Core Viewpoint - The imposition of punitive tariffs by the U.S. on Indian imports is expected to severely challenge India's manufacturing sector and disrupt its economic growth trajectory [1][2]. Group 1: U.S. Tariff Impact - On August 6, the U.S. imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, raising the total tariff rate on Indian goods to 50% [1][2]. - Moody's has indicated that these tariffs will pose a significant challenge to "Make in India," which aims to enhance India's manufacturing competitiveness [2][7]. - The bilateral trade between the U.S. and India is projected to be around $130 billion in 2024, with key exports from India including pharmaceuticals, auto parts, electrical products, and gemstones [2]. Group 2: Structural Issues in Indian Manufacturing - Despite initial successes, the "Make in India" initiative has faced slow progress in sectors outside of mobile phones and pharmaceuticals, with subsidy disbursement rates below 8% [3][4]. - The share of manufacturing in India's GDP has decreased from 15.4% to 14.3% since the implementation of the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme [4]. - Structural issues such as inadequate industrial infrastructure, complex regulations, and slow land acquisition processes are hindering the growth of India's manufacturing sector [5][6]. Group 3: Economic Growth Projections - The punitive tariffs are expected to reduce India's GDP growth rate by approximately 0.9 percentage points, with projections for economic growth dropping from 7% to nearly 6% for 2025-2026 [2][7]. - Apple, which had planned to shift 25% of its iPhone production to India by 2025, is now accelerating shipments to the U.S. to avoid high tariffs, indicating a shift in supply chain strategies [8]. Group 4: Government Response and Future Outlook - Prime Minister Modi has called for public support for domestic products in response to the U.S. tariffs, highlighting the pressure on his long-standing economic agenda [2][9]. - The contrast between Modi's vision of India as the "world's third-largest economy" and the reality of stalled infrastructure projects underscores the need for substantial structural reforms [9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant impact of the U.S. imposing punitive tariffs on Indian goods, which could severely challenge India's manufacturing sector and economic growth [1][8] - On July 30, Trump declared that the Indian economy was "dead," and on August 6, he signed an executive order imposing an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports to the U.S., raising the total tariff rate on Indian goods to 50% [1][3] - Moody's International Ratings Agency believes that these tariffs will pose a serious challenge to the "Make in India" initiative, which aims to boost manufacturing in the country [1][4] Group 2 - The "Make in India" initiative, launched in 2014, aims to increase the manufacturing sector's contribution to India's GDP to 25% by 2025 and establish India as a global manufacturing hub [3][4] - Despite initial successes, such as becoming the world's second-largest mobile phone manufacturer, the initiative has faced slow progress in sectors other than mobile phones and pharmaceuticals, with subsidy disbursement rates below 8% [4][5] - Following the implementation of the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, the share of manufacturing in India's GDP actually decreased from 15.4% to 14.3% [5][7] Group 3 - Structural issues in India, such as inadequate industrial infrastructure, complex regulations, and slow land acquisition processes, are hindering the growth of the manufacturing sector [7][8] - The U.S. is India's largest export market, accounting for approximately 18% of India's exports, and the new tariffs could reduce India's economic growth rate from an expected 7% to nearly 6% between 2025 and 2026 [7][8] - Companies like Apple, which planned to shift 25% of iPhone production to India by 2025, are now accelerating shipments to the U.S. to avoid high tariffs, indicating a potential disruption in the anticipated supply chain benefits [7][8]

Group 1 - The implementation of high tariffs by the US on India, reaching a total of 50%, poses a significant threat to India's manufacturing ambitions, particularly its "Make in India" initiative [1][4][12] - Major Indian companies in the apparel sector are relocating production to countries like Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Ethiopia due to the adverse effects of US tariffs [1][2] - The European Union's 15% tariffs have already led to a notable decline in exports, indicating that India's manufacturing sector may face even more severe challenges under the 50% tariff regime [2][4] Group 2 - The Indian government is experiencing a loss of foreign investment confidence, with many foreign companies facing high tax penalties and regulatory challenges, leading to a perception of India as an "investment graveyard" [6][10] - The withdrawal of Chinese engineers from Indian manufacturing facilities is exacerbating the operational difficulties faced by the sector, prompting the Indian government to reconsider its investment policies towards China [10][12] - Despite attempts to attract Chinese capital and technology, the longstanding trust issues between Chinese firms and the Indian government hinder potential investments, complicating India's efforts to revitalize its manufacturing industry [10][12][14]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's announcement to significantly increase import tariffs on Indian products due to India's substantial purchases of Russian oil, which he claims allows India to profit at the expense of the U.S. [1][2] Trade Relations - Trump has threatened to impose punitive tariffs on India if it continues to buy Russian weapons and oil, with a potential additional 25% tariff on top of existing rates [3][5] - The U.S. has been in trade negotiations with India, but no agreements have been reached after multiple rounds of talks, primarily due to India's reluctance to make concessions on agricultural and dairy tariffs [5][7] India's Oil Imports - India has significantly increased its imports of Russian oil, from an average of 68,000 barrels per day in January 2022 to a peak of 215,000 barrels per day in May 2023, making Russia its largest oil supplier [3][4] - In the first half of 2023, India imported an average of 1.75 million barrels of Russian oil per day, although recent price changes have led to a reduction in purchases by Indian state-owned oil companies [4] Economic Impact - The U.S. is India's largest export market, with Indian exports to the U.S. projected to account for 19.78% of total exports in the 2024-2025 fiscal year [9] - The imposition of a 25% tariff by the U.S. could potentially reduce India's economic growth rate by 0.2% according to estimates from Nomura Securities [9] Domestic Policy and Political Context - Indian Prime Minister Modi has emphasized the importance of protecting domestic agriculture and small industries, which are crucial for the livelihoods of many farmers [7][8] - Modi's government is under pressure to maintain its political base, especially with upcoming elections, making it unlikely to compromise on agricultural tariffs [7][8]

