波兰央行委员LITWINIUK表示，今年 利率仍有可能再降100到125个基点。 ...

波兰央行委员LITWINIUK：今年利率仍有可能再降100到125个基点。 ...

金十数据6月5日讯，Peel Hunt高级经济学家Kallum Pickering表示，欧洲央行政策制定者得出结论，美 国对全球贸易的冲击将对欧元区产生反通胀的净影响，这揭示了关于欧洲央行反应机制的一个重要细 节，即如果经济增长的下行风险开始显现，欧洲央行可能会更积极地放宽货币政策。几乎没有出现任何 通胀上行风险的迹象，表明政策制定者对实现2%的通胀目标并保持其可持续性充满信心，这意味着欧 洲央行至少可以将利率下调至中性水平甚至更低，但问题在于中性水平在哪里。 经济学家：欧洲央行可将利率下调至中性水平或更低 ...

6月5日，欧洲央行宣布将三大关键利率下调25个基点。 ...

Group 1 - The Australian housing market experienced a brief decline of 0.4% from November 2024 to January 2025, attributed to interest rate hikes and cost of living pressures, but rebounded in February 2025 following the first interest rate cut in over two years [1][3] - In the first five months of 2025, national residential prices increased by 1.7%, with all capital cities showing at least a 0.4% rise in May, including Sydney (0.5%), Melbourne (0.4%), Brisbane (0.6%), and Perth (0.7%) [3][5] - The current housing market is characterized by a mix of positive and negative factors, with affordability issues and high household debt being the main concerns, while interest rate cuts, improved buyer confidence, and insufficient housing supply are seen as positive influences [5][6] Group 2 - Melbourne's current housing prices are still 4.5% lower than their peak in March 2022, while Sydney's prices are only 0.3% below their high in September 2024, indicating a significant price gap between the two cities not seen since 1999 [5][6] - The CEO of McGrath Real Estate noted that buyer confidence is recovering, and if further interest rate cuts occur in 2025, it could significantly boost market sentiment [6] - Market conditions are expected to normalize, with predictions of a 2.5% to 5% increase in properties priced below 2 million AUD by Christmas, reflecting a gradual return of market confidence [6][7]

一系列重要的活动发生在世界各地的金融市场。从美国联邦储备委员会的减息，到国内股市的分歧波动，以及最近一段时间以来的行情走势，包括了最近一 段时间以来，从美国联邦储备银行的减息，到国内股市的剧烈波动，以及最近一段时间以来的行情走势，就像是一场暗流汹涌的暴风雨，不断地冲击着每个 投资人的神经。 一、美联储调低利率的预测：关税将成为主要变数 五月二十一日，整个A股都是一片"冰火两重天"。上海股市小幅上扬0.21%，深成指、创业板指分别上扬0.44%、0.83%，不过，两市跌幅达3600多支，而涨 的却只有1555支，这种"只赚不到钱"的局面令投资人大呼"看不懂"。 北证50指数打破了纪录高点，表明了投资者偏爱小型股票。在行业中，黄金，固态电池，煤炭等周期类股票走强，而前期热点的科技和军工等股票却出现了 明显的回落。技术方面，上海股市在3400点上方遇到了阻力，30分钟钟的均线形成了一个顶部偏离的迹象，预示着大盘将面临进一步的回调。 更深层次的冲突源于政府和市场之间的冲突。中国中央银行于五月七日同时下调利率，并对货币政策进行了调整，共投放了超过一万亿的流动资金，旨在通 过减少资金的使用来解决国内需求的短缺以及住房市场 ...

Core Insights - In April 2025, personal income in the U.S. increased by $210.1 billion, representing a month-over-month growth of 0.8% [1][4] - Disposable personal income (DPI) also rose by $189.4 billion, reflecting a 0.8% increase, while personal consumption expenditures (PCE) saw a smaller increase of $47.8 billion, or 0.2% [1][4] - The total personal expenditures, which include PCE, personal interest payments, and current transfer payments, increased by $48.6 billion in April [1] Personal Savings and Rates - Personal savings in April amounted to $1.12 trillion, with a personal savings rate of 4.9%, indicating the percentage of DPI that is saved [3] - The increase in personal income was primarily driven by government social welfare and wage increases [3][7] Consumer Spending Trends - Service expenditures rose by $55.8 billion, partially offsetting a $8 billion decrease in goods spending [3] - The PCE price index increased by 0.1% in April, with the core PCE price index also rising by 0.1% [7] - Year-over-year, the PCE price index increased by 2.1%, while the core PCE price index rose by 2.5% [7] Economic Outlook - Economists suggest that aggressive trade policies by the U.S. government may significantly hinder economic growth and elevate inflation [7] - Market participants anticipate that the Federal Reserve will lower the target interest rate for short-term borrowing in September, with another potential cut in December [7]

智通财经5月29日电，美联储官员GOOLSBEE表示，如果没有关税的话，利率有可能下调。 ...

股指期货市场周报 华金期货 研究院 2025/5/26 一、股指期货宏观及市场展望 • 周度宏观及消息面： • 国内消息：六大国有银行集体下调利率，一年期定存首次跌破1%，活期利率仅0.05%。近一周 以来，十余家中小银行紧随大行降息步伐，将最高定存利率压至1.7%以下。 3 • 海外消息：美国总统特朗普威胁称，将自6月1日起对进口自欧盟的商品征收50%关税，因为欧 盟在贸易方面"很难打交道"。 • 上周沪深300指数冲高回落，成交下降。资金方面，近5个交易日主力资金净流出1282亿元，融 资资金下降56亿元；宏观层面，国内经济弱势企稳，财政政策、货币政策保持宽松；风险方面， 关注关税政策、海外经济通胀、地缘政治冲突及美联储相关政策。 • 技术上，沪深300指数位于40均线上方，短期成交略降，中长期估值位于中低位。观点方面，短 期指数震荡，投资者逢低做多。 二、股指期货行情及基差 3 股指期货 上周收盘 本周收盘 周涨幅 周成交量 周持仓量 成交量/持仓量 IF2506 3846 3846.2 0.01% 288876 152612 1.89 IH2506 2695.2 2693 -0.08% 150660 ...

菲律宾央行行长：考虑再降两次利率，但降息不一定是连续的。 ...