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中泰期货晨会纪要-20251201
Zhong Tai Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 02:46
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The report provides market trend judgments and investment suggestions for various commodities, including macro - financial, black, non - ferrous, agricultural, and energy - chemical sectors. It analyzes the current situation, influencing factors, and future trends of each commodity, aiming to help investors make decisions [2][3][13][14]. Summary by Directory Macro Information - Politburo meetings focus on central inspections and network ecological governance. The official manufacturing PMI in November was 49.2, and the non - manufacturing business activity index was 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. The central bank cracks down on virtual currency trading, and the Ministry of Finance releases state - owned enterprise revenue and profit data. The China Securities Regulatory Commission solicits opinions on regulatory measures, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology promotes battery industry governance and satellite IoT business trials. The National Space Administration establishes a commercial space department, and six major state - owned banks withdraw 5 - year large - denomination certificates of deposit. The real estate TOP100 enterprises' land acquisition increased by 14.1% year - on - year from January to November [7][8][9]. Macro - Financial Stock Index Futures - Adopt an oscillatory approach and wait and see. In November, stock indices fell, and the market turnover reached a 4 - month low. Industrial enterprise data showed a short - term decline in October, but there were highlights in the equipment and high - tech manufacturing industries. The manufacturing and non - manufacturing PMIs in November were below expectations and in the contraction range [13]. Treasury Bond Futures - The bond market may continue to fluctuate widely. The recent sharp decline of bonds was affected by the redemption of public bond funds. For 10 - year medium - short - duration bonds, consider buying on dips, and be cautious with ultra - long - duration bonds. Pay attention to the central bank's bond - buying scale [14]. Black Coal and Coke - The prices of coking coal and coke may continue to oscillate weakly in the short term. Coal production may be restricted by safety supervision and environmental protection at the end of the year, but short - term supply may increase, and potential negative feedback risks from weak steel demand still exist [16]. Ferroalloys - In early December, focus on the settlement electricity fees in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia. Silicon iron plants may have a higher probability of production cuts. It is recommended to go long on silicon iron in the medium term and wait and see on manganese silicon [17]. Non - Ferrous and New Materials Shanghai Zinc - As of November 27, domestic zinc inventories decreased. It is recommended to hold short positions at high levels or take profits and operate cyclically. Zinc prices have been fluctuating, with short - term support from falling processing fees, but downstream procurement is still cautious [22]. Shanghai Lead - As of November 27, lead inventories decreased. It is recommended to hold short positions cautiously. The supply of lead is regionally tight, and the production enthusiasm of secondary lead enterprises has declined [23]. Lithium Carbonate - In the short term, it will fluctuate widely. Although the medium - to - long - term demand is good, the recent fundamental weakening limits the upward space. The concentrated cancellation of warehouse receipts at the end of the month is beneficial to the market, but the policy may have a negative impact [24]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - Both will continue to oscillate. Industrial silicon has limited downward adjustment space due to potential environmental protection impacts on supply. Polysilicon has a strong willingness of upstream to support prices, but weak supply - demand contradictions limit the upward movement [26]. Agricultural Products Cotton - Zhengzhou cotton may oscillate and rebound due to high costs and a strong basis, but the supply pressure is large, and the demand is weak. The USDA's November report was negative for cotton, and domestic cotton inventories are accumulating [28][29]. Sugar - Domestic sugar prices are under