Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating was provided in the report. 2. Core View The fundamentals of the lithium carbonate market remain weak, but there is still uncertainty in supply - side fluctuations. It is expected that the short - term lithium carbonate price will fluctuate widely. It is recommended to short on rebounds [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content Market Data - **Futures Prices**: On August 4, 2025, the closing price of the near - month contract was 69,200 yuan/ton (+700), the closing price of the continuous - one contract was 68,920 yuan/ton (unchanged), the closing price of the continuous - two contract was 69,040 yuan/ton (-200), and the closing price of the continuous - three contract was 69,040 yuan/ton (-200) [1]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of the active lithium carbonate futures contract was 247,898 lots (-92,772), and the open interest was 207,770 lots (-8,333) [1]. - **Inventory**: The registered warehouse receipt was 12,603 tons (+5,998), and the social inventory decreased. The inventories of smelters and other sectors decreased, while the downstream inventory was tight [1]. - **Price Spreads**: The spread between the near - month and continuous - one contracts was 280 yuan/ton (+700), the spread between the continuous - one and continuous - two contracts was - 120 yuan/ton (+200), and the spread between the continuous - two and continuous - three contracts was 0 yuan/ton (unchanged) [1]. - **Spot Prices**: The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate was 71,350 yuan/ton (unchanged), the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 69,250 yuan/ton (unchanged), and the spread between them was 2,100 yuan/ton (unchanged) [1]. Cost and Supply - **Cost**: The price of spodumene concentrate increased to 760 US dollars/ton (+5), while the price of mica remained flat [1]. - **Supply**: The production of lithium carbonate decreased last week [1]. Downstream Demand - **Last Week**: The production of lithium iron phosphate decreased, while the production of ternary materials increased. The production of power batteries decreased [1]. - **August**: The production of lithium carbonate decreased, while the production of lithium hydroxide increased. The production of energy - storage batteries increased [1]. Terminal Demand - **New Energy Vehicles**: In July, the production and sales of new energy vehicles continued to grow year - on - year but declined month - on - month. The wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles by manufacturers were 1.18 million, a year - on - year increase of 25% and a month - on - month decrease of 4% [1]. - **3C Products**: The shipment volume was average [1].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Absolute price: Neutral [4] - Option strategy: Sell wide straddle [5] Core Viewpoints - The current domestic lead ore supply is relatively tight, and smelters' willingness to purchase high-silver ore is also low, resulting in a situation of weak supply and demand. However, the energy storage battery sector is performing outstandingly, with the operating rates of related enterprises generally reaching 80 - 100% due to the support of demand from mobile base stations and data centers. The industry is optimistic about the second half of the year, and some enterprises are preparing for capacity expansion. The lead price is currently treated with a volatile mindset, with the Pb2506 contract ranging from 16,500 yuan/ton to 17,050 yuan/ton [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market News and Important Data Spot - On July 31, 2025, the LME lead spot premium was -36.37 dollars/ton. The SMM1 lead ingot spot price decreased by 75 yuan/ton to 16,675 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The SMM Shanghai lead spot premium remained unchanged at -25.00 yuan/ton. The SMM Guangdong lead spot price decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 16,750 yuan/ton, the SMM Henan lead spot price decreased by 75 yuan/ton to 16,675 yuan/ton, and the SMM Tianjin lead spot premium decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 16,675 yuan/ton. The lead refined-scrap price difference remained unchanged at 25 yuan/ton, and the prices of waste electric vehicle batteries, waste white shells, and