Calculation and Profit Scenarios - **Price - Spread Calculation**: Using the "CPL - pure benzene" price spread as an approximate measure of profit can guide hedging ratios and risk management. Different price - spread scenarios are simulated, and a profit warning line of 2,800 yuan/ton is set. Different hedging strategies are recommended based on different price - spread ranges [17][18][19][20]. - **Risk Situations and Strategy Adjustments**: Different risks such as spatial mismatch, time mismatch, excessive basis weakening or strengthening, and simultaneous fluctuations in nominal price spreads and basis are considered, and corresponding strategies are proposed [23].