避险需求

Search documents
商品日报(9月3日):鸡蛋反弹走高涨超2% 利多影响消退碳酸锂连续回调
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 09:42
Group 1: Commodity Market Overview - The domestic commodity futures market on September 3 saw more declines than increases, with the main contract for eggs rising over 2% and the main contracts for gold and styrene rising over 1% [1] - The China Securities Commodity Futures Price Index closed at 1440.74 points, up 2.81 points or 0.20% from the previous trading day, while the China Securities Commodity Futures Index closed at 1990.16 points, up 3.88 points or 0.20% [1] Group 2: Egg Market Analysis - The main contract for eggs led the market with a 2.62% increase, closing above the 3000 yuan/500 kg mark, driven by increased demand due to the back-to-school season and Mid-Autumn Festival preparations [2] - Despite the recent rebound, analysts caution that the pressure on egg prices may persist due to limited culling of hens and high inventory levels of laying hens [2] Group 3: Precious Metals Performance - Gold has emerged as a star in the commodity market, with New York futures prices reaching historic highs above $3600 per ounce, and domestic gold prices also rising [3] - The main contract for gold in Shanghai reached a high of 816.78 yuan/kg before closing with a 1.31% increase, influenced by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and geopolitical tensions [3] Group 4: Lithium Carbonate Market Trends - Lithium carbonate has seen a continuous decline for seven trading days, with a drop of 3.10% on September 3, attributed to a weak overall supply-demand structure [4] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate was reported at 75,755 yuan/ton, down 1,631 yuan/ton from the previous working day, as market sentiment turns cautious amid high production levels of spodumene [4] Group 5: Shipping Market Dynamics - The shipping market for European routes is experiencing downward pressure, with the main contract declining by 3.04% due to weak spot market conditions [5] - The Maersk 38-week opening price was quoted at $1700/FEU, reflecting a decrease of $200 from the previous week, indicating ongoing pressure in the spot market [5]
AvaTrade爱华市场追击:黄金飙升破天际,年内涨幅逼近34%。
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 09:23
AvaTrade爱华市场追击:2025年9月初,全球金融市场再次迎来重大波动。在地缘政治紧张、美元走软及市场避险 需求上升的背景下,黄金价格突破历史新高,展现出强劲的上涨势头。与此同时,科技巨头谷歌母公司Alphabet 在反垄断案中获得有利裁决,避免了最严厉的处罚,股价大幅上涨。这两大事件不仅反映了当前市场的风险偏好 和政策预期,也可能对未来的投资格局产生深远影响。 黄金市场:避险需求推动价格飙升 在黄金市场表现强劲的同时,科技行业也迎来重要消息。美国地方法院周二就谷歌垄断案作出裁定,虽然认定其 搜寻业务存在垄断行为,但无须出售Chrome浏览器,仅须与竞争对手共享部分搜寻数据。此一裁决避免了最严厉 的结构性补救措施,市场随即反应热烈,谷歌母公司Alphabet盘后股价飙升8.7%。 法官Amit Mehta在裁决中指出,强制出售Chrome与安卓系统资产「过度扩张」,因谷歌并未借此实施非法限制。 该裁决也间接维护了谷歌与苹果之间数十亿美元的预设搜寻协议,苹果股价盘后同步上涨4.3%。此案结果不仅强 化了谷歌广告业务的核心优势,也为科技巨头的反垄断风险释出积极讯号。 本周金融市场的两大焦点事件——黄金创历史 ...
美联储降息以及避险需求推动,银价刷新历史新高至41美元下方
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 09:18
来源:白银网 (华通国标一号银日K线图) 目前市场重点关注周五美国非农就业报告,该报告可能会提供更多关于美联储降息路径的线索,并推动银价的走势。 技术分析上看,日相对强弱指数(RSI)出现了轻微超买的情况,这反过来又促使银价附近出现了一些获利回吐。尽 管如此,本周银价突破本年迄今高位,若随后强势突破40美元的心理关口,被视为多头交易的关键触发因素,暗示任 何进一步回调都可能被视为买入机会。 然而,如果回落到40.00美元的整数下方,可能会将银价拖至39.50美元的支撑区域。后者应该是近期内的一个坚实基 础,如果这个基础被决定性地打破,可能会继续看跌。银价可能会加速跌向39.00美元的关口,最终跌至38.50-38.40美 元区域。 (国际现货银半小时图) 银价周三触及14年新高,但后续买盘支撑不够。 日相对强弱指数略有超买,促使银价多头部分获利了结。 技术面走势表现在较低水平出现逢低买盘的观点。 周三(9月3日)亚洲盘交易时段,现货白银创下14年以来新高40.97美元/盎司,后小幅回落。欧市盘前银价再次上探 但未能突破,目前持续交投于40.70美元附近,当日下跌近0.50%。越来越多的人接受美联储将于本月降息 ...
