Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a sudden decline, dropping to around $3300 per ounce after reaching a daily high of $3342.82 per ounce, influenced by market anticipation of trade negotiations and tariff updates from the U.S. government [2] - The market is currently observing a cautious sentiment as investors await the outcome of trade discussions and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, which are expected to provide further insights [2] - Technical analysis indicates that gold is in a high-level consolidation phase, with key resistance levels at $3345 and $3365, while support is found around $3305 and $3295 [3][5] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is reacting to OPEC+'s decision to increase daily oil production by 548,000 barrels starting in August, which has heightened investor focus on geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and U.S. policy changes [6] - Technical indicators suggest that while the medium-term trend for oil remains upward, short-term movements are showing signs of a downward trend, with key resistance levels at $69.0-$70.0 and support at $65.5-$64.5 [7]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market experienced a rebound last week, indicating potential for further upward movement despite some volatility [1][3]. Price Movement - Gold opened the week at $3272.74 per ounce, reached a low of $3247.77, and then rebounded to a high of $3365.51 before closing at $3334.83, resulting in a weekly increase of $62.09 or 1.9% [1][3]. Economic Influences - The decline in the US dollar index and signs of economic contraction in the US have provided support for gold prices, with expectations of three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next year [3][5]. - Market reactions to employment data and the potential for further economic stimulus have also contributed to the bullish sentiment for gold [3][5]. Upcoming Events - The focus for the upcoming week includes the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and the July 9 deadline for tariff exemptions, which could influence market sentiment and gold prices [5][9]. - A dovish tone from the Fed could lead to a weaker dollar and support for gold, while a focus on maintaining high interest rates could have the opposite effect [5][9]. Technical Analysis - The monthly chart indicates a potential topping pattern for gold prices, with risks of a decline to $3000 or $2600 if key support levels are breached [7][9]. - Current support levels to watch include the 60-day moving average and the 20-week moving average, with potential upward movement if prices stabilize above these levels [9]. Price Levels - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3323 or $3304, while resistance levels are at $3340 or $3350 [9]. - For silver, support is noted at $36.85 or $36.70, with resistance at $37.20 or $37.60 [9].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes are anticipated, with expectations of maintaining the current interest rates [1] - There is a suggestion that gold prices may decline in response to the expected decision from the Federal Reserve [1]

Core Viewpoint - The strengthening of the Canadian dollar is logical following the U.S. federal court's blocking of the Trump administration's comprehensive tariff policy, but further appreciation may be limited [1] Group 1: Economic Factors - The close trade relationship between Canada and the U.S. supports the Canadian dollar due to reduced prospects for cross-border trade disruptions and improved growth expectations in the U.S. [1] - The upcoming release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes may lead to a further reduction in market expectations for interest rate cuts, which could suppress the appreciation of the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar [1]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market experienced a pullback near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, leading to a decline but remained above the support level of 3284, resulting in a trading range of approximately 486 points with a long upper shadow on the daily candle [1] - The market sentiment improved due to the U.S. Federal Court ruling on Trump's tariffs, reducing concerns over international trade, which in turn diminished the safe-haven demand for gold as the dollar rebounded [1] - Today's opening saw gold prices drop over $30, reaching a low of approximately 3245, with a technical outlook indicating a primary focus on short positions following a break below the head and shoulders neckline [1] Group 2: Key Levels and Trading Recommendations - Key resistance levels are identified at 3325 and 3285, while support levels are at 3245 and 3200 [3] - The strategy suggests shorting near 3285 with a profit target of 70-100 points and a stop-loss around 3295 [3] Group 3: Euro/USD Market Insights - Eurozone economic data showed weakness, with France's Q1 GDP confirming a slight growth of 0.1% and consumer confidence in April falling below expectations, while Germany saw an unexpected increase in unemployment [6] - European Central Bank officials hinted at potential further rate cuts after the June monetary policy meeting, reinforcing expectations for monetary easing [6] - The EUR/USD pair fluctuated down to around 1.128, with a daily range of approximately 61 points and a candle showing small upper and lower shadows [6] Group 4: Key Levels and Trading Recommendations for Euro/USD - Support levels are at 1.113 and 1.118, while resistance levels are at 1.131 and 1.136 [8] - The recommendation is to enter short positions around 1.126 or 1.125 with a profit target of 30-50 points and a stop-loss at approximately 1.130 [8] Group 5: GBP/USD Market Overview - Reports indicate that long-term UK government bond yields may slightly decline in the coming months due to market expectations that the Bank of England will halt active quantitative tightening from October [11] - The GBP/USD pair traded down to around 1.345, with a daily range of approximately 71 points and a candle showing small upper and lower shadows [11] Group 6: Key Levels and Trading Recommendations for GBP/USD - Key support levels are at 1.332 and 1.336, while resistance levels are at 1.350 and 1.355 [13] - The strategy suggests shorting near 1.346 or 1.345 with a profit target of 30-50 points and a stop-loss around 1.352 [13] Group 7: GBP/JPY Market Dynamics - The GBP/JPY market showed a corrective trend with a slight increase during the U.S. session, reaching resistance at approximately 196.3, before retreating to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level [16] - The market remains in a bullish pattern despite the recent pullback [16] Group 8: Key Levels and Trading Recommendations for GBP/JPY - Resistance levels are at 197 and 196.4, while support levels are at 195 and 194.4 [18] - The recommendation is to buy on dips around 195.7 and 195.4 with a profit target of 40-60 points and a stop-loss near 195 [18]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - Due to the continuous improvement in tariff situation expectations, the market's risk aversion sentiment has marginally declined, the US dollar index has strengthened in the short - term, and precious metals in the Shanghai market have continued to correct. The US consumer confidence index in May was significantly higher than expected. The positive progress in tariff negotiations has boosted the short - term strength of the US dollar, putting pressure on the gold price. In the short term, the safe - haven demand for gold may be relatively weakened, and there is a possibility of continued correction. In the medium to long term, the US debt problem may lead to a long - term global trend of de - dollarization, which is structurally beneficial to the gold price. The repeated geopolitical situations in the Middle East and Russia - Ukraine will still boost the safe - haven property of gold. The gold purchase demand of central banks in emerging countries and the continuous net inflow of gold ETFs indicate a stable investment demand for gold. For silver, the improvement in economic expectations provides some support, but it is strongly correlated with the gold price, and it may maintain a volatile pattern recently [2]. Summary According to the Directory Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai gold main contract was 772.28 yuan/gram, up 0.68 yuan; the closing price of the Shanghai silver main contract was 8225 yuan/kilogram, up 8 yuan. The main contract positions of Shanghai gold were 199,056 hands, down 5,739 hands; those of Shanghai silver were 350,276 hands, down 14,143 hands. The net positions of the top 20 in the Shanghai gold main contract were 121,281 hands, up 466 hands; those of Shanghai silver were 162,070 hands, up 4,748 hands. The warehouse receipt quantity of gold was 17,247 kilograms, unchanged; that of silver was 1,006,250 kilograms, up 17,930 kilograms [2]. Spot Market - The spot price of gold on the Shanghai Non - ferrous Metals Network was 766.06 yuan/gram, down 10.94 yuan; the spot price of silver was 8211 yuan/kilogram, down 22 yuan. The basis of the Shanghai gold main contract was - 6.22 yuan/gram, down 11.62 yuan; the basis of the Shanghai silver main contract was - 14 yuan/kilogram, down 30 yuan [2]. Supply and Demand Situation - The gold ETF holdings were 922.46 tons, unchanged; the silver ETF holdings were 14,217.5 tons, unchanged. The non - commercial net positions of gold in CFTC were 163,981 contracts, up 2,772 contracts; those of silver in CTFC were 50,042 contracts, up 2,288 contracts. The total supply of gold in the quarter was 1,313.01 tons, up 54.84 tons; the total supply of silver in the year was 987.8 million troy ounces, down 21.4 million troy ounces. The total demand for gold in the quarter was 1,313.01 tons, up 54.83 tons; the global total demand for silver in the year was 1,195 million ounces, down 47.4 million ounces [2]. Option Market - The 20 - day historical volatility of gold was 21.76%, down 0.06%; the 40 - day historical volatility was 27.11%, unchanged. The implied volatility of the at - the - money call option for gold was 27.52%, up 0.03%; the implied volatility of the at - the - money put option was 27.51%, up 0.02% [2]. Industry News - Trump said on social media that he was encouraged by the EU to speed up trade negotiations. The EU is seeking to speed up trade negotiations with the US, focusing on key industries, tariffs, and non - tariff barriers. Hassett said that the tariffs of some countries may be reduced to 10% or lower, and the trade agreement with India is close to completion. Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, signed a law recognizing gold and silver as legal tender in the state to protect Floridians from the impact of the US dollar depreciation. The US consumer confidence index in May rose significantly from 85.7 in April to 98, higher than all economists' expectations [2].