pressure from new sugar supply, but cost support limits the decline. Globally, there is an expected surplus of sugar in the 2025/26 season [30]. Eggs - The near - term 01 contract may oscillate. There is an expectation of price increase before the Spring Festival, but the increase may be limited. The far - term contracts may be strong due to the expected decline in inventory, but be cautious about chasing high prices [32][33]. Apples - The price trend is expected to be oscillatory and slightly strong. The apple storage is almost finished, and the inventory is lower than last year. The trading in the production areas has slowed down, and the sales in the consumer areas are affected by citrus [34][35]. Corn - The 01 contract may oscillate at a high level in the short term, but the upward momentum may weaken. The far - term contracts may be weaker due to potential supply pressure [36]. Red Dates - It is recommended to wait and see. The prices in the production and sales areas are stable at a low level, and the futures market is weak [37][38]. Live Pigs - In the short term, the supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is average. It is recommended to go short on the near - term contracts at high prices. In the long term, the decline in the number of breeding sows is beneficial to future pig prices [38][39]. Energy - Chemical Crude Oil - The price is oscillating. The market is trading around geopolitical conflicts. If a cease - fire agreement is reached, the geopolitical premium may fade. OPEC+ may continue to suspend production increases, but it is difficult to reverse the supply surplus [41]. Fuel Oil - The price follows the trend of crude oil. The supply is loose, and the demand is weak. The short - term focus is on geopolitical factors [42]. Plastics - Polyolefins may oscillate weakly due to high supply pressure and weak demand. Although the upstream is losing money, there is no strong driving force for a sharp rise [43][44]. Rubber - The price may be oscillatory and slightly strong in the short term. Pay attention to the impact of Southeast Asian weather on supply. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options or buy call options [45]. Synthetic Rubber - It is recommended to sell call options at high prices or go short. The raw material may continue to decline, and the price may be under pressure after the restart of maintenance devices [46]. Methanol - Near - term contracts should be treated with an oscillatory approach, and far - term contracts can also be oscillatory. If inventory reduction is smooth, a slightly long - biased configuration can be considered [47]. Caustic Soda - Maintain an oscillatory approach. The spot price is falling, and the fundamentals have not improved significantly [48]. Asphalt - The price fluctuation may increase. The focus is on the price bottom after the winter storage game. The real - time demand is ending, and the winter storage has not started [49]. Polyester Industry Chain - The current supply - demand structure is okay, and the price may be strong in the short term due to rising oil prices, but the upward driving force is weakening [50]. Liquefied Petroleum Gas - The price increase may not be sustainable. Be cautious about chasing high prices. The supply is regionally mismatched, and the demand side may form a negative feedback [51]. Pulp - It is expected to enter an oscillatory range. It is recommended to wait and see. Options can be used for cost - reduction, efficiency - improvement, or hedging [53]. Logs - The fundamentals are oscillatory and weak. The inventory may start to accumulate, and the price is expected to be under pressure [53]. Urea - The spot price may be oscillatory and strong, and the futures market may have short - term emotional trading. Adopt a short - term intraday long approach [54].
11月股指期货市场运行报告
Hua Long Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 01:50
