1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - By 2035, new energy vehicles will become the mainstream of newly sold vehicles in China, with the net greenhouse gas emissions in the entire economic scope decreasing by 7%-10% from the peak, non-fossil energy consumption accounting for over 30% of the total energy consumption, and other goals to be achieved [1][109][118]. - The penetration rate of the Chinese new energy vehicle market exceeded 30% in 2023 and 50% in 2024. In 2025, high - competitiveness new car products are continuously launched, and price wars are gradually stopped. Overseas markets face trade protectionism in Europe and the United States, so attention should be paid to new growth points such as countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East. The market share of independent brands continues to expand [3][120]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial Market Tracking - The one - week price changes of related sectors and listed companies are presented in charts. For example, BYD's one - week price decline was 1.65%, while Seres' was 9.48% [12][15]. 3.2产业链数据跟踪 3.2.1 China New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Sales and Exports**: Data on China's new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, domestic sales, exports, and sales of EV and PHV are presented in charts [16][21][23]. - **Inventory Changes**: Charts show the monthly new additions to new energy passenger vehicle channel inventory and manufacturer inventory [24][25]. - **Delivery Volumes of Chinese New Energy Vehicle Enterprises**: Monthly delivery volumes of enterprises such as Leapmotor, Li Auto, XPeng, NIO, etc., are presented in charts [27][28][32]. 3.2.2 Global and Overseas New Energy Vehicle Market Tracking - **Global Market**: From January to July, global new energy vehicle sales reached 9.233 million, a year - on - year increase of 25.9%. Except for China, Europe and other regions also had significant growth, with year - on - year increases of 29.5% and 53.4% respectively [2]. - **European Market**: Data on European new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in countries like the UK, Germany, and France are presented in charts [44][50][55]. - **North American Market**: In August, US new energy vehicle sales and penetration rate reached record highs. Due to the expiration of the federal electric vehicle tax credit on September 30, high market enthusiasm is expected to continue in September, followed by a sharp decline. Data on North American new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV are presented in charts [2][119]. - **Other Regions**: Data on new energy vehicle sales, penetration rate, and sales of EV and PHV in regions such as Japan, South Korea, and Thailand are presented in charts [62][70][72]. 3.2.3 Power Battery Industry Chain - Data on power battery installation volume, export volume, weekly average price of battery cells, material costs, and the operating rates and prices of various battery materials are presented in charts [79][81][85]. 3.2.4 Other Upstream Raw Materials - Data on the daily prices of rubber, glass, steel, and aluminum are presented in charts [102][103][104]. 3.3 Hot News Summaries 3.3.1 China: Policy Dynamics - By 2035, new energy vehicles will become the mainstream of newly sold vehicles in China. From 2026, export license management will be implemented for pure - electric passenger vehicles [109]. 3.3.2 China: Industry Dynamics - From September 1 - 21, new energy vehicle retail sales increased by 10% year - on - year, and cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year increased by 24%. In the 38th week (September 15 - 21), new energy passenger vehicle retail sales were 299,000, a year - on - year increase of 5.9%, and cumulative retail sales since the beginning of the year were 8.214 million, a year - on - year increase of 23.0% [111][112][113]. 3.3.3 China: Enterprise Dynamics - Chery Automobile was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising HK$9.14 billion. Li Auto and Sunwoda Power jointly established a battery company [114]. 3.3.4 Overseas: Policy Dynamics - Australia announced a 2035 emission reduction target, aiming to reduce emissions by 62 - 70% compared to 2005. The US lowered the import tariff on EU cars to 15%, and Turkey imposed new tariffs on imported passenger cars [114][116][119]. 3.3.5 Overseas: Enterprise Dynamics - BYD's Brazilian factory obtained an international green certificate. Porsche adjusted its product strategy, slowing down electrification and lowering its 2025 performance expectations [117][118]. 3.4 Investment Advice - Pay attention to new growth points such as countries along the Belt and Road and the Middle East. Focus on enterprises with strong product capabilities, smooth overseas expansion, and stable supply [3][120].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. steel industry is central to Trump's vision for a new industrial economy, with tariffs imposed to strengthen domestic production and reduce reliance on imports [1] Group 1: Impact on U.S. Steel Industry - The U.S. has increased tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%, affecting 407 product categories, including steel derivatives [1] - U.S. crude steel production showed a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, but the growth is modest compared to a 2.3% decline the previous year [3] - The average capacity utilization rate for U.S. crude steel reached 76.6%, indicating limited improvement [3] Group 2: Effects on China's Steel Industry - China's steel exports to the U.S. are minimal, with only 89,000 tons expected in 2024, representing 0.8% of China's total steel exports [2] - The potential for steel re-export through countries like Vietnam, South Korea, and Brazil is limited, accounting for only 4.5% of China's total steel exports if all were sourced from China [2] Group 3: Strategic Responses - The domestic steel industry should maintain a strategic approach, resisting panic and focusing on practical responses to tariffs [5] - Encouraging high-end steel and green steel exports through measures like export tax rebates is recommended [5] - The industry should align with national policies to accelerate the transition towards high-end, intelligent, and green steel production [5]