Group 1 - The trade tensions between the US and India are escalating, with the US imposing a 25% tariff on Indian goods, which is part of a broader strategy by President Trump to prioritize American interests [1][2] - The ongoing trade negotiations between the two countries have stalled, particularly over agricultural products, which are a significant point of contention [2][3] - India's average tariff rate is significantly higher than that of the US, with an average of 17% compared to the US's 3.3%, and agricultural tariffs reaching as high as 39% [2] Group 2 - India's import of Russian oil has become a focal point of the trade dispute, with Trump accusing India of profiting from reselling this oil on the open market [1][4] - In response to the tariffs, Indian Prime Minister Modi has called for a promotion of domestic products, aligning with his "Make in India" initiative to bolster local manufacturing [5][6] - The potential impact of the tariffs could lead to a significant decrease in India's exports to the US, with estimates suggesting a drop of nearly 30%, affecting sectors like apparel and pharmaceuticals [6][7] Group 3 - The trade relationship between the US and India is crucial, with the US being India's largest export destination, accounting for 18% of India's total exports in 2024, up from 6% in 2006 [6] - The imposition of tariffs could result in a revenue loss for India ranging from $7 billion to $10 billion, particularly affecting the jewelry and pharmaceutical sectors [7] - Investors are reacting cautiously to the trade tensions, as evidenced by a slight decline in Indian stock indices following the announcement of the tariffs [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating trade tensions between the United States and India, particularly focusing on the potential increase in import tariffs by the U.S. on Indian products due to India's purchase of Russian oil and the ongoing trade negotiations that have not yielded significant results [3][4][5]. Trade Relations and Tariffs - U.S. President Trump announced plans to significantly raise import tariffs on Indian goods, citing India's substantial purchases of Russian oil as a reason [4][5]. - Currently, Indian goods exported to the U.S. face a 25% tariff, which is among the highest compared to other countries [12]. - The U.S. trade deficit with India is a major concern for Trump, who has previously urged India to purchase more American oil to reduce this deficit [3][11]. India's Response and Trade Negotiations - India has maintained a strong stance in trade negotiations, particularly regarding agricultural and dairy products, which are critical to its economy [11][12]. - Despite U.S. pressure, India continues to import Russian oil, which has become a significant part of its energy supply, accounting for nearly 40% of its total oil imports at one point [5][6]. - The Indian government has expressed its commitment to protecting its agricultural sector, which is vital for many farmers' livelihoods [11][12]. Economic Impact - The potential increase in tariffs could lead to a 0.2% decrease in India's economic growth, according to estimates from Nomura Securities [12]. - The ongoing trade tensions and high tariffs could further strain the economic relationship between the U.S. and India, which is already characterized by a significant trade imbalance [12].

新华财经北京8月5日电 印度和美国关系近期因关税和购买石油等问题龃龉不断，美国总统特朗普对印 度发出关税威胁并嘲讽其经济实力的言论引发印方强烈不满。 美国媒体日前刊登分析文章说，多年来，印度试图拉近同美国的关系，印度总理莫迪多次表示特朗普 是"真正的朋友"。但特朗普开启第二任期后，两国关系发生变化，印度与美国建立的关系"正在发生动 摇"。 路透社5日报道表示，面对西方国家要求与俄罗斯保持距离的压力，印度以与俄罗斯的长期联系和自身 经济需求为由进行抵制。消息人士提供数据显示，印度是俄罗斯海运原油的最大买家，今年1月至6月每 天进口约175万桶俄罗斯石油，较一年前增长1%。 特朗普7月30日威胁称，如果印度继续购买俄罗斯武器和石油，美方将在对印度商品征收25%进口关税 的基础上额外施加惩罚性关税。本月1日，特朗普又对媒体记者说，他相信印度打算停止购买俄罗斯石 油。 第三方的争议：同俄开展石油贸易 当地时间4日，特朗普在社交媒体上发文写道，"印度不仅购买了大量俄罗斯石油，而且还将购买的大部 分石油在公开市场上出售以获取巨额利润"。他声称，美国将大幅提高对印度产品征收的进口关税。 印度外交部发言人贾伊斯瓦尔4日回应说 ...