黄金和白银突然双双爆发,金价时隔数月再次创新纪录
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 09:06
Group 1 - The core reason for the recent surge in gold and silver prices is the strengthened expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which has led to increased demand for these non-yielding precious metals [3][5] - Gold prices have surpassed $3,500 per ounce for the first time in over four months, while silver has risen above $40 per ounce for the first time since 2011, driven by concerns over central bank policies and economic indicators suggesting a slowdown [1][3] - Central banks globally, particularly in countries like China, Poland, Turkey, and India, have been significantly increasing their gold reserves, reflecting a long-term strategy of "de-dollarization" and geopolitical risk hedging [7] Group 2 - The actual interest rates, which are the nominal rates minus inflation expectations, have been declining rapidly, enhancing the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset [5] - Silver has outperformed gold this year, with a notable increase in holdings in silver-backed ETFs, driven by a weaker dollar and the dual nature of silver as both a precious and industrial metal [9] - The current bullish sentiment in the precious metals market suggests that if the Federal Reserve officially begins its rate-cutting cycle and central bank purchases of gold continue, both gold and silver could reach new highs [9]
金价再创新高!机构看多金价至3800美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 08:56
Group 1 - Gold prices reached a historical high, with spot gold touching $3546.919 per ounce and COMEX futures rising to $3616.9 per ounce, driven by renewed concerns over the Federal Reserve and increased demand for safe-haven assets [1] - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by over one-third, making it one of the best-performing major commodities, with geopolitical and economic risks contributing to the rising demand for gold and silver [1] - The market is awaiting a significant court ruling regarding President Trump's potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Cook, which could impact the independence of the Federal Reserve [1][2] Group 2 - Analysts predict that international gold prices will continue to rise, with Deutsche Bank forecasting gold to reach $3600 per ounce by the end of next year, and Morgan Stanley setting an even higher target of $3800 per ounce [4] - The expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is seen as a catalyst for a new upward trend in gold prices, as the dollar's safety is increasingly questioned [4] - The trend of central banks purchasing gold instead of holding dollar reserves is expected to accelerate, driving long-term demand for gold [4]
避险需求推动黄金价格创新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The global economic uncertainty has led investors to seek safe-haven assets, resulting in a surge in gold prices, which reached a new high of over $3500 per ounce on September 2, 2023 [1][4]. Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices hit $3501.59 per ounce during Asian trading, surpassing the previous record of $3500.10 set in April [1]. - The rise in gold prices is attributed to a weak dollar and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as inflation in the U.S. accelerates [2][5]. - Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve have intensified, prompting investors to sell dollars and buy gold as a hedge [2][4]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Influences - The price of silver also reached a 14-year high at $40.76 per ounce, driven by similar market sentiments [4]. - The pressure from former President Trump on the Federal Reserve and the recent court rulings regarding tariffs have contributed to the volatility in the market [2][4]. - Analysts note that geopolitical uncertainties, inflation worries, and concerns about the health of the U.S. economy have collectively driven gold prices up by 33% this year [6][7]. Group 3: Broader Economic Context - The expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is reinforced by the recent personal consumption expenditures report, which aligns with analyst forecasts [5]. - Central banks around the world are increasing their gold reserves as a strategy to diversify away from the dollar, further supporting the rise in gold prices [6].