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The market is expected to maintain a short - term volatile pattern. Although the economic fundamentals show structural improvement, the short - term repair market is insufficient to boost market confidence. The long - term positive trend remains unchanged, but valuation pressure and external uncertainties will restrict the upward space of the index. Investors should be patient and wait for clearer market signals [34]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Market Review - In November, the stock index futures market showed an overall volatile and corrective trend, with all major contracts recording monthly declines. Among them, the CSI 500 index futures had the most significant adjustment, followed by the SSE 300 index futures, while the SSE 50 and CSI 1000 index futures were relatively resilient. Specific data for major futures contracts on November 28th: SSE 300 futures (IF) closed at 4,505.8 with a monthly decline of 2.71% (125.6); SSE 50 futures (IH) closed at 2,963.2 with a monthly decline of 1.72% (52.0); CSI 500 futures (IC) closed at 6,974.2 with a monthly decline of 3.70% (- 268.2); CSI 1000 futures (IM) closed at 7,260.8 with a monthly decline of 1.46% (- 107.4) [5]. - In November, all bond futures declined. On November 28th, the 30 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 114.490 with a monthly decline of 1.60% (- 1.86); the 10 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 107.940 with a monthly decline of 0.43% (- 0.465); the 5 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 105.745 with a monthly decline of 0.32% (- 0.245); the 2 - year Treasury bond futures closed at 102.378 with a monthly decline of 0.12% (- 0.120) [6]. 3.2 Fundamental Analysis - In November, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, with improved business levels [7]. - In November, the non - manufacturing business activity index was 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [11]. - In November, the composite PMI output index was 49.7%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [12]. 3.3 Valuation Analysis - As of November 28th, the PE of the SSE 300 index was 13.94 times, the percentile was 80.2%, and the PB was 1.45 times; the PE of the SSE 50 index was 11.83 times, the percentile was 88.43%, and the PB was 1.29 times; the PE of the CSI 500 index was 32.03 times, the percentile was 76.47%, and the PB was 2.19 times; the PE of the CSI 1000 index was 46.44 times, the percentile was 73.33%, and the PB was 2.44 times [15]. 3.4 Other Data - Stock - bond spread: There are two calculation formulas. One is (1/Index static P/E ratio) - 10 - year Treasury bond yield, and the other is 10 - year Treasury bond yield - Index static dividend yield [28]. - China - Buffett indicator: On November 28, 2025, the ratio of total market capitalization to GDP was 88.25%. The current "total market capitalization/GDP" was at the 87.44% percentile in historical data and the 91.31% percentile in the past 10 - year data [32]. 3.5 Comprehensive Analysis - Macroeconomically, the official manufacturing PMI in November rebounded slightly but remained in the contraction range. The high - tech manufacturing PMI has been in the expansion range for 10 consecutive months, indicating continuous economic structural transformation. The non - manufacturing business activity index declined, with the construction industry showing obvious improvement in business levels and significantly improved market expectations [34]. - In terms of valuation, although the market has adjusted, the valuation percentiles of major indices are still at relatively high historical levels. The ratio of total market capitalization to GDP remains high, indicating that the overall market valuation pressure still exists [34]. 3.6 Operation Suggestions - Adopt a neutral approach, pay attention to layout opportunities after market adjustments, and closely monitor subsequent economic data and policy trends. For unilateral trading, consider bottom - fishing but beware of valuation risks; for arbitrage, stay on the sidelines; for options, consider covered strategies to increase returns [35][36].
股指期货周报-20251128
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-11-28 10:47
瑞达期货研究院 「2025.11.28」 股指期货周报 作者:廖宏斌 期货从业资格号F30825507 期货投资咨询证号:Z0020723 联系电话:4008-8787-66 业务咨询 添加客服 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 目录 1、行情回顾 2、消息面概览 3、周度市场数据 4、行情展望与策略 「摘要」 「行情回顾」 | 期货 | 合约名称 | 周涨跌幅% | 周五涨跌幅% | 收盘价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | IF2512 | 1.75 | 0.14 | 4505.8 | | | IH2512 | 0.57 | -0.05 | 2963.2 | | | IC2512 | 3.02 | 0.95 | 6874.2 | | | IM2512 | 3.46 | 0.95 | 7260.8 | | 现货 | 指数名称 | | | 收盘价 | | | 沪深300 | 1.64 | 0.25 | 4526.66 | | | 上证50 | 0.47 | -0.09 | 2969.62 | | | 中证500 | 3.14 | 1.15 | 7031.55 | ...
中证500股指期货(IC)主力合约日内涨超1.00%,现报6978.0点
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-28 07:58
每经AI快讯,11月28日,中证500股指期货(IC)主力合约日内涨超1.00%,现报6978.0点。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) ...
