技术面分析
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不负所望,盯住量能
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 08:14
Core Viewpoint - The market showed strong performance with major indices reaching new highs for the year, indicating a bullish sentiment in the short to medium term [1][15]. Market Performance - The market opened at 3898, with a low of 3885 and a high of 3936, closing at 3933. The ratio of advancing to declining stocks was 3115 to 2186, showing more stocks gained than lost [1]. - The closing above 3920 is seen as a strong result, reinforcing the bullish control in the mid to short term [1][15]. Technical Analysis - Technical indicators are currently high, suggesting that further upward movement will require increased trading volume. A lack of volume could lead to potential adjustments in the market [2][15]. - The key focus for the upcoming trading day is whether the market can maintain a position above 3900, which is critical for sustaining bullish momentum [3][15]. Key Levels - The major indices have established critical support and resistance levels: - For the main index, strong support is at 3872-3767, with a key resistance point at 3936 [7][15]. - The ChiNext index has support at 2835-3173, with a strong point at 3322 [8][15]. - The 50 index has support at 2901-2970, with a strong point at 3030 [9][15]. Volume and Momentum - The market closed with a significant bullish candlestick pattern, indicating a strong upward trend. The volume increased, suggesting that the bullish momentum may continue [12][15]. - The short-term technical outlook indicates that the market is currently above its daily life line, which is a positive sign for further gains [15]. Conclusion - The market's ability to hold above key levels and the need for sufficient trading volume are crucial for maintaining the current bullish trend. The focus remains on the ability to sustain above 3900 in the upcoming trading sessions [13][15].
老股民十年炒股心得:避开这些致命坑,化身市场赢家!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-03 03:13
Core Insights - The article emphasizes that stock trading is not a game of chance but requires discipline and intelligence to succeed, highlighting that 90% of retail investors struggle with losses due to common pitfalls [1] Group 1: Common Mistakes - A prevalent mistake among retail investors is the emotional trading behavior of blindly chasing rising stocks and panic selling during downturns, leading to an average annual loss of 15%-20% of capital due to emotional decisions [1] - The article suggests implementing strict "stop-loss" and "take-profit" rules, recommending a stop-loss threshold of 5%-10% and partial profit-taking at a 20% gain to transform from a losing investor to a winning one [1] - Investors are advised to focus on 3-5 potential stocks rather than diversifying too broadly, with a holding period of at least 3-6 months to avoid short-term volatility [1] Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - Ignoring fundamental analysis is identified as a significant risk, with many investors relying solely on charts and rumors, which can lead to substantial losses when companies underperform [3] - Investors should assess a company's "moat" by analyzing financial reports, industry outlook, and competitive landscape, asking critical questions about revenue growth rates, profit margins, and management reliability before making investment decisions [3] - The article advocates for value investing, suggesting that investors should buy undervalued blue-chip stocks and hold them long-term, minimizing frequent trading to avoid market noise [3] Group 3: Psychological Factors - Psychological biases such as fear and greed can lead to detrimental trading habits, where investors sell in panic after a 10% drop or hold onto stocks too long after a 20% rise, creating a cycle of buying high and selling low [3] - A recommended strategy to combat these psychological traps includes daily meditation to cultivate a calm mindset, which can help in making more rational trading decisions [3] - Keeping a trading journal to review each transaction can help identify emotional blind spots and improve decision-making over time [3] Group 4: Positioning Strategy - New investors often make the mistake of poor position sizing, either spreading investments too thinly or going all-in, which increases risk [4] - The article recommends maintaining a position size of no more than 70% of total capital and limiting individual stock investments to 20%, with a phased approach to building positions [4] - A diversified portfolio strategy is suggested, with a mix of stocks, ETFs, and bonds in a ratio of 3:4:3 to balance risk and opportunity [4] Group 5: Risk Management - The importance of risk management is underscored, particularly regarding leverage, which can lead to significant losses if not managed properly [6] - Investors are advised to only use disposable income for trading and to avoid borrowing, especially during unpredictable market events [6] - Continuous learning is highlighted as a key to long-term success, with recommendations to read foundational investment literature and learn from reputable sources while avoiding unreliable online advice [6]
金晟富:10.1黄金节前洗盘已成常态!日内黄金行情分析参考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-01 02:35
10.1黄金行情走势分析: 黄金技术面分析:昨天月线收官,黄金居然走了极端过山车走势,行情暴跌近80美元后再拉升70美元, 可以说多空两头洗盘。国庆节前的走势跟晟富预期的一样,走出了一波抛盘性的大跌空间,从月线来 看,黄金上个月收大阳,本月应该还有高点,上方阻力3930附近,强阻力就是4000大关,以前高盛给出 的目标位。日线昨天走出过山车行情,欧盘3872附近假期获利盘了结,行情急跌至3793,顶底转换位置 收回,日线收长影阳线。单看日线今天倾向高位震荡或上涨,不支持大的回调,黄金美盘在美国政府可 能即将停摆的一系列避险消息的刺激之下,黄金多头再次发力,一路上涨,黄金日线继续在高位收盘, 还收阳线,可见黄金多头的承接力度还是比较强,完成单日洗盘,那么说明黄金后面多头的力度还有空 间。 换资前言: 首先祝愿有缘的金友们国庆畅游,目之所及,皆是欢喜。方向不对,努力白费,能让你生气的行情,说 明你还没有驾驭的能力,震荡的时候想单边,单边的时候想反转,你的习惯将是你最大的弱点,不要总 是与行情对着干,多总结经验,暂时的失利,不代表什么,经验靠积累,在全球金融市场中,现货黄金 凭借其独特的避险与保值属性,始终是投资者 ...
