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5月份核心CPI同比涨幅扩大 经济韧性凸显
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-06-09 16:14
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI rose by 0.6% year-on-year, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from April [1][3] - The decline in CPI was primarily influenced by a 1.7% decrease in energy prices, which accounted for approximately 0.13 percentage points of the total CPI decline [2] - The hospitality and tourism sectors saw price increases of 4.6% and 0.8% respectively, indicating a recovery in consumer demand [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline widening by 0.6 percentage points compared to April [1][4] - The decrease in PPI was largely due to international factors, with significant price drops in the oil and gas extraction sector (5.6%) and refined petroleum products (3.5%) [4] - Domestic energy and raw material prices also saw a decline, particularly in the coal sector, which experienced a 3.0% drop due to seasonal demand [4][6] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The core CPI's mild recovery reflects improvements in supply and demand structures across various industries, supported by macroeconomic policies [3][6] - The overall economic resilience is expected to lead to a gradual recovery in CPI, with increased demand during the summer likely to boost service prices [3] - The PPI is anticipated to show marginal improvement, although it may take time to exit negative territory [6]
我国5月份核心CPI同比上涨0.6%
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-06-09 16:08
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.1% year-on-year, with energy prices dropping by 6.1% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.47 percentage points to the CPI decline [1][2] - Core CPI increased by 0.6% year-on-year, with the growth rate expanding by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating resilience in domestic consumption [2][3] - Prices of gold jewelry, household textiles, and durable entertainment goods rose by 40.1%, 1.9%, and 1.8% respectively, while fuel and new energy vehicle prices fell by 4.2% and 2.8%, showing a narrowing decline [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, with the year-on-year decline widening by 0.6 percentage points [1][3] - The decline in PPI is primarily attributed to weak commodity prices and significant input price pressures, particularly in the coal, steel, and cement sectors due to seasonal demand fluctuations [3][4] - Some sectors, such as high-end equipment manufacturing, saw price increases, with integrated circuit packaging and testing prices rising by 3.6% [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The outlook for domestic prices suggests a likely moderate recovery in CPI, with food prices expected to remain stable and energy prices potentially rebounding [4] - PPI is anticipated to show marginal improvement, but it may take time to exit negative territory, influenced by external trade dynamics and domestic demand recovery [4] - Key areas to monitor include ongoing input price pressures, recovery in domestic demand, particularly in real estate, and trends in core consumption [4]
核心CPI稳中有升,消费品等领域价格边际向好
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 13:59
Group 1 - The core objective of macroeconomic policy in the second half of the year is to promote a reasonable recovery of price levels, which will create space for fiscal measures to boost consumption and investment, as well as for further interest rate cuts by the central bank [1][2][5] - In May, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, marking the fourth consecutive month of negative growth, primarily due to falling energy prices and lower food prices [1][3][4] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a year-on-year decline of 3.3% in May, with the drop in production material prices contributing significantly to this decline [1][6][10] Group 2 - The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.6% year-on-year in May, indicating a slight improvement in underlying price levels [1][4][5] - The decline in food prices, particularly fresh vegetables and eggs, has been a major factor in the overall CPI decrease, with fresh vegetable prices