waste black shells remained unchanged at 10,250 yuan/ton, 10,175 yuan/ton, and 10,525 yuan/ton respectively [1] Futures - On July 31, 2025, the main contract of Shanghai lead opened at 16,885 yuan/ton and closed at 16,735 yuan/ton, a decrease of 155 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The trading volume for the whole trading day was 53,359 lots, an increase of 16,041 lots compared to the previous trading day, and the position was 72,631 lots, an increase of 5,890 lots compared to the previous trading day. The intraday price fluctuated, with the highest point reaching 16,905 yuan/ton and the lowest point reaching 16,710 yuan/ton. In the night session, the main contract of Shanghai lead opened at 16,705 yuan/ton and closed at 16,650 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.95% compared to the afternoon closing price of the previous day. The SMM1 lead price decreased by 75 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. In Henan, suppliers quoted flat to the SMM1 lead average price or at a discount of 150 - 130 yuan/ton to the SHFE lead 2509 contract. In Hunan, smelters' quoted premiums continued to decline, with some delivery brand smelters being negotiated to a discount of 30 - 0 yuan/ton, and traders quoted at a discount of 120 yuan/ton to the SHFE lead 2509 contract. As the lead price fluctuated weakly, some smelters were reluctant to sell at low prices and maintained firm quotes, while others lowered premiums to sell. Downstream enterprises purchased on demand at low prices, and the spot market trading improved, but those with firm prices had difficulty in making transactions [2] Inventory - On July 31, 2025, the total SMM lead ingot inventory was 73,000 tons, an increase of 1,300 tons compared to the same period last week. As of July 31, the LME lead inventory was 276,500 tons, an increase of 125 tons compared to the previous trading day [3]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of Jingmen Yiwei Comprehensive Energy Service Co., Ltd. marks a significant expansion for Yiwei Lithium Energy in Hubei Jingmen, focusing on energy storage and renewable energy services [2][3]. Company Establishment - Jingmen Yiwei Comprehensive Energy Service Co., Ltd. was registered on July 23, with a registered capital of 5 million yuan, and its business scope includes energy storage technology services, energy management services, battery leasing, and power generation services [2][4]. - The company is wholly owned by Hubei Yiwei Power Co., Ltd., which is a subsidiary of Yiwei Lithium Energy, indicating further investment in the region [3]. Production Capacity and Expansion - Yiwei's Jingmen base has rapidly expanded its production capacity from 3 GWh to 169 GWh, with a projected output value exceeding 40 billion yuan in 2024 [5]. - The largest energy storage battery factory in China is under construction at this site, with a total investment of 10.8 billion yuan and a planned annual capacity of 60 GWh [6]. - The total production capacity of the Jingmen base is expected to reach 212 GWh, with an annual output value aiming for 100 billion yuan [7]. Product Development - The MB56 battery, a large-capacity energy storage battery, has been recognized as the first mass-produced 600Ah+ large cell in the industry [8]. - Yiwei Lithium Energy's MB56 battery has received certification under the new national standard for power storage lithium-ion batteries [9]. Market Performance - In 2024, Yiwei Lithium Energy is projected to achieve a revenue of 19.027 billion yuan from energy storage batteries, marking a year-on-year growth of 16.44% [11]. - The company has reported that energy storage battery shipments exceeded those of power batteries in Q1 2025, reaching 12.67 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 80.54% [12]. International Expansion - Yiwei Lithium Energy is planning overseas energy storage projects, including a new battery project in Malaysia with an investment of up to 8.654 billion yuan [13]. - The Malaysian factory is expected to have a capacity of 10 GWh to 15 GWh and aims to support global deliveries by the end of the year [14]. Financial Strategy - Yiwei Lithium Energy is seeking a secondary listing in Hong Kong, which could significantly boost funding for its overseas projects and accelerate its global strategy [15].