新华社北京8月4日电 印度总理莫迪日前表示，印度"将成为世界第三大经济体"，呼吁民众都来购买并推广本土产品。印媒报道说，这是莫迪对 美国总统特朗普此前宣布将对印度商品加征关税并称印度是"死亡经济体"的间接回应。 此外，印度政府消息人士向媒体透露，印方对美国威胁制裁并不买账，将继续与俄罗斯的石油交易。 莫迪：都来买国货 特朗普7月30日在社交媒体平台"真实社交"上宣布，将从8月1日起对印度输美商品征收25%的关税并实施其他"惩罚"。特朗普说，印度可尽管将 其"死亡经济体"拖向深渊，眼下美印经贸往来极少，因印方关税是全世界最高之一。 特朗普发帖抱怨印度关税税率太高，非关税壁垒又比其他任何国家"繁杂"，造成美印贸易多年来维持较小规模。他随后发帖说："我们与印度之 间贸易逆差巨大。" 印度总理莫迪8月2日在印度北方邦城市瓦拉纳西的一个集会上发表讲话。（图片来自莫迪办公室网站） 4月2日，美方公布所谓"对等关税"后，美印双方举行多轮会谈，但谈判陷入僵局。有报道称，印度在保护农业和乳制品产业等方面立场强硬。美 国商务部数据显示，2024年，美印货物贸易规模约为1288亿美元，印度对美贸易顺差为458亿美元。 特朗普威胁 ...

凤凰网科技讯 北京时间8月5日，据科技网站9to5mac报道，苹果公司可能会说，如今在美国销售的大多 数iPhone都是在印度组装的，但这并不一定意味着苹果已经减少了对中国的依赖。《金融时报》资深科 技（000021）记者帕特里克·麦吉(Patrick McGee)对此做出了解释。 苹果CEO蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在过去两个季度的财报电话会议上指出，美国市场销售的iPhone来自印 度。此举能让苹果避开特朗普对华征收的关税。 "目前，还没有哪一款iPhone真正意义上是'印度制造'的。但只要在印度完成最后一步组装，就能让产品 实现'实质性'改变，从而规避关税。然而，这些iPhone依然高度依赖以中国为核心的供应链，与你用过 的任何一部iPhone并无二致。这条供应链的深度与广度并未改变，未来也许会改变，但那将需要数年时 间、耗资数百亿美元，并可能引发苹果与中国以及中国消费者之间产生不想看到的摩擦。"麦吉在X上 表示。 麦吉补充说：没错，印度是'来源地'，但前提是每一部iPhone的1000多个零部件，已在中国庞大而高 效、复杂、成本高昂的工厂网络中完成加工、铸造、激光焊接、注塑成型、蚀刻、装配等一系列 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant outflow of talent from India, particularly in the tech and medical fields, and the government's efforts to reverse this trend through various initiatives aimed at attracting Indian professionals back to the country [4][5][10]. Group 1: Talent Outflow - Many top Indian talents, including over 20,000 IIT alumni, have chosen to work abroad, particularly in the U.S., which poses a challenge to India's goal of becoming a developed nation by 2047 [4][5]. - The U.S. H-1B visa restrictions and academic policies have created a turbulent environment for global talent movement, potentially benefiting India's "Bring Back the Phoenix" initiatives [5][11]. - In the AI sector, only 1% of the world's top AI researchers from India remain in the country, while in the medical field, around 70,000 Indian-trained doctors practice abroad, leading to a significant shortage of healthcare professionals domestically [11][12]. Group 2: Government Initiatives - The Modi government has launched several policies to attract talent back to India, including initiatives like "Make in India," "Digital India," and "Startup India," aimed at creating a conducive environment for innovation [13][14]. - The government is also promoting the Overseas Citizen of India (OCI) program, offering tax incentives and grants to encourage Indian expatriates to reintegrate into the Indian economy [13][14]. - Specific scholarship programs, such as the VAIBHAV scholarship, have been established to facilitate collaboration between overseas Indian scientists and Indian institutions [14][17]. Group 3: Success Stories and Challenges - There has been a noticeable increase in the return of Indian professionals, including entrepreneurs and scientists, with about 20% of India's unicorn startups having founders educated in the U.S. [17]. - Despite the positive trends, challenges remain, including the need for improved research infrastructure and regulatory environments to retain returning talent [19][20]. - Historical examples, such as the successful transformation of India's automotive industry through the return of Indian engineers from the U.S., highlight the potential benefits of attracting talent back to India [20].