FICC日报:市场抛压减弱,沪指收红-20251128
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-28 05:37
FICC日报 | 2025-11-28 市场抛压减弱,沪指收红 市场分析 企业利润回落。宏观方面,国家统计局公布数据显示,1-10月份,全国规模以上工业企业利润总额同比增长1.9%, 累计增速连续三个月保持增长。10月份,规模以上工业企业利润同比下降5.5%。对外方面,中国贸促会新闻发言 人称,应美国商会邀请,中国贸促会将于12月初组织中国企业家代表团访问美国。海外方面,欧洲央行发布10月 会议纪要,详解其在该次会议上按兵不动的依据,进一步强化了市场对本轮降息周期终结的预期。欧洲央行管委 卡扎克斯最新表示,鉴于欧元区通胀仍可能高于预期,目前讨论再次降息为时尚早。 沪指收红。现货市场,A股三大指数延续冲高回落走势,沪指涨0.29%收于3875.26点,创业板指跌0.44%。行业方 面,板块指数涨跌互现,轻工制造、基础化工、石油石化行业涨幅居前,传媒、商贸零售、计算机行业跌幅居前。 当日沪深两市成交额为1.8万亿元。海外方面,美股因感恩节休市。欧洲三大股指收盘小幅上涨,德国DAX指数涨 0.18%报23767.96点。 期指活跃度提升。期货市场,基差方面,IH、IF、IC贴水程度收窄。成交持仓方面,股指期货的成交 ...
股指期货日度数据跟踪2025-11-28-20251128
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2025-11-28 03:02
Report Summary 1. Index Trends - On November 27th, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29% to close at 3875.26 points, with a trading volume of 698.519 billion yuan. The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to close at 12875.19 points, with a trading volume of 1011.275 billion yuan [1]. - The CSI 1000 Index rose by 0.12% with a trading volume of 365.626 billion yuan. The CSI 500 Index fell by 0.2% with a trading volume of 253.013 billion yuan. The SSE 50 Index rose by 0.02% with a trading volume of 105.106 billion yuan. The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.05% with a trading volume of 417.79 billion yuan [1]. 2. Impact of Sector Movements on Indexes - For the CSI 1000, sectors such as electronics, power equipment, and communication pulled the index up, while pharmaceutical biology, computer, and media sectors pulled it down [3]. - For the CSI 500, basic chemicals, power equipment, and non - ferrous metals sectors pulled the index up, while media, electronics, and computer sectors pulled it down [3]. - For the CSI 300, banks, basic chemicals, and public utilities sectors pulled the index up, while computer, pharmaceutical biology, and power equipment sectors pulled it down [3]. - For the SSE 50, banks, basic chemicals, and coal sectors pulled the index up, while communication, machinery, and pharmaceutical biology sectors pulled it down [3]. 3. Futures Basis and Annualized Opening Costs - The average daily basis for IM00 was -72.04, IM01 was -143.98, IM02 was -294.56, and IM03 was -530.53. For IC00, it was -47.73; IC01, -103.75; IC02, -213.96; IC03, -420.19. For IF00, it was -16.24; IF01, -31.18; IF02, -48.51; IF03, -95.63. For IH00, it was -4.95; IH01, -9.43; IH02, -10.66; IH03, -19.69 [13]. 4. Futures Roll - over Point Differences and Annualized Costs - Data on the roll - over point differences and their annualized costs for IM, IC, IF, and IH futures at different time intervals (15 - minute means) are provided, including specific point differences and cost calculations [23][25][26].
