Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Transport is focusing on the integration of clean energy into the transportation sector, aiming to reduce carbon emissions and enhance energy efficiency through various initiatives and infrastructure developments [1][2]. Group 1: Infrastructure Development - The Ministry plans to utilize land around highways, service areas, and monitoring centers for the development of clean energy projects, including the construction of near-zero carbon hubs and ports [1]. - There are over 890,000 kW of installed clean energy capacity in national transportation infrastructure, with 35,000 charging piles and approximately 51,000 charging parking spaces established [1]. - The electrification rate of national railways has reached 75.3%, and the proportion of new energy city buses has reached 77.6% [1]. Group 2: Policy and Strategic Goals - A guideline was issued in April 2023, aiming to establish a collaborative mechanism for the integration of transportation and energy by 2027, with a target for electricity to account for 10% of the transportation sector's final energy consumption [1][2]. - The Ministry emphasizes the importance of planning and policy coordination, expanding application scenarios, promoting new energy equipment, and increasing technological research and development [2]. Group 3: Emission Reduction Focus - The transportation sector is the third-largest source of carbon emissions in China, with road freight being the primary energy consumer and carbon emitter, relying heavily on fossil fuels [2]. - The transition to new energy vehicles is crucial, although replacing fuel vehicles entirely will take a significant amount of time [2][3]. - Future initiatives will include promoting clean energy projects in the electricity market and supporting the development of new energy heavy-duty trucks and clean energy vessels [3].

1、民营企业出口增长强劲 前4月京津冀区域出口创历史新高 京津冀一周观察【0514-0520】 北京日报近日消息，2025年前4个月，京津冀区域进出口总额1.43万亿元人民币，占同期我国进出口总 值的10.1％。其中，出口4454.6亿元，创历史同期新高，增长1.7％。 北京海关相关负责人介绍，2025年前4个月，北京是拉动京津冀区域出口增长的关键因素，占比较2024 年同期提高1.4个百分点至45％，主导地位进一步提高，上拉京津冀出口增速2.1个百分点，带动作用最 强。 京津冀出口呈现出民营企业出口增长强劲、新兴产业出口保持增长、自主品牌占比提升等特点。 数据显示，4月京津冀企业顶住压力交出亮眼答卷，出口1216.6亿元，创历史同期新高，增长8％，增幅 为2024年6月份以来新高。 2、2027年北京将全面实现5G规模化应用 5月16日，数智赋能·共享"京"彩——北京2025世界电信和信息社会日主题活动举办。市经信局、市通信 管理局等部门共同发布《北京市5G规模化应用"扬帆"行动升级方案（2025-2027年）》。据悉，目前本 市已建成5G基站超14万个，到2027年底将全面实现5G规模化应用，成为国内领先 ...

