通胀压力

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英国就业市场进一步降温 但工资增幅高企或令英国央行保持谨慎
智通财经网· 2025-05-13 09:06
智通财经APP获悉,由于增税给雇主带来的负担以及美国政府关税的影响,英国就业市场在上个月再次降温,这可能会让英国央行在通胀压力减弱方面感到 些许安心。周二公布的临时税务局数据显示,继3月份雇员人数减少4.7万人之后,4月份雇员人数减少了近3.3万人。 在截至4月份的三个月里,职位空缺数量下降了4.2万个,创下一年多来的最大降幅,总数降至76.1万个,进一步低于大流行前的水平。与此同时,英国3月剔 除红利三个月平均工资——英国央行追踪的用于衡量国内通胀压力的指标——同比增长5.6%,不及经济学家预期的5.7%和前值5.9%,为截至去年11月以来 的三个月最低增幅。 数据公布后,英镑和金融市场对英国央行今年剩余时间里降息规模的押注几乎没有变化。基金管理公司Aberdeen的副首席经济学家Luke Bartholomew表 示:"尽管劳动力市场继续放缓,且可以看出国民保险税上涨的影响,但并没有迹象表明劳动力市场因冲击而突然崩溃。""结合近期贸易方面的利好消息, 目前并没有理由让英国央行后悔表示宽松周期将继续'逐步'推进的决定。" 英国央行正在密切关注英国劳动力市场的通胀压力,同时考虑是否加快降息步伐,以保护经济免受 ...
英国今年前三月薪资平均增速略低于预期
news flash· 2025-05-13 06:14
Group 1 - The average weekly earnings in the UK for the first three months of 2025 increased by 5.6% compared to the same period last year, slightly below the forecasted growth of 5.7% [1] - The Bank of England is closely monitoring inflationary pressures in the UK labor market as it considers the possibility of accelerating interest rate cuts [1]
2025年前三个月英国工资水平增长5.6%
news flash· 2025-05-13 06:05
2025年前三个月英国工资水平增长5.6% 金十数据5月13日讯,英国国家统计局周二表示,与去年同期相比,2025年前三个月英国人的平均一周 薪资(不包括奖金)增长了5.6%。经济学家预计增幅为5.7%。英国央行正在密切关注英国劳动力市场 的通胀压力,同时考虑是否加快降息步伐。 ...
美联储理事库格勒:通胀率仍高于美联储2%的目标
news flash· 2025-05-12 14:38
智通财经5月12日电,美联储理事库格勒表示,通胀率仍高于美联储2%的目标。非住房市场服务的通胀 率在三月仍维持在3.4%,表明持续存在的通胀压力。 美联储理事库格勒:通胀率仍高于美联储2%的目标 ...
美联储理事库格勒:通胀率仍高于美联储2%的目标。非住房市场服务的通胀率在三月仍维持在3.4%,表明持续存在的通胀压力。
news flash· 2025-05-12 14:35
美联储理事库格勒:通胀率仍高于美联储2%的目标。非住房市场服务的通胀率在三月仍维持在3.4%, 表明持续存在的通胀压力。 ...
英国雇主招聘计划持续低迷 全球经济不确定性加剧影响
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 06:09
Group 1 - The survey indicates that UK employers are cautious about hiring intentions for the next three months due to recent tax increases and global economic uncertainty [1] - The CIPD reported a decline in the employment market expectation index from +13 to +8, reaching a historical low outside of the pandemic period [1] - Large private enterprises showed particularly poor performance this quarter, contributing to the overall decline in the index [1] Group 2 - KPMG's CEO noted that despite a slight recovery in recruitment activities, it does not indicate a market turnaround due to ongoing pressures such as rising costs and global economic uncertainty [2] - The Bank of England expressed concerns about the cooling labor market and the potential for strong wage growth to lead to sustained inflationary pressures [2]
美联储理事Cook:预计特朗普政府的贸易政策和相关的不确定性将在短期内拖累生产率的增长,这可能促使美联储在更长时间内维持政策利率不变。由于生产率下降,潜在经济增速的下滑将带来更大的通胀压力。在其他条件相同的情况下,较低的生产率可能会促使我支持在更长时间内将利率保持在较高水平。由于企业不知道关税的最终水平或持续时间,贸易政策的不确定性可能会减少商业投资,从而影响生产率。如果保护主义贸易政策支持效率较低的公司,或者如果这些变化导致供应链中断,生产率也可能受到影响。人工智能可以在未来几年提高美国的生产率,潜在地抵
news flash· 2025-05-10 00:10
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor Cook anticipates that the trade policies and related uncertainties of the Trump administration will dampen productivity growth in the short term, potentially leading the Fed to maintain policy interest rates unchanged for a longer period [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - A decline in productivity and a slowdown in potential economic growth will likely increase inflationary pressures [1] - Lower productivity, under unchanged conditions, may lead to support for keeping interest rates elevated for an extended duration [1] Group 2: Trade Policy Uncertainty - Uncertainty regarding the final levels and duration of tariffs may reduce business investment, thereby impacting productivity [1] - If protectionist trade policies favor less efficient companies or disrupt supply chains, productivity could also be adversely affected [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Artificial intelligence has the potential to enhance U.S. productivity in the coming years, potentially offsetting the negative impacts of trade policies [1]
5月10日电,美联储COOK表示,关税政策可能会降低生产率,限制潜在产出,增加通胀压力。
news flash· 2025-05-09 23:50
智通财经5月10日电,美联储COOK表示,关税政策可能会降低生产率,限制潜在产出,增加通胀压 力。生产率较低的经济可能需要更高的利率来遏制通货膨胀。 ...