Group 1: Market Overview and Valuation - As of June 25, 2025, the lithium battery index has increased by 2.25% since the beginning of the year, slightly outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.61 percentage points. The solid-state battery index has surged by 24.86%, significantly exceeding the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 24.22 percentage points [15][16] - The overall PE (TTM) of the lithium battery sector is 24 times, indicating that the sector is still at a historical low valuation after more than three years of deep adjustments [16] Group 2: Lithium Battery Downstream Demand - The global new energy vehicle (NEV) market continues to grow, with China being the largest driving force. From January to May 2025, China's NEV sales reached 5.608 million units, a year-on-year increase of 44%, with domestic sales accounting for 84.8% [20][29] - The penetration rate of NEVs in China reached 44% in the first five months of 2025, up 3 percentage points from 2024, indicating a strong momentum in electric vehicle adoption [22] - NEV exports from China are expected to maintain growth, with 855,000 units exported from January to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 64.6%, making NEVs a key driver of automotive exports [29] Group 3: Industry Profitability and Marginal Improvement - The lithium battery industry is expected to see a continued marginal improvement in profitability, with net profit for 2024 projected to decline at a slower rate. In Q1 2025, net profit increased by 27.44% year-on-year and 63.06% quarter-on-quarter [61][64] - Inventory levels have bottomed out and are recovering, with total inventory reaching 216.29 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2025, a 10.07% increase from the end of 2024 [69] - Capital expenditures have continued to decrease, reflecting a slowdown in capacity expansion due to temporary overcapacity in the industry [73] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Industrialization - Solid-state batteries are gaining traction due to their high energy density and safety advantages. They are expected to become the next generation of lithium batteries, with several major automakers planning to introduce solid-state battery vehicles by 2027 [80][82] - The industrialization process of solid-state batteries is accelerating, with semi-solid batteries already in mass production and full solid-state batteries expected to start small-scale production around 2027 [80][82] - The demand for solid-state batteries is being driven by the growth of new energy vehicles and low-altitude economy applications, creating structural demand in the materials and equipment sectors [80][82] Group 5: Investment Strategy - It is recommended to focus on leading companies in the battery and materials sectors that are experiencing fundamental improvements, particularly those with technological and capacity advantages in solid-state battery core materials and equipment [6][28] - Key investment targets include companies such as CATL, EVE Energy, and others that are well-positioned to benefit from the solid-state battery transition [6][28]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth and expansion of Tangshan Guoxuan Battery Co., Ltd. in the lithium-ion battery sector, particularly focusing on its global market strategy and significant projects in the energy storage and heavy-duty electric vehicle battery segments [6][12][16]. Group 1: Company Overview - Tangshan Guoxuan Battery Co., Ltd. was established in 2016 and primarily engages in the research, production, and sales of lithium-ion power batteries [5]. - The company has evolved from supplying 90% of its products to Huawei to expanding its global footprint, with production capacity increasing from 1GWh to 20GWh by 2024 [6]. - The company has successfully exported its products to over 40 countries and regions, with a focus on lithium iron phosphate battery modules [6][7]. Group 2: Production Capacity and Projects - The company is currently constructing a 10GWh new energy heavy-duty truck battery project, which is expected to begin trial production in October 2025 [12][13]. - Upon completion, the total production capacity will reach 30GWh, making it a significant battery research and production base in northern China [3][12]. - The project has a total investment of 3.5 billion yuan and covers an area of 159.2 acres [2]. Group 3: Market Performance and Growth - In 2023, the company's energy storage battery shipments exceeded 10GWh, marking a year-on-year growth of approximately 100%, ranking seventh globally [6]. - The company has secured multiple large-scale energy storage contracts, including a collaboration with an Australian developer for over 4GWh and agreements with U.S. clients totaling 2GWh [7]. - The heavy-duty electric truck market in China is experiencing explosive growth, with a year-on-year sales increase of 195% in the first five months of 2025 [13][14]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - The company has introduced innovative battery solutions, such as the G-series heavy-duty truck standard box, which features a single package capacity of 116kWh and a 30% improvement in charging efficiency [15][16]. - The 314Ah cell remains a core product for the company, with over 6GWh of projects in construction and intention orders [10][11].

