降准降息

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降准又降息!险资又添600亿“新弹药”,路线图详解!数据说话,节后投资主线怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 08:28
Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) saw a volume increase and closed up 0.82%, marking two consecutive days of gains, with funds increasing by over 95 million yuan for five consecutive days [1] - The Bank ETF leader (512820) ended a three-day decline with a 1.42% increase, with a trading volume exceeding 54 million yuan, a 39% increase compared to the previous period [3] Group 2: Insurance Capital Preferences - In 2022, insurance capital initiated a new wave of "stake acquisitions," with eight insurance companies making a total of 20 acquisitions, predominantly targeting dividend assets, particularly the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China H-shares, which exhibit low valuation and high dividend characteristics [5] - In 2023, insurance giants have made 12 stake acquisitions involving 11 stocks, continuing their preference for banks and Hong Kong dividend assets [5] Group 3: Investment Environment - The insurance capital's demand for equity asset allocation has increased due to new regulations aimed at reducing profit volatility and a shift towards flexible dividend insurance products [7] - Policies are strongly supporting insurance capital and other long-term funds entering the market, with a target for large state-owned insurance companies to invest 30% of new premiums in A-shares starting in 2025 [7] Group 4: Dividend Asset Characteristics - High dividend assets are favored in a low-interest-rate environment, as they provide stable returns and lower volatility compared to growth stocks, making them attractive for insurance capital [7] - The Hong Kong dividend assets have a higher cash dividend ratio of 48.9% compared to A-shares at 41.8%, and the dividend yield of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF Fund (513820) is 8.88%, leading the market's mainstream dividend indices [8][9] Group 5: Banking Sector Insights - The banking sector is characterized by high dividends and low valuations, with the Bank ETF leader (512820) showing a dividend yield of 6.71%, the highest among all secondary industry indices [9] - The banking industry is closely tied to macroeconomic growth, and with ongoing policies to stabilize growth, there is potential for improvement in profitability and valuations within the banking sector [10]
不一样的降准降息!央行“十箭齐发”,重磅解读→
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-07 07:46
作 者丨唐婧 编 辑丨杨希 5月7日上午9时,国新办举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行行长潘功胜、金融监管总局局长李云 泽、中国证监会主席吴清介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况。 潘功胜在会上正式宣布,降低存款准备金率0 . 5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万 亿元;完善存款准备金制度,阶段性将汽车金融公司、金融租赁公司的存款准备金率从目前的 5%调降为0%。 潘功胜还称,下调政策利率0 . 1个百分点,即公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率从目前的1 . 5%调 降至1 . 4%,预计将带动贷款市场报价利率(LPR)同步下行约0 . 1个百分点。此外,下调结构 性货币政策工具利率0 . 2 5个百分点,降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0 . 2 5个百分点。 本次降准降息的一大背景是,4月中国采购经理指数(P M I)再次回到临界点以下。4月 3 0 日 , 国 家 统 计 局 服 务 业 调 查 中 心 和 中 国 物 流 与 采 购 联 合 会 发 布 的 数 据 显 示 , 4 月 份 , 制造业采购经理指数为4 9 . 0 %,比上月下降1 . 5个百分点,回落至临界点以下;非制造业 商务活动指数 ...
金融政策多箭齐发稳市场稳预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 07:36
降准又降息!金融政策多箭齐发。 5月7日,国新办就"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况举行新闻发布会。央行、金融监管总局、证监会三大金融监管部门"一把手"同台出席。 增加支农支小再贷款额度3000亿元,这将进一步支持商业银行扩大对涉农、小微,特别是中小民营企业的贷款投放。 此次会议在早上九点开始,在股市开盘前打出政策"组合拳",传递信号非同一般,A股三大股指集体高开。 有力度 一揽子金融政策拿出真金白银,力度很大,彰显稳市场稳预期之决心。 降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。阶段性将汽车金融公司、金融租赁公司的存款准备金率从5%调降为0%。下调 政策利率0.1个百分点。下调结构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点。 降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点,五年期以上首套房利率由2.85%降至2.6%,其他期限利率同步调整,预计每年将节省居民公积金贷款利息支 出超过200亿元。 粤开证券首席经济学家罗志恒对三里河表示,当前关税战有可能对二季度的出口产生影响,要进一步提振内需以填补外需下行缺口,这就要求进一步稳定 楼市股市、提振消费、扩大有效投资,降准降息必要性和迫切性进 ...
