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5.28:周三午后,A股有望继续回升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-28 05:25
Group 1 - The A-share market indices stabilized and rebounded as expected, although individual stocks experienced declines and market sentiment remained low [1] - The analysis focuses on the Shanghai 50 Index and the ChiNext Index, with further analysis planned for the Shanghai Composite Index and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index after the afternoon close [2] Group 2 - The Shanghai 50 Index has shown significant declines over the past three trading days, indicating a strong need for a rebound after three consecutive downward days. Today marks the fourth effective adjustment cycle, suggesting a potential stabilization point [4] - A double top pattern has been confirmed for the Shanghai 50 Index, indicating a mid-term adjustment phase. The upcoming rebound will address the neckline resistance [4] - The index has adjusted to a strong support level near the half-year line, suggesting a likely recovery in the afternoon session [4] Group 3 - The ChiNext Index has experienced four consecutive downward days, with today marking the fifth effective cycle and a potential stabilization point. The formation of a double top pattern has also been confirmed, indicating a mid-term adjustment phase [7] - After eight effective adjustment cycles, the ChiNext Index is expected to see a change in trend, with a potential rebound after touching the ten-unit moving average [7] Group 4 - Overall, the short-term outlook for the major indices suggests a potential rebound, provided that there are no significant declines in the market [8] - The current A-share market environment allows for structural opportunities in individual stocks, contingent on maintaining a correct trend to avoid prolonged losses. A focus on trend trading is essential for achieving stable profits [8]
5.13:变盘节点,周二午后A股有望继续调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 05:38
Group 1 - The major indices of the A-share market are expected to adjust after a period of optimism following favorable news announcements [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for analysis, with a focus on their recent performance and potential adjustments [2][6] - The Shanghai 50 Index shows signs of adjustment with a notable reduction in trading volume, indicating insufficient upward momentum [5][8] Group 2 - The ChiNext Index has experienced a relatively strong performance but lacks significant trading volume, suggesting limited upward momentum [8] - Both indices are at critical turning points, with the potential for further adjustments in the near term [5][8] - The current A-share market environment allows for structural opportunities in individual stocks, provided the overall trend remains stable [8]
5.7:A股,高开低走
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 05:24
周三早盘,受利好消息刺激,沪深A股主要的大盘指数高开幅度明显。盘面上看,多数个股上涨,人气比较高。A股,高开低走。 一、大盘指数分析 中午时间紧张,重点分析上证50指数和创业板指数,下午收盘之后,再重点分析上证指数和科创50指数。 先分析上证50指数。 上证50指数,早盘受利好消息刺激,走出了明显的高开走势。开盘位置,是前方的密集成交区,有大量被套的筹码,大盘指数面临的压力非常大,直接突破 需要比较大的量能。早盘走势来看,量能是不足的。实际上,昨天上证50指数走出了调整信号,只是利好消息短暂改变了大盘指数的走势。因此,大盘指数 直接突破概率微乎其微,接下来一段时间,大盘指数大概率还需要调整。 不荐股,只客观记录本人的分析,不作为买卖依据! 再来看创业板指数。 创业板指数,早盘明显高开,到了前期缺口的上轨处,上方的压力比较大,因此,创业板指数需要调整。目前,日线级别的二十日均线下行,和六十日均线 以及半年线之间的乖离率比较大,修复难度也大,需要创业板指数调整。 六十分钟级别的走势来看,本段上涨,到早盘第一个小时为止,走了九个有效上涨周期,第二小时是变盘节点,所以,午后创业板指数大概率以震荡调整为 主。 二、总结 ...