南通崇天纺纱有限公司去年投入2000多万元，建成了集光、储、充、可调节负荷于一体的光伏发电和储 能项目。企业负责人介绍，通过低谷时段充电、高峰时段放电，一天"两充两放"大幅缩减用电成本。与 此同时，电力供应优化还带动企业扩产增效，崇天纺纱的日产棉纱从80吨增加到110吨。 新华社南京5月20日电 题：江苏南通：微电网助力企业"绿色转身" 新华社记者柯高阳 初夏时节，阳光灿烂。走进位于江苏南通经济技术开发区的中天储能科技有限公司，屋顶光伏板在暖阳 照耀下熠熠生辉，将太阳能转化为"绿电"；厂房里，微电网管理平台实时调节"绿电"输出，为每一台设 备高效供能。 "我们的屋顶光伏除了满足自发自用，多余的'绿电'还能卖给电网创收。"中天储能科技有限公司总工程 师谭清武说。 微电网建设是推动园区节能增效、绿色低碳发展的重要路径之一。今年4月，江苏省出台政策进一步优 化工商业分时电价结构，鼓励工商业用户通过配置储能（蓄能）装置、开展综合能源管理等方式，降低 用电成本。南通市也于2024年出台（近）零碳试点建设方案，在制造业企业开展微电网试点示范建设， 对验收合格的企业予以资金补贴。 在系列利好政策带动下，一批高耗能企业、碳排 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of 5.20 CNY [6][12]. Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to declining electricity prices and impairment losses, but the sale of hydropower assets in 2025 is expected to reverse the performance trend. As a leader in green electricity, the company has a solid foundation for sustained growth due to ample project reserves [2][12]. Financial Summary - **Revenue**: - 2023A: 26,502 million CNY - 2024A: 29,717 million CNY (YOY +12.1%) - 2025E: 34,772 million CNY (YOY +17.0%) - 2026E: 37,586 million CNY (YOY +8.1%) - 2027E: 40,302 million CNY (YOY +7.2%) [4][13] - **Net Profit (attributable to parent)**: - 2023A: 7,174 million CNY - 2024A: 6,111 million CNY (YOY -14.8%) - 2025E: 7,523 million CNY (YOY +23.1%) - 2026E: 7,456 million CNY (YOY -0.9%) - 2027E: 7,782 million CNY (YOY +4.4%) [4][13] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: 0.25 CNY - 2024A: 0.21 CNY - 2025E: 0.26 CNY - 2026E: 0.26 CNY - 2027E: 0.27 CNY [4][12] - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2023A: 8.7% - 2024A: 7.0% - 2025E: 8.2% - 2026E: 7.7% - 2027E: 7.6% [4][13] Market Data - **Current Price**: 4.40 CNY - **Market Capitalization**: 125,922 million CNY - **52-week Price Range**: 4.05 - 4.93 CNY [7][12] Project Reserves - As of the end of 2024, the company has 16.44 GW of projects under construction, including 4.87 GW of wind power, 7.45 GW of solar power, and 3.60 GW of pumped storage. The company has also approved or filed for a total of 12.20 GW of new installations in 2024, indicating a strong foundation for future growth [12][13].

电子行业 2025 年 5 月 17 日 | 涨幅 TOP5 | 最新 | 周涨跌幅 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 精研科技 | 40.51 | 20.53 | 75.38 | | *ST 宇顺 | 13.19 | 20.46 | 36.97 | | 思泉新材 | 73.50 | 16.32 | 42.40 | | 利扬芯片 | 20.06 | 15.95 | 40.36 | | 迅捷兴 | 19.16 | 13.11 | 25.56 | | 跌幅 TOP5 | 最新 | 周涨跌幅 | 总市值 | | 电连技术 | 43.80 | -12.22 | 185.62 | | 长光华芯 | 55.11 | -11.04 | 97.15 | | 天承科技 | 66.98 | -10.43 | 56.23 | | 福光股份 | 35.31 | -8.64 | 56.69 | | 华特气体 | 48.88 | -6.90 | 58.84 | | 行业指数相对沪深 300 表现 | | | | | 7000.00 | | | | | 6000.00 | | | | | 5000.0 ...