大类资产早报-20251128
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-28 01:30
Global Asset Market Performance - The latest yields of 10 - year government bonds in major economies: US 3.995, UK 4.449, France 3.409, Germany 2.679, Italy 3.401, Spain 3.164, Switzerland 0.139, Greece 3.286, Japan 1.795, China 1.844, Australia 4.495, New Zealand 4.228 [3] - The latest yields of 2 - year government bonds in major economies: US 3.477, UK 3.747, Germany 2.025, Japan 0.968, Italy 2.181, China (1Y yield) 1.410, Australia 3.774 [3] - The latest exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies: Brazil 5.354, South Africa zar 17.156, Korean won 1462.650, Thai baht 32.237, Malaysian ringgit 4.132 [3] - The latest values of on - shore RMB 7.080, off - shore RMB 7.074, RMB central parity rate 7.078, RMB 12 - month NDF 6.939 [3] - The latest values of major economies' stock indices: Mexican index 62694.730, UK index 9693.930, France CAC 8099.470, Germany DAX 23767.960, Spanish index 16361.800, Japanese Nikkei 50167.100, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index 25945.930, Shanghai Composite Index 3875.260, Taiwan index 27554.530, South Korean index 3986.910, Indian index 8545.865, Thai index 1252.710, Malaysian index 1617.460, Australian index 8912.027, emerging - economy index 1370.390 [3] - The latest values of credit - bond indices: US investment - grade credit - bond index 3556.200, euro - zone investment - grade credit - bond index 266.314, emerging - economy investment - grade credit - bond index 290.370, US high - yield credit - bond index 2892.130, euro - zone high - yield credit - bond index 408.530, emerging - economy high - yield credit - bond index 1799.674 [3] Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - Closing prices: A - shares 3875.26, CSI 300 4515.40, SSE 50 2972.27, ChiNext 3031.30, CSI 500 6951.28 [4] - Percentage changes: A - shares 0.29%, CSI 300 - 0.05%, SSE 50 0.02%, ChiNext - 0.44%, CSI 500 - 0.20% [4] Valuation - PE (TTM): CSI 300 13.95, SSE 50 11.88, CSI 500 31.67, S&P 500 27.08, Germany DAX 18.43 [4] -环比 changes: CSI 300 0.03, SSE 50 0.03, CSI 500 - 0.07, S&P 500 0.00, Germany DAX 0.04 [4] Risk Premium - 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate: S&P 500 - 0.30, Germany DAX 2.75 [4] -环比 changes: S&P 500 0.00, Germany DAX - 0.02 [4] Fund Flows - Latest values: A - shares - 623.07, main board - 470.76, ChiNext - 114.30, CSI 300 - 77.38 [4] - 5 - day average values: A - shares - 435.46, main board - 401.54, ChiNext - 25.24, CSI 300 - 52.11 [4] Transaction Data of Other Markets Transaction Amount - Latest values: Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets 17097.94, CSI 300 4177.90, SSE 50 1051.06, small - and medium - sized board 3275.75, ChiNext 4947.35 [5] -环比 changes: Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets - 735.52, CSI 300 - 95.71, SSE 50 78.48, small - and medium - sized board - 297.22, ChiNext - 288.64 [5] Main Contract Basis - Basis: IF - 22.80, IH - 9.87, IC - 55.08 [5] - Magnitude: IF - 0.50%, IH - 0.33%, IC - 0.79% [5] Treasury Bond Futures - Closing prices: T2303 108.12, TF2303 105.68, T2306 107.90, TF2306 105.77 [5] - Percentage changes: T2303 0.05%, TF2303 0.03%, T2306 0.04%, TF2306 0.03% [5] Fund Rates - Rates: R001 1.3706%, R007 1.5185%, SHIBOR - 3M 1.5800% [5] - Daily changes: R001 - 15.00 BP, R007 0.00 BP, SHIBOR - 3M 0.00 BP [5]
股指期货:股指冲高后回落,交投氛围较弱
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-11-28 00:17
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - Today, the stock index rose first and then fell, showing mixed trends. The trading volume in the two markets slightly decreased. Due to the previous U.S. government shutdown, the latest PCE price index was not available, and the expectation of interest rate cuts did not change much. In October, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size in China decreased by 5.5% year-on-year, indicating a continuation of the weak fundamental state. Without new positive factors, the stock index maintained a volatile trend today. However, except for the slight convergence of the discount of IF in the basis of stock index futures, the discounts of the rest deepened. The dividend index led the rise again, indicating that market sentiment has cooled down and become more cautious. Currently, both the upper pressure and the lower support have weakened. In the short term, it is expected to mainly show a narrow - range oscillation [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Review - Today, the stock index rose first and then fell, showing mixed trends. Taking the CSI 300 Index as an example, it closed down 0.05%. In terms of capital, the trading volume in the two markets decreased by 735.53 billion yuan. In the stock index futures market, IM declined with increasing volume, and the rest of the varieties also declined with increasing volume [2]. Important Information - In October, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 5.5% year - on - year. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending November 22 was 216,000, with an expected 225,000 [3]. Strategy Recommendation - Hold positions and wait and see [5]. Futures Market Observation | | IF | IH | IC | IM | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Main contract intraday change (%) | -0.11 | -0.11 | -0.33 | -0.08 | | Trading volume (10,000 lots) | 10.0893 | 4.2497 | 11.2976 | 18.3443 | | Trading volume MoM (10,000 lots) | 0.3606 | 0.7008 | 0.6006 | 0.5893 | | Open interest (10,000 lots) | 26.4196 | 9.2285 | 25.457 | 36.4043 | | Open interest MoM (10,000 lots) | 0.4902 | 0.6077 | 0.5482 | 0.2816 | [5] Spot Market Observation | Name | Value | | --- | --- | | Shanghai Composite Index change (%) | 0.29 | | Shenzhen Component Index change (%) | -0.25 | | Ratio of rising to falling stocks | 1.14 | | Trading volume in the two markets (billion yuan) | 17097.94 | | Trading volume MoM (billion yuan) | -735.53 | [6]
银河期货股指期货数据日报-20251127
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-11-27 09:58
Report Information - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Data Daily Report [1] - Report Date: November 27, 2025 [2] IM Futures Market Summary - The CSI 1000 index closed at 7,257.45 points, up 0.12% [4]. - The IM main contract (IM2512) closed at 7,179.00 points, down 0.13% [4]. - The total trading volume of the four IM contracts was 183,443 lots, an increase of 5,893 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 364,043 lots, an increase of 2,816 lots from the previous day [5]. - The IM main contract was at a discount of 78.45 points, a decrease of 6.2 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -17.34% [5]. Contract Details | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Trading Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Interest Change | Margin | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 1000 | 7,257.45 | 0.12% | 21,128 | -9% | 3,656 | -3% | - | - | - | | IM2512 | 7,179.00 | -0.08% | 130,117 | 3% | 1,879 | 4% | 203,626 | 735 | 351 | | IM2601 | 7,103.60 | -0.13% | 6,249 | -6% | 89 | -6% | 10,513 | 914 | 18 | | IM2603 | 6,954.80 | -0.16% | 33,067 | 7% | 463 | 7% | 96,829 | 656 | 162 | | IM2606 | 6,720.00 | -0.19% | 14,010 | -1% | 189 | -1% | 53,075 | 511 | 86 | [4] Key Seats - For IM2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (agency), Guotai Junan (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), Dongzheng Futures (agency), and Zhongtai Futures (agency) [18]. - The top five seats in terms of long positions were Guotai Junan (agency), CITIC Futures (agency), Yide Futures (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), and Guotou Futures (agency) [18]. - The top five seats in terms of short positions were CITIC Futures (agency), Guotai Junan (agency), Huatai Futures (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), and CITIC Construction Investment (agency) [18]. IF Futures Market Summary - The Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 index closed at 4,515.40 points, down 0.05% [23]. - The IF main contract (IF2512) closed at 4,492.60 points, down 0.14% [23]. - The total trading volume of the four IF contracts was 100,893 lots, an increase of 3,606 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 264,196 lots, an increase of 4,902 lots from the previous day [24]. - The IF main contract was at a discount of 22.8 points, an increase of 1.83 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -8.05% [24]. Contract Details | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Trading Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Interest Change | Margin | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 | 4,515.40 | -0.05% | 15,031 | -4% | 4,178 | -2% | - | - | - | | IF2512 | 4,492.60 | -0.11% | 72,122 | 2% | 978 | 3% | 155,679 | -226 | 252 | | IF2601 | 4,477.00 | -0.14% | 3,268 | -7% | 44 | -7% | 4,626 | 550 | 7 | | IF2603 | 4,460.20 | -0.12% | 21,154 | 17% | 285 | 17% | 80,525 | 4,447 | 129 | | IF2606 | 4,414.80 | -0.11% | 4,349 | -14% | 58 | -14% | 23,366 | 131 | 37 | [23] Key Seats - For IF2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (agency), Guotai Junan (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), Dongzheng Futures (agency), and Guoxin Futures (agency) [36]. - The top five seats in terms of long positions were Guotai Junan (agency), CITIC Futures (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), Dongzheng Futures (agency), and Guotou Futures (agency) [36]. - The top five seats in terms of short positions were CITIC Futures (agency), Guotai Junan (agency), Huatai Futures (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), and Guotou Futures (agency) [36]. IC Futures Market Summary - The CSI 500 index closed at 6,951.28 points, down 0.20% [41]. - The IC main contract (IC2512) closed at 6,896.20 points, down 0.40% [41]. - The total trading volume of the four IC contracts was 112,976 lots, an increase of 6,006 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 254,570 lots, an increase of 5,482 lots from the previous day [42]. - The IC main contract was at a discount of 55.08 points, an increase of 0.57 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -12.68% [42]. Contract Details | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Trading Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Interest Change | Margin | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 500 | 6,951.28 | -0.20% | 13,784 | -7% | 2,530 | -8% | - | - | - | | IC2512 | 6,896.20 | -0.33% | 76,028 | 2% | 1,057 | 2% | 145,804 | 1,894 | 241 | | IC2601 | 6,838.00 | -0.40% | 4,312 | 32% | 59 | 32% | 6,584 | 1,452 | 11 | | IC2603 | 6,728.80 | -0.38% | 24,663 | 14% | 335 | 14% | 71,624 | 1,094 | 116 | | IC2606 | 6,520.20 | -0.45% | 7,973 | 3% | 105 | 3% | 30,558 | 1,042 | 48 | [41] Key Seats - For IC2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (agency), Guotai Junan (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), Dongzheng Futures (agency), and Huawen Futures (agency) [53]. - The top five seats in terms of long positions were Guotai Junan (agency), CITIC Futures (agency), Galaxy Futures (agency), Huatai Futures (agency), and Yong'an Futures (agency) [53]. - The top five seats in terms of short positions were CITIC Futures (agency), Guotai Junan (agency), Huatai Futures (agency), Guotou Futures (agency), and Haitong Futures (agency) [53]. IH Futures Market Summary - The Shanghai 50 index closed at 2,972.27 points, up 0.02% [59]. - The IH main contract (IH2512) closed at 2,962.40 points, down 0.15% [59]. - The total trading volume of the four IH contracts was 42,497 lots, an increase of 7,008 lots from the previous day; the total open interest was 92,285 lots, an increase of 6,077 lots from the previous day [59]. - The IH main contract was at a discount of 9.87 points, a decrease of 2.67 points from the previous day; the annualized basis rate was -5.28% [60]. Contract Details | Contract | Closing Price | Change | Trading Volume | Volume Change | Turnover | Turnover Change | Open Interest | Interest Change | Margin | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Shanghai 50 | 2,972.27 | 0.02% | 3,929 | -2% | 1,051 | -8% | - | - | - | | IH2512 | 2,962.40 | -0.11% | 30,995 | 17% | 276 | 17% | 61,159 | 3,149 | 65 | | IH2601 | 2,957.20 | -0.15% | 1,080 | -12% | 10 | -12% | 1,545 | 71 | 2 | | IH2603 | 2,955.60 | -0.15% | 8,305 | 42% | 74 | 42% | 22,542 | 2,221 | 24 | | IH2606 | 2,945.20 | -0.24% | 2,117 | 9% | 19 | 9% | 7,039 | 636 | 7 | [59] Key Seats - For IH2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (agency), Guotai Junan (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), Dongzheng Futures (agency), and Guoxin Futures (agency) [73]. - The top five seats in terms of long positions were Guotai Junan (agency), CITIC Futures (agency), Yong'an Futures (agency), Zhongtai Futures (agency), and Dongzheng Futures (agency) [73]. - The top five seats in terms of short positions were Guotai Junan (agency), CITIC Futures (agency), GF Futures (agency), Haitong Futures (agency), and Everbright Futures (agency) [73].