dropping by 8.3% year-on-year [3][4][6] - The implementation of policies aimed at boosting consumption, such as the trade-in program for vehicles and appliances, has provided some support to prices in certain sectors [4][5][8] Group 3 - The analysis indicates that while the PPI is expected to show marginal improvement, it is likely to remain in negative territory for some time due to external and internal pressures [8][9][10] - The demand for high-tech products is increasing, leading to price increases in sectors such as integrated circuits and aircraft manufacturing [8] - The overall economic environment remains challenging, with low inflation levels exerting pressure on corporate operations and employment [5][6]
5月物价数据观察:部分领域供需有所改善,价格呈现积极变化
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-06-09 13:08
Group 1 - In May, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the producer price index (PPI) fell by 3.3% year-on-year [1][7] - The primary factor for the decline in CPI is the continuous drop in energy prices, which decreased by 6.1% year-on-year and 1.7% month-on-month [2][7] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a stable upward trend for three consecutive months [4][8] Group 2 - Food prices experienced a slight decline, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.2%, influenced by seasonal factors and supply changes [3] - The hospitality and tourism sectors saw price increases of 4.6% and 0.8% respectively, driven by improved consumer demand and holiday activities [4] - The PPI's decline is attributed to both international factors, such as falling crude oil prices, and domestic factors, including seasonal drops in coal prices [7][8] Group 3 - The high-end equipment manufacturing sector is witnessing price increases, with significant rises in prices for integrated circuits and aircraft manufacturing [8] - The overall consumer demand is gradually recovering, supported by effective consumption-boosting policies [4][5] - The real estate market is still in recovery, affecting demand for household appliances and entertainment equipment, which saw a month-on-month price decline of 1.1% [5]
假日消费带动,5月核心CPI温和回升
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-09 12:43
Group 1: CPI and PPI Overview - In May, the national CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, while the PPI fell by 3.3% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month [1][2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a slight improvement in domestic economic resilience [1][4] - The decline in CPI was influenced by seasonal factors and falling oil prices, while the core CPI's increase reflects a recovery in consumer demand [2][3] Group 2: Sector-Specific Price Changes - In May, food prices decreased by 0.4%, while non-food prices remained stable; consumer goods prices fell by 0.5%, and service prices rose by 0.5% [2][4] - The industrial producer prices showed a year-on-year decline of 3.3%, with significant contributions from the petroleum and coal industries, which saw price drops of 5.6% and 3% respectively [5][6] - The prices of durable consumer goods, such as gold jewelry and home textiles, increased by 40.1% and 1.9%, respectively, indicating a shift in consumer spending patterns [3][4] Group 3: Economic Outlook and Policy Recommendations - Future policies should focus on boosting consumption through active fiscal measures to stimulate domestic demand and support price recovery [2][4] - Analysts expect a moderate recovery in prices throughout the year, driven by macroeconomic policies and improvements in supply structure [6]
5月全国CPI同比下降0.1% 金饰品上涨超四成
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-06-09 11:03
6月9日,国家统计局公布了5月全国居民消费价格指数(CPI)数据。数据显示,5月CPI环比下降0.2%,同比下降0.1%。随着我国促消费、扩内需 各项政策持续发力,价格呈现出积极变化,尤其是核心CPI同比涨幅升至近一年来的最高点。其中,能源价格的下降成为拖累CPI下行的主要因 素,而金饰品、宾馆住宿等领域价格的上涨,则彰显出消费市场别样的活力。 能源价格下行拖累CPI表现 自3月起,CPI已连续3个月同比降幅为0.1%。从环比数据来看,5月CPI由涨转降。据国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟介绍,能源价格是拖累 CPI同比和环比表现的关键因素。从同比数据看,5月份能源价格同比下降6.1%,降幅比上月扩大1.3个百分点,影响CPI同比下降约0.47个百分 点;从环比数据看,能源价格下降1.7%,影响CPI环比下降约0.13个百分点,占CPI总降幅近七成。 北京商报记者发现,在"五一"小长假期间,热门城市的经济型酒店价格从平日的200—300元/晚涨至500—800元/晚,高端酒店的涨幅更是超过一 倍;旅游价格环比上涨0.8%,带动了景区门票、餐饮等相关领域的联动升温。 此外,金饰品价格涨幅尤为显著,同比上涨40. ...
通胀数据点评:核心CPI企稳的三个特征?