Industry Investment Rating - Absolute price: Neutral [4] Core View - The domestic lead ore supply is relatively tight, and smelters have low willingness to purchase high-silver ores. The market is in a situation of weak supply and demand. However, the energy storage battery sector is performing well, with the operating rates of relevant enterprises generally reaching 80 - 100% due to the support of demands from mobile base stations and data centers. The industry is optimistic about the second half of the year, and some enterprises are preparing for capacity expansion. Currently, the lead price should be treated with a volatile perspective, and the Pb2507 contract is expected to trade between 16,300 yuan/ton and 17,150 yuan/ton [4] Summary by Directory Market News and Important Data Spot Market - On June 19, 2025, the LME lead spot premium was -31.32 dollars/ton. The SMM1 lead ingot spot price increased by 75 yuan/ton to 16,775 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The SMM Shanghai lead spot premium changed by 25 yuan/ton to -25.00 yuan/ton, the SMM Guangdong lead spot price changed by 75 yuan/ton to 16,800 yuan/ton, the SMM Henan lead spot price changed by 100 yuan/ton to 16,775 yuan/ton, and the SMM Tianjin lead spot premium changed by 100 yuan/ton to 16,825 yuan/ton. The lead concentrate-scrap price difference remained unchanged at -50 yuan/ton, the price of scrap electric vehicle batteries increased by 25 yuan/ton to 10,225 yuan/ton, the price of scrap white shells increased by 25 yuan/ton to 10,125 yuan/ton, and the price of scrap black shells remained unchanged at 10,450 yuan/ton [1] Futures Market - On June 19, 2025, the main Shanghai lead futures contract opened at 16,850 yuan/ton and closed at 16,925 yuan/ton, up 115 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 37,967 lots, an increase of 1,410 lots from the previous trading day, and the position was 33,907 lots, a decrease of 6,147 lots. During the day, the price fluctuated, with the highest point reaching 16,965 yuan/ton and the lowest point at 16,760 yuan/ton. In the night session, the main Shanghai lead futures contract opened at 16,920 yuan/ton and closed at 16,910 yuan/ton, up 0.18% from the afternoon close [2] Inventory - On June 19, 2025, the total SMM lead ingot inventory was 56,000 tons, a decrease of 400 tons from the same period last week. As of June 19, the LME lead inventory was 287,425 tons, a decrease of 2,050 tons from the previous trading day [3] Strategy - Treat the lead price with a volatile perspective, and the Pb2507 contract is expected to trade between 16,300 yuan/ton and 17,150 yuan/ton [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development and ambitions of Chuangneng New Energy, highlighting its entry into the electric vehicle manufacturing sector and its strong position in the energy storage battery market [2][10]. Group 1: Company Overview - Chuangneng New Energy was established in 2021 with a registered capital of 4.12 billion yuan, focusing on power batteries and energy storage [5]. - The company has set up production bases in Wuhan, Xiaogan, Yichang, and Inner Mongolia, with a planned total production capacity exceeding 350 GWh [5]. - In 2024, the company secured over 30 GWh in energy storage orders and ranked 14th in domestic installed capacity with nearly 1.5 GWh from January to May 2025 [5][6]. Group 2: Market Position and Growth - Chuangneng New Energy ranked 7th in global energy storage battery shipments in 2024 and has continued to win large-scale energy storage projects in 2025, with new orders exceeding 40 GWh [6]. - The company has established partnerships with major energy companies both domestically and internationally, enhancing its market presence [6][8]. Group 3: Product Development - The company launched a new 472Ah large-capacity energy storage battery in March 2025, which boasts a nominal energy capacity of 1510.4 Wh, a 50% increase compared to its previous 314Ah battery [6]. - The new battery is expected to enter mass production by the end of June 2025, with a production capacity exceeding 80 GWh [7]. Group 4: Strategic Advantages - Chuangneng New Energy is backed by Hengxin Automotive Group, which provides significant financial resources, sales channels, and battery production capacity, positioning the company favorably in the competitive electric vehicle market [10][12]. - The founder, Dai Deming, has a strong background in various industries, including automotive distribution, which further strengthens the company's operational capabilities [12]. Group 5: Future Plans - The company aims to independently develop its electric vehicle project, potentially becoming the second company after BYD to achieve complete self-supply of batteries [13].

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively engaging in various projects to enhance its operational efficiency and profitability, despite facing challenges in the market for its main products [1][2]. Group 1: Company Announcements - The company announced an earnings briefing on June 12, 2025, to discuss its financial performance and strategic initiatives [1]. - The company clarified that there are no major restructuring plans involving Yihua Group, and it is focused on a specific stock issuance to acquire a stake in Hubei Hongyi Chemical Technology Co., Ltd. [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 613 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -9.95 million yuan, down 106.01% [2]. - The company's debt ratio stands at 41.07%, with investment income of 89.86 million yuan and financial expenses of -11.99 million yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 4.74% [2]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing 1.366 billion yuan in upgrading its soda ash production facilities to reduce costs, which is currently in trial production [1]. - A 199 million yuan investment is being made in a thermal system upgrade project, expected to save approximately 11 million yuan annually once fully operational [1]. - The company is developing a 50,000-ton battery-grade sodium carbonate production facility and is conducting small-scale tests for sodium-ion battery cathode materials [1]. - Plans include a new 1.5 million-ton vacuum salt project and a 400,000-ton annual value-added nitrogen fertilizer project, both in preliminary stages [1]. - The company is exploring the decomposition of its main product, ammonium chloride, to recycle ammonia for soda ash production and extract chlorine for other chemical products [1]. Group 4: Market Challenges - The company faced losses in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 primarily due to a significant decline in market prices for its main products, despite normal production and sales conditions [2].