5.6:周二午后,A股还有冲高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 07:27
Market Overview - The major indices of the A-share market opened positively on Tuesday morning, with most stocks rising and high market sentiment observed [1] - The afternoon session saw further upward movement in the A-share market [1] Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai 50 Index opened high but then dipped, reaching a low point before rebounding. The K-line pattern indicates a less favorable outlook at closing, but it is considered normal for the index to rise today as it marks the fifth effective cycle of recent adjustments, indicating a potential turning point [5] - The first hour of trading showed a long lower shadow with a small body, suggesting apparent strength but underlying weakness in the index's performance. The second hour also saw a rebound after a dip, with two hours remaining until the turning point, suggesting further upward movement in the afternoon [5] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index opened high and continued to rise, leaving a significant gap in the daily K-line. However, there are technical flaws, and a previous large gap remains unfilled, indicating a likelihood of adjustment after the rise [7] - The 20-day moving average is still declining and has not yet flattened, which restricts the ChiNext Index's ability to sustain continuous upward movement [7] - The first hour of trading was the fifth effective cycle of upward movement, indicating a turning point is approaching, and caution is advised for potential pullbacks in the afternoon session [7] Conclusion - The current A-share market is expected to see ongoing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices. Correct trend trading is essential to avoid prolonged losses and achieve stable segment profits [8] - Analyzing K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for gradual investments [8]
5.5:周二,A股能否走出开门红?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-05 12:52
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has completed eight effective upward cycles as of April, indicating that the ninth and tenth cycles are potential turning points for significant price movements [1][3] - The weekly analysis shows that the recent rebound followed four effective adjustment cycles, with the target being the five-week moving average, which has been reached [1][3] - The mid-term turning point for the market indices is expected to be after mid-June, with a likelihood of adjustments and a formation of a larger mid-term bottom [3][4] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index has also completed eight effective cycles, with June and July marking the ninth and tenth cycles, respectively, which are potential turning points [4] - The weekly analysis indicates that the recent rebound is a result of four weeks of effective adjustments, with three to four more cycles needed before reaching a turning point [4] - The index is expected to primarily adjust in the coming weeks, forming a stage bottom [4][6] Short-term Outlook - The short-term outlook for the Shanghai Composite Index suggests a high probability of a slight increase on Tuesday, potentially leading to a positive opening [6] - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks, provided that there are no significant declines in the overall market [6]
4.29:节前最后一个交易日,A股是涨还是跌?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 10:07
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower, filling the long upper shadow left by the previous day's candlestick, indicating a technical correction [3] - The index's candlestick showed a small body with a noticeable upper shadow, signaling a potential stabilization [3] - The weekly moving averages are currently under pressure, suggesting that the index may need further adjustment before a mid-term turnaround [3] Technology Innovation 50 Index - The Technology Innovation 50 Index has reached its fifth effective adjustment cycle, indicating a potential turning point [4] - Today's candlestick showed a low open and a subsequent rise, forming a small bullish candle that compensates for previous technical deficiencies [4] - The index is expected to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday, but a significant mid-term adjustment is still anticipated [4] A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to continue experiencing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices [4] - Successful trend trading is essential for achieving stable profits, with a focus on K-line analysis and structural patterns [4] - The market environment is challenging, and careful navigation is advised to avoid prolonged losses [4]
4.28:探底回升,A股短线是否企稳?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 12:10
今天,重点分析一下上证指数和科创50指数。 先分析上证指数。 上证指数,周期面来看,本段上涨,到昨天为止,走了10个有效上涨周期,是变盘节点,所以,今天调整是正常的。目前,大盘指数运行到了六十日均线和 半年线附近,同时二十日均线行,这样的话,大盘指数面临的压力还是比较大的。所以,大盘指数处在调整周期。加上下方还有一个比较大的缺口,日线级 别还没有走出明显的底部形态,所以,大盘指数未来数个交易日,以调整为主。 周线级别的走势来看,走到了第五个周期,还差4-5周,才到新的变盘节点。所以,大盘指数接下来一段时间很有可能回补前期缺口,构筑底部形态。 短线来看,今天探底回升,日K线下影线比较明显,看起来释放了企稳信号。实际上,今天的K线重心和过去几个交易日K线的重心几乎在同一水平线上, 所以,这不是调整到位信号。周二,大盘指数大概率继续调整。 再来看科创50指数。 周一,沪深A股主要的大盘指数小幅度震荡调整。盘面上看,绝大多数个股下跌,跌停77家,人气比较低迷。探底回升,A股短线是否企稳? 一、大盘指数分析 科创50指数,今天走出十字星,连续两个交易日走出这样的K线,意味着短线大概率有企稳动作。周期面来看,走了四个有效 ...