Core Viewpoint - The European Union's recent decision to impose tariffs of up to 50% on Chinese steel and related products appears to be a response to U.S. pressure, raising questions about whether this move is genuinely protective or merely a strategic alignment with U.S. interests [3][5][9] Group 1: Tariff Implications - The EU's tariffs are justified by claims of "unfair competition" and concerns over Chinese overcapacity and dumping, but this may reflect deeper anxieties about the EU's own economic stability [3][5] - The imposition of tariffs is seen as a way for the EU to demonstrate solidarity with the U.S. and to avoid being sidelined in the global economic landscape [5][7] - Analysts suggest that these tariffs could lead to increased costs for consumers and industries reliant on steel, ultimately harming the EU's own market ecosystem [7][9] Group 2: Structural Challenges - The EU's steel industry is critical not only for economic reasons but also for labor and industrial transition, indicating that the stakes are high for maintaining competitiveness [5][9] - The underlying issues facing the EU, such as inadequate industrial structure and innovation capacity, are not addressed by merely raising tariffs, which may lead to further market isolation [9][11] - The EU's reliance on Chinese steel is significant, and the tariffs could exacerbate existing vulnerabilities rather than resolve them, potentially leading to a cycle of economic decline [7][9]

Core Viewpoint - The increase of tariffs on Indian diamond imports to 50% by the U.S. has severely impacted India's diamond industry, leading to significant job losses and a decline in exports [2][3]. Group 1: Impact on the Diamond Industry - The U.S. is India's largest buyer of diamonds, accounting for one-third of India's jewelry export revenue, approximately $9 billion annually [2]. - The tariff increase from 25% to 50% has drastically reduced the competitiveness of Indian diamonds in the U.S. market, resulting in order cancellations and factory shutdowns [2][3]. - The Indian diamond export is projected to decline by 17-20% in the fiscal year 2025-2026, potentially dropping to $11 billion [2]. Group 2: Employment Consequences - The diamond industry in Surat employs over 800,000 workers, many of whom are skilled artisans [3]. - The implementation of tariffs has led to layoffs, with estimates of unemployment reaching between 100,000 to 200,000 workers [3]. - Many affected workers are struggling to find alternative employment due to their specialized skills, leading to increased social instability in the region [3]. Group 3: Market Diversification Challenges - Efforts to shift exports to other markets, such as China, face challenges due to competitive pricing from local synthetic diamond producers [5]. - The Middle East and Europe present some potential, but Indian exporters need to adjust their marketing strategies to penetrate these markets effectively [5]. - The overall outlook for the diamond industry remains bleak, with significant inventory buildup and reduced demand from U.S. buyers [5]. Group 4: Future Strategies and Adaptations - The industry is encouraged to diversify and reduce reliance on a single market, with suggestions for government support in simplifying export regulations [7]. - There is a push for skill training programs to help workers transition to new roles within the jewelry sector or synthetic diamond processing [7]. - The rise of the Chinese diamond industry, with significant growth in local brands and sales, poses a competitive threat to Indian exports [7].