钢铁、水泥和铝冶炼3个行业被纳入全国碳市场，三者都是高碳排产业，但排放源有所不同。钢铁和水 泥行业的碳排放主要来自生产制程（制造业中的一系列生产流程和环节），而铝冶炼行业的碳排放主要 来自电力使用。因此，铝冶炼的脱碳关键在于电力绿化，包括以绿电投资来推动绿电的开发和使用。 铝产业链的环节有铝矿开采、氧化铝生成、电解制铝、铝材加工等，其中电解环节的碳排放最多，约占 总量的70%。铝冶炼采用"冰晶石—氧化铝熔盐电解"工艺，涉及以氧化铝作为电解质，以碳素材料作为 电极。这个流程在直流电作用下发生电化学反应，氧化铝与碳阳极的还原反应产生二氧化碳，在阴极析 出铝液。以全球平均数来看，每吨铝阳极氧化过程产生的直接碳排放约为两吨CO2，其余则为电力相关 的间接碳排放。 我国电解铝的用电以传统煤电为主，各家厂商的电力碳排放虽会受到当地电网及其自备电力碳强度的影 响，但行业的平均电力相关碳强度约为12吨CO2 /吨铝，其中75%来自煤电排放。因此，煤电"换绿"是我 国电解铝脱碳的关键。 然而，绿电投资的资金金额大，回报周期长，收益不确定，开发风险高，民间资本的参与意愿不足。对 此，电解铝厂商可与电力产业共同探索可行投资模式，如 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that coal companies are expected to report strong earnings growth for 2021, with profit growth rates of 514%, -125% (turning profitable), 475%, and 62% for various companies, indicating a significant improvement in profitability despite a drop in coal prices due to regulatory measures [1] - The coal price has rebounded significantly, with Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal prices exceeding 1000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 30% increase from the bottom, driven by export restrictions from Indonesia and mandatory inventory replenishment by power plants [1] - The overall economic growth is expected to stabilize, enhancing demand support, which will benefit coal as a primary energy source, alongside a recovery in the coal-coke-steel industry chain [1] Group 2 - High dividends are anticipated to continue, leading to a long-term increase in coal sector valuations, as companies are expected to disclose new shareholder return plans after March 2022 [2] - The capital expenditure in the coal industry has peaked, and with the trend towards "carbon neutrality," capital spending is expected to decline, optimizing the relationship between capital expenditure, cash flow, financials, profits, and dividends [2] - The coal sector is currently at a valuation bottom, with undervalued stocks, and companies with high dividends and those transitioning to green energy are expected to see valuation increases [2]

Core Viewpoint - The coal prices have significantly increased since the beginning of the year, and the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has intervened to stabilize supply and prices, indicating that coal prices will operate at the upper limit of a reasonable range. The focus for coal stock investments should shift towards high dividends and transformation opportunities throughout the year [1]. Investment Highlights - Since the beginning of the year, coal prices have continued to rise, supported by fundamentals. The spot price of Qinhuangdao (Q5500) coal increased from 790 RMB/ton at the beginning of January to 1070 RMB/ton by the end of January. The rise is attributed to the rapid decline in port coal prices and the inversion of pit coal prices, leading to decreased enthusiasm among traders to pull coal to ports and low port inventories. The sentiment was further catalyzed by Indonesia's announcement to restrict coal exports. Demand has exceeded expectations due to strong electricity consumption and power plant restocking, with economic growth policies expected to further strengthen demand, providing effective support for coal prices [2]. - The NDRC has taken measures to consolidate supply and price stability, indicating that coal prices will operate at the upper limit of a reasonable range. A meeting held on February 9 emphasized that coal companies should resume normal production and supply, strictly implement supply and price stabilization policies, and regulate pricing behavior. It is believed that the rise in coal prices may pause, but there is no risk of a rapid short-term decline due to factors such as increased demand for coal and electricity from a cold spring and economic growth, as well as the increase in Indonesia's benchmark coal price to 188.4 USD/ton, which translates to a domestic cost of over 1237 RMB/ton, exceeding domestic coal prices, limiting the increase in imported coal supply [2]. Investment Strategy - In 2022, investments in coal stocks should not overly focus on coal prices but rather seek alpha opportunities, as high dividends and transformation present greater potential for increases. Following the volatility in the coal market in 2021, the government has sufficient means to maintain price stability. The significant rise in prices leading to high earnings elasticity is unlikely to occur in 2022. However, the government shows tolerance for relatively high coal prices, which are expected to fluctuate at high levels. The long-term contract prices have significantly increased year-on-year, leading to an elevation in corporate profit levels. Value discovery will be the main theme for coal stock investments in 2022. The long-term contract price for Qinhuangdao Q5500 coal in February 2022 was 725 RMB/ton, and under the new mechanism, high long-term contract prices are expected to be maintained, leading to sustainable optimization in capital expenditure, cash flow, finance, profit, and dividends. New dividend plans are anticipated following the disclosure of annual reports by coal companies in March 2022. Additionally, the government encourages the construction of photovoltaic projects to address mining subsidence, suggesting that some coal companies may leverage local resources to acquire green energy projects, accelerating transformation [3]. Investment Recommendations - The coal sector is currently at a projected bottom, with valuations significantly low. With the increase in benchmark long-term contract prices for thermal coal and expected high prices for coking coal, high-quality resource companies possess long-term value, while transformation companies have growth potential. The sector is set to see valuation increases. The main investment themes for the year include high dividends, green energy transformation, and growth-oriented coal chemical projects. Recommended companies include China Shenhua, Jingyuan Coal Electricity, Energy Investment, Yanzhou Coal, China Xuyang Group, and Baofeng Energy. Additionally, high-quality resource companies recommended are Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, Huaibei Mining, China Coal Energy, Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, Lanhua Sci-Tech, Panjiang Coal and Electricity, and Pingdingshan Coal [4].