广发期货:地缘政治风险升温推升避险需求 黄金强势突破历史纪录
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-03 04:03
Group 1: Gold Market Performance - On September 3, the Shanghai gold futures price was reported at 813.74 CNY per gram, with an increase of 1.17% [1] - The opening price for the day was 804.42 CNY per gram, reaching a high of 816.78 CNY and a low of 802.50 CNY [1] Group 2: Macro News - Global stock markets are approaching a critical three-week period with key U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve interest rate decisions expected [2] - The Eurozone's August manufacturing PMI rose from 49.8 in July to 50.7, marking the highest level in over three years and indicating expansion for the first time since mid-2022 [2] - Political uncertainty in the U.S. regarding tariffs and the Federal Reserve's independence may increase market volatility and boost demand for gold as a safe haven [2][4] Group 3: Institutional Views on Gold - The current political turmoil in Europe and the U.S. is raising concerns, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold [4] - The expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a weaker U.S. dollar is supporting gold prices [4] Group 4: Gold and Silver Data - International gold prices increased by 1.65%, closing at 3532.69 USD per ounce, reaching a historical high [5] - August saw a significant increase in gold and silver ETF holdings [5] - International silver prices rose by 0.36%, closing at 40.819 USD per ounce, with a low of 40.1 USD during the day [7] Group 5: Price Forecasts - Short-term gold prices are expected to rise above 3600 USD, with recommendations to buy on dips or use call options instead of going long [6] - Short-term silver prices may reach above 42 USD, but caution is advised for potential pullbacks [8]
美联储降息预期与避险需求推动黄金创新高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 03:40
汇通财经APP讯——周三亚洲交易时段,黄金价格再度刷新纪录。现货金一度上涨0.4%,触及每盎司 3546.96美元,较前一日再创新高。过去六个交易日,金价累计上涨5%,表现凸显避险资产的吸引力。 从日线图上看,黄金价格连续六个交易日收阳,技术面显示出强势上涨格局。短期均线系统(5日与10 日均线)呈现明显上行趋势,并且K线运行在布林带上轨附近,显示多头动能仍然充足。 支撑黄金上涨的核心因素在于美联储降息预期与全球经济不确定性。美联储主席鲍威尔此前暗示可能在 本月降息,而本周五即将公布的美国非农就业数据则被视为关键指标,市场预计疲软的劳动力市场将为 宽松政策提供进一步理由。 某国际贵金属研究机构指出:"降息环境通常利好无息资产,尤其是黄金,其避险价值在股债市场动荡 时被放大。" 除黄金外,白银在2025年的表现更加亮眼。银价今年已上涨约40%,并突破每盎司40美元大关,为2011 年以来首次。白银需求除了避险属性外,还来自新能源产业的支撑。 作为光伏产业的重要原料,白银的工业用途推高了消费需求。根据国际银业协会的数据,全球白银市场 已连续第五年出现供给缺口。 市场分析人士表示:"白银兼具投资和工业属性,在新能源 ...
【环球财经】新高不止!纽约金价2日单日涨超2% 盘中触及3600美元上方
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 02:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in gold and silver prices due to rising safe-haven demand and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with gold reaching a historic high of $3602.40 per ounce [1] - Gold futures for December 2025 rose by $83.4 to close at $3599.5 per ounce, marking a 2.37% increase, while silver futures increased by $0.98 to $41.730 per ounce, a rise of 2.40% [1][3] - The market's reaction is influenced by concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and a recent court ruling questioning the legality of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which has heightened uncertainty regarding U.S. government policies [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the prolonged consolidation phase of gold prices indicates a stronger breakout momentum, with a projected target range of $3800 to $4000 per ounce [2]
事关养老金,万亿级国资充实社保免征3项税收;中国对俄罗斯试行免签;国际金价再创新高
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-09-03 02:26
编辑 | 七三 美股齐跌 当地时间9月2日,美股三大股指在9月首个交易日集体收跌。投资者消化特朗普政府关税政策的最新进 展,以及制造业持续疲软的经济数据。 截至收盘,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌249.07点,报45295.81点,跌幅0.55%;标普500指数下跌44.72点, 报6415.54点,跌幅0.69%;纳斯达克综合指数下跌175.92点,报21279.63点,跌0.82%。 大型科技股多数走弱,英伟达收跌1.95%,盘中跌破50日均线,技术面转弱。 亚马逊跌1.60%,特斯拉跌1.35%,苹果跌1.04%,谷歌、Meta、微软至多跌 0.73%。 板块表现方面,房地产板块跌幅居前,标普500地产板块指数下跌1.7%,美国30年期国债收益率升至7 月中旬以来高点,一度触及4.999%。 热门中概股表现分化,纳斯达克中国金龙指数上涨0.52%。理想汽车涨超4%,蔚来涨超3%、阿里巴巴 涨逾2%,有道跌超5%,哔哩哔哩跌超3%。 此前,美国联邦巡回上诉法院裁定特朗普政府此前大范围征收的部分进口关税违法,但暂允许这些关税 继续实施至10月14日,特朗普方面表示将提请最高法院对该案作出最终裁决。相关判决在节后首 ...