黄金疯涨!历史新高不断刷新,后市如何布局?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 06:16
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the gold market has attracted global investor attention, with spot gold reaching a high of $3,790.97 per ounce as of September 23, just shy of the $3,800 mark [1] Group 1: Current Market Characteristics - The gold market is experiencing a strong upward trend driven by expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and geopolitical risks [3][4] - Analysts predict that if gold breaks through the $3,800 level, the next target could be in the $3,850-$3,900 range, while a pullback could present buying opportunities in the $3,650-$3,700 range [3] Group 2: Driving Factors Behind Gold's Rise - Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: Following a 25 basis point rate cut in September, the market anticipates two more cuts this year, which supports gold prices. Rising inflation expectations also enhance gold's appeal as an inflation hedge [4] - Geopolitical Risk: Tensions in the Middle East and trade uncertainties are driving safe-haven investments into gold, reinforcing its status as a "safe haven." Analysts suggest that if U.S. Congress negotiations fail, gold prices could rise by an additional $50-$80 [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical indicators show a strong upward trend, with gold prices consistently rising along the upper Bollinger Band. Although the RSI indicator is in the overbought zone, the MACD still indicates strong bullish momentum [4] - The Bollinger Band width has significantly expanded, indicating increased market volatility, and gold is currently in the third phase of an upward trend [4] Group 4: Professional Trading Recommendations - The recommendation is to adopt a buy-on-dips strategy, focusing on the support area around $3,750-$3,740 [4] - Caution is advised as a drop below the $3,690 support level could trigger a medium-term pullback to $3,544 [4] - Strict stop-loss measures are recommended to avoid blind speculation in a one-sided market [4]
09/11复盘:空头乏力,多头信号出!能不能启动就看明天
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 10:51
Group 1: Market Overview - The futures market is characterized by price fluctuations that present both opportunities and challenges for traders and industry clients focused on commodities like oil, gold, agricultural products, and metals [1] - Real-time market analysis includes insights on position changes and capital flows, revealing the essence of the long-short battle [1] Group 2: Rebar Steel (螺纹钢2601) - The rebar steel market is under pressure due to a recovery in supply and weak demand, with a slight decrease in production last week [3] - The current bottom support level is at 3080, with a trading strategy suggesting to buy at 3090 while using 3080 as a stop-loss [3] Group 3: Coking Coal (焦煤2601) - The coking coal market shows a slight rebound as downstream operations recover, with stable supply from domestic coal mines [5] - The recommendation is to adopt a low-buy strategy with a support level at 1100 [5] Group 4: Soda Ash (纯碱2601) - The soda ash main contract price increased by 1.26% to 1287 CNY/ton, with production rising slightly [7] - The trading strategy suggests buying on dips as long as the price remains above 1250 [7] Group 5: Glass (玻璃2601) - The glass market experienced a price increase of 0.51% to 1185 CNY/ton, with production profits showing mixed results based on fuel type [9] - The strategy indicates a focus on buying on dips, with support at 1180 and a potential drop to 1120 if that level fails [9] Group 6: Investment Strategy - Continuous learning and accumulation of professional knowledge are essential for making informed investment choices in the futures market [11] - Investors are encouraged to engage in discussions about specific strategies or aspects of futures trading for deeper insights [11]
贺博生:9.3黄金原油晚间行情涨跌趋势分析及欧美盘最新独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 07:38
投资我做了12个年头。也是比较信佛,相信缘分,命里缺金的投资者不在少数,其实缺的是一个贵人。我希望自己可以成为一部分投资者的贵人,自己心 软,看到有些客户在其他的平台亏钱各种哭天喊地,心里挺不是滋味,但是我又不能直接把投资亏损的朋友抢过来,跟他们说我很牛,我可以帮到你,我没 有办法让别人直接相信我。靠我这一张笨嘴我是没有能力的。所以相信缘分是对的。这个就和相亲一样。不管第一感觉怎么样。都应该给对方一个了解的机 会,我相信,你能看完这么多字,就是缘分。投资也是多半看缘分,如果你相信缘分,相信我可以用心为你做点什么,你可以试着和我交流一下,没有谁能 陪你走到天涯海角,也许哪一天你就需要我了呢? 黄金最新行情趋势分析: 黄金消息面解析:周三(9月3日)欧市早盘,现货黄金窄幅震荡,目前交投于3536.79美元/盎司。在全球经济风云变幻的当下,黄金作为传统避险资产,再 次展现出其无可匹敌的魅力。周二(9月2日),现货黄金价格飙升超过1%,一举突破每盎司3500美元的历史高位,最高触及3539.88美元/盎司,最终收报 3533.40美元/盎司。这不仅仅是一次简单的价格波动,而是对美国经济疲软、贸易政策不确定性和全球地缘 ...