全球贸易格局风云变幻，美国特朗普政府重拾贸易保护主义大棒，让欧盟钢铁产业陷入前所未有的困境。面对美中两国的双重压力，欧盟钢铁企业不得不向 世贸组织寻求帮助，这场贸易争端正在引发连锁反应。 欧盟钢铁业遭遇冰火两重天 作为全球重要的钢铁出口地区，欧盟钢铁业正面临严峻挑战。2025年2月 11日，特朗普签署行政令，将钢铁进口关税从25%提升至50%，铝制品关税也从10%上调至25%，新规于3月12日正式生效。这一决定犹如一记重拳，导致欧 盟对美钢铁出口量腰斩，工厂产能利用率骤降至60%以下。德国工业巨头蒂森克虏伯不得不宣布万人裁员计划，意大利、法国等国的钢铁企业也纷纷缩减产 能。 雪上加霜的是，5月31日美国再次加码，将钢铝关税统一上调至50%，彻底堵死了欧盟钢铁的出口通道。欧盟委员会贸易专员直言这一做法严重破坏国际贸 易秩序，但美方坚称这是防范中国产能过剩的必要措施。欧洲工业联盟数据显示，关税战已造成欧盟钢铁行业直接损失超50亿欧元，并波及汽车制造、建筑 等下游产业。 中国因素加剧欧盟困境 与此同时，中国为保障资源安全实施的稀土出口管制措施，意外影响了欧盟新能源产业发展。稀土是生产电动车电池 和风力发电机的重要原 ...

Core Points - The EU plans to impose high tariffs on steel and related products originating from China, with rates expected to be between 25% and 50% [1] - The EU will initiate over 20 anti-dumping investigations against Chinese goods, citing "unfair competition" and the need for punitive measures to address "overcapacity" issues [1][2] - The EU's actions are seen as a response to the isolation of a "partner" (implicitly the US), aiming to protect its own market and restore balance with the US [2][3] Group 1 - The EU's proposed tariffs are a reaction to perceived unfair competition from China, indicating a shift towards protectionist measures [1][2] - The EU acknowledges that these protective measures may not fully resolve underlying issues, suggesting a recognition of the limitations of trade protectionism [5] - The EU's alignment with US pressures may ultimately harm its own interests, as it risks protecting outdated industries rather than fostering future growth [5]

Group 1 - The article draws parallels between the decline of the Roman Empire and the current situation in the United States, suggesting that America's recent actions may indicate a similar trajectory of decline [1][10] - The U.S. government has implemented high tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and solar batteries, which has led to job losses and increased costs for consumers, mirroring the protectionist policies that contributed to Rome's downfall [3][12] - The U.S. is experiencing a significant immigration crisis, with record deportations and a backlog of asylum applications, which reflects a failure to address labor shortages in key sectors [5][7] Group 2 - The rise of populism in the U.S. is evident, as ordinary citizens face economic hardships while politicians focus on external threats rather than addressing domestic issues [9][10] - The elite in the U.S. are engaging in trade protectionism and politicizing immigration, exacerbating internal divisions, similar to the internal decay seen in the Roman Empire [10][11] - The article warns that if the U.S. continues down this path of trade protection, immigration issues, and internal strife, it may face a decline akin to that of Rome [12]