中国央行8个月来再次降准降息
日经中文网· 2025-05-07 07:06
中国人民银行总行(北京市) 定位为主要的政策利率的7天期短期利率从1.5%下调至1.4%,存款准备金率也下调0.5个百分 点。目的是通过降息来降低整体利率,支撑因特朗普关税等中美贸易摩擦而可能放缓的经济…… 中国人民银行(央行)行长潘功胜在5月7日的记者会上宣布,将用于向商业银行注入资金的7天 期短期利率(逆回购操作利率)从1.5%下调至1.4%,下调0.1%。显示金融机构缴存在中央银行 的存款比例的存款准备金率也下调0.5个百分点。 中国人民银行将7天期短期利率定位为主要的政策利率。预计通过此次降息,贷款市场报价利 率(LPR)也将下调0.1%左右。 目的是通过降息来降低整体利率,支撑因特朗普关税等中美贸易摩擦而可能放缓的经济。这 是自2024年9月的8个月来再次降息。 由于存款准备金率的下降,金融机构将能减少存入央行的资金,银行用于信贷的能力将加 强。潘功胜预测称,随着存款准备金率的下调,预计向金融市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。 由于美国对中国加征关税,中国的出口产业将受到巨大冲击。出口不振将导致内需下滑,因 此此次记者会还表示将提供旨在刺激国内消费的资金。将推出以服务支出等为用途的5000亿 元的低息贷 ...
央行十箭齐发:全面降准降息,五项工具支持科创、消费、普惠
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 06:49
Monetary Policy Overview - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a comprehensive package of monetary policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, including a 0.5% reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and targeted RRR cuts for auto finance and financial leasing companies [2][3] - The total monetary policy measures include five items, with two being quantity-based policies and three being price-based policies [4][2] Quantity-Based Policies - A comprehensive RRR cut of 0.5% is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market, reducing the average RRR from 6.6% to 6.2% [5][6] - Targeted RRR cuts will reduce the RRR for auto finance and financial leasing companies from 5% to 0%, enhancing their credit supply capabilities [6][7] Price-Based Policies - The policy interest rate will be lowered by 0.1%, bringing the 7-day reverse repurchase rate down from 1.5% to 1.4%, which is expected to lead to a similar decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [8][9] - Structural monetary policy tool rates will be reduced by 0.25%, including a drop in the rates for various special structural tools and the pledged supplementary loan (PSL) rate [9][10] - The personal housing provident fund loan rate will be reduced by 0.25%, with the five-year rate for first-time homebuyers decreasing from 2.85% to 2.6%, potentially saving residents over 20 billion yuan in interest payments annually [11] Structural Monetary Policy Tools - Five structural monetary policy tools were introduced to support technology innovation, consumption, and inclusive finance [12] - The re-lending quota for technology innovation and technical transformation will increase from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan, while the quota for agricultural and small business support will rise by 300 billion yuan to 3 trillion yuan [13] - A new 500 billion yuan "service consumption and elderly care re-lending" tool will be established to enhance credit support for service consumption and the elderly care industry [13] - The existing tools for capital market support will be merged into a total of 800 billion yuan to improve flexibility and meet market demands [14] Technology Innovation Support - A new risk-sharing tool for technology innovation bonds will be created, allowing the PBOC to provide low-cost re-lending funds to purchase these bonds, thereby supporting technology enterprises and private equity investment [16][17] - The PBOC aims to broaden financing channels for technology firms and stimulate market confidence through these specific policy arrangements [17]
不一样的降准降息!数量型、价格型、结构型政策工具齐上阵 央行“十箭齐发”权威解读来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 06:46
21世纪经济报道记者 唐婧 北京报道 5月7日上午9时,国新办举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监管总局局长李云泽、 中国证监会主席吴清介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况。 潘功胜在会上正式宣布,降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元;完 善存款准备金制度,阶段性将汽车金融公司、金融租赁公司的存款准备金率从目前的5%调降为0%。 潘功胜还称,下调政策利率0.1个百分点,即公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率从目前的1.5%调降至1.4%, 预计将带动贷款市场报价利率(LPR)同步下行约0.1个百分点。此外,下调结构性货币政策工具利率 0.25个百分点,降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点。 本次降准降息的一大背景是,4月中国采购经理指数(PMI)再次回到临界点以下。4月30日,国家统计 局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布的数据显示,4月份,制造业采购经理指数为49.0%, 比上月下降1.5个百分点,回落至临界点以下;非制造业商务活动指数和综合PMI产出指数分别为50.4% 和50.2%,继续保持在扩张区间。 还有业内专家告诉记者,这些年来我国央行围 ...