2025比特币(BTC)以太坊(ETH)8月31日走势研判与策略建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-31 05:28
Group 1 - Bitcoin is currently in a range-bound pattern, fluctuating between strong support at 107,350 USDT and strong resistance at 112,000 USDT, with significant divergence in bullish and bearish forces [1] - A bullish engulfing pattern has appeared recently, indicating a potential short-term rebound; however, the moving average system shows a bearish arrangement, and trading volume continues to decline, suggesting weak market sentiment [1] - Ethereum is in a bottoming phase, with prices near strong support at 4,160 USDT and a bullish engulfing pattern signaling a short-term rebound; yet, trading volume has significantly shrunk, and prices remain below long-term moving averages [4] Group 2 - The market is expected to maintain a sideways trend, with recommendations for high selling and low buying while paying attention to risk control [3] - Specific trading strategies suggest buying near 107,500 USDT for Bitcoin with a target of 109,500 USDT, and selling near 109,500 USDT with a target of 108,000 USDT [7] - For Ethereum, buying is suggested around 4,300 USDT with a target of 4,450 USDT, while selling is recommended near 4,450 USDT with a target of 4,350 USDT [7]
外汇交易怎么操作?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 07:34
Core Viewpoint - The article provides a comprehensive overview of foreign exchange trading, emphasizing the importance of understanding the operational processes, selecting a reliable broker, and mastering trading strategies to navigate the dynamic forex market effectively [1][2][3]. Group 1: Forex Trading Basics - Forex trading involves exchanging one currency for another, primarily for facilitating international trade and investment or for speculative purposes [1]. - The forex market operates 24 hours a day through an electronic network connecting global banks, financial institutions, and investors, with exchange rates constantly fluctuating [1]. - Selecting a reliable forex broker is crucial, with regulatory oversight being a key factor in ensuring the safety of investor funds and fair trading practices [1]. Group 2: Trading Mechanisms - Forex trading typically utilizes margin trading, allowing investors to control larger amounts with a smaller initial investment, which amplifies both potential gains and risks [2]. - Key trading tools include spot forex trading, forward forex trading, forex futures, and forex options, each serving different purposes and strategies [2]. - Stop-loss and take-profit orders are essential for managing risk and securing profits in forex trading [2]. Group 3: Market Analysis - In-depth market analysis is necessary, employing both fundamental and technical analysis methods to understand currency movements [3]. - Fundamental analysis focuses on economic, political, and social factors affecting exchange rates, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and central bank policies [3]. - Technical analysis utilizes historical price trends and volume data to identify market signals and price movement patterns [3].
建筑工炒期货,10个月,12万做到3000万!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 04:06
Core Insights - The article narrates the transformation of an ordinary construction worker, Chen Xiaoping, into a successful trader, highlighting his journey through various trading strategies and experiences [1][2]. Group 1: Trading Journey - In 2008, Chen Xiaoping began his trading career while working in the construction industry, initially focusing on technical indicators but later realizing the importance of fundamental analysis [2][5]. - By early 2012, he made a significant profit by heavily investing in a commodity that was experiencing a production decline, turning an initial investment of 100,000 into 600,000 within a month [5][6]. - However, from 2013 to 2018, he faced challenges due to over-reliance on fundamental analysis, leading to inconsistent trading results [7]. Group 2: System Development - After suffering substantial losses in 2019 from a failed apple futures trade, Chen took three years to reflect and reconstruct his trading system [8][9]. - He developed a three-step trading approach named "Trend Calculation," inspired by "The Art of War," which emphasizes thorough analysis, patience, and strict risk management [10][9]. Group 3: Recent Success - In 2023, Chen returned to the futures market with a new mindset and a starting capital of around 100,000, achieving a remarkable growth to 30 million within ten months [11][12]. - He participated in a national trading competition, initially aiming for a modest ranking but ended up winning the championship by effectively capitalizing on market trends [12]. - His trading performance included a maximum drawdown of 71.99% and a total net profit of approximately 18.34 million, showcasing a high-risk, high-reward strategy [15].
美元兑瑞郎8月7日上涨0.03% 收于0.8064
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-08 08:54
昨日,美元兑瑞郎在技术面上呈现出震荡蓄势的态势,布林带带宽收窄,多空力量相对均衡,汇价在关 键阻力位附近受到压制。从日线图来看,美元兑瑞郎布林带整体带宽收窄,显示波动率有所减弱,市场 处于蓄势阶段。当日布林带中轨位于0.7976附近,上轨位于0.8065,下轨在0.7887。汇价在盘中接近布 林带上轨阻力位,但未能有效突破,说明上方阻力较强,若后续能有效突破0.8065,有望进一步打开上 行空间,下一目标可能指向0.8100;下方支撑位留意0.8030与布林中轨,若跌破则可能重新测试0.7871 低点。 美元兑瑞郎8月7日上涨,涨幅达0.03%,在汇市尾市收于0.8064。 ...