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-09 10:13
Group 1: Inflation Data Overview - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, matching the previous value and slightly better than the expected decrease of 0.2%[1] - The PPI fell by 3.3% year-on-year, a decline from the previous value of 2.7% and worse than the expected 3.2%[1] Group 2: Core CPI Stabilization Features - Core commodity PPI rebounded by 0.3 percentage points to -1.4%, driven by improved demand and a moderation in tariff impacts[2] - The core commodity CPI increased by 0.1 percentage points to 0.2%, supported by consumption policies and rising gold prices, which boosted jewelry prices by 40.1%[3] - Service CPI rose by 0.2 percentage points to 0.5%, aided by increased holiday days in May, enhancing service demand[4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Continued policy support and recovery in domestic demand are expected to alleviate inflationary pressures, but supply-side constraints remain a concern[5] - The ongoing "trade-in" policy may provide significant support to core commodity CPI and PPI, while abundant supply of bulk commodities and food could exert downward pressure on prices[5]
5月国内核心CPI同比涨幅扩大,政策仍需加码推动物价水平合理
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 10:09
6月9日,国家统计局公布数据显示,5月份,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比下降0.2%,同比下降 0.1%,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.6%,涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点。工业生产者出厂价 格指数(PPI)环比下降0.4%,降幅与上月相同,同比下降3.3%,降幅比上月扩大0.6个百分点。 整 体来看,目前国内价格数据维持在低位运行,下半年需出台更多增量政策提振内需,其中财政扩张 支持内需仍然是提振物价的关键。 此外,近期央行发布的《2024年第四季度中国货币政策执行报告》中明确提出,把促进物价合理回升作 为把握货币政 策 的重要考量,这一表述释放出清晰的政策信号,即未来一段时间,推动物价温和上涨 将成为货币政策的重要着力点。 CPI略有下降,核心CPI同比涨幅扩大 5月份CPI数据呈现"食 品 、能源弱、核心稳"的格局。从环比看,5月能源价格环比下降1.7%,影响CPI 环比下降约0.13个百分点,占CPI总降幅近七成。CPI环比由涨转降主要受能源价格下降影响。从同比 看,5月CPI同比略有下降, 降幅与上月相同 。其中,能源价格同比下降6.1%,降幅比上月扩大1.3个百 分点,影响CPI同比下降 ...
5月核心CPI同比上涨0.6% 温彬:假日因素和需求回暖是主要支撑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 10:00
6月9日,国家统计局公布5月份居民消费价格指数(CPI)和工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)。 5月,CPI环比下降0.2%,同比下降0.1%,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.6%,涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点。PPI环比下降0.4%,降幅与上月相 同,同比下降3.3%,降幅比上月扩大0.6个百分点。 东方金诚研究发展部总监冯琳在接受《每日经济新闻》记者(以下简称每经记者)微信采访时认为,5月CPI同比下降0.1%,略高于市场预期。主要原因是 当月工业消费品价格和服务价格同比涨幅扩大,抵消了国际原油价格下跌向国内能源价格传导以及食品价格同比降幅扩大的影响,带动整体CPI同比保持稳 定。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟认为,影响本月PPI环比下降的主要原因,一是国际输入性因素影响国内相关行业价格下降,二是国内部分能源和原材 料价格阶段性下行。 5月份,全国居民消费价格同比下降0.1% 图片来源:国家统计局 核心CPI同比上涨0.6% 5月,CPI同比下降0.1%,降幅与上月相同。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.6%,涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点。 冯琳分析,5月应季蔬菜上市量增加,加之上年同 ...
国内观察:2025年5月通胀数据:价格压力持续,亟待政策破局
Donghai Securities· 2025-06-09 09:16
Inflation Data Summary - In May 2025, the CPI year-on-year was -0.1%, unchanged from the previous month, while the month-on-month change was -0.2%, down from 0.1%[3] - The PPI year-on-year decreased to -3.3% from -2.7%, with a month-on-month change of -0.4%, consistent with the previous month[3] CPI Analysis - The CPI month-on-month decline of -0.2% aligns with the seasonal average over the past four years[3] - Food prices showed resilience with a month-on-month change of -0.2%, better than the four-year average of -0.9%, while non-food prices also fell by -0.2%, below the average of 0.0%[3] - Pork prices have remained stable, contributing less to CPI changes, with fresh vegetables and fruits showing stronger seasonal performance[3] PPI Insights - The PPI has broken below the previous range of -2.0% to -3.0%, indicating a significant downward trend[3] - Production materials have seen a month-on-month decline for five consecutive months, with a year-on-year drop of -4.0%[3] - Energy prices fell by 1.7% month-on-month, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI decline, accounting for nearly 70% of the total decrease[3] Economic Outlook - Actual GDP is expected to remain resilient in Q2, but nominal GDP may face pressure, impacting equity market potential[3] - The report highlights the need for increased policy measures to stimulate demand and address supply-side competition issues[3] Risk Factors - Potential risks include slower-than-expected domestic policy implementation, unexpected declines in real estate investment, and inflationary pressures from the U.S.[3]