李庚南:央行为什么选择这个时点降准降息?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 06:35
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 0.5 percentage points and a decrease in policy interest rates by 0.1 percentage points to implement a more accommodative monetary policy and enhance macroeconomic regulation [1][8] Group 1: Monetary Policy Tools - The PBOC's decision to lower the RRR and interest rates is aimed at releasing market liquidity and stimulating investment and consumption, especially in the face of various internal and external pressures on economic growth [1][3] - The PBOC emphasizes a cautious approach to using these tools, balancing the need for liquidity with the potential risks associated with a complex economic environment [1][2] Group 2: Factors Influencing Timing - Domestic economic indicators, such as a manufacturing PMI below 50% and low CPI, suggest a need for monetary easing to boost market confidence and stimulate demand [4][8] - The current liquidity conditions in the financial market, including rising interbank rates, indicate a need for increased liquidity supply from the PBOC [5][9] - The pressure on banks' net interest margins has eased, providing a more favorable environment for the PBOC to implement rate cuts [6][10] Group 3: External Influences - The global liquidity environment, particularly the policies of the Federal Reserve, plays a significant role in the PBOC's decision-making regarding rate cuts [7][12] - Expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve create a "time window" for the PBOC to adjust its policies without immediate adverse effects on the currency [12]
央行宣布降准降息,金融ETF(510230)涨超1%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 06:11
金融ETF(510230)跟踪180金融指数(代码:000018)从沪深市场中选取规模大、流动性好的180只金 融行业股票作为成分股,涵盖银行、保险、证券等多个细分领域,以反映A股市场金融行业的整体表 现。 机构表示。银行方面,中长期资金入市政策频出,政策面、资金面有催化,2024年多家银行主动提升分 红率,在宏观经济不确定性增加的大背景下,资金的风险偏好下降,银行板块的高股息优势再度凸显; 保险方面,负债端有望量增质优,资产端稳中向好,当前估值仍处低位。上市险企一季度业绩整体稳中 向好,展望来看,寿险全年预计稳增长和调结构并重,财险预计保持稳定承保盈利能力,其高股息特征 在低利率环境下配置价值仍然突出;券商方面,近期因全球资产风险偏好下降板块估值整体有所回调, 从业绩估值匹配度来看配置性价比正显著提升。一季报券商业绩表现强劲,配置价值持续提升。 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰上证180金融ETF联接A(020021),国泰上证180金融ETF联接C (014994)。 注:指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考,不预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变 动,不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 ...
降息又降准,房地产又香了?
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-07 05:43
题图来自:AI生成 5月7日上午9点,国新办举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券管理委员 会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况,以降准降息为主。 降准降息相关主要内容有: 先看与普通人关系最密切的公积金降息政策,这次通过降息,减少了此前公积金贷款和商贷方面利差的 问题,确保了公积金政策的实际有效性,同时进一步降低了房贷成本。 以100万贷款本金、30年期、等额本息的首套房公积金贷款为例,政策当前月供为4136元,政策后为 4003元,减少了133元。总还款总额(本金+利息)从过去的149万变为144万,减少了约5万元成本。 上海易居房地产研究院副院长严跃进向知危表示,从过去的金融政策操作惯例来看,此次政策主要是指 新购房的公积金贷款利率。根据政策规定,此前已经发放的公积金贷款,在明年元旦后将进行下调。 LPR下调0.1个百分点,也就是下调10个基点的概念,严跃进认为这意味着降息通道即将开启,今年二 季度将计入到降息和资金成本进一步放宽的空间。对于促进LPR进一步下调以及有关的贷款利率下调等 都有较为积极的作用。 整体来看,降息对于购房房贷的影响是积极的。央行数据显示, ...
超预期!央行宣布降准降息,告诉我们重要信息
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 05:40
5月7日,国新办举行新闻发布会上,央行行长潘功胜宣布:降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。公开市场7 天期逆回购操作利率从目前的1.5%调降至1.4%,预计将带动贷款市场报价利率(LPR)同步下行约0.1个百分点。 也就是说,降准降息来了! 降准方面,幅度高达0.5个百分点,释放长期流动性约1万亿元,超出预期,央行过往降准一般是0.25个百分点。 意义:有助于增加市场上的资金数量。印证了中国社会科学院学部委员余永定的观点: 与2024年相比,中国人民银行想通过现有政策工具降低市场基准利率,加快M2增速,从而实现 GDP增速5%左右、通货膨胀率涨幅2%左右的货 币政策最终目标。 之前监管已经明确:从2025年起每年新增保费的30%用于投资A股。未来三年公募基金持有A股流通市值每年至少增长10%。 我前期文章中多次提到,我国已经明确今年经济增长目标是5%左右,为了这个目标,外部环境风险越大,国内宏观政策发力的力度就越大,一轮 政策组合拳随时来临,现在得到印证,未来根据形势需要不排除还会有新的组合拳 此外,央行宣布降低个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点,预计每年将节省居民公积金 ...