美国掀起的 "关税大战" 重创全球金融市场，且冲击全球储能江湖之际，储能赛道独角兽海辰储 能正闯关港交所。 纵观海辰储能的发展历程，堪称是一位强人离职创业的励志样本。 2019年，当储能行业骤冷时，吴祖钰却放弃宁德时代工程师职位，与搭档王鹏程在厦门创立海辰 储能。行业收缩之际，他们逆势扩张，以280Ah电池重新定义行业标准，三年出货量暴增500%， 斩获多个头部客户订单。 成立仅六年，就跻身全球储能电池前三名，仅次于宁德时代和亿纬储能，而在2023年，它还仅排 在第五。 得益于大踏步的全球化布局，海辰储能2024年的收入激增到129.17亿元，是2022年的3.6倍，净 利润上升到2.88亿元，而在2022年，公司还亏损近18亿元。 创立以来，公司获得了中金资本、中国宝安、鼎晖百孚、农银国际、建信股权、经纬创投、中银 资产等知名投资机构的青睐，目前估值已超过250亿元。 但诸多光环背后，海辰储能隐忧不少。与宁德时代的恩怨纠葛曾对簿公堂，令公司声誉受损；与 上一年相比，其电池业务几乎停滞，国内收入不增反降 （2024年下降8.75%，2023年增幅为 179.42%） ；增量市场主要源于海外，而在全球贸易大动荡 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Absolute price: Neutral [3] - Option strategy: Sell wide straddle [4] Core View - The current lead market is in a situation of weak supply and demand. The domestic ore supply is relatively tight, and smelters have low willingness to purchase high-silver ores. However, the energy storage battery sector performs outstandingly, with the operating rates of relevant enterprises generally reaching 80 - 100%. The industry is optimistic about the second half of the year, and some enterprises are preparing for capacity expansion. The lead price is currently treated with a volatile mindset, and the Pb2506 contract is expected to be in the range of 16,300 yuan/ton to 17,050 yuan/ton [3] Summary by Directory Spot Market - On May 22, 2025, the LME lead spot premium was -26.12 dollars/ton. The SMM1 lead ingot spot price decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 16,625 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The SMM Shanghai lead spot premium decreased by 100 yuan/ton to -15.00 yuan/ton, the SMM Guangdong lead spot price decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 16,675 yuan/ton, the SMM Henan lead spot price decreased by 125 yuan/ton to 16,600 yuan/ton, and the SMM Tianjin lead spot premium decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 16,650 yuan/ton. The lead refined-scrap price difference remained unchanged at -50 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The prices of waste electric vehicle batteries, waste white shells, and waste black shells all decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 10,200 yuan/ton, 10,050 yuan/ton, and 10,400 yuan/ton respectively [1] Futures Market - On May 22, 2025, the main SHFE lead contract opened at 16,895 yuan/ton and closed at 16,685 yuan/ton, a decrease of 215 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The trading volume for the whole trading day was 42,980 lots, an increase of 22,116 lots compared to the previous trading day. The position for the whole trading day was 45,301 lots, an increase of 28,537 lots compared to the previous trading day. The intraday price fluctuated, with the highest point reaching 16,895 yuan/ton and the lowest point reaching 16,670 yuan/ton. In the night session, the main SHFE lead contract opened at 16,685 yuan/ton and closed at 16,695 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.51% compared to the afternoon closing price of the previous day [2] Inventory - On May 22, 2025, the total SMM lead ingot inventory was 5.0 million tons, a decrease of 0.88 million tons compared to the same period last week. As of May 22, the LME lead inventory was 295,825 tons, an increase of 13,700 tons compared to the previous trading day [2]