Core Viewpoint - The decline in coal prices is in line with expectations, and the sector shows strong resilience, indicating that there is no need for concern regarding coal prices. The off-peak season may not be as weak as anticipated, and investment in coal stocks should focus on alpha opportunities rather than beta, with high dividends and transformation prospects being key themes throughout the year [1][3]. Investment Highlights - The significant drop in the CCTD reference price for Q5500 coal to 900 RMB/ton from 1020 RMB/ton reflects a decrease of 120 RMB, aligning with the government's price control measures. The coal sector experienced a slight adjustment, with CS coal down by 1.25%, showing relative resilience compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [2]. - The government’s control over coal prices, alongside measures such as increased production and port adjustments, is expected to stabilize the coal market. Anticipation of the upcoming Two Sessions and the 20th National Congress later in the year suggests that supply capacity will be maintained, supporting coal prices. Additionally, the benchmark price for Indonesian thermal coal rose to 188.4 USD/ton, which translates to a domestic cost exceeding 1237 RMB/ton, likely increasing demand for domestic coal [2]. - In 2022, investment in coal stocks should not overly focus on coal prices and government controls. Instead, identifying alpha opportunities through high dividends and transformation potential is crucial. The long-term contract price for Qinhuangdao Q5500 coal in February was 725 RMB/ton, indicating a significant year-on-year increase. This suggests a sustainable optimization of capital expenditure, cash flow, and dividends, with new dividend plans expected following the annual reports in March [3]. Investment Recommendations - The coal sector is currently at a perceived bottom with low valuations. With the expected increase in long-term contract prices for thermal coal and coking coal, high-quality resource companies are seen as having long-term value, while transformation-focused companies offer growth potential. The sector is poised for valuation improvement [4]. - Recommended investment themes include high dividends, green energy transformation, and growth-oriented coal chemical companies. Specific recommendations include China Shenhua, Jingyuan Coal Electricity, Electric Power Investment Energy, Yanzhou Coal, China Xuyang Group, and Baofeng Energy. Additionally, high-quality resource companies such as Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, Huaibei Mining, China Coal Energy, Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, Lanhua Sci-Tech, Panjiang Coal, and Pingmei Shenma are also recommended [4].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 18 年 月 日 电力 重视增配电力板块，广东出台 136 号文承接细则 本周行情回顾：本周（5.12-5.16）上证指数报收 3367.46 点，上涨 0.76%，沪深 300 指数报收 3889.09 点，上涨 1.12%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2912.72 点，上涨 0.29%，跑输沪深 300 指数 0.82pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜 第 18 位。 本周行业观点： 投资建议：广东发布 136 号文承接细则，聚焦增量项目，明确 90%机制电量比 例上限与长周期执行期限。相比广东，山东存量项目保守，增量项目细化竞争， 攻守兼备，推荐关注存量项目占比较高&短期收益确定性更优、以及中长期更具降 本增效优势的绿电运营商。随着电力市场化不断加深，辅助服务需求有望进一步 提升，建议重视灵活调节电源配置价值。建议关注重点火电标的：华电国际、华能 国际、大唐发电、建投能源；以及火电改造设备龙头：青达环保。推荐布局低估绿 电板块，推荐优先关注低估港股绿电以及风电运营商，建议关注新天绿色能源（H）、 龙源电力（H）、中闽能源、福 ...