Group 1 - Mexico's President announced a significant trade policy adjustment, raising import tariffs on automobiles and certain industrial products to 50%, which observers link to U.S. trade pressures [1] - China's Ministry of Commerce responded with anti-dumping investigations on pecans from Mexico and the U.S., potentially impacting exports significantly if dumping is confirmed [2] - China is also conducting a comprehensive review of Mexico's recent trade protection measures, which could lead to retaliatory tariffs and affect investor confidence in Mexico [2] Group 2 - Analysts note that Mexico's economic growth has been driven by its geographical advantage and low labor costs, but current government policies may undermine these benefits by sacrificing relationships with other trade partners [3] - The Mexican government is facing consequences for its policy choices, including a decline in its business environment rating and warnings from economists about the risks of unilateral protectionism [4] - Amidst these trade policy challenges, the U.S. has intensified immigration controls, highlighting Mexico's precarious position as a subordinate ally in U.S. strategic interests [6]

Core Viewpoint - The effectiveness of trade policies, particularly tariffs, is being questioned even among Trump's supporters, who are beginning to recognize that job losses are more attributable to automation than to trade policies. The logic of free trade remains relevant despite the challenges it faces [1][10]. Tariff Measures - Trump's administration has raised the average tariff level in the U.S. from less than 2% to 17.7%, with specific tariffs on steel, aluminum, and copper reaching 50%, and most auto imports facing a 25% tariff. New investigations targeting robots, industrial machinery, and medical supplies may lead to further tariffs [2][3]. - Starting October 1, new tariffs will be imposed on various imported products, including 50% on kitchen cabinets and bathroom sinks, 30% on imported furniture, and 100% on patented and branded drugs [2]. Trade Agreements and Reactions - The U.S. has reached trade agreements with several major partners, including the EU, Japan, and South Korea, but skepticism about Trump's trade logic persists. Countries like South Korea are experiencing significant export declines due to high tariffs [4][5]. - Japan's former central bank governor criticized Trump's high tariff policies as misaligned with U.S. economic realities, while the EU has faced criticism for perceived concessions under U.S. pressure [5]. Geopolitical Implications - Trump's tariffs have led to geopolitical shifts, with Canada experiencing a 1.6% economic contraction due to export declines and a rising unemployment rate. Canada is now seeking to reduce its dependency on the U.S. [6]. - The EU is accelerating trade diversification efforts and increasing defense investments to reduce reliance on the U.S. for security commitments [6]. - Australia and New Zealand are also reassessing their diplomatic ties with the U.S. due to trade tensions, which could impact intelligence cooperation [7]. Global Trade Dynamics - Despite the challenges posed by Trump's protectionism, countries are recognizing the benefits of reducing tariffs. Indonesia has reached a free trade agreement with the EU, and other nations are pursuing similar agreements to mitigate the impact of U.S. tariffs [9]. - The WTO's multilateral trade system is under threat, with a decline in global trade share and increased unilateral measures by major economies, leading to fragmentation of the trade system [11]. Future Trade Frameworks - There are calls for the WTO to reform and better facilitate global cooperation amid the current trade turmoil. China has expressed its commitment to not seeking special treatment in future negotiations [12]. - Analysts suggest forming multiple alliances among like-minded countries to create a flexible network that can promote trade integration while ensuring supply chain security [13].

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is considering imposing tariffs based on the chip content of imported electronic devices to encourage manufacturing to return to the U.S. [1][2] Group 1: Tariff Implementation - The U.S. Department of Commerce may levy tariffs proportionate to the estimated value of chip content in products [1] - If implemented, this plan could lead to increased taxes on a wide range of consumer goods, potentially exacerbating inflation [2] - The proposed tariff rates include 25% on imported equipment with chip content, while products from Japan and Europe may face a 15% rate [3] Group 2: Economic Implications - Economists warn that such tariffs could raise consumer goods costs, especially as inflation is already above the Federal Reserve's 2% target [2][3] - The administration's strategy includes tariffs, tax cuts, deregulation, and leveraging energy advantages to bring key manufacturing back to the U.S. [2] Group 3: Exemptions and Conditions - The Department of Commerce may consider granting equivalent tariff exemptions if companies relocate half of their production capacity to the U.S. [3] - There is a suggestion to exempt chip manufacturing tools from tariffs to avoid increasing production costs, but this has faced opposition from the White House [3]