银河期货股指期货数据日报-20251126
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 10:03
1. Report Title and Date - The report is titled "Stock Index Futures Data Daily Report" dated November 26, 2025 [1][2] 2. IM Futures 2.1 Daily Quotes - The closing price of CSI 1000 was 7,248.45 points, down 0.02%. The total trading volume of the four IM contracts was 177,550 lots, down 35,642 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 361,227 lots, down 6,709 lots from the previous day. The main contract IM2512 closed at 7,176.20 points, down 0.09%, with a trading volume of 125,795 lots, down 18%, and an open interest of 202,891 lots, down 8,427 lots [3][5] - The premium/discount of the main contract was -72.25 points, up 5.7 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was -15.31% [5] 2.2 Main Seats - In IM2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) with 13,190 lots, down 1,259 lots; Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) with 11,393 lots, down 555 lots; Haitong Futures (on behalf of clients) with 4,667 lots, down 1,113 lots; Dongzheng Futures (on behalf of clients) with 2,984 lots, down 463 lots; and Zhongtai Futures (on behalf of clients) with 2,540 lots, down 251 lots [18] 3. IF Futures 3.1 Daily Quotes - The closing price of CSI 300 was 4,517.63 points, up 0.61%. The total trading volume of the four IF contracts was 97,287 lots, down 11,646 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 259,294 lots, down 5,280 lots from the previous day. The main contract IF2512 closed at 4,493.00 points, up 0.42%, with a trading volume of 70,583 lots, down 9%, and an open interest of 155,905 lots, down 4,903 lots [23][24] - The premium/discount of the main contract was -24.63 points, down 7.23 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was -8.34% [24] 3.2 Main Seats - In IF2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) with 22,074 lots, down 2,372 lots; Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) with 21,738 lots, down 471 lots; Haitong Futures (on behalf of clients) with 10,136 lots, down 656 lots; Dongzheng Futures (on behalf of clients) with 8,789 lots, down 905 lots; and Guoxin Futures (on behalf of clients) with 4,602 lots, down 816 lots [37] 4. IC Futures 4.1 Daily Quotes - The closing price of CSI 500 was 6,965.05 points, up 0.15%. The total trading volume of the four IC contracts was 106,970 lots, down 27,747 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 249,088 lots, down 9,043 lots from the previous day. The main contract IC2512 closed at 6,909.40 points, down 0.08%, with a trading volume of 74,334 lots, down 21%, and an open interest of 143,910 lots, down 8,529 lots [42][43] - The premium/discount of the main contract was -55.65 points, down 1.05 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was -12.25% [43] 4.2 Main Seats - In IC2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) with 9,232 lots, down 1,975 lots; Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) with 6,639 lots, down 1,575 lots; Haitong Futures (on behalf of clients) with 3,627 lots, down 478 lots; Dongzheng Futures (on behalf of clients) with 2,480 lots, down 454 lots; and Huawen Futures (on behalf of clients) with 1,714 lots, down 255 lots [53] 5. IH Futures 5.1 Daily Quotes - The closing price of SSE 50 was 2,971.80 points, up 0.12%. The total trading volume of the four IH contracts was 35,489 lots, down 8,377 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 86,208 lots, down 2,274 lots from the previous day. The main contract IH2512 closed at 2,964.60 points, up 0.14%, with a trading volume of 26,457 lots, down 19%, and an open interest of 58,010 lots, down 1,525 lots [59] - The premium/discount of the main contract was -7.2 points, up 1.8 points from the previous day, and the annualized basis rate was -3.69% [60] 5.2 Main Seats - In IH2512, the top five seats in terms of trading volume were CITIC Futures (on behalf of clients) with 8,245 lots, down 1,421 lots; Guotai Junan (on behalf of clients) with 7,641 lots, down 1,879 lots; Haitong Futures (on behalf of clients) with 4,047 lots, down 345 lots; Dongzheng Futures (on behalf of clients) with 2,783 lots, down 1,038 lots; and Guoxin Futures (on behalf of clients) with 2,587 